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  1. Home
  2. Premier League
  3. UPDF vs Maroons

UPDF vs Maroons

Result • Premier League·UPDF·Maroons

Premier League
Premier League
Sep 17, 2026
14:00
low Confidence
WINNER
UPDF

UPDF

Home
Final Score
1-0
Predicted: 1-0
Final Score
1-0
Predicted: 1-0
Odds
12.15
X2.80
23.30
Stadium
Hamz Stadium
low Confidence
Maroons

Maroons

Away
Odds
12.15
X2.80
23.30
Stadium
Hamz Stadium
Win Probabilities
40%
UPDF
31%
Draw
29%
Maroons
Home2.1540%
Draw2.8031%
Away3.3029%

Oracle's Vision

low Confidence
“

UPDF are favoured at 41%; our projected score is 1-0.

Our AI model analyzes this Premier League fixture between UPDF and Maroons using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns UPDF a 40% win probability, a 31% chance of a draw, and Maroons a 29% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-0. Both teams to score probability: 45%. This prediction is rated as low confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 45%

Match Events

  1. Goal: H. Zzinda
    44'
    Goal: H. ZzindaUPDF
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Head-to-head →Injuries · UPDFInjuries · MaroonsLive scores →

Statistical Context

UPDF

LWDLD
  • LOct 18, 26H · BUL0-2
  • WOct 15, 26A · Express1-2
  • DSep 10, 26A · Police0-0
  • LSep 1, 26A · Entebbe UPPC2-1
  • DAug 29, 26H · Kataka0-0

Maroons

WDWLW
  • WOct 20, 26H · Kataka4-1
  • DOct 11, 26A · Vipers1-1
  • WOct 7, 26H · Lugazi3-0
  • LSep 8, 26H · Blacks Power1-2
  • WSep 2, 26A · Ntugasaze1-3

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
6Vipers6+1111DWDWW
7Maroons7+510WDWLL
8KCCA6010WWWDL
9Kitara4+28WWDD
10UPDF6-18LWWDL
11Lugazi7-58DDLLW

Head to Head

0
UPDF
1
Draws
1
Maroons
  • Mar 14, 26Maroons – UPDF0-0
  • Oct 15, 25UPDF – Maroons1-2

UPDF vs Maroons — Match Analysis

UPDF are favoured at 41%; our projected score is 1-0.

UPDF host Maroons in the Premier League on Thursday, 17 September 2026. Our model makes UPDF the favourite at 41%, with the draw at 30% and Maroons at 29%.

Form and league position

UPDF sit 12th of 18 with 2 points from 3 games (1 scored, 2 conceded), recent form D-L-D-L-D. Maroons sit 9th of 18 with 3 points from 3 games (5 scored, 5 conceded), recent form L-W-L-W-L.

Head-to-head record

The two sides have met 2 times in our records: UPDF won 0, Maroons won 1 and 1 ended level, with an average of 1.5 goals per meeting.

Goals outlook

Attack-versus-defence rates give an expected score of 1.1–1.0, about 2.2 goals in total. That puts Over 2.5 goals at 36% and both teams to score at 45%.

Team news

No injuries or suspensions are reported for either squad.

What the market says

Bookmakers price UPDF at 2.12, the draw at 3.05 and Maroons at 3.25; those prices are blended into the probabilities above.

Prediction

UPDF to win (41%), most likely score 1-0.

This preview is a model projection built from league standings, recent form, goal rates, reported absences and, where available, bookmaker prices. It is refreshed automatically as new data arrives.

Win Probabilities: UPDF: 40% · Draw: 31% · Maroons: 29%

Predicted Score: 1-0 (11.6% chance)

Over 2.5: 36% · Under 2.5: 64% · BTTS: 45%

H2H: UPDF wins: 0 · Draws: 1 · Maroons wins: 1

Form (latest first): UPDF: LWDLD · Maroons: WDWLW

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Premier League

Premier League

Uganda15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Premier LeagueUganda
SC Villa
Oct 2713:00
Blacks Power
11.8554%
X4.5522%
24.1724%
Premier LeagueUganda
Police
Oct 2713:00
Kigezi HomeBoyz
11.4370%
X6.2516%
27.1414%
Premier LeagueUganda
UPDF
Oct 2713:00
URA
12.0449%
X4.3523%
23.5728%
Premier LeagueUganda
NEC
Oct 2713:00
Ntugasaze
11.1984%
X8.3312%
225.004%
Premier LeagueUganda
Express
Oct 2716:00
Kataka
11.8255%
X4.7621%
24.1724%
Premier LeagueUganda
Mbarara City
Oct 2813:00
Vipers
13.0333%
X4.0025%
22.3842%
Premier LeagueUganda
Kitara
Oct 2813:00
BUL
16.2516%
X5.8817%
21.4967%
Premier LeagueUganda
Entebbe UPPC
Oct 2813:00
Maroons
11.5664%
X5.5618%
25.5618%
Premier LeagueUganda
KCCA
Oct 2817:00
Lugazi
12.8635%
X3.5728%
22.7037%
Premier LeagueUganda
Kataka
Oct 3013:00
Police
14.1724%
X4.7621%
21.8255%
Premier LeagueUganda
Blacks Power
Oct 3113:00
NEC
12.8635%
X3.5728%
22.7037%
Premier LeagueUganda
BUL
Oct 3113:00
Entebbe UPPC
11.4171%
X6.2516%
27.6913%
Premier LeagueUganda
Maroons
Oct 3113:00
Kigezi HomeBoyz
11.9252%
X4.5522%
23.8526%
Premier LeagueUganda
Mbarara City
Oct 3113:00
KCCA
12.3343%
X4.0025%
23.1332%
Premier LeagueUganda
Lugazi
Oct 3113:00
SC Villa
14.1724%
X4.7621%
21.8255%

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