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Matches
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  1. Home
  2. Ekstraklasa
  3. Lech Poznan vs Nieciecza

Lech Poznan vs Nieciecza

Result • Ekstraklasa·Lech Poznan·Nieciecza

Ekstraklasa
Ekstraklasa
Mar 22, 2026
13:45
high Confidence
WINNER
Lech Poznan

Lech Poznan

Home
Final Score
4-1
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
4-1
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
11.33
X4.75
27.50
Stadium
Enea Poznań
high Confidence
Nieciecza

Nieciecza

Away
Odds
11.33
X4.75
27.50
Stadium
Enea Poznań
Win Probabilities
69%
Lech Poznan
19%
Draw
12%
Nieciecza
Home1.3369%
Draw4.7519%
Away7.5012%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

The Oracle sees Lech Poznan's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Nieciecza, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Our AI model analyzes this Ekstraklasa fixture between Lech Poznan and Nieciecza using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Lech Poznan a 69% win probability, a 19% chance of a draw, and Nieciecza a 12% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 40%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 40%

Match Events

  1. VAR: VAR · Goal Disallowed - FoulP. Walemark
    8'
    VAR: VAR · Goal Disallowed - FoulLech Poznan · P. Walemark
  2. Goal: L. Bengtsson
    33'
    Goal: L. BengtssonLech Poznan
  3. Goal: L. Bengtsson
    36'
    Goal: L. BengtssonLech Poznan
  4. Goal: A. GholizadehAssist: P. Rodriguez
    37'
    Goal: A. GholizadehLech Poznan · Assist: P. Rodriguez
  5. 52'
    Yellow Card: K. KubicaNieciecza
    Yellow Card: K. Kubica
  6. 53'
    Substitution: M. FassbenderNieciecza · Out: D. Biniek
    Substitution: M. FassbenderOut: D. Biniek
  7. 53'
    Substitution: L. MasoeroNieciecza · Out: S. Guerrero
    Substitution: L. MasoeroOut: S. Guerrero
  8. 53'
    Substitution: K. ZapolnikNieciecza · Out: I. Durdov
    Substitution: K. ZapolnikOut: I. Durdov
  9. Substitution: L. PalmaOut: P. Walemark
    60'
    Substitution: L. PalmaLech Poznan · Out: P. Walemark
  10. Substitution: G. ThordarsonOut: P. Rodriguez
    60'
    Substitution: G. ThordarsonLech Poznan · Out: P. Rodriguez
  11. 65'
    Goal: G. IsikNieciecza
    Goal: G. Isik
  12. 68'
    VAR: VAR · Goal Disallowed - FoulNieciecza · M. Ambrosiewicz
    VAR: VAR · Goal Disallowed - FoulM. Ambrosiewicz
  13. 71'
    Yellow Card: M. MatysikNieciecza
    Yellow Card: M. Matysik
  14. Substitution: T. IsmaheelOut: A. Gholizadeh
    78'
    Substitution: T. IsmaheelLech Poznan · Out: A. Gholizadeh
  15. 79'
    Yellow Card: K. KubicaNieciecza
    Yellow Card: K. Kubica
  16. 79'
    Red Card: K. KubicaNieciecza
    Red Card: K. Kubica
  17. 81'
    Substitution: I. StrzalekNieciecza · Out: J. Jimenez
    Substitution: I. StrzalekOut: J. Jimenez
  18. 82'
    Yellow Card: A. PutivtsevNieciecza
    Yellow Card: A. Putivtsev
  19. Substitution: S. DudekOut: L. Bengtsson
    84'
    Substitution: S. DudekLech Poznan · Out: L. Bengtsson
  20. Substitution: Y. AgneroOut: M. Ishak
    84'
    Substitution: Y. AgneroLech Poznan · Out: M. Ishak
  21. Goal: T. IsmaheelAssist: G. Thordarson
    87'
    Goal: T. IsmaheelLech Poznan · Assist: G. Thordarson
  22. 90'
    Substitution: W. JakubikNieciecza · Out: D. Hilbrycht
    Substitution: W. JakubikOut: D. Hilbrycht
  23. 90+1'
    Yellow Card: L. MasoeroNieciecza
    Yellow Card: L. Masoero
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1M. Ishak (Lech Poznan) vs Nieciecza Defense: Ishak, with 9 goals, will be the primary attacking threat against a defense that has conceded frequently.
2Lech Poznan Midfield vs Nieciecza Midfield: The battle in midfield will be crucial, with Lech Poznan's 4-2-3-1 looking to dominate possession and create chances.
3Nieciecza Attack vs Lech Poznan Defense: Nieciecza's forwards will need to break through a defense that has allowed 1.4 goals per match on average.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Lech Poznan

  • Strong recent form with WLWWW record and 2-win streak
  • High league position (3rd) with +6 goal difference
  • Average goals conceded of 1.4 per match
  • Only 1 clean sheet in last 5 matches

Nieciecza

  • Similar average goals conceded (1.4) as Lech Poznan
  • No significant injuries reported
  • Poor recent form with LLDLD record and 2-loss streak
  • Low league position (18th) with -15 goal difference
Head-to-head →Injuries · Lech PoznanInjuries · NiecieczaLive scores →

Statistical Context

Lech Poznan

LLWWW
  • LSep 17, 26A · Crystal Palace4-0
  • LSep 12, 26A · Gornik Zabrze2-1
  • WSep 6, 26H · Raków Częstochowa1-0
  • WSep 3, 26H · Jagiellonia2-1
  • WAug 30, 26A · Widzew Łódź2-3

Nieciecza

WWLLW
  • WMay 23, 26H · Lechia Gdansk3-2
  • WMay 18, 26A · Arka Gdynia2-3
  • LMay 10, 26H · Legia Warszawa0-1
  • LMay 3, 26A · GKS Katowice5-1
  • WApr 24, 26A · Zaglebie Lubin1-2

Head to Head

3
Lech Poznan
0
Draws
0
Nieciecza
  • Sep 20, 25Nieciecza – Lech Poznan0-2
  • Feb 12, 22Lech Poznan – Nieciecza5-0
  • Aug 13, 21Nieciecza – Lech Poznan1-3

Season Statistics — 2026 · 2025

Lech PoznanNieciecza
Played433
Goals Scored1540
Goals Conceded263
Avg Scored3.81.2
Avg Conceded0.51.9
Clean Sheets33

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

Lech PoznanNieciecza
Over 2.5 Goals6/10—
Both Teams Scored6/10—
Clean Sheets4/10—

Lech Poznan vs Nieciecza — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees Lech Poznan's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Nieciecza, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Based on the structured data, Lech Poznan is predicted to win this match. The market probabilities show a 69% chance for a home win, and the API-Football model also predicts Lech Poznan as the winner, with a double chance advice supporting this outcome.

Form Analysis: Lech Poznan has strong recent form with a WLWWW record, including a 2-win streak, while Nieciecza is struggling with LLDLD and a 2-loss streak. Lech Poznan averages 1.0 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match, compared to Nieciecza's 0.8 scored and 1.4 conceded, indicating a slight offensive advantage for the home team.

Key Factors: 1. Lech Poznan holds a significant standings advantage, being 3rd with 41 points and +6 GD, while Nieciecza is 18th with 22 points and -15 GD, reflecting a 15-place and 19-point difference. 2. Head-to-head history shows Lech Poznan has won 3 of the last 5 meetings, with no draws or wins for Nieciecza. 3. Home advantage is rated at 0.55, providing an additional edge for Lech Poznan, and there are no significant injuries reported to disrupt their lineup.

Conclusion: The data consistently points to a Lech Poznan victory, supported by market odds, model predictions, form, standings, and historical performance, with no countervailing factors such as injuries or adverse weather.

Win Probabilities: Lech Poznan: 69% · Draw: 19% · Nieciecza: 12%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (18.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 45% · Under 2.5: 55% · BTTS: 40%

H2H: Lech Poznan wins: 3 · Draws: 0 · Nieciecza wins: 0

Form (latest first): Lech Poznan: LLWWW · Nieciecza: WWLLW

  • M. Ishak (Lech Poznan) vs Nieciecza Defense: Ishak, with 9 goals, will be the primary attacking threat against a defense that has conceded frequently.
  • Lech Poznan Midfield vs Nieciecza Midfield: The battle in midfield will be crucial, with Lech Poznan's 4-2-3-1 looking to dominate possession and create chances.
  • Nieciecza Attack vs Lech Poznan Defense: Nieciecza's forwards will need to break through a defense that has allowed 1.4 goals per match on average.

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Ekstraklasa

Ekstraklasa

Poland15 · Upcoming Fixtures
EkstraklasaPoland
Zaglebie Lubin
Sep 2012:45
Wisla Plock
12.5040%
X3.2331%
23.4529%
EkstraklasaPoland
Jagiellonia
Sep 2015:30
Legia Warszawa
13.2331%
X3.4529%
22.5040%
EkstraklasaPoland
Lech Poznan
Sep 2018:15
Radomiak Radom
11.4569%
X5.0020%
29.0911%
EkstraklasaPoland
Wieczysta Kraków
Oct 916:00
Wisla Plock
Early projection
12.2744%
X4.0025%
23.2331%
EkstraklasaPoland
Raków Częstochowa
Oct 918:30
GKS Katowice
Early projection
17.1414%
X6.2516%
21.4370%
EkstraklasaPoland
Cracovia Krakow
Oct 1012:45
Zaglebie Lubin
Early projection
12.7836%
X3.5728%
22.7836%
EkstraklasaPoland
Slask Wroclaw
Oct 1015:30
Lech Poznan
Early projection
18.3312%
X6.6715%
21.3773%
EkstraklasaPoland
Jagiellonia
Oct 1018:15
Gornik Zabrze
Early projection
12.8635%
X3.5728%
22.7037%
EkstraklasaPoland
Piast Gliwice
Oct 1112:45
Widzew Łódź
Early projection
11.7258%
X5.0020%
24.5522%
EkstraklasaPoland
Pogon Szczecin
Oct 1115:30
Korona Kielce
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
EkstraklasaPoland
Legia Warszawa
Oct 1118:15
Wisla Krakow
Early projection
11.5963%
X5.5618%
25.2619%
EkstraklasaPoland
Radomiak Radom
Oct 1216:00
Motor Lublin
Early projection
11.7956%
X5.0020%
24.1724%
EkstraklasaPoland
GKS Katowice
Oct 1218:30
Wieczysta Kraków
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
EkstraklasaPoland
Gornik Zabrze
Oct 1716:00
Piast Gliwice
Early projection
11.4768%
X6.2516%
26.2516%
EkstraklasaPoland
Wisla Plock
Oct 1716:00
Radomiak Radom
Early projection
12.0050%
X4.3523%
23.7027%

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