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  1. Home
  2. Primeira Liga
  3. Famalicao vs Sporting CP

Famalicao vs Sporting CP

Result • Primeira Liga·Famalicao·Sporting CP

Primeira Liga
Primeira Liga
Sep 13, 2026
19:30
medium Confidence
DRAW
Famalicao

Famalicao

Home
Final Score
1-1
Predicted: 0-2
Final Score
1-1
Predicted: 0-2
Odds
14.20
X3.90
21.74
Stadium
Estadio Municipal de Famalicao
medium Confidence
DRAW
Sporting CP

Sporting CP

Away
Odds
14.20
X3.90
21.74
Stadium
Estadio Municipal de Famalicao
Win Probabilities
18%
Famalicao
28%
Draw
54%
Sporting CP
Home4.2018%
Draw3.9028%
Away1.7454%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

Sporting CP are clear favourites, backed by a five-match winning streak and a perfect head-to-head record. The main risk is complacency or an unexpected defensive lapse, but Famalicao's scoring struggles make an upset unlikely.

Our AI model analyzes this Primeira Liga fixture between Famalicao and Sporting CP using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Famalicao a 18% win probability, a 28% chance of a draw, and Sporting CP a 54% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 0-2. Both teams to score probability: 58%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 58%

Match Events

  1. 27'
    VAR: VAR · Goal cancelledSporting CP · Flávio Gonçalves
    VAR: VAR · Goal cancelledFlávio Gonçalves
  2. Substitution: Roméo BeneyOut: Gil Dias
    45'
    Substitution: Roméo BeneyFamalicao · Out: Gil Dias
  3. Yellow Card: Gil Dias
    45+1'
    Yellow Card: Gil DiasFamalicao
  4. Substitution: Umar AbubakarOut: Georgios Koutsias
    60'
    Substitution: Umar AbubakarFamalicao · Out: Georgios Koutsias
  5. 64'
    Substitution: Rodrigo ZalazarSporting CP · Out: Luís Guilherme
    Substitution: Rodrigo ZalazarOut: Luís Guilherme
  6. 64'
    Substitution: Fotis IoannidisSporting CP · Out: Flávio Gonçalves
    Substitution: Fotis IoannidisOut: Flávio Gonçalves
  7. 73'
    Yellow Card: Geny CatamoSporting CP
    Yellow Card: Geny Catamo
  8. 75'
    Substitution: Silas AndersenSporting CP · Out: Issa Doumbia
    Substitution: Silas AndersenOut: Issa Doumbia
  9. 75'
    Substitution: Nestory IrankundaSporting CP · Out: Geny Catamo
    Substitution: Nestory IrankundaOut: Geny Catamo
  10. Yellow Card: Marcos Vinicios Lopes Moura
    78'
    Yellow Card: Marcos Vinicios Lopes MouraFamalicao
  11. Yellow Card: Carlos Augusto Soares da Costa Faria Carvalhal
    80'
    Yellow Card: Carlos Augusto Soares da Costa Faria CarvalhalFamalicao
  12. 81'
    Penalty: Luis Suárez (Penalty)Sporting CP
    Penalty: Luis Suárez (Penalty)
  13. Substitution: Patricio SalasOut: Marcos Peña
    82'
    Substitution: Patricio SalasFamalicao · Out: Marcos Peña
  14. Substitution: Óscar Aranda SubielaOut: Marcos Vinicios Lopes Moura
    83'
    Substitution: Óscar Aranda SubielaFamalicao · Out: Marcos Vinicios Lopes Moura
  15. 86'
    Yellow Card: Luis SuárezSporting CP
    Yellow Card: Luis Suárez
  16. Red Card: Roméo Beney
    87'
    Red Card: Roméo BeneyFamalicao
  17. 90'
    Yellow Card: Nestory IrankundaSporting CP
    Yellow Card: Nestory Irankunda
  18. Own goal: Gonçalo Inácio (Own goal)
    90+1'
    Own goal: Gonçalo Inácio (Own goal)Famalicao
  19. 90+7'
    Yellow Card: Iván FresnedaSporting CP
    Yellow Card: Iván Fresneda
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AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Strengths · Weaknesses

Famalicao

  • Defensive resilience at times, with one clean sheet in last five
  • Ability to grind out draws, as shown by two recent stalemates
  • Poor attacking output: only 4 goals in last 5 matches
  • Winless in last five games (0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses)

Sporting CP

  • Prolific attack: 14 goals in last 5 matches, averaging 3.0 per game
  • Solid defense: only 5 goals conceded in last 5, with 2 clean sheets
  • Four players out injured, which could affect squad rotation
  • Occasional defensive lapses, as shown by 5 goals conceded in last 5

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
54%
API-Football
45%
50%
Sporting CP143750

Moderate agreement on away win (50%).

AI AnalysisMedium Confidence

Sporting CP are the clear favourites to win this Primeira Liga encounter at the Estadio Municipal de Famalicao, with the market and the statistical model both pointing to an away victory.

Form Analysis: Sporting arrive on a five-match winning streak, scoring 14 goals and conceding just 5 in their last five outings, with two clean sheets. Famalicao, by contrast, are without a win in their last five (two draws, three defeats), scoring only four goals and failing to find the net in two of those games. The gulf in attacking output is stark: Sporting average 3.0 goals per game compared to Famalicao's 0.8.

Key Factors: The head-to-head record is overwhelmingly one-sided, with Sporting winning all of the last ten meetings. Famalicao sit 15th in the standings with just three points and a negative goal difference, while Sporting are third with 13 points and a +9 goal difference. Although Sporting have four players unavailable through injury, their squad depth and current momentum should compensate. Famalicao's home advantage has been minimal, with just one draw and one defeat in two home matches.

Conclusion: All available data points to a comfortable Sporting CP victory. The combination of superior form, attacking firepower, and historical dominance makes an away win the most likely outcome, with a clean sheet a distinct possibility given Famalicao's scoring struggles.

Statistical ContextSporting CP

Winner : Sporting CP

Team Comparison

AI Powered
FamalicaoSporting CP
23%Strength76%
22%Attacking Potential78%
45%Defensive Potential55%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
50%H2H Strength100%
17%Goals H2H83%
23%Wins the Game76%
Head-to-head →Injuries · FamalicaoInjuries · Sporting CPLive scores →

Statistical Context

Famalicao

WDDLL
  • WSep 19, 26A · Nacional0-4
  • DSep 5, 26A · Estrela2-2
  • DAug 30, 26H · GIL Vicente0-0
  • LAug 23, 26A · Santa Clara1-0
  • LAug 16, 26H · Maritimo1-2

Sporting CP

WDWWW
  • WOct 9, 26A · SC Braga1-3
  • DSep 19, 26H · Arouca2-2
  • WSep 9, 26H · Galatasaray3-1
  • WSep 5, 26H · Nacional2-0
  • WAug 28, 26A · Rio Ave0-4

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
1FC Porto7+1521WWWWW
2Sporting CP8+1118WDDWW
3Benfica7+1516LWWWW
12Moreirense8-78LDWLL
13Famalicao7+27WDDDL
14Vitória SC7-35DLDLW

Head to Head

0
Famalicao
0
Draws
10
Sporting CP
  • Feb 15, 26Sporting CP – Famalicao1-0
  • Sep 13, 25Famalicao – Sporting CP1-2
  • Mar 15, 25Sporting CP – Famalicao3-1
  • Oct 26, 24Famalicao – Sporting CP0-3
  • Apr 16, 24Famalicao – Sporting CP0-1

Season Statistics — 2026

FamalicaoSporting CP
Played77
Goals Scored917
Goals Conceded78
Avg Scored1.32.4
Avg Conceded1.01.1
Clean Sheets22

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

FamalicaoSporting CP
Over 2.5 Goals—7/10
Both Teams Scored—5/10
Clean Sheets—5/10

Famalicao vs Sporting CP — Match Analysis

Sporting CP are clear favourites, backed by a five-match winning streak and a perfect head-to-head record. The main risk is complacency or an unexpected defensive lapse, but Famalicao's scoring struggles make an upset unlikely.

Sporting CP are the clear favourites to win this Primeira Liga encounter at the Estadio Municipal de Famalicao, with the market and the statistical model both pointing to an away victory.

Form Analysis: Sporting arrive on a five-match winning streak, scoring 14 goals and conceding just 5 in their last five outings, with two clean sheets. Famalicao, by contrast, are without a win in their last five (two draws, three defeats), scoring only four goals and failing to find the net in two of those games. The gulf in attacking output is stark: Sporting average 3.0 goals per game compared to Famalicao's 0.8.

Key Factors: The head-to-head record is overwhelmingly one-sided, with Sporting winning all of the last ten meetings. Famalicao sit 15th in the standings with just three points and a negative goal difference, while Sporting are third with 13 points and a +9 goal difference. Although Sporting have four players unavailable through injury, their squad depth and current momentum should compensate. Famalicao's home advantage has been minimal, with just one draw and one defeat in two home matches.

Conclusion: All available data points to a comfortable Sporting CP victory. The combination of superior form, attacking firepower, and historical dominance makes an away win the most likely outcome, with a clean sheet a distinct possibility given Famalicao's scoring struggles.

Win Probabilities: Famalicao: 18% · Draw: 28% · Sporting CP: 54%

Predicted Score: 0-2 (14.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 54% · Under 2.5: 46% · BTTS: 58%

H2H: Famalicao wins: 0 · Draws: 0 · Sporting CP wins: 10

Form (latest first): Famalicao: WDDLL · Sporting CP: WDWWW

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Primeira Liga

Primeira Liga

Portugal15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Primeira LigaPortugal
Maritimo
Oct 1017:00
FC Porto
110.0010%
X4.5522%
21.4768%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Casa Pia
Oct 1019:30
Santa Clara
15.0020%
X3.2331%
22.0449%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Academico Viseu
Oct 1019:30
Estoril
12.3343%
X3.1332%
24.0025%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Rio Ave
Oct 1114:30
Nacional
12.3343%
X3.0333%
24.1724%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Benfica
Oct 1117:00
Vitória SC
11.3276%
X5.8817%
214.297%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Arouca
Oct 1119:30
Estrela
12.2245%
X3.2331%
24.1724%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Famalicao
Oct 1219:15
Alverca
11.9252%
X3.8526%
24.5522%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Vitória SC
Oct 2319:45
Maritimo
Early projection
12.6338%
X3.7027%
22.8635%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Alverca
Oct 2414:30
Arouca
Early projection
12.9434%
X3.7027%
22.5639%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Estrela
Oct 2414:30
Casa Pia
Early projection
11.4171%
X6.2516%
27.6913%
Primeira LigaPortugal
GIL Vicente
Oct 2419:30
FC Porto
Early projection
19.0911%
X6.6715%
21.3574%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Estoril
Oct 2515:30
Moreirense
Early projection
13.3330%
X4.1724%
22.1746%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Nacional
Oct 2518:00
SC Braga
Early projection
15.8817%
X5.5618%
21.5465%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Rio Ave
Oct 2518:00
Famalicao
Early projection
13.3330%
X4.1724%
22.1746%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Sporting CP
Oct 2520:30
Academico Viseu
Early projection
11.5963%
X5.5618%
25.2619%

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