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  1. Home
  2. Ekstraklasa
  3. Motor Lublin vs Gornik Zabrze

Motor Lublin vs Gornik Zabrze

Result • Ekstraklasa·Motor Lublin·Gornik Zabrze

Ekstraklasa
Ekstraklasa
Mar 8, 2026
11:15
low Confidence
DRAW
Motor Lublin

Motor Lublin

Home
Final Score
0-0
Predicted: 1-2
Final Score
0-0
Predicted: 1-2
Odds
12.80
X3.40
22.30
Stadium
Motor Lublin Arena
low Confidence
DRAW
Gornik Zabrze

Gornik Zabrze

Away
Odds
12.80
X3.40
22.30
Stadium
Motor Lublin Arena
Win Probabilities
35%
Motor Lublin
28%
Draw
37%
Gornik Zabrze
Home2.8035%
Draw3.4028%
Away2.3037%

Oracle's Vision

low Confidence
“

The Oracle sees shadows of a narrow victory for the traveling side, where defensive resilience meets fleeting offensive sparks. Ancient wisdom reveals that league stature often outweighs recent winds of fortune.

Our AI model analyzes this Ekstraklasa fixture between Motor Lublin and Gornik Zabrze using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Motor Lublin a 35% win probability, a 28% chance of a draw, and Gornik Zabrze a 37% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-2. Both teams to score probability: 50%. This prediction is rated as low confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 50%
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1K. Czubak vs Gornik Zabrze defense: Czubak's goal-scoring ability (9 goals) will test Gornik's defensive organization, which has conceded fewer goals on average.
2O. Sow vs Motor Lublin midfield: Sow's attacking contributions (7 goals) will challenge Motor Lublin's midfield in the 4-1-4-1 setup, where defensive coverage may be crucial.
3Midfield control battle: Motor Lublin's 4-1-4-1 vs Gornik Zabrze's 4-5-1 could determine possession and scoring chances, with Gornik likely aiming to dominate midfield.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Motor Lublin

  • Recent 2-win streak indicating good momentum
  • Higher average goals scored (1.8 per game) showing offensive capability
  • Lower league position (13th place) suggesting overall weaker performance
  • High average goals conceded (1.8 per game) indicating defensive vulnerabilities

Gornik Zabrze

  • Higher league standing (4th place) with better overall season performance
  • Lower average goals conceded (1.2 per game) indicating strong defense
  • Poor recent form with LLDLW, including failure to score in 2 of last 5 games
  • Lower average goals scored (0.6 per game) showing offensive struggles

Statistical Context

Motor Lublin

WLLLD
  • WAug 16, 26H · GKS Katowice1-0
  • LAug 8, 26A · Pogon Szczecin3-1
  • LJul 31, 26H · Jagiellonia1-2
  • LMay 23, 26A · Legia Warszawa4-0
  • DMay 16, 26H · Cracovia Krakow3-3

Gornik Zabrze

WDWLW
  • WAug 16, 26H · Wisla Krakow2-1
  • DAug 13, 26H · Ferencvarosi TC1-1
  • WAug 8, 26A · Radomiak Radom1-3
  • LAug 5, 26A · Ferencvarosi TC1-0
  • WMay 23, 26H · Radomiak Radom6-2

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
1Legia Warszawa4+810WDWW
2Gornik Zabrze3+49WWW
3Lech Poznan3+47WWD
12Slask Wroclaw4-14LDWL
13Motor Lublin4-24WLLD
14GKS Katowice303LWL

Head to Head

1
Motor Lublin
0
Draws
2
Gornik Zabrze
  • Aug 30, 25Gornik Zabrze – Motor Lublin0-1
  • Mar 15, 25Gornik Zabrze – Motor Lublin4-0
  • Sep 13, 24Motor Lublin – Gornik Zabrze1-0

Season Statistics — 2026

Motor LublinGornik Zabrze
Played32
Goals Scored45
Goals Conceded72
Avg Scored1.32.5
Avg Conceded2.31.0
Clean Sheets00

Motor Lublin vs Gornik Zabrze — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees shadows of a narrow victory for the traveling side, where defensive resilience meets fleeting offensive sparks. Ancient wisdom reveals that league stature often outweighs recent winds of fortune.

Based on the structured data, Gornik Zabrze is predicted to win, as indicated by the market probabilities showing a slight edge for the away team (40% away win probability) and the model probabilities strongly favoring Motor Lublin but with a conflicting prediction. The data suggests a close match with no clear dominant favorite.

Form Analysis: Motor Lublin has a recent form of WWLLW with a 2-win streak, scoring an average of 1.8 goals per game and conceding 1.8. Gornik Zabrze has a form of LLDLW with a 1-win streak, scoring an average of 0.6 goals per game and conceding 1.2. Motor Lublin shows better offensive form, while Gornik Zabrze has a stronger defensive record recently.

Key Factors: 1. Market probabilities indicate Gornik Zabrze as the slight favorite with 40% win probability, despite Motor Lublin's better recent form. 2. Gornik Zabrze is higher in the league standings (4th place vs. 13th) with a 4-point advantage, suggesting overall better performance this season. 3. Motor Lublin has home advantage with a rating of 0.55, which could boost their chances, but Gornik Zabrze's defensive solidity (lower avg goals conceded) may counter this.

Conclusion: The data points to a tight contest with Gornik Zabrze having a marginal edge due to league position and market odds, while Motor Lublin's home form and recent wins add uncertainty. A narrow away win is the most likely outcome based on the consensus from market data.

Win Probabilities: Motor Lublin: 35% · Draw: 28% · Gornik Zabrze: 37%

Predicted Score: 1-2 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 45% · Under 2.5: 55% · BTTS: 50%

H2H: Motor Lublin wins: 1 · Draws: 0 · Gornik Zabrze wins: 2

Form (latest first): Motor Lublin: WLLLD · Gornik Zabrze: WDWLW

  • K. Czubak vs Gornik Zabrze defense: Czubak's goal-scoring ability (9 goals) will test Gornik's defensive organization, which has conceded fewer goals on average.
  • O. Sow vs Motor Lublin midfield: Sow's attacking contributions (7 goals) will challenge Motor Lublin's midfield in the 4-1-4-1 setup, where defensive coverage may be crucial.
  • Midfield control battle: Motor Lublin's 4-1-4-1 vs Gornik Zabrze's 4-5-1 could determine possession and scoring chances, with Gornik likely aiming to dominate midfield.

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Ekstraklasa

Ekstraklasa

Poland15 · Upcoming Fixtures
EkstraklasaPoland
Cracovia Krakow
Aug 2118:30
Wieczysta Kraków
12.4441%
X3.4529%
23.3330%
EkstraklasaPoland
Korona Kielce
Aug 2212:45
Motor Lublin
12.0050%
X3.7027%
24.3523%
EkstraklasaPoland
Piast Gliwice
Aug 2215:30
Legia Warszawa
14.0025%
X3.3330%
22.2245%
EkstraklasaPoland
Slask Wroclaw
Aug 2218:15
Widzew Łódź
13.1332%
X3.4529%
22.5639%
EkstraklasaPoland
Radomiak Radom
Aug 2312:45
Zaglebie Lubin
12.5639%
X3.5728%
23.0333%
EkstraklasaPoland
GKS Katowice
Aug 2315:30
Wisla Plock
12.0050%
X3.7027%
24.3523%
EkstraklasaPoland
Pogon Szczecin
Aug 2318:15
Wisla Krakow
12.5040%
X3.5728%
23.1332%
EkstraklasaPoland
Wisla Plock
Aug 2816:00
Korona Kielce
Early projection
12.1746%
X4.1724%
23.3330%
EkstraklasaPoland
Legia Warszawa
Aug 2818:30
Slask Wroclaw
Early projection
11.3375%
X7.1414%
29.0911%
EkstraklasaPoland
Radomiak Radom
Aug 2910:15
Cracovia Krakow
Early projection
12.5040%
X3.8526%
22.9434%
EkstraklasaPoland
Motor Lublin
Aug 2912:45
Piast Gliwice
Early projection
12.4441%
X3.8526%
23.0333%
EkstraklasaPoland
Wisla Krakow
Aug 2915:30
Wieczysta Kraków
Early projection
11.6959%
X5.0020%
24.7621%
EkstraklasaPoland
Zaglebie Lubin
Aug 2918:15
Pogon Szczecin
Early projection
12.2744%
X4.0025%
23.2331%
EkstraklasaPoland
Raków Częstochowa
Aug 3012:45
Jagiellonia
Early projection
13.4529%
X4.1724%
22.1347%
EkstraklasaPoland
Gornik Zabrze
Aug 3015:30
GKS Katowice
Early projection
11.7258%
X5.0020%
24.5522%