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Matches
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  1. Home
  2. La Liga
  3. Rayo Vallecano vs Girona

Rayo Vallecano vs Girona

Result • La Liga·Rayo Vallecano·Girona

La Liga
La Liga
May 11, 2026
19:00
high Confidence
DRAW
Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

Home
Final Score
1-1
Predicted: 1-0
Final Score
1-1
Predicted: 1-0
Odds
12.40
X3.10
23.20
Stadium
Campo de Futbol de Vallecas
high Confidence
DRAW
Girona

Girona

Away
Odds
12.40
X3.10
23.20
Stadium
Campo de Futbol de Vallecas
Win Probabilities
40%
Rayo Vallecano
35%
Draw
25%
Girona
Home2.4040%
Draw3.1035%
Away3.2025%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

The Oracle sees a fortress at Vallecas, where Rayo's defense stands firm. Girona's struggles continue, but a draw is not foretold.

Our AI model analyzes this La Liga fixture between Rayo Vallecano and Girona using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Rayo Vallecano a 40% win probability, a 35% chance of a draw, and Girona a 25% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-0. Both teams to score probability: 45%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 45%
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1Jorge de Frutos vs Girona defense: Rayo's top scorer faces a leaky defense.
2Álvaro García vs Girona right-back: Key winger's pace could exploit defensive gaps.
3Y. Asprilla vs Rayo defense: Girona's main threat against a solid backline.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Rayo Vallecano

  • Solid defense with 4 clean sheets in last 5
  • Unbeaten streak of 5 matches
  • Mid-table position with negative goal difference
  • Reliance on key scorer Jorge de Frutos

Girona

  • Capable of scoring despite poor form
  • Head-to-head record is balanced
  • 3 consecutive losses
  • Poor defense conceding 1.4 goals per game

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
40%
API-Football
45%
43%
Rayo Vallecano434018

Moderate agreement on home win (43%).

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Rayo Vallecano is predicted to win or draw against Girona based on superior form and home advantage.

Form Analysis: Rayo Vallecano is unbeaten in 5 matches (WWLWD) with 4 clean sheets, while Girona has lost 3 consecutive matches (LLLDW). Rayo averages 1.6 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game, compared to Girona's 1.0 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Key Factors: Rayo's strong defense (4 clean sheets in 5) vs Girona's poor form (3 losses). Home advantage at Vallecas. Head-to-head is balanced but Rayo has momentum.

Conclusion: Rayo Vallecano's solid form and defensive stability make them favorites, but Girona's quality could earn a draw.

Statistical ContextRayo Vallecano

Double chance : Rayo Vallecano or draw

Team Comparison

AI Powered
Rayo VallecanoGirona
56%Strength43%
58%Attacking Potential42%
54%Defensive Potential46%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
50%H2H Strength50%
43%Goals H2H57%
56%Wins the Game43%
Line-ups →Head-to-head →Injuries · Rayo VallecanoInjuries · Girona</> Embed this prediction

Statistical Context

Rayo Vallecano

LWLDL
  • LSep 12, 26A · Real Madrid4-1
  • WSep 5, 26H · Racing Santander3-2
  • LAug 31, 26A · Barcelona5-2
  • DAug 20, 26H · Alaves1-1
  • LAug 15, 26A · Sevilla2-1

Girona

LWWLD
  • LSep 12, 26H · Castellón1-2
  • WSep 5, 26A · Sporting Gijon0-2
  • WAug 29, 26H · Las Palmas5-2
  • LAug 21, 26A · Cordoba2-1
  • DAug 16, 26H · Leganes1-1

Head to Head

4
Rayo Vallecano
3
Draws
3
Girona
  • Aug 15, 25Girona – Rayo Vallecano1-3
  • Jan 26, 25Rayo Vallecano – Girona2-1
  • Sep 25, 24Girona – Rayo Vallecano0-0
  • Feb 26, 24Girona – Rayo Vallecano3-0
  • Jan 17, 24Girona – Rayo Vallecano3-1

Season Statistics — 2026

Rayo VallecanoGirona
Played44
Goals Scored79
Goals Conceded105
Avg Scored1.82.3
Avg Conceded2.51.3
Clean Sheets01

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

Rayo VallecanoGirona
Over 2.5 Goals5/10—
Both Teams Scored5/10—
Clean Sheets3/10—

Rayo Vallecano vs Girona — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees a fortress at Vallecas, where Rayo's defense stands firm. Girona's struggles continue, but a draw is not foretold.

Rayo Vallecano is predicted to win or draw against Girona based on superior form and home advantage.

Form Analysis: Rayo Vallecano is unbeaten in 5 matches (WWLWD) with 4 clean sheets, while Girona has lost 3 consecutive matches (LLLDW). Rayo averages 1.6 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game, compared to Girona's 1.0 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Key Factors: Rayo's strong defense (4 clean sheets in 5) vs Girona's poor form (3 losses). Home advantage at Vallecas. Head-to-head is balanced but Rayo has momentum.

Conclusion: Rayo Vallecano's solid form and defensive stability make them favorites, but Girona's quality could earn a draw.

Win Probabilities: Rayo Vallecano: 40% · Draw: 35% · Girona: 25%

Predicted Score: 1-0 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 40% · Under 2.5: 60% · BTTS: 45%

H2H: Rayo Vallecano wins: 4 · Draws: 3 · Girona wins: 3

Form (latest first): Rayo Vallecano: LWLDL · Girona: LWWLD

  • Jorge de Frutos vs Girona defense: Rayo's top scorer faces a leaky defense.
  • Álvaro García vs Girona right-back: Key winger's pace could exploit defensive gaps.
  • Y. Asprilla vs Rayo defense: Girona's main threat against a solid backline.

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La Liga

La Liga

Spain15 · Upcoming Fixtures
La LigaSpain
Villarreal
Sep 1419:00
Real Betis
12.5040%
X3.3330%
23.3330%
La LigaSpain
Rayo Vallecano
Sep 1517:00
Espanyol
12.5639%
X3.2331%
23.3330%
La LigaSpain
Alaves
Sep 1518:00
Valencia
12.0449%
X3.2331%
25.0020%
La LigaSpain
Elche
Sep 1519:30
Real Madrid
112.508%
X5.2619%
21.3773%
La LigaSpain
Atletico Madrid
Sep 1617:00
Osasuna
11.5664%
X4.0025%
29.0911%
La LigaSpain
Deportivo La Coruna
Sep 1617:00
Sevilla
12.5639%
X3.4529%
23.1332%
La LigaSpain
Barcelona
Sep 1619:30
Racing Santander
11.1984%
X8.3312%
225.004%
La LigaSpain
Levante
Sep 1619:30
Athletic Club
12.4441%
X3.1332%
23.7027%
La LigaSpain
Real Betis
Sep 1717:00
Getafe
11.9252%
X3.2331%
25.8817%
La LigaSpain
Malaga
Sep 1719:30
Villarreal
14.5522%
X3.3330%
22.0848%
La LigaSpain
Espanyol
Sep 1819:00
Elche
12.1347%
X3.2331%
24.5522%
La LigaSpain
Osasuna
Sep 1912:00
Rayo Vallecano
12.1746%
X3.0333%
24.7621%
La LigaSpain
Athletic Club
Sep 1914:15
Alaves
12.5040%
X3.2331%
23.4529%
La LigaSpain
Celta Vigo
Sep 1916:30
Racing Santander
12.0050%
X3.3330%
25.0020%
La LigaSpain
Sevilla
Sep 1919:00
Barcelona
110.0010%
X4.5522%
21.4768%

Betting Tips

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