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  1. Home
  2. Primeira Liga
  3. Guimaraes vs Arouca

Guimaraes vs Arouca

Prediction • Primeira Liga·Guimaraes·Arouca

Primeira Liga
Primeira Liga
Aug 8, 2026
17:00
PREDICTED WINNER
Guimaraes

Guimaraes

Home
VS
VS
Odds
11.88
X3.50
24.00
Arouca

Arouca

Away
Odds
11.88
X3.50
24.00
Win Probabilities
49%
Guimaraes
31%
Draw
20%
Arouca
Home1.8849%
Draw3.5031%
Away4.0020%

Oracle's Vision

Confidence
“

Guimaraes are favored at 49% to win at home against Arouca. The draw is rated 31% and the away win 20%, so the numbers point to a home result.

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Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
4.0Guimaraes
/10
6.0Arouca
Guimaraes
FormLatest first
LLLWW
Win Rate40%
Arouca
FormLatest first
WWDLW
Win Rate60%
Momentum AdvantageArouca+2.0

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

Match Weather

29°
Sunny
Wind
17 km/h
Humidity
34%
Rain
0.0 mm
Tactical Impact

Ideal playing conditions - no significant weather impact

Guimaraes
Home

Guimaraes

Form
WWLLL
Latest first
6
Pos
54
Pts
0
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 0 matches)

Clean Sheets0
Goal Diff0
  • Excellent defensive record with 3 clean sheets in last 5 games
  • Strong attacking output averaging 2.6 goals per game
  • Unbeaten in last 5 matches with 3 wins

Head to Head

Last 10
Guimaraes
Guimaraes
3Wins
4
Draws
Arouca
3Wins
Arouca
30%40%30%

Recent Matches

Last 10
Feb72026
AroucaArouca
3-2
Loss
GuimaraesGuimaraes
Aug302025
GuimaraesGuimaraes
1-1
Draw
AroucaArouca
Jan182025
GuimaraesGuimaraes
2-2
Draw
AroucaArouca
Aug122024
AroucaArouca
0-1
Win
GuimaraesGuimaraes
May182024
AroucaArouca
1-3
Win
GuimaraesGuimaraes
Jan152024
GuimaraesGuimaraes
2-1
Win
AroucaArouca
Mar112023
GuimaraesGuimaraes
0-2
Loss
AroucaArouca
Sep182022
AroucaArouca
2-2
Draw
GuimaraesGuimaraes
Feb192022
GuimaraesGuimaraes
1-3
Loss
AroucaArouca
Sep182021
AroucaArouca
2-2
Draw
GuimaraesGuimaraes

Past Predictions

0%0/1 correct

Arouca 3 - 2 Guimaraes

Feb 7, 2026

30% / 28% / 42%

Guimaraes4-3-3vs4-3-3AroucaPredicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Mirror formation. Tactical discipline and individual quality will decide.

AroucaArouca4-3-3
GuimaraesGuimaraes4-3-3
AroucaBenchArouca7
GuimaraesBenchGuimaraes7

No Reported Injuries

Both teams have a clean bill of health

Primeira Liga

League Statistics

Primeira Liga • Standings & Top Performers

Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Estrela
Estrela
00000000
2
Guimaraes
GuimaraesHome
00000000
3
Estoril
Estoril
00000000
4
GIL Vicente
GIL Vicente
00000000
5
Rio Ave
Rio Ave
00000000
6
Santa Clara
Santa Clara
00000000
7
Moreirense
Moreirense
00000000
8
FC Porto
FC Porto
00000000
9
Sporting CP
Sporting CP
00000000
10
Benfica
Benfica
00000000
11
Maritimo
Maritimo
00000000
12
SC Braga
SC Braga
00000000
13
Nacional
Nacional
00000000
14
Arouca
AroucaAway
00000000
15
Casa Pia
Casa Pia
00000000
16
Academico Viseu
Academico Viseu
00000000
17
Alverca
Alverca
00000000
18
Famalicao
Famalicao
00000000
Champions League
Relegation
HomeAway

Oracle's Vision

Predicted Winner

Guimaraes

Confidence

Win Probabilities

49%Guimaraes
31%Draw
20%Arouca

Key Markets

Predicted ScoreBTTSOver 2.5
Odds 1·X·21.88 · 3.50 · 4.00
KickoffSat, Aug 8 · 17:00
League StatsPrimeira Liga

Statistical Context

Guimaraes

LLLWW
  • LMay 16, 26A · Nacional2-0
  • LMay 11, 26H · Casa Pia0-1
  • LMay 4, 26A · Sporting CP5-1
  • WApr 25, 26H · Rio Ave2-0
  • WApr 18, 26A · GIL Vicente0-1

Arouca

WWDLW
  • WMay 16, 26H · Tondela3-1
  • WMay 11, 26A · GIL Vicente1-3
  • DMay 2, 26H · Santa Clara2-2
  • LApr 24, 26A · Alverca2-1
  • WApr 19, 26H · Estrela1-0

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
1Estrela000—
2Guimaraes000—
3Estoril000—
13Nacional000—
14Arouca000—
15Casa Pia000—

Head to Head

3
Guimaraes
4
Draws
3
Arouca
  • Feb 7, 26Arouca – Guimaraes3-2
  • Aug 30, 25Guimaraes – Arouca1-1
  • Jan 18, 25Guimaraes – Arouca2-2
  • Aug 12, 24Arouca – Guimaraes0-1
  • May 18, 24Arouca – Guimaraes1-3

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

GuimaraesArouca
Over 2.5 Goals6/10—
Both Teams Scored3/10—
Clean Sheets4/10—

Guimaraes vs Arouca — Expert Prediction & Analysis

Guimaraes are favored at 49% to win at home against Arouca. The draw is rated 31% and the away win 20%, so the numbers point to a home result.

Guimaraes are the clear favourites for this Primeira Liga clash, backed by both the bookmaker-implied probabilities and the API-Football model. Their superior league position (2nd vs 14th) and strong recent form, including a five-match unbeaten streak with three clean sheets, underline their dominance.…

Win Probabilities: Guimaraes: 49% · Draw: 31% · Arouca: 20%

H2H: Guimaraes wins: 3 · Draws: 4 · Arouca wins: 3

Form (latest first): Guimaraes: LLLWW · Arouca: WWDLW

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Primeira Liga

Primeira Liga

Portugal15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Primeira LigaPortugal
Estoril
Aug 719:15
Famalicao
13.7027%
X3.1332%
22.4441%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primeira LigaPortugal
Maritimo
Aug 814:30
Casa Pia
13.0333%
X3.2331%
22.7836%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primeira LigaPortugal
Estrela
Aug 819:30
Sporting CP
116.676%
X4.7621%
21.3773%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primeira LigaPortugal
FC Porto
Aug 917:00
Alverca
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primeira LigaPortugal
Benfica
Aug 919:30
Academico Viseu
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primeira LigaPortugal
Moreirense
Aug 919:30
SC Braga
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primeira LigaPortugal
GIL Vicente
Aug 919:30
Rio Ave
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primeira LigaPortugal
Santa Clara
Aug 1019:15
Nacional
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primeira LigaPortugal
Sporting CP
Aug 1419:15
Guimaraes
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primeira LigaPortugal
Alverca
Aug 1514:30
Estrela
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primeira LigaPortugal
Academico Viseu
Aug 1517:00
Santa Clara
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primeira LigaPortugal
Rio Ave
Aug 1519:30
FC Porto
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primeira LigaPortugal
Nacional
Aug 1614:30
Estoril
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primeira LigaPortugal
Arouca
Aug 1617:00
Moreirense
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primeira LigaPortugal
SC Braga
Aug 1619:30
GIL Vicente
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access