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  1. Home
  2. Primeira Liga
  3. Estoril vs Casa Pia

Estoril vs Casa Pia

Result • Primeira Liga·Estoril·Casa Pia

Primeira Liga
Primeira Liga
Mar 7, 2026
20:30
low Confidence
DRAW
Estoril

Estoril

Home
Final Score
0-0
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
0-0
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
11.70
X3.70
24.50
Stadium
Estádio António Coimbra da Mota
low Confidence
DRAW
Casa Pia

Casa Pia

Away
Odds
11.70
X3.70
24.50
Stadium
Estádio António Coimbra da Mota
Win Probabilities
54%
Estoril
25%
Draw
21%
Casa Pia
Home1.7054%
Draw3.7025%
Away4.5021%

Oracle's Vision

low Confidence
“

The Oracle sees Estoril's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Casa Pia, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Our AI model analyzes this Primeira Liga fixture between Estoril and Casa Pia using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Estoril a 54% win probability, a 25% chance of a draw, and Casa Pia a 21% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 40%. This prediction is rated as low confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 40%
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1João Carvalho vs Casa Pia midfield: Carvalho's creativity and assists could exploit defensive gaps in Casa Pia's 3-4-3 setup.
2Y. Begraoui vs Casa Pia defense: Begraoui's goal-scoring ability will test Casa Pia's defensive organization and clean sheet record.
3David Sousa vs Estoril defense: Sousa's limited offensive output may struggle against Estoril's defensive line, especially given their high goals conceded average.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Estoril

  • Higher league position with 33 points and +4 GD
  • Strong head-to-head record with 5 wins in last 5 meetings
  • Inconsistent recent form with 1 loss streak and 0 clean sheets in last 5 games
  • High average goals conceded of 2.2 in last 5 matches

Casa Pia

  • Recent form includes 1 clean sheet in last 5 games
  • Balanced average goals scored and conceded of 1.2 in last 5 matches
  • Lower league position with 23 points and -18 GD
  • Poor head-to-head record with only 1 win in last 5 meetings

Statistical Context

Estoril

LDLDD
  • LAug 16, 26A · Nacional2-0
  • DAug 7, 26H · Famalicao1-1
  • LMay 16, 26H · Benfica1-3
  • DMay 10, 26A · Alverca1-1
  • DMay 3, 26A · SC Braga1-1

Casa Pia

LLWDD
  • LAug 17, 26H · Benfica0-7
  • LAug 8, 26A · Maritimo1-0
  • WMay 28, 26H · Torreense2-0
  • DMay 20, 26A · Torreense0-0
  • DMay 16, 26H · Rio Ave1-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
12Famalicao2-11LD
13Estoril2-21LD
14Alverca2-21DL
15Moreirense2-41LD
16Vitória SC2-20LL
17Rio Ave2-30LL
18Casa Pia2-80LL

Head to Head

1
Estoril
4
Draws
5
Casa Pia
  • Oct 3, 25Casa Pia – Estoril2-2
  • Apr 29, 25Casa Pia – Estoril1-3
  • Dec 15, 24Estoril – Casa Pia0-2
  • Apr 8, 24Casa Pia – Estoril0-0
  • Nov 10, 23Estoril – Casa Pia4-0

Season Statistics — 2026

EstorilCasa Pia
Played11
Goals Scored10
Goals Conceded11
Avg Scored1.00.0
Avg Conceded1.01.0
Clean Sheets00

Estoril vs Casa Pia — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees Estoril's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Casa Pia, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Based on the structured data, Estoril is predicted to win this match, with a 54% probability from bookmaker odds and support from the API-Football model's predicted winner and advice for a double chance favoring Estoril or draw.

Form Analysis: Estoril's recent form (LWLDW) shows inconsistency with 1 loss streak and 0 clean sheets in the last 5 games, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 2.2 conceded. Casa Pia's form (DLWDW) includes 1 draw streak and 1 clean sheet, averaging 1.2 goals scored and conceded. Both teams failed to score in 2 of their last 5 games, indicating potential offensive struggles.

Key Factors: 1. League standings show Estoril in 8th place with 33 points and +4 GD, while Casa Pia is 13th with 23 points and -18 GD, giving Estoril a 10-point advantage. 2. Head-to-head history strongly favors Estoril with 5 wins in the last 5 meetings. 3. Home advantage rating of 0.55 provides a slight boost for Estoril, with no significant injuries reported for either team.

Conclusion: The data supports Estoril as the favorite due to superior league position, historical dominance, and home advantage, despite mixed recent form from both sides.

Win Probabilities: Estoril: 54% · Draw: 25% · Casa Pia: 21%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 45% · Under 2.5: 55% · BTTS: 40%

H2H: Estoril wins: 1 · Draws: 4 · Casa Pia wins: 5

Form (latest first): Estoril: LDLDD · Casa Pia: LLWDD

  • João Carvalho vs Casa Pia midfield: Carvalho's creativity and assists could exploit defensive gaps in Casa Pia's 3-4-3 setup.
  • Y. Begraoui vs Casa Pia defense: Begraoui's goal-scoring ability will test Casa Pia's defensive organization and clean sheet record.
  • David Sousa vs Estoril defense: Sousa's limited offensive output may struggle against Estoril's defensive line, especially given their high goals conceded average.

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Primeira Liga

Primeira Liga

Portugal15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Primeira LigaPortugal
Maritimo
Aug 2214:30
Academico Viseu
12.1746%
X3.1332%
24.5522%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Estoril
Aug 2217:00
Rio Ave
12.0449%
X3.3330%
24.7621%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Sporting CP
Aug 2219:30
Alverca
11.2282%
X7.1414%
225.004%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Vitória SC
Aug 2314:30
Nacional
12.4441%
X3.3330%
23.4529%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Santa Clara
Aug 2317:00
Famalicao
12.3842%
X3.1332%
23.8526%
Primeira LigaPortugal
FC Porto
Aug 2319:30
Arouca
11.2381%
X6.6715%
225.004%
Primeira LigaPortugal
GIL Vicente
Aug 2419:15
Casa Pia
11.9252%
X3.2331%
25.8817%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Rio Ave
Aug 2819:15
Sporting CP
Early projection
13.7027%
X4.3523%
22.0050%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Arouca
Aug 2914:30
Maritimo
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Alverca
Aug 2914:30
Santa Clara
Early projection
13.2331%
X4.0025%
22.2744%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Academico Viseu
Aug 2917:00
FC Porto
Early projection
14.3523%
X4.7621%
21.7956%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Nacional
Aug 3014:30
Estrela
Early projection
12.2744%
X4.0025%
23.2331%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Casa Pia
Aug 3017:00
Moreirense
Early projection
12.5040%
X3.8526%
22.9434%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Famalicao
Aug 3019:30
GIL Vicente
Early projection
12.8635%
X3.5728%
22.7037%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Benfica
Aug 3117:45
Estoril
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.0025%
23.3330%