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  1. Home
  2. La Liga
  3. Real Madrid vs Oviedo

Real Madrid vs Oviedo

Result • La Liga·Real Madrid·Oviedo

La Liga
La Liga
May 14, 2026
19:30
high Confidence
WINNER
Real Madrid

Real Madrid

Home
Final Score
2-0
Predicted: 3-0
Final Score
2-0
Predicted: 3-0
Odds
11.20
X7.00
212.00
Stadium
Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
high Confidence
Oviedo

Oviedo

Away
Odds
11.20
X7.00
212.00
Stadium
Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
Win Probabilities
72%
Real Madrid
20%
Draw
8%
Oviedo
Home1.2072%
Draw7.0020%
Away12.008%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

The Oracle sees Real Madrid's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Oviedo, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Our AI model analyzes this La Liga fixture between Real Madrid and Oviedo using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Real Madrid a 72% win probability, a 20% chance of a draw, and Oviedo a 8% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 3-0. Both teams to score probability: 25%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 25%

Match Events

  1. Goal: G. GarciaAssist: B. Diaz
    44'
    Goal: G. GarciaReal Madrid · Assist: B. Diaz
  2. 55'
    Substitution: S. CazorlaOviedo · Out: I. Chaira
    Substitution: S. CazorlaOut: I. Chaira
  3. Substitution: D. CarvajalOut: T. Alexander-Arnold
    64'
    Substitution: D. CarvajalReal Madrid · Out: T. Alexander-Arnold
  4. Substitution: J. BellinghamOut: A. Tchouameni
    64'
    Substitution: J. BellinghamReal Madrid · Out: A. Tchouameni
  5. 69'
    Substitution: H. HassanOviedo · Out: T. Fernandez
    Substitution: H. HassanOut: T. Fernandez
  6. Substitution: K. MbappeOut: G. Garcia
    69'
    Substitution: K. MbappeReal Madrid · Out: G. Garcia
  7. Substitution: C. PalaciosOut: B. Diaz
    77'
    Substitution: C. PalaciosReal Madrid · Out: B. Diaz
  8. Substitution: D. YanezOut: F. Mastantuono
    77'
    Substitution: D. YanezReal Madrid · Out: F. Mastantuono
  9. 79'
    Substitution: P. AgudinOviedo · Out: N. Fonseca
    Substitution: P. AgudinOut: N. Fonseca
  10. 79'
    Substitution: L. AhijadoOviedo · Out: N. Vidal
    Substitution: L. AhijadoOut: N. Vidal
  11. Goal: J. BellinghamAssist: K. Mbappe
    80'
    Goal: J. BellinghamReal Madrid · Assist: K. Mbappe
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1Kylian Mbappé vs Oviedo defense: Mbappé's pace and finishing will test Oviedo's backline, which has conceded 54 goals this season.
2Vinícius Júnior vs Oviedo right-back: Vinícius's dribbling and creativity on the left flank could be decisive.
3Real Madrid midfield vs Oviedo midfield: Real Madrid's midfield control will likely stifle Oviedo's attempts to build play.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Real Madrid

  • World-class attacking talent
  • Strong home record
  • Inconsistent recent form (LWDWD)
  • Occasional defensive lapses

Oviedo

  • Resilient defense at times
  • Set-piece threat
  • Lack of goalscoring threat
  • Poor away form

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
72%
API-Football
45%
59%
Real Madrid58339

Models disagree significantly. Suggests home win (59%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Real Madrid are overwhelming favorites to beat Oviedo at the Santiago Bernabéu, with bookmaker odds implying a 79% chance of a home win. The API-Football model also predicts a Real Madrid victory, reinforcing the high confidence.

Form Analysis: Real Madrid have won 2 of their last 5 (LWDWD), averaging 1.6 goals per game, while Oviedo have lost 3 of their last 5 (DLLDW) and failed to score in 2 of those matches. The gulf in class is evident: Real Madrid sit 2nd with 77 points, Oviedo are 20th with 29 points.

Key Factors: (1) Massive quality difference: Real Madrid have world-class attackers like Mbappé (24 goals) and Vinícius Jr. (15 goals), while Oviedo's top scorer has just 1 goal. (2) Head-to-head: Real Madrid have won the only recent meeting. (3) Home advantage: Real Madrid are strong at home, and Oviedo are in a relegation battle with poor away form.

Conclusion: All data points to a comfortable Real Madrid victory. Oviedo lack the firepower to trouble the hosts, and Real Madrid's superior quality should prevail.

Statistical ContextReal Madrid

Winner : Real Madrid

Team Comparison

AI Powered
Real MadridOviedo
63%Strength36%
55%Attacking Potential45%
55%Defensive Potential45%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
100%H2H Strength50%
100%Goals H2H50%
63%Wins the Game36%
Head-to-head →Injuries · Real MadridInjuries · Oviedo

Statistical Context

Real Madrid

WWWLW
  • WSep 15, 26A · Elche2-3
  • WSep 12, 26H · Rayo Vallecano4-1
  • WSep 8, 26H · Inter2-1
  • LSep 4, 26A · Real Betis1-0
  • WAug 30, 26H · Malaga4-0

Oviedo

WDWLD
  • WSep 13, 26A · Valladolid0-3
  • DSep 6, 26H · Burgos0-0
  • WAug 29, 26A · Albacete0-1
  • LAug 22, 26H · Leganes0-1
  • DAug 15, 26H · Granada CF0-0

Head to Head

0
Real Madrid
0
Draws
1
Oviedo
  • Aug 24, 25Oviedo – Real Madrid0-3

Season Statistics — 2026

Real MadridOviedo
Played54
Goals Scored141
Goals Conceded41
Avg Scored2.80.3
Avg Conceded0.80.3
Clean Sheets13

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

Real MadridOviedo
Over 2.5 Goals5/10—
Both Teams Scored4/10—
Clean Sheets4/10—

Real Madrid vs Oviedo — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees Real Madrid's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Oviedo, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Real Madrid are overwhelming favorites to beat Oviedo at the Santiago Bernabéu, with bookmaker odds implying a 79% chance of a home win. The API-Football model also predicts a Real Madrid victory, reinforcing the high confidence.

Form Analysis: Real Madrid have won 2 of their last 5 (LWDWD), averaging 1.6 goals per game, while Oviedo have lost 3 of their last 5 (DLLDW) and failed to score in 2 of those matches. The gulf in class is evident: Real Madrid sit 2nd with 77 points, Oviedo are 20th with 29 points.

Key Factors: (1) Massive quality difference: Real Madrid have world-class attackers like Mbappé (24 goals) and Vinícius Jr. (15 goals), while Oviedo's top scorer has just 1 goal. (2) Head-to-head: Real Madrid have won the only recent meeting. (3) Home advantage: Real Madrid are strong at home, and Oviedo are in a relegation battle with poor away form.

Conclusion: All data points to a comfortable Real Madrid victory. Oviedo lack the firepower to trouble the hosts, and Real Madrid's superior quality should prevail.

Win Probabilities: Real Madrid: 72% · Draw: 20% · Oviedo: 8%

Predicted Score: 3-0 (18.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 70% · Under 2.5: 30% · BTTS: 25%

H2H: Real Madrid wins: 0 · Draws: 0 · Oviedo wins: 1

Form (latest first): Real Madrid: WWWLW · Oviedo: WDWLD

  • Kylian Mbappé vs Oviedo defense: Mbappé's pace and finishing will test Oviedo's backline, which has conceded 54 goals this season.
  • Vinícius Júnior vs Oviedo right-back: Vinícius's dribbling and creativity on the left flank could be decisive.
  • Real Madrid midfield vs Oviedo midfield: Real Madrid's midfield control will likely stifle Oviedo's attempts to build play.

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La Liga

La Liga

Spain15 · Upcoming Fixtures
La LigaSpain
Atletico Madrid
Sep 1617:00
Osasuna
11.5664%
X4.0025%
29.0911%
La LigaSpain
Deportivo La Coruna
Sep 1617:00
Sevilla
12.5639%
X3.4529%
23.1332%
La LigaSpain
Barcelona
Sep 1619:30
Racing Santander
11.1984%
X8.3312%
225.004%
La LigaSpain
Levante
Sep 1619:30
Athletic Club
12.4441%
X3.1332%
23.7027%
La LigaSpain
Real Betis
Sep 1717:00
Getafe
11.9252%
X3.2331%
25.8817%
La LigaSpain
Malaga
Sep 1719:30
Villarreal
14.5522%
X3.3330%
22.0848%
La LigaSpain
Espanyol
Sep 1819:00
Elche
12.1347%
X3.2331%
24.5522%
La LigaSpain
Osasuna
Sep 1912:00
Rayo Vallecano
12.1746%
X3.0333%
24.7621%
La LigaSpain
Athletic Club
Sep 1914:15
Alaves
12.5040%
X3.2331%
23.4529%
La LigaSpain
Celta Vigo
Sep 1916:30
Racing Santander
12.0050%
X3.3330%
25.0020%
La LigaSpain
Sevilla
Sep 1919:00
Barcelona
110.0010%
X4.5522%
21.4768%
La LigaSpain
Getafe
Sep 2012:00
Malaga
12.1347%
X3.0333%
25.0020%
La LigaSpain
Atletico Madrid
Sep 2014:15
Real Madrid
14.3523%
X3.5728%
22.0449%
La LigaSpain
Villarreal
Sep 2016:30
Levante
11.6162%
X4.1724%
27.1414%
La LigaSpain
Deportivo La Coruna
Sep 2016:30
Real Betis
13.0333%
X3.3330%
22.7037%

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