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  1. Home
  2. Primeira Liga
  3. Estrela vs Sporting CP

Estrela vs Sporting CP

Result • Primeira Liga·Estrela·Sporting CP

Primeira Liga
Primeira Liga
Aug 8, 2026
19:30
high Confidence
DRAW
Estrela

Estrela

Home
Final Score
2-2
Predicted: 0-2
Final Score
2-2
Predicted: 0-2
Odds
19.80
X5.75
21.26
Stadium
Estádio José Gomes
high Confidence
DRAW
Sporting CP

Sporting CP

Away
Odds
19.80
X5.75
21.26
Stadium
Estádio José Gomes
Win Probabilities
9%
Estrela
22%
Draw
69%
Sporting CP
Home9.809%
Draw5.7522%
Away1.2669%

Oracle's Vision

High Confidence
“

Sporting CP are clear favourites, backed by a four-match winning streak and a perfect head-to-head record against Estrela. The main risk is complacency, but their superior form and attacking firepower should see them through.

Our AI model analyzes this Primeira Liga fixture between Estrela and Sporting CP using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Estrela a 9% win probability, a 22% chance of a draw, and Sporting CP a 69% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 0-2. Both teams to score probability: 55%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 55%

Match Events

  1. 46'
    Goal: R. ZalazarSporting CP · Assist: G. Catamo
    Goal: R. ZalazarAssist: G. Catamo
  2. Yellow Card: G. Doue
    52'
    Yellow Card: G. DoueEstrela
  3. 59'
    Goal: F. IoannidisSporting CP · Assist: R. Zalazar
    Goal: F. IoannidisAssist: R. Zalazar
  4. 61'
    Substitution: L. SuarezSporting CP · Out: F. Ioannidis
    Substitution: L. SuarezOut: F. Ioannidis
  5. 61'
    Substitution: S. AndersenSporting CP · Out: F. Goncalves
    Substitution: S. AndersenOut: F. Goncalves
  6. Substitution: RobinhoOut: S. Serra
    65'
    Substitution: RobinhoEstrela · Out: S. Serra
  7. 67'
    Yellow Card: L. SuarezSporting CP
    Yellow Card: L. Suarez
  8. Goal: L. AntonettiAssist: I. Stoica
    72'
    Goal: L. AntonettiEstrela · Assist: I. Stoica
  9. Substitution: B. SouzaOut: I. Stoica
    74'
    Substitution: B. SouzaEstrela · Out: I. Stoica
  10. Substitution: J. EncadaOut: M. Scholze
    74'
    Substitution: J. EncadaEstrela · Out: M. Scholze
  11. 78'
    Substitution: I. FresnedaSporting CP · Out: G. Vagiannidis
    Substitution: I. FresnedaOut: G. Vagiannidis
  12. 78'
    Substitution: Luis GuilhermeSporting CP · Out: G. Catamo
    Substitution: Luis GuilhermeOut: G. Catamo
  13. 82'
    Substitution: J. DerrySporting CP · Out: I. Doumbia
    Substitution: J. DerryOut: I. Doumbia
  14. Goal: B. SouzaAssist: Robinho
    84'
    Goal: B. SouzaEstrela · Assist: Robinho
  15. Substitution: S. van HooijdonkOut: L. Antonetti
    89'
    Substitution: S. van HooijdonkEstrela · Out: L. Antonetti
  16. Substitution: Alisson SouzaOut: A. Marcus
    90'
    Substitution: Alisson SouzaEstrela · Out: A. Marcus
  17. Yellow Card: B. Souza
    90+2'
    Yellow Card: B. SouzaEstrela
  18. 90+2'
    Yellow Card: J. DerrySporting CP
    Yellow Card: J. Derry
Share Prediction

Match stats · predicted vs real

2 / 3stats picks landed in this match
Estrela 2-2 Sporting CP
FT
MarketPredictedRealOur pickResult
Corners per team✗ missPredicted 2.2 – 7.8Real 5 – 4Sporting CP more corners✗ miss
Total corners—Predicted 10.1Real 9chances only—
Yellow cards✓ hitPredicted 4.5Real 4Over 3.5✓ hit
Half-time score—Predicted 0-0Real 0-0chances only—
Shots on target✓ hitPredicted 3.5 – 5.0Real 4 – 8Sporting CP more shots on target✓ hit
Total shots—Predicted 10.7 – 13.7Real 9 – 15chances only—

Our pre-match numbers for this match, next to the final statistics.

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1Dudu vs Geny Catamo: Estrela's goalkeeper will need to be at his best to keep out Sporting's in-form winger.
2Bernardo Schappo vs M. Araújo: The defensive midfielder will have to track Araújo's runs from midfield to prevent him from dictating play.
3Y. Kalley vs Daniel Bragança: Kalley must close down Bragança quickly to limit his time on the ball and disrupt Sporting's rhythm.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Estrela

  • Solid defensive record with 2 clean sheets in last 5
  • Average goals conceded of 0.8 per game
  • Winless in last 5 matches
  • Low scoring output with only 1.8 goals per game

Sporting CP

  • Excellent form with 4 consecutive wins
  • High scoring average of 3.6 goals per game
  • Conceded an average of 0.8 goals per game, but could be vulnerable to counter-attacks
  • May lack motivation if they are already ahead in the title race

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
69%
API-Football
50%
60%
Sporting CP53659

Models disagree significantly. Suggests away win (60%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Sporting CP are clear favourites for this Primeira Liga clash, with the market and the statistical model both pointing decisively in their direction. The away side's recent form is formidable, having won four consecutive matches and scored an average of 3.6 goals per game in their last five outings. In contrast, Estrela have struggled, failing to win in their last five matches and currently on a five-game winless streak.

Form Analysis: Sporting CP's momentum is exceptional, with a four-match winning streak and an average of 3.6 goals scored per game. Estrela, meanwhile, have drawn two and lost three of their last five, with a concerning lack of victories. The head-to-head record is overwhelmingly in Sporting CP's favour, having won all seven of their last meetings.

Key Factors: The most decisive factor is the gulf in current form and the historical dominance in this fixture. Sporting CP's attacking output is prolific, while Estrela's recent results suggest defensive fragility. Additionally, the away side's overall statistical comparison rating of 88% versus 12% underscores their superiority.

Conclusion: All available data points to a comfortable away victory for Sporting CP. Estrela will need a monumental effort to overturn the odds, but the evidence strongly suggests Sporting CP will extend their winning run.

Statistical ContextSporting CP

Double chance : draw or Sporting CP

Team Comparison

AI Powered
EstrelaSporting CP
12%Strength88%
50%Attacking Potential50%
50%Defensive Potential50%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
50%H2H Strength100%
12%Goals H2H88%
12%Wins the Game88%

More information

Primeira Liga predicted line-ups: Gameweek 129/9Head-to-headEstrela – Sporting CPInjuriesEstrelaInjuriesSporting CPLive scores

Statistical Context

Estrela

LLLLL
  • LNov 8, 26H · Benfica2-3
  • LOct 31, 26A · Moreirense2-1
  • LOct 24, 26H · Casa Pia0-2
  • LOct 11, 26A · Arouca1-0
  • LSep 20, 26H · Academico Viseu0-2

Sporting CP

WWWLL
  • WNov 7, 26H · Moreirense1-0
  • WNov 3, 26A · Shakhtar Donetsk0-1
  • WOct 30, 26A · Casa Pia0-2
  • LOct 25, 26H · Academico Viseu1-2
  • LOct 21, 26H · Lask Linz2-3

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
2Benfica11+2028WWWWL
3Sporting CP11+1324WWLWD
4Santa Clara11+821LWLWD
11Alverca11-112DLLWW
12Estrela11-510LLLLL
13Nacional11-810WLWLL

Head to Head

0
Estrela
0
Draws
7
Sporting CP
  • Apr 11, 26Estrela – Sporting CP0-1
  • Nov 30, 25Sporting CP – Estrela4-0
  • Mar 29, 25Estrela – Sporting CP0-3
  • Nov 1, 24Sporting CP – Estrela5-1
  • Mar 29, 24Estrela – Sporting CP1-2

Season Statistics — 2026

EstrelaSporting CP
Played1111
Goals Scored1724
Goals Conceded2211
Avg Scored1.62.2
Avg Conceded2.01.0
Clean Sheets04

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

EstrelaSporting CP
Over 2.5 Goals—7/10
Both Teams Scored—5/10
Clean Sheets—5/10

Estrela vs Sporting CP — Match Analysis

Sporting CP are clear favourites, backed by a four-match winning streak and a perfect head-to-head record against Estrela. The main risk is complacency, but their superior form and attacking firepower should see them through.

Sporting CP are clear favourites for this Primeira Liga clash, with the market and the statistical model both pointing decisively in their direction. The away side's recent form is formidable, having won four consecutive matches and scored an average of 3.6 goals per game in their last five outings. In contrast, Estrela have struggled, failing to win in their last five matches and currently on a five-game winless streak.

Form Analysis: Sporting CP's momentum is exceptional, with a four-match winning streak and an average of 3.6 goals scored per game. Estrela, meanwhile, have drawn two and lost three of their last five, with a concerning lack of victories. The head-to-head record is overwhelmingly in Sporting CP's favour, having won all seven of their last meetings.

Key Factors: The most decisive factor is the gulf in current form and the historical dominance in this fixture. Sporting CP's attacking output is prolific, while Estrela's recent results suggest defensive fragility. Additionally, the away side's overall statistical comparison rating of 88% versus 12% underscores their superiority.

Conclusion: All available data points to a comfortable away victory for Sporting CP. Estrela will need a monumental effort to overturn the odds, but the evidence strongly suggests Sporting CP will extend their winning run.

Win Probabilities: Estrela: 9% · Draw: 22% · Sporting CP: 69%

Predicted Score: 0-2 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 65% · Under 2.5: 35% · BTTS: 55%

H2H: Estrela wins: 0 · Draws: 0 · Sporting CP wins: 7

Form (latest first): Estrela: LLLLL · Sporting CP: WWWLL

  • Dudu vs Geny Catamo: Estrela's goalkeeper will need to be at his best to keep out Sporting's in-form winger.
  • Bernardo Schappo vs M. Araújo: The defensive midfielder will have to track Araújo's runs from midfield to prevent him from dictating play.
  • Y. Kalley vs Daniel Bragança: Kalley must close down Bragança quickly to limit his time on the ball and disrupt Sporting's rhythm.

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Primeira Liga

Primeira Liga

Portugal15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Primeira LigaPortugal
Maritimo
Nov 2720:15
Nacional
Early projection
12.1746%
X4.1724%
23.3330%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Moreirense
Nov 2815:30
Santa Clara
Early projection
13.7027%
X4.5522%
21.9651%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Arouca
Nov 2815:30
Rio Ave
Early projection
11.3375%
X7.1414%
29.0911%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Academico Viseu
Nov 2818:00
Alverca
Early projection
11.6959%
X5.0020%
24.7621%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Vitória SC
Nov 2820:30
Estrela
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
Primeira LigaPortugal
GIL Vicente
Nov 2918:00
Estoril
Early projection
11.3077%
X7.6913%
210.0010%
Primeira LigaPortugal
FC Porto
Nov 2920:30
Sporting CP
Early projection
11.4768%
X6.2516%
26.2516%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Benfica
Nov 3020:15
Famalicao
Early projection
11.2878%
X7.6913%
211.119%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Casa Pia
Nov 3020:15
SC Braga
Early projection
13.0333%
X4.0025%
22.3842%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Sporting CP
Dec 420:15
Maritimo
Early projection
11.2779%
X7.6913%
212.508%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Nacional
Dec 515:30
Benfica
Early projection
111.119%
X7.6913%
21.2878%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Santa Clara
Dec 518:00
FC Porto
Early projection
14.3523%
X4.7621%
21.7956%
Primeira LigaPortugal
SC Braga
Dec 520:30
Arouca
Early projection
13.3330%
X4.1724%
22.1746%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Rio Ave
Dec 615:30
Casa Pia
Early projection
12.3343%
X4.0025%
23.1332%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Estrela
Dec 615:30
GIL Vicente
Early projection
13.1332%
X3.8526%
22.3842%

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