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  1. Home
  2. Serie B
  3. Palermo vs Sampdoria

Palermo vs Sampdoria

Result • Serie B·Palermo·Sampdoria

Serie B
Serie B
Sep 7, 2026
18:30
high Confidence
WINNER
Palermo

Palermo

Home
Final Score
3-1
Predicted: 2-0
Final Score
3-1
Predicted: 2-0
Odds
11.60
X3.75
25.50
Stadium
Stadio Renzo Barbera
high Confidence
Sampdoria

Sampdoria

Away
Odds
11.60
X3.75
25.50
Stadium
Stadio Renzo Barbera
Win Probabilities
56%
Palermo
28%
Draw
16%
Sampdoria
Home1.6056%
Draw3.7528%
Away5.5016%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

Palermo are clear favourites, riding a four-match winning streak and holding a significant league position advantage over a Sampdoria side that has lost momentum. The main risk is Palermo's occasional defensive lapses, which could allow Sampdoria to score and make the match tighter than expected.

Our AI model analyzes this Serie B fixture between Palermo and Sampdoria using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Palermo a 56% win probability, a 28% chance of a draw, and Sampdoria a 16% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-0. Both teams to score probability: 58%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 58%

Match Events

  1. Goal: Gabriel StrefezzaAssist: Tommaso Augello
    9'
    Goal: Gabriel StrefezzaPalermo · Assist: Tommaso Augello
  2. 18'
    Yellow Card: Liam HendersonSampdoria
    Yellow Card: Liam Henderson
  3. 18'
    Yellow Card: Lorenzo InsigneSampdoria
    Yellow Card: Lorenzo Insigne
  4. Substitution: Dominic VavassoriOut: Gabriel Strefezza
    21'
    Substitution: Dominic VavassoriPalermo · Out: Gabriel Strefezza
  5. Goal: Joel Pohjanpalo
    33'
    Goal: Joel PohjanpaloPalermo
  6. Substitution: Antonio PalumboOut: Hernani
    45'
    Substitution: Antonio PalumboPalermo · Out: Hernani
  7. Yellow Card: Mattia Bani
    47'
    Yellow Card: Mattia BaniPalermo
  8. 53'
    Substitution: Tjas BegicSampdoria · Out: Danel Sinani
    Substitution: Tjas BegicOut: Danel Sinani
  9. 63'
    Goal: Lorenzo InsigneSampdoria
    Goal: Lorenzo Insigne
  10. Substitution: Tommaso CassandroOut: Niccolo Pierozzi
    65'
    Substitution: Tommaso CassandroPalermo · Out: Niccolo Pierozzi
  11. Substitution: Nahuel EstévezOut: Filippo·Ranocchia
    65'
    Substitution: Nahuel EstévezPalermo · Out: Filippo·Ranocchia
  12. 70'
    Substitution: Oliver AbildgaardSampdoria · Out: Lorenzo Insigne
    Substitution: Oliver AbildgaardOut: Lorenzo Insigne
  13. 83'
    Substitution: Lorenzo MezzoteroSampdoria · Out: Yari Verschaeren
    Substitution: Lorenzo MezzoteroOut: Yari Verschaeren
  14. Substitution: Alessandro GabrielloniOut: Joel Pohjanpalo
    84'
    Substitution: Alessandro GabrielloniPalermo · Out: Joel Pohjanpalo
  15. Yellow Card: Antonio Palumbo
    90+2'
    Yellow Card: Antonio PalumboPalermo
  16. Goal: Antonio PalumboAssist: Dennis Johnsen
    90+4'
    Goal: Antonio PalumboPalermo · Assist: Dennis Johnsen
  17. 90+6'
    Yellow Card: Manuel CicconiSampdoria
    Yellow Card: Manuel Cicconi
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Strengths · Weaknesses

Palermo

  • Excellent recent form with four consecutive wins
  • Strong attacking output, averaging over two goals per game
  • Defense has conceded in most matches, keeping only two clean sheets in five
  • Potential complacency against a lower-ranked opponent

Sampdoria

  • Capable of scoring, averaging a goal per game
  • Have shown resilience in some matches, with one clean sheet in five
  • Poor league position, 19th with only one point
  • Conceding an average of 1.4 goals per game

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
56%
API-Football
50%
53%
Palermo53398

Models disagree significantly. Suggests home win (53%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Palermo enter this Serie B clash as clear favourites, backed by a formidable home record and a four-match winning streak. Sampdoria, meanwhile, are struggling near the bottom of the table with just one point from their opening fixtures.

Form Analysis: Palermo have been in scintillating form, winning their last four matches and scoring an average of 2.2 goals per game while conceding just 1.2. Their attacking output is potent, and they have kept two clean sheets in that period. Sampdoria, in contrast, have lost their most recent outing and have managed only one win in their last five, averaging a modest 1.0 goal per game while shipping 1.4. The momentum is overwhelmingly with the home side.

Key Factors: The most decisive factor is Palermo's current streak and their superior league position (6th vs 19th). Additionally, head-to-head meetings historically favour Palermo, who have won three of the last five encounters. Sampdoria's defensive frailties, conceding in most matches, will be tested by a Palermo attack that has been prolific. Home advantage at the Stadio Renzo Barbera further tilts the balance.

Conclusion: All indicators point to a comfortable home victory. Palermo's form, attacking quality, and home support should prove too much for a Sampdoria side low on confidence. Expect Palermo to control the game and secure three points, likely with a two-goal margin.

Statistical ContextPalermo

Double chance : Palermo or draw

Team Comparison

AI Powered
PalermoSampdoria
70%Strength30%
67%Attacking Potential33%
60%Defensive Potential40%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
75%H2H Strength25%
62%Goals H2H38%
70%Wins the Game30%
Head-to-head →Injuries · PalermoInjuries · SampdoriaLive scores →

Statistical Context

Palermo

WWDLW
  • WOct 10, 26A · Empoli2-4
  • WSep 19, 26H · Padova2-1
  • DSep 13, 26A · Avellino1-1
  • LSep 3, 26A · Mantova5-2
  • WAug 30, 26A · Arezzo2-3

Sampdoria

LWLLD
  • LOct 9, 26A · Avellino4-1
  • WSep 19, 26H · Catanzaro2-1
  • LSep 13, 26A · Mantova2-0
  • LAug 29, 26H · Juve Stabia1-2
  • DAug 23, 26A · Cesena1-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
1Palermo6+716WWDWW
2Mantova6+714WDWDW
17Carrarese6-24WLLLD
18Sampdoria6-74LWLLL
19Catanzaro6-63LLWLL

Head to Head

3
Palermo
6
Draws
1
Sampdoria
  • Feb 10, 26Sampdoria – Palermo3-3
  • Dec 12, 25Palermo – Sampdoria1-0
  • Mar 8, 25Sampdoria – Palermo1-1
  • Nov 24, 24Palermo – Sampdoria1-1
  • May 17, 24Palermo – Sampdoria2-0

Season Statistics — 2026

PalermoSampdoria
Played55
Goals Scored105
Goals Conceded59
Avg Scored2.01.0
Avg Conceded1.01.8
Clean Sheets10

Palermo vs Sampdoria — Match Analysis

Palermo are clear favourites, riding a four-match winning streak and holding a significant league position advantage over a Sampdoria side that has lost momentum. The main risk is Palermo's occasional defensive lapses, which could allow Sampdoria to score and make the match tighter than expected.

Palermo enter this Serie B clash as clear favourites, backed by a formidable home record and a four-match winning streak. Sampdoria, meanwhile, are struggling near the bottom of the table with just one point from their opening fixtures.

Form Analysis: Palermo have been in scintillating form, winning their last four matches and scoring an average of 2.2 goals per game while conceding just 1.2. Their attacking output is potent, and they have kept two clean sheets in that period. Sampdoria, in contrast, have lost their most recent outing and have managed only one win in their last five, averaging a modest 1.0 goal per game while shipping 1.4. The momentum is overwhelmingly with the home side.

Key Factors: The most decisive factor is Palermo's current streak and their superior league position (6th vs 19th). Additionally, head-to-head meetings historically favour Palermo, who have won three of the last five encounters. Sampdoria's defensive frailties, conceding in most matches, will be tested by a Palermo attack that has been prolific. Home advantage at the Stadio Renzo Barbera further tilts the balance.

Conclusion: All indicators point to a comfortable home victory. Palermo's form, attacking quality, and home support should prove too much for a Sampdoria side low on confidence. Expect Palermo to control the game and secure three points, likely with a two-goal margin.

Win Probabilities: Palermo: 56% · Draw: 28% · Sampdoria: 16%

Predicted Score: 2-0 (14.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 54% · Under 2.5: 46% · BTTS: 58%

H2H: Palermo wins: 3 · Draws: 6 · Sampdoria wins: 1

Form (latest first): Palermo: WWDLW · Sampdoria: LWLLD

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Serie B

Serie B

Italy15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Serie BItaly
Hellas Verona
Oct 1618:30
Catanzaro
11.9651%
X3.3330%
25.2619%
Serie BItaly
Benevento
Oct 1713:00
Vicenza Virtus
12.1347%
X3.1332%
24.7621%
Serie BItaly
Ascoli
Oct 1713:00
Empoli
11.9651%
X3.2331%
25.5618%
Serie BItaly
Padova
Oct 1713:00
Virtus Entella
12.3343%
X3.0333%
24.1724%
Serie BItaly
Carrarese
Oct 1713:00
Modena
14.0025%
X3.1332%
22.3343%
Serie BItaly
Mantova
Oct 1715:15
Palermo
13.2331%
X3.8526%
22.3343%
Serie BItaly
Pisa
Oct 1717:30
Cremonese
12.2245%
X3.0333%
24.5522%
Serie BItaly
Juve Stabia
Oct 1813:00
Sudtirol
12.4441%
X3.3330%
23.4529%
Serie BItaly
Cesena
Oct 1815:15
Avellino
12.5040%
X3.3330%
23.3330%
Serie BItaly
Sampdoria
Oct 1817:30
Arezzo
12.5639%
X3.2331%
23.3330%
Serie BItaly
Empoli
Oct 2318:30
Vicenza Virtus
Early projection
11.9252%
X4.5522%
23.8526%
Serie BItaly
Cremonese
Oct 2413:00
Juve Stabia
Early projection
11.7956%
X5.0020%
24.1724%
Serie BItaly
Virtus Entella
Oct 2413:00
Mantova
Early projection
14.5522%
X5.0020%
21.7258%
Serie BItaly
Avellino
Oct 2413:00
Padova
Early projection
12.1347%
X4.1724%
23.4529%
Serie BItaly
Modena
Oct 2413:00
Cesena
Early projection
11.5963%
X5.5618%
25.2619%

Betting Tips

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