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  1. Home
  2. Ekstraklasa
  3. Lech Poznan vs Raków Częstochowa

Lech Poznan vs Raków Częstochowa

Result • Ekstraklasa·Lech Poznan·Raków Częstochowa

Ekstraklasa
Ekstraklasa
Sep 6, 2026
15:30
high Confidence
WINNER
Lech Poznan

Lech Poznan

Home
Final Score
1-0
Predicted: 2-0
Final Score
1-0
Predicted: 2-0
Odds
11.70
X3.95
24.35
Stadium
Enea Poznań
high Confidence
Raków Częstochowa

Raków Częstochowa

Away
Odds
11.70
X3.95
24.35
Stadium
Enea Poznań
Win Probabilities
57%
Lech Poznan
25%
Draw
18%
Raków Częstochowa
Home1.7057%
Draw3.9525%
Away4.3518%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

Lech Poznan are clear favourites, backed by their unbeaten form and Raków's five-match losing streak. The main risk is a potential upset if Raków's attack finally clicks, but the hosts' overall superiority should prevail.

Our AI model analyzes this Ekstraklasa fixture between Lech Poznan and Raków Częstochowa using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Lech Poznan a 57% win probability, a 25% chance of a draw, and Raków Częstochowa a 18% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-0. Both teams to score probability: 75%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 75%

Match Events

  1. 9'
    Yellow Card: Fran TudorRaków Częstochowa
    Yellow Card: Fran Tudor
  2. Yellow Card: Mateusz Skrzypczak
    25'
    Yellow Card: Mateusz SkrzypczakLech Poznan
  3. Yellow Card: Michal Gurgul
    32'
    Yellow Card: Michal GurgulLech Poznan
  4. 40'
    Yellow Card: Tomasz PienkoRaków Częstochowa
    Yellow Card: Tomasz Pienko
  5. Substitution: Terry YegbeOut: Mateusz Skrzypczak
    45'
    Substitution: Terry YegbeLech Poznan · Out: Mateusz Skrzypczak
  6. Substitution: Patrick WalemarkOut: Luis Palma
    45'
    Substitution: Patrick WalemarkLech Poznan · Out: Luis Palma
  7. 45'
    Substitution: Vladyslav KocherginRaków Częstochowa · Out: Adam Basse
    Substitution: Vladyslav KocherginOut: Adam Basse
  8. Substitution: Mikael IshakOut: Y. Agnero
    54'
    Substitution: Mikael IshakLech Poznan · Out: Y. Agnero
  9. Substitution: Leo BengtssonOut: Allahyar Sayyadmanesh
    68'
    Substitution: Leo BengtssonLech Poznan · Out: Allahyar Sayyadmanesh
  10. Goal: Leo BengtssonAssist: Pablo Rodriguez Delgado
    71'
    Goal: Leo BengtssonLech Poznan · Assist: Pablo Rodriguez Delgado
  11. Substitution: Gustav BerggrenOut: Filip Jagiełło
    75'
    Substitution: Gustav BerggrenLech Poznan · Out: Filip Jagiełło
  12. 76'
    Substitution: Isak BrusbergRaków Częstochowa · Out: Stratos Svarnas
    Substitution: Isak BrusbergOut: Stratos Svarnas
  13. 79'
    Substitution: Marko PerovićRaków Częstochowa · Out: Tomasz Pienko
    Substitution: Marko PerovićOut: Tomasz Pienko
  14. 79'
    Substitution: Adin molnarRaków Częstochowa · Out: Patryk Makuch
    Substitution: Adin molnarOut: Patryk Makuch
  15. 79'
    Substitution: Jakub JendrykaRaków Częstochowa · Out: Fran Tudor
    Substitution: Jakub JendrykaOut: Fran Tudor
  16. Yellow Card: Wojciech Monka
    90+3'
    Yellow Card: Wojciech MonkaLech Poznan
  17. 90+4'
    Yellow Card: Mahir EmreliRaków Częstochowa
    Yellow Card: Mahir Emreli
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1M. Ishak vs A. Brorsson: Lech's top scorer against Raków's central defender, a key duel in the box.
2L. Bengtsson vs B. Racovițan: The left-back's overlapping runs vs the right-back's defensive discipline.
3G. Berggren vs O. Abraham: Midfield battle for control and creativity.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Lech Poznan

  • Strong attacking form, scoring 10 goals in last 5 matches
  • Solid defence, conceding only 4 in last 5
  • Potential complacency against bottom side
  • May lack urgency if early goal not scored

Raków Częstochowa

  • Scoring an average of 1.6 goals per game despite poor form
  • Have players capable of individual brilliance
  • Conceding an average of 2.8 goals per game
  • No clean sheets in last 5 matches

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
57%
API-Football
45%
51%
Lech Poznan513514

Models disagree significantly. Suggests home win (51%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Lech Poznan are clear favourites to extend their impressive start to the season against a Raków Częstochowa side that has lost all five of their opening matches. The hosts sit second in the table with 13 points and a +6 goal difference, while the visitors are rooted to the bottom with no points and a -7 goal difference.

Form Analysis: Lech Poznan are unbeaten in their last five matches, winning four and drawing one, scoring ten goals and conceding just four. They have kept two clean sheets in that run. In contrast, Raków Częstochowa have lost all five of their matches, conceding an average of 2.8 goals per game while scoring 1.6. Their defensive frailties are a major concern.

Key Factors: The most decisive factor is the stark contrast in form: Lech Poznan are on a five-match unbeaten streak, while Raków are on a three-match losing streak. Additionally, Lech Poznan have a strong home record (2 wins, 1 draw in 3 home games) and the second-best attack in the league. Raków's defence has been porous, and they have failed to keep a clean sheet all season.

Conclusion: All data points to a comfortable home victory. Lech Poznan's superior form, attacking quality, and home advantage should prove too much for a struggling Raków side. The visitors will need a monumental effort to avoid a sixth consecutive defeat.

Statistical ContextLech Poznan

Winner : Lech Poznan

Team Comparison

AI Powered
Lech PoznanRaków Częstochowa
60%Strength39%
63%Attacking Potential38%
76%Defensive Potential24%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
38%H2H Strength62%
38%Goals H2H63%
60%Wins the Game39%
Head-to-head →Injuries · Lech PoznanInjuries · Raków CzęstochowaLive scores →

Statistical Context

Lech Poznan

WLLWW
  • WSep 20, 26H · Radomiak Radom5-1
  • LSep 17, 26A · Crystal Palace4-0
  • LSep 12, 26A · Gornik Zabrze2-1
  • WSep 3, 26H · Jagiellonia2-1
  • WAug 30, 26A · Widzew Łódź2-3

Raków Częstochowa

LLWLL
  • LSep 19, 26A · Korona Kielce3-2
  • LSep 15, 26H · Zaglebie Lubin2-3
  • WSep 11, 26H · Motor Lublin2-1
  • LSep 3, 26H · Gornik Zabrze1-2
  • LAug 30, 26H · Jagiellonia2-5

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
2Legia Warszawa9+1119WDWDD
3Lech Poznan8+1019WLWWW
4Wisla Krakow9+517WWDWD
17Wieczysta Kraków8-65DLDLL
18Raków Częstochowa9-93LLWLL

Head to Head

3
Lech Poznan
2
Draws
5
Raków Częstochowa
  • Mar 1, 26Lech Poznan – Raków Częstochowa4-3
  • Sep 24, 25Raków Częstochowa – Lech Poznan2-2
  • Feb 14, 25Lech Poznan – Raków Częstochowa0-1
  • Aug 9, 24Raków Częstochowa – Lech Poznan0-0
  • Mar 3, 24Raków Częstochowa – Lech Poznan4-0

Season Statistics — 2026

Lech PoznanRaków Częstochowa
Played78
Goals Scored1210
Goals Conceded618
Avg Scored1.71.3
Avg Conceded0.92.3
Clean Sheets30

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

Lech PoznanRaków Częstochowa
Over 2.5 Goals6/108/10
Both Teams Scored6/107/10
Clean Sheets4/103/10

Lech Poznan vs Raków Częstochowa — Match Analysis

Lech Poznan are clear favourites, backed by their unbeaten form and Raków's five-match losing streak. The main risk is a potential upset if Raków's attack finally clicks, but the hosts' overall superiority should prevail.

Lech Poznan are clear favourites to extend their impressive start to the season against a Raków Częstochowa side that has lost all five of their opening matches. The hosts sit second in the table with 13 points and a +6 goal difference, while the visitors are rooted to the bottom with no points and a -7 goal difference.

Form Analysis: Lech Poznan are unbeaten in their last five matches, winning four and drawing one, scoring ten goals and conceding just four. They have kept two clean sheets in that run. In contrast, Raków Częstochowa have lost all five of their matches, conceding an average of 2.8 goals per game while scoring 1.6. Their defensive frailties are a major concern.

Key Factors: The most decisive factor is the stark contrast in form: Lech Poznan are on a five-match unbeaten streak, while Raków are on a three-match losing streak. Additionally, Lech Poznan have a strong home record (2 wins, 1 draw in 3 home games) and the second-best attack in the league. Raków's defence has been porous, and they have failed to keep a clean sheet all season.

Conclusion: All data points to a comfortable home victory. Lech Poznan's superior form, attacking quality, and home advantage should prove too much for a struggling Raków side. The visitors will need a monumental effort to avoid a sixth consecutive defeat.

Win Probabilities: Lech Poznan: 57% · Draw: 25% · Raków Częstochowa: 18%

Predicted Score: 2-0 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 77% · Under 2.5: 23% · BTTS: 75%

H2H: Lech Poznan wins: 3 · Draws: 2 · Raków Częstochowa wins: 5

Form (latest first): Lech Poznan: WLLWW · Raków Częstochowa: LLWLL

  • M. Ishak vs A. Brorsson: Lech's top scorer against Raków's central defender, a key duel in the box.
  • L. Bengtsson vs B. Racovițan: The left-back's overlapping runs vs the right-back's defensive discipline.
  • G. Berggren vs O. Abraham: Midfield battle for control and creativity.

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Ekstraklasa

Ekstraklasa

Poland15 · Upcoming Fixtures
EkstraklasaPoland
Wieczysta Kraków
Oct 916:00
Wisla Plock
Early projection
12.2744%
X4.0025%
23.2331%
EkstraklasaPoland
Raków Częstochowa
Oct 918:30
GKS Katowice
Early projection
17.1414%
X6.2516%
21.4370%
EkstraklasaPoland
Cracovia Krakow
Oct 1012:45
Zaglebie Lubin
Early projection
12.7836%
X3.5728%
22.7836%
EkstraklasaPoland
Slask Wroclaw
Oct 1015:30
Lech Poznan
Early projection
18.3312%
X6.6715%
21.3773%
EkstraklasaPoland
Jagiellonia
Oct 1018:15
Gornik Zabrze
Early projection
12.8635%
X3.5728%
22.7037%
EkstraklasaPoland
Piast Gliwice
Oct 1112:45
Widzew Łódź
Early projection
11.7258%
X5.0020%
24.5522%
EkstraklasaPoland
Pogon Szczecin
Oct 1115:30
Korona Kielce
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
EkstraklasaPoland
Legia Warszawa
Oct 1118:15
Wisla Krakow
Early projection
11.5963%
X5.5618%
25.2619%
EkstraklasaPoland
Radomiak Radom
Oct 1216:00
Motor Lublin
Early projection
11.7956%
X5.0020%
24.1724%
EkstraklasaPoland
GKS Katowice
Oct 1218:30
Wieczysta Kraków
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
EkstraklasaPoland
Wieczysta Kraków
Oct 1616:00
Raków Częstochowa
Early projection
12.0848%
X4.3523%
23.4529%
EkstraklasaPoland
Widzew Łódź
Oct 1618:30
Wisla Krakow
Early projection
13.5728%
X4.3523%
22.0449%
EkstraklasaPoland
Motor Lublin
Oct 1712:45
Slask Wroclaw
Early projection
12.5040%
X3.8526%
22.9434%
EkstraklasaPoland
GKS Katowice
Oct 1715:30
Pogon Szczecin
Early projection
12.8635%
X3.5728%
22.7037%
EkstraklasaPoland
Cracovia Krakow
Oct 1718:15
Legia Warszawa
Early projection
14.3523%
X5.0020%
21.7557%

Betting Tips

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