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  1. Home
  2. Allsvenskan
  3. IF Elfsborg vs Sirius

IF Elfsborg vs Sirius

Result • Allsvenskan·IF Elfsborg·Sirius

Allsvenskan
Allsvenskan
Jul 19, 2026
14:30
medium Confidence
IF Elfsborg

IF Elfsborg

Home
Final Score
1-3
Predicted: 1-2
Final Score
1-3
Predicted: 1-2
Odds
13.65
X3.70
21.90
Stadium
Borås Arena
medium Confidence
WINNER
Sirius

Sirius

Away
Odds
13.65
X3.70
21.90
Stadium
Borås Arena
Win Probabilities
23%
IF Elfsborg
30%
Draw
47%
Sirius
Home3.6523%
Draw3.7030%
Away1.9047%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

Sirius are predicted to win with 45% probability, backed by their outstanding form (4 wins in 5) and Elfsborg's injury crisis. The main risk is Elfsborg's home resilience, but the visitors' superior quality should prevail.

Our AI model analyzes this Allsvenskan fixture between IF Elfsborg and Sirius using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns IF Elfsborg a 23% win probability, a 30% chance of a draw, and Sirius a 47% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-2. Both teams to score probability: 50%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 50%
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1A. Sigurpálsson vs I. Bjerkebo: The home side's top scorer faces the league's in-form striker. Bjerkebo's movement and finishing could be decisive.
2Elfsborg midfield vs Sirius midfield: With Holmen suspended, Elfsborg's midfield will struggle to contain Sirius's creative players.
3Elfsborg defence vs R. Ure: Ure's physical presence and aerial ability could trouble a depleted home backline.
Strengths · Weaknesses

IF Elfsborg

  • Defensive resilience at home
  • Set-piece threat
  • Poor recent form
  • Injury-depleted squad

Sirius

  • Excellent form and momentum
  • High-scoring attack
  • Defensive lapses on occasion
  • Key player suspended (Soumah)

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
47%
API-Football
45%
46%
Sirius173846

Moderate agreement on away win (46%).

AI AnalysisMedium Confidence

Sirius are the clear favourites to win this Allsvenskan clash against a struggling IF Elfsborg side. The visitors sit top of the table with a commanding 14-point lead over their opponents, who languish in 6th place. Sirius boast an outstanding recent run of four wins in their last five matches, while Elfsborg have failed to win any of their last five, losing two in a row. The statistical comparison heavily favours Sirius in form (76% vs 24%) and attack (70% vs 30%), and the API-Football model also predicts an away win.

Form Analysis: Sirius are in scintillating form with a 5-match unbeaten streak (WDWWW), averaging 2.4 goals scored per game. In contrast, Elfsborg have lost their last two matches and have only one win in five, scoring a meagre 0.8 goals per game. The momentum is firmly with the away side.

Key Factors: 1) Sirius's superior attacking firepower, led by top scorer I. Bjerkebo (6 goals, 7.55 rating). 2) Elfsborg's injury crisis with 8 players out, including key midfielder S. Holmen suspended. 3) Sirius's strong head-to-head record, winning 4 of the last 10 meetings.

Conclusion: All data points to a comfortable away victory for Sirius. Elfsborg's poor form and extensive injury list make it difficult to see them getting a result against the league leaders.

Statistical ContextSirius

Double chance : draw or Sirius

Team Comparison

AI Powered
IF ElfsborgSirius
36%Strength63%
30%Attacking Potential70%
50%Defensive Potential50%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
40%H2H Strength60%
38%Goals H2H62%
36%Wins the Game63%

Statistical Context

IF Elfsborg

WDWWW
  • WAug 29, 26H · Degerfors IF2-0
  • DAug 23, 26A · IFK Goteborg1-1
  • WAug 14, 26H · Vasteras SK FK3-0
  • WAug 8, 26A · Mjallby AIF0-1
  • WJul 26, 26A · Malmo FF1-2

Sirius

LLDWW
  • LAug 21, 26H · BK Hacken0-3
  • LAug 15, 26A · Mjallby AIF4-3
  • DAug 10, 26H · IF Brommapojkarna2-2
  • WAug 3, 26A · Halmstad0-2
  • WJul 26, 26H · IFK Goteborg4-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
1Sirius18+2142LLDWW
2Hammarby FF18+2736WWWDW
3IF Elfsborg19+831WDWWW
4BK Hacken19+431LWWLD

Head to Head

6
IF Elfsborg
0
Draws
4
Sirius
  • Mar 8, 26IF Elfsborg – Sirius1-2
  • Oct 26, 25Sirius – IF Elfsborg4-0
  • Apr 23, 25IF Elfsborg – Sirius4-3
  • Oct 6, 24Sirius – IF Elfsborg4-1
  • Apr 29, 24IF Elfsborg – Sirius2-0

Season Statistics — 2026

IF ElfsborgSirius
Played1918
Goals Scored2747
Goals Conceded1926
Avg Scored1.42.6
Avg Conceded1.01.4
Clean Sheets65

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

IF ElfsborgSirius
Over 2.5 Goals—8/10
Both Teams Scored—6/10
Clean Sheets—4/10

IF Elfsborg vs Sirius — Match Analysis

Sirius are predicted to win with 45% probability, backed by their outstanding form (4 wins in 5) and Elfsborg's injury crisis. The main risk is Elfsborg's home resilience, but the visitors' superior quality should prevail.

Sirius are the clear favourites to win this Allsvenskan clash against a struggling IF Elfsborg side. The visitors sit top of the table with a commanding 14-point lead over their opponents, who languish in 6th place. Sirius boast an outstanding recent run of four wins in their last five matches, while Elfsborg have failed to win any of their last five, losing two in a row. The statistical comparison heavily favours Sirius in form (76% vs 24%) and attack (70% vs 30%), and the API-Football model also predicts an away win.

Form Analysis: Sirius are in scintillating form with a 5-match unbeaten streak (WDWWW), averaging 2.4 goals scored per game. In contrast, Elfsborg have lost their last two matches and have only one win in five, scoring a meagre 0.8 goals per game. The momentum is firmly with the away side.

Key Factors: 1) Sirius's superior attacking firepower, led by top scorer I. Bjerkebo (6 goals, 7.55 rating). 2) Elfsborg's injury crisis with 8 players out, including key midfielder S. Holmen suspended. 3) Sirius's strong head-to-head record, winning 4 of the last 10 meetings.

Conclusion: All data points to a comfortable away victory for Sirius. Elfsborg's poor form and extensive injury list make it difficult to see them getting a result against the league leaders.

Win Probabilities: IF Elfsborg: 23% · Draw: 30% · Sirius: 47%

Predicted Score: 1-2 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 55% · Under 2.5: 45% · BTTS: 50%

H2H: IF Elfsborg wins: 6 · Draws: 0 · Sirius wins: 4

Form (latest first): IF Elfsborg: WDWWW · Sirius: LLDWW

  • A. Sigurpálsson vs I. Bjerkebo: The home side's top scorer faces the league's in-form striker. Bjerkebo's movement and finishing could be decisive.
  • Elfsborg midfield vs Sirius midfield: With Holmen suspended, Elfsborg's midfield will struggle to contain Sirius's creative players.
  • Elfsborg defence vs R. Ure: Ure's physical presence and aerial ability could trouble a depleted home backline.

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Allsvenskan

Allsvenskan

Sweden15 · Upcoming Fixtures
AllsvenskanSweden
AIK Stockholm
Aug 3012:00
Hammarby FF
17.6913%
X4.3523%
21.5664%
AllsvenskanSweden
IFK Goteborg
Aug 3014:30
Orgryte IS
11.5664%
X4.3523%
27.6913%
AllsvenskanSweden
Djurgardens IF
Aug 3117:00
Mjallby AIF
11.6760%
X4.1724%
26.2516%
AllsvenskanSweden
Sirius
Aug 3117:00
Malmo FF
11.8953%
X3.5728%
25.2619%
AllsvenskanSweden
Gais
Aug 3117:00
IF Brommapojkarna
12.2744%
X3.4529%
23.7027%
AllsvenskanSweden
Mjallby AIF
Sep 317:00
Djurgardens IF
12.5040%
X3.8526%
22.9434%
AllsvenskanSweden
Gais
Sep 513:00
BK Hacken
12.3343%
X3.2331%
23.8526%
AllsvenskanSweden
Degerfors IF
Sep 513:00
Halmstad
12.0050%
X3.3330%
25.0020%
AllsvenskanSweden
Vasteras SK FK
Sep 515:30
Sirius
15.2619%
X3.3330%
21.9651%
AllsvenskanSweden
Orgryte IS
Sep 612:00
Hammarby FF
Early projection
16.6715%
X5.8817%
21.4768%
AllsvenskanSweden
IF Brommapojkarna
Sep 614:30
IF Elfsborg
Early projection
12.7836%
X3.7027%
22.7037%
AllsvenskanSweden
Kalmar FF
Sep 717:00
Djurgardens IF
Early projection
14.0025%
X4.5522%
21.8953%
AllsvenskanSweden
Malmo FF
Sep 717:00
AIK Stockholm
Early projection
12.4441%
X3.8526%
23.0333%
AllsvenskanSweden
Mjallby AIF
Sep 717:00
IFK Goteborg
Early projection
11.8953%
X4.7621%
23.8526%
AllsvenskanSweden
BK Hacken
Sep 1117:00
Mjallby AIF
Early projection
11.7956%
X4.7621%
24.3523%