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  1. Home
  2. Süper Lig
  3. Kayserispor vs Fenerbahçe

Kayserispor vs Fenerbahçe

Result • Süper Lig·Kayserispor·Fenerbahçe

Süper Lig
Süper Lig
Apr 11, 2026
17:00
high Confidence
Kayserispor

Kayserispor

Home
Final Score
0-4
Predicted: 0-2
Final Score
0-4
Predicted: 0-2
Odds
16.00
X4.50
21.48
Stadium
RHG Enerturk Enerji Stadyumu
high Confidence
WINNER
Fenerbahçe

Fenerbahçe

Away
Odds
16.00
X4.50
21.48
Stadium
RHG Enerturk Enerji Stadyumu
Win Probabilities
14%
Kayserispor
27%
Draw
59%
Fenerbahçe
Home6.0014%
Draw4.5027%
Away1.4859%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

The Oracle sees Fenerbahçe's superior quality overcoming the home advantage. Ancient wisdom reveals the visitors' class will prove decisive in this encounter.

Our AI model analyzes this Süper Lig fixture between Kayserispor and Fenerbahçe using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Kayserispor a 14% win probability, a 27% chance of a draw, and Fenerbahçe a 59% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 0-2. Both teams to score probability: 40%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 40%

Match Events

  1. 26'
    Yellow Card: J. OosterwoldeFenerbahçe
    Yellow Card: J. Oosterwolde
  2. Yellow Card: D. Makarov
    32'
    Yellow Card: D. MakarovKayserispor
  3. 33'
    Yellow Card: EdersonFenerbahçe
    Yellow Card: Ederson
  4. 35'
    Yellow Card: FredFenerbahçe
    Yellow Card: Fred
  5. 45+1'
    Goal: N. KanteFenerbahçe · Assist: Talisca
    Goal: N. KanteAssist: Talisca
  6. 46'
    Substitution: C. SoyuncuFenerbahçe · Out: M. Skriniar
    Substitution: C. SoyuncuOut: M. Skriniar
  7. Substitution: R. CivelekOut: D. Makarov
    46'
    Substitution: R. CivelekKayserispor · Out: D. Makarov
  8. Yellow Card: Y. Ait Bennasser
    46'
    Yellow Card: Y. Ait BennasserKayserispor
  9. 60'
    Goal: TaliscaFenerbahçe · Assist: A. Brown
    Goal: TaliscaAssist: A. Brown
  10. 62'
    Goal: D. NeneFenerbahçe
    Goal: D. Nene
  11. Substitution: L. BenesOut: D. Tokoz
    63'
    Substitution: L. BenesKayserispor · Out: D. Tokoz
  12. Substitution: C. ManeOut: J. Katongo
    63'
    Substitution: C. ManeKayserispor · Out: J. Katongo
  13. Substitution: G. SaglamOut: Y. Ait Bennasser
    63'
    Substitution: G. SaglamKayserispor · Out: Y. Ait Bennasser
  14. Yellow Card: G. Saglam
    67'
    Yellow Card: G. SaglamKayserispor
  15. 68'
    Substitution: M. MuldurFenerbahçe · Out: N. Semedo
    Substitution: M. MuldurOut: N. Semedo
  16. 68'
    Substitution: A. MusabaFenerbahçe · Out: S. Cherif
    Substitution: A. MusabaOut: S. Cherif
  17. 71'
    Substitution: O. AydinFenerbahçe · Out: D. Nene
    Substitution: O. AydinOut: D. Nene
  18. 75'
    Substitution: FredFenerbahçe · Out: N. Kante
    Substitution: FredOut: N. Kante
  19. Substitution: G. OnugkhaOut: F. Chalov
    82'
    Substitution: G. OnugkhaKayserispor · Out: F. Chalov
  20. 87'
    Goal: TaliscaFenerbahçe · Assist: K. Akturkoglu
    Goal: TaliscaAssist: K. Akturkoglu
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1G. Onugkha vs Fenerbahçe Defense: Onugkha, Kayserispor's top scorer, will be crucial in breaking through Fenerbahçe's defense, which has shown some vulnerabilities with a 50% rating.
2Y. En-Nesyri vs Kayserispor Defense: En-Nesyri, Fenerbahçe's leading scorer, will test Kayserispor's backline, which has conceded an average of 1.4 goals per game and may struggle against his attacking threat.
3Midfield Control: The battle in midfield between Kayserispor's 4-1-4-1 setup and Fenerbahçe's 4-2-3-1 will be key, with Fenerbahçe likely dominating possession and creating chances through their superior form.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Kayserispor

  • Decent home advantage with a 0.55 rating
  • Managed 2 clean sheets in the last 5 matches
  • Poor recent form with LWLLD and low goal-scoring average of 0.6
  • Weak attack with only 23% rating in API comparison

Fenerbahçe

  • Strong attack with 77% rating and high goal average of 2.4 per game
  • Excellent recent form with WWLWD and a 2-win streak
  • Defense rated only 50% in API comparison, indicating potential vulnerabilities
  • Two doubtful injuries to key players like M. Asensio and J. Duran

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
59%
API-Football
45%
52%
Fenerbahçe123652

Moderate agreement on away win (52%).

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Based on the structured data, Fenerbahçe is predicted to win this match. The market probabilities show a 63% chance for an away win, and the API-Football model also predicts Fenerbahçe as the winner with 45% probability, aligning with the odds. The data consistently favors Fenerbahçe, making this a high-confidence prediction.

Form Analysis: Kayserispor has a poor recent form of LWLLD, with an average of 0.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game, and they failed to score in 2 of their last 5 matches. In contrast, Fenerbahçe shows strong form with WWLWD, averaging 2.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game, and is on a 2-win streak. The API-Football team comparison further supports this, with Fenerbahçe having 71% form, 77% attack, and 73.8% overall strength compared to Kayserispor's lower percentages.

Key Factors: 1. Fenerbahçe's superior attack and form, as indicated by higher goal averages and API comparison stats. 2. Head-to-head dominance, with Fenerbahçe winning 8 of the last 10 meetings. 3. Standings context: Fenerbahçe is 2nd with 63 points and +34 GD, while Kayserispor is 16th with 23 points and -29 GD, highlighting a significant quality gap.

Conclusion: The data overwhelmingly supports Fenerbahçe as the likely winner, with adjustments made within the allowed deviation from market probabilities due to Fenerbahçe's strong form and H2H record.

Statistical ContextFenerbahçe

Winner : Fenerbahçe

Team Comparison

AI Powered
KayserisporFenerbahçe
26%Strength73%
23%Attacking Potential77%
50%Defensive Potential50%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
7%H2H Strength93%
33%Goals H2H67%
26%Wins the Game73%
Head-to-head →Injuries · KayserisporInjuries · Fenerbahçe

Statistical Context

Kayserispor

WWWLD
  • WSep 14, 26H · İstanbulspor4-0
  • WSep 7, 26A · Esenler Erokspor0-3
  • WMay 17, 26H · Konyaspor2-1
  • LMay 9, 26A · Alanyaspor3-1
  • DMay 3, 26H · Eyüpspor1-1

Fenerbahçe

DDLWW
  • DSep 14, 26A · Gaziantep FK0-0
  • DSep 10, 26H · AS Roma1-1
  • LSep 5, 26H · Beşiktaş1-2
  • WAug 30, 26A · Samsunspor0-2
  • WAug 26, 26A · Lyon1-2

Head to Head

8
Kayserispor
1
Draws
1
Fenerbahçe
  • Nov 9, 25Fenerbahçe – Kayserispor4-2
  • Apr 20, 25Fenerbahçe – Kayserispor3-3
  • Nov 23, 24Kayserispor – Fenerbahçe2-6
  • May 12, 24Fenerbahçe – Kayserispor3-0
  • Dec 20, 23Kayserispor – Fenerbahçe3-4

Season Statistics — 2026

KayserisporFenerbahçe
Played74
Goals Scored148
Goals Conceded36
Avg Scored2.02.0
Avg Conceded0.41.5
Clean Sheets51

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

KayserisporFenerbahçe
Over 2.5 Goals—5/10
Both Teams Scored—7/10
Clean Sheets—3/10

Kayserispor vs Fenerbahçe — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees Fenerbahçe's superior quality overcoming the home advantage. Ancient wisdom reveals the visitors' class will prove decisive in this encounter.

Based on the structured data, Fenerbahçe is predicted to win this match. The market probabilities show a 63% chance for an away win, and the API-Football model also predicts Fenerbahçe as the winner with 45% probability, aligning with the odds. The data consistently favors Fenerbahçe, making this a high-confidence prediction.

Form Analysis: Kayserispor has a poor recent form of LWLLD, with an average of 0.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game, and they failed to score in 2 of their last 5 matches. In contrast, Fenerbahçe shows strong form with WWLWD, averaging 2.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game, and is on a 2-win streak. The API-Football team comparison further supports this, with Fenerbahçe having 71% form, 77% attack, and 73.8% overall strength compared to Kayserispor's lower percentages.

Key Factors: 1. Fenerbahçe's superior attack and form, as indicated by higher goal averages and API comparison stats. 2. Head-to-head dominance, with Fenerbahçe winning 8 of the last 10 meetings. 3. Standings context: Fenerbahçe is 2nd with 63 points and +34 GD, while Kayserispor is 16th with 23 points and -29 GD, highlighting a significant quality gap.

Conclusion: The data overwhelmingly supports Fenerbahçe as the likely winner, with adjustments made within the allowed deviation from market probabilities due to Fenerbahçe's strong form and H2H record.

Win Probabilities: Kayserispor: 14% · Draw: 27% · Fenerbahçe: 59%

Predicted Score: 0-2 (18.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 55% · Under 2.5: 45% · BTTS: 40%

H2H: Kayserispor wins: 8 · Draws: 1 · Fenerbahçe wins: 1

Form (latest first): Kayserispor: WWWLD · Fenerbahçe: DDLWW

  • G. Onugkha vs Fenerbahçe Defense: Onugkha, Kayserispor's top scorer, will be crucial in breaking through Fenerbahçe's defense, which has shown some vulnerabilities with a 50% rating.
  • Y. En-Nesyri vs Kayserispor Defense: En-Nesyri, Fenerbahçe's leading scorer, will test Kayserispor's backline, which has conceded an average of 1.4 goals per game and may struggle against his attacking threat.
  • Midfield Control: The battle in midfield between Kayserispor's 4-1-4-1 setup and Fenerbahçe's 4-2-3-1 will be key, with Fenerbahçe likely dominating possession and creating chances through their superior form.

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Süper Lig

Süper Lig

Turkey15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Süper LigTurkey
Kasımpaşa
Sep 1817:00
Konyaspor
12.5040%
X3.3330%
23.3330%
Süper LigTurkey
Çorum FK
Sep 1914:00
Alanyaspor
12.5040%
X3.4529%
23.2331%
Süper LigTurkey
Kocaelispor
Sep 1914:00
Gaziantep FK
12.5040%
X3.4529%
23.2331%
Süper LigTurkey
Başakşehir
Sep 1917:00
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
11.6959%
X3.8526%
26.6715%
Süper LigTurkey
Trabzonspor
Sep 1917:00
Galatasaray
14.7621%
X3.5728%
21.9651%
Süper LigTurkey
Fenerbahçe
Sep 2014:00
Eyüpspor
11.2282%
X7.6913%
220.005%
Süper LigTurkey
Erzurumspor FK
Sep 2014:00
Samsunspor
13.5728%
X3.1332%
22.5040%
Süper LigTurkey
Göztepe
Sep 2017:00
Rizespor
12.5040%
X3.3330%
23.3330%
Süper LigTurkey
Amed
Sep 2017:00
Beşiktaş
13.2331%
X3.4529%
22.5040%
Süper LigTurkey
Beşiktaş
Oct 1112:00
Kocaelispor
Early projection
11.5963%
X5.5618%
25.2619%
Süper LigTurkey
Konyaspor
Oct 1112:00
Başakşehir
Early projection
13.1332%
X4.0025%
22.3343%
Süper LigTurkey
Galatasaray
Oct 1112:00
Kasımpaşa
Early projection
11.3276%
X7.1414%
210.0010%
Süper LigTurkey
Alanyaspor
Oct 1112:00
Erzurumspor FK
Early projection
11.9651%
X4.3523%
23.8526%
Süper LigTurkey
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Oct 1112:00
Amed
Early projection
13.4529%
X4.1724%
22.1347%
Süper LigTurkey
Rizespor
Oct 1112:00
Fenerbahçe
Early projection
14.1724%
X4.7621%
21.8255%

Betting Tips

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