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  1. Home
  2. Primeira Liga
  3. Famalicao vs Benfica

Famalicao vs Benfica

Result • Primeira Liga·Famalicao·Benfica

Primeira Liga
Primeira Liga
May 2, 2026
17:00
high Confidence
DRAW
Famalicao

Famalicao

Home
Final Score
2-2
Predicted: 1-2
Final Score
2-2
Predicted: 1-2
Odds
15.25
X3.90
21.62
Stadium
Estadio Municipal de Famalicao
high Confidence
DRAW
Benfica

Benfica

Away
Odds
15.25
X3.90
21.62
Stadium
Estadio Municipal de Famalicao
Win Probabilities
17%
Famalicao
29%
Draw
54%
Benfica
Home5.2517%
Draw3.9029%
Away1.6254%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

The Oracle sees Benfica's superior quality overcoming the home advantage. Ancient wisdom reveals the visitors' class will prove decisive in this encounter.

Our AI model analyzes this Primeira Liga fixture between Famalicao and Benfica using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Famalicao a 17% win probability, a 29% chance of a draw, and Benfica a 54% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-2. Both teams to score probability: 50%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 50%

Match Events

  1. 9'
    VAR: VAR · Goal Disallowed - offsideBenfica · F. Ivanovic
    VAR: VAR · Goal Disallowed - offsideF. Ivanovic
  2. 12'
    Penalty: A. Schjelderup (Penalty)Benfica
    Penalty: A. Schjelderup (Penalty)
  3. 19'
    Goal: R. RiosBenfica · Assist: A. Schjelderup
    Goal: R. RiosAssist: A. Schjelderup
  4. 55'
    Red Card: N. OtamendiBenfica
    Red Card: N. Otamendi
  5. 57'
    Substitution: E. BarrenecheaBenfica · Out: G. Prestianni
    Substitution: E. BarrenecheaOut: G. Prestianni
  6. Goal: M. De AmorimAssist: L. Realpe
    67'
    Goal: M. De AmorimFamalicao · Assist: L. Realpe
  7. 72'
    Substitution: A. BahBenfica · Out: A. Schjelderup
    Substitution: A. BahOut: A. Schjelderup
  8. Substitution: U. AbubakarOut: S. Elisor
    72'
    Substitution: U. AbubakarFamalicao · Out: S. Elisor
  9. Substitution: R. BeneyOut: Gil Dias
    72'
    Substitution: R. BeneyFamalicao · Out: Gil Dias
  10. Yellow Card: G. Sa
    74'
    Yellow Card: G. SaFamalicao
  11. Goal: U. AbubakarAssist: M. De Amorim
    78'
    Goal: U. AbubakarFamalicao · Assist: M. De Amorim
  12. Yellow Card: R. Pinheiro
    83'
    Yellow Card: R. PinheiroFamalicao
  13. 85'
    Substitution: Rafa SilvaBenfica · Out: F. Ivanovic
    Substitution: Rafa SilvaOut: F. Ivanovic
  14. Substitution: P. SantosOut: M. De Amorim
    90+3'
    Substitution: P. SantosFamalicao · Out: M. De Amorim
  15. 90+9'
    Yellow Card: A. TrubinBenfica
    Yellow Card: A. Trubin
  16. 90+12'
    Yellow Card: R. RiosBenfica
    Yellow Card: R. Rios
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1Á. Di María vs Famalicao left-back: Di María's dribbling and crossing will test the home defense.
2V. Pavlidis vs Famalicao center-backs: Pavlidis' movement and finishing pose a constant threat.
3Famalicao midfield vs Benfica midfield: Famalicao must disrupt Benfica's passing rhythm to have any chance.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Famalicao

  • Solid defense at home
  • Unbeaten streak of 5 matches
  • Lower attacking output (1.4 avg goals)
  • Inferior head-to-head record

Benfica

  • Strong attack (2.4 avg goals)
  • Excellent defensive record (0.6 conceded)
  • None significant based on data

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
54%
API-Football
50%
52%
Benfica94051

Models disagree significantly. Suggests away win (52%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Benfica is the clear favorite to win away at Famalicao, with bookmaker odds implying a 58% chance of victory. The API-Football model also predicts a Benfica win, reinforcing this outcome.

Form Analysis: Benfica boasts a superior recent form (WWWDW) compared to Famalicao (WDDDW), with a higher average goals scored (2.4 vs 1.4) and fewer conceded (0.6 vs 1.0). Both teams are unbeaten in their last five, but Benfica's attacking prowess is decisive.

Key Factors: Benfica's league position (2nd, 75 points) far exceeds Famalicao's (5th, 51 points), with a +47 goal difference. Head-to-head history heavily favors Benfica (7 wins in last 10 meetings). No significant injuries affect either side.

Conclusion: All data points to a Benfica victory. Famalicao's home advantage is insufficient to overcome Benfica's quality and form.

Statistical ContextBenfica

Double chance : draw or Benfica

Team Comparison

AI Powered
FamalicaoBenfica
37%Strength62%
37%Attacking Potential63%
38%Defensive Potential63%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
40%H2H Strength60%
33%Goals H2H67%
37%Wins the Game62%
Head-to-head →Injuries · FamalicaoInjuries · BenficaLive scores →

Statistical Context

Famalicao

WDDDL
  • WSep 19, 26A · Nacional0-4
  • DSep 13, 26H · Sporting CP1-1
  • DSep 5, 26A · Estrela2-2
  • DAug 30, 26H · GIL Vicente0-0
  • LAug 23, 26A · Santa Clara1-0

Benfica

LWWWW
  • LSep 20, 26A · FC Porto3-1
  • WSep 16, 26A · AC Milan0-2
  • WSep 13, 26H · GIL Vicente3-1
  • WSep 9, 26A · Moreirense0-4
  • WSep 5, 26A · Maritimo0-3

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
1FC Porto7+1521WWWWW
2Benfica7+1516LWWWW
3Sporting CP7+915DDWWW
12Moreirense7-68DWLLW
13Famalicao7+27WDDDL
14Vitória SC7-35DLDLW

Head to Head

2
Famalicao
1
Draws
7
Benfica
  • Dec 22, 25Benfica – Famalicao1-0
  • Jan 17, 25Benfica – Famalicao4-0
  • Aug 11, 24Famalicao – Benfica2-0
  • May 5, 24Famalicao – Benfica2-0
  • Dec 29, 23Benfica – Famalicao3-0

Season Statistics — 2026

FamalicaoBenfica
Played77
Goals Scored922
Goals Conceded77
Avg Scored1.33.1
Avg Conceded1.01.0
Clean Sheets23

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

FamalicaoBenfica
Over 2.5 Goals—6/10
Both Teams Scored—3/10
Clean Sheets—5/10

Famalicao vs Benfica — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees Benfica's superior quality overcoming the home advantage. Ancient wisdom reveals the visitors' class will prove decisive in this encounter.

Benfica is the clear favorite to win away at Famalicao, with bookmaker odds implying a 58% chance of victory. The API-Football model also predicts a Benfica win, reinforcing this outcome.

Form Analysis: Benfica boasts a superior recent form (WWWDW) compared to Famalicao (WDDDW), with a higher average goals scored (2.4 vs 1.4) and fewer conceded (0.6 vs 1.0). Both teams are unbeaten in their last five, but Benfica's attacking prowess is decisive.

Key Factors: Benfica's league position (2nd, 75 points) far exceeds Famalicao's (5th, 51 points), with a +47 goal difference. Head-to-head history heavily favors Benfica (7 wins in last 10 meetings). No significant injuries affect either side.

Conclusion: All data points to a Benfica victory. Famalicao's home advantage is insufficient to overcome Benfica's quality and form.

Win Probabilities: Famalicao: 17% · Draw: 29% · Benfica: 54%

Predicted Score: 1-2 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 55% · Under 2.5: 45% · BTTS: 50%

H2H: Famalicao wins: 2 · Draws: 1 · Benfica wins: 7

Form (latest first): Famalicao: WDDDL · Benfica: LWWWW

  • Á. Di María vs Famalicao left-back: Di María's dribbling and crossing will test the home defense.
  • V. Pavlidis vs Famalicao center-backs: Pavlidis' movement and finishing pose a constant threat.
  • Famalicao midfield vs Benfica midfield: Famalicao must disrupt Benfica's passing rhythm to have any chance.

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Primeira Liga

Primeira Liga

Portugal15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Primeira LigaPortugal
Moreirense
Oct 917:45
GIL Vicente
14.5522%
X3.0333%
22.2245%
Primeira LigaPortugal
SC Braga
Oct 919:15
Sporting CP
14.1724%
X3.2331%
22.2245%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Casa Pia
Oct 1014:30
Santa Clara
15.0020%
X3.2331%
22.0449%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Maritimo
Oct 1017:00
FC Porto
110.0010%
X4.5522%
21.4768%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Academico Viseu
Oct 1019:30
Estoril
12.3343%
X3.1332%
24.0025%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Rio Ave
Oct 1114:30
Nacional
12.3343%
X3.0333%
24.1724%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Benfica
Oct 1117:00
Vitória SC
11.3276%
X5.8817%
214.297%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Arouca
Oct 1119:30
Estrela
12.2245%
X3.2331%
24.1724%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Famalicao
Oct 1219:15
Alverca
Early projection
11.8554%
X4.5522%
24.1724%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Vitória SC
Oct 2319:45
Maritimo
Early projection
12.6338%
X3.7027%
22.8635%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Alverca
Oct 2414:30
Arouca
Early projection
12.9434%
X3.7027%
22.5639%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Estrela
Oct 2414:30
Casa Pia
Early projection
11.4171%
X6.2516%
27.6913%
Primeira LigaPortugal
GIL Vicente
Oct 2419:30
FC Porto
Early projection
19.0911%
X6.6715%
21.3574%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Estoril
Oct 2515:30
Moreirense
Early projection
13.3330%
X4.1724%
22.1746%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Nacional
Oct 2518:00
SC Braga
Early projection
15.8817%
X5.5618%
21.5465%

Betting Tips

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