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  1. Home
  2. Primera División
  3. Deportivo La Guaira vs Estudiantes de Merida FC

Deportivo La Guaira vs Estudiantes de Merida FC

Result • Primera División·Deportivo La Guaira·Estudiantes de Merida FC

Primera División
Primera División
Aug 30, 2026
23:30
high Confidence
Deportivo La Guaira

Deportivo La Guaira

Home
Final Score
1-2
Predicted: 2-0
Final Score
1-2
Predicted: 2-0
Odds
11.45
X3.75
26.75
Stadium
Estadio Olimpico de la UCV
high Confidence
WINNER
Estudiantes de Merida FC

Estudiantes de Merida FC

Away
Odds
11.45
X3.75
26.75
Stadium
Estadio Olimpico de la UCV
Win Probabilities
64%
Deportivo La Guaira
25%
Draw
11%
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Home1.4564%
Draw3.7525%
Away6.7511%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

Deportivo La Guaira are clear favourites, backed by their top-of-the-table form and a dominant head-to-head record. The main risk is their recent inability to keep clean sheets, which could allow the visitors a consolation goal.

Our AI model analyzes this Primera División fixture between Deportivo La Guaira and Estudiantes de Merida FC using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Deportivo La Guaira a 64% win probability, a 25% chance of a draw, and Estudiantes de Merida FC a 11% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-0. Both teams to score probability: 63%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 63%

Match Events

  1. 44'
    Goal: J. HernandezEstudiantes de Merida FC · Assist: A. Montero
    Goal: J. HernandezAssist: A. Montero
  2. Goal: G. Ortiz
    47'
    Goal: G. OrtizDeportivo La Guaira
  3. Yellow Card: M. Sulbaran
    49'
    Yellow Card: M. SulbaranDeportivo La Guaira
  4. Substitution: F. LondonoOut: A. Uribe
    55'
    Substitution: F. LondonoDeportivo La Guaira · Out: A. Uribe
  5. Substitution: J. HerreraOut: S. Zeballos
    55'
    Substitution: J. HerreraDeportivo La Guaira · Out: S. Zeballos
  6. Yellow Card: R. Ibarra
    64'
    Yellow Card: R. IbarraDeportivo La Guaira
  7. Substitution: J. MezaOut: M. Sulbaran
    64'
    Substitution: J. MezaDeportivo La Guaira · Out: M. Sulbaran
  8. Substitution: J. CorreaOut: M. Gonzalez
    64'
    Substitution: J. CorreaDeportivo La Guaira · Out: M. Gonzalez
  9. 73'
    Yellow Card: J. LoboEstudiantes de Merida FC
    Yellow Card: J. Lobo
  10. 73'
    Substitution: R. ChaconEstudiantes de Merida FC · Out: A. Montero
    Substitution: R. ChaconOut: A. Montero
  11. Substitution: J. PerdomoOut: R. Ibarra
    79'
    Substitution: J. PerdomoDeportivo La Guaira · Out: R. Ibarra
  12. 82'
    Substitution: C. CaicedoEstudiantes de Merida FC · Out: J. Hernandez
    Substitution: C. CaicedoOut: J. Hernandez
  13. 82'
    Substitution: E. AlbarranEstudiantes de Merida FC · Out: D. Matheus
    Substitution: E. AlbarranOut: D. Matheus
  14. 82'
    Substitution: J. MorenoEstudiantes de Merida FC · Out: J. Lobo
    Substitution: J. MorenoOut: J. Lobo
  15. 83'
    Penalty: R. Chacon (Penalty)Estudiantes de Merida FC
    Penalty: R. Chacon (Penalty)
  16. 85'
    Substitution: J. GutierezEstudiantes de Merida FC · Out: R. Ivey
    Substitution: J. GutierezOut: R. Ivey
  17. 89'
    Yellow Card: J. MorenoEstudiantes de Merida FC
    Yellow Card: J. Moreno
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1J. Sanchez vs E. Roberts: The home goalkeeper's shot-stopping will be tested against the visitors' attacking efforts, while Roberts will need to be alert to deny La Guaira's forwards.
2N. Hernández vs H. Acosta: The home defender's ability to contain Acosta's runs could be crucial in preventing away goals.
3R. Ibarra vs L. Caicedo: The midfield duel between Ibarra's creativity and Caicedo's defensive work rate will influence the flow of the game.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Deportivo La Guaira

  • Top of the league with a +9 goal difference
  • Three-match winning streak and high scoring average (3.0 goals per game)
  • No clean sheets in the last five matches
  • Conceded an average of 1.2 goals per game recently

Estudiantes de Merida FC

  • Two clean sheets in the last five matches
  • Decent defensive record in recent games
  • Inconsistent form with only one win in five
  • Negative goal difference overall (-1)

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
64%
API-Football
45%
55%
Deportivo La Guaira543511

Models disagree significantly. Suggests home win (55%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Deportivo La Guaira enter this clash as clear favourites, backed by a superior league position, a strong recent run, and a dominant head-to-head record against Estudiantes de Merida FC. The home side sit top of the table with 12 points and a +9 goal difference, while the visitors are sixth with 8 points and a negative goal difference.

Form Analysis: Deportivo La Guaira have won three consecutive matches and five of their last six, scoring an average of 3.0 goals per game while conceding 1.2. Their attacking output is formidable, though they have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last five outings. Estudiantes de Merida FC have been inconsistent, with only one win in their last five, and they have conceded 32 goals overall compared to 28 scored. Their defensive record is slightly better in recent matches (two clean sheets), but they lack the momentum of their hosts.

Key Factors: The head-to-head record heavily favours Deportivo La Guaira, who have won six of the last ten meetings. Home advantage also plays a role, as they have lost only two of eleven home games this season. The visitors' away form is not specified, but their overall inconsistency and lower league standing suggest they will struggle against the league leaders.

Conclusion: All data points to a comfortable home victory. Deportivo La Guaira's superior form, attacking strength, and historical dominance make them the clear favourites. Estudiantes de Merida FC will need a significant improvement to avoid defeat.

Statistical ContextDeportivo La Guaira

Winner : Deportivo La Guaira

Team Comparison

AI Powered
Deportivo La GuairaEstudiantes de Merida FC
65%Strength34%
75%Attacking Potential25%
50%Defensive Potential50%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
100%H2H Strength50%
75%Goals H2H25%
65%Wins the Game34%
Head-to-head →Injuries · Deportivo La GuairaInjuries · Estudiantes de Merida FCLive scores →

Statistical Context

Deportivo La Guaira

LLLWD
  • LSep 20, 26H · Deportivo Tachira FC2-4
  • LSep 15, 26A · Carabobo FC1-0
  • LSep 12, 26H · UCV0-2
  • WSep 6, 26H · Anzoátegui FC2-0
  • DSep 3, 26A · Puerto Cabello1-1

Estudiantes de Merida FC

DLWLD
  • DSep 20, 26H · Trujillanos FC1-1
  • LSep 16, 26A · Portuguesa FC2-1
  • WSep 12, 26H · Deportivo Tachira FC2-0
  • LSep 7, 26A · Carabobo FC1-0
  • DSep 3, 26H · UCV1-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
5Portuguesa FC11+217LWDDD
6Deportivo La Guaira11+516LLLWD
7UCV11+115DWWDD
8Estudiantes de Merida FC10015LWLDW
9Monagas SC11-114DWWLW

Head to Head

6
Deportivo La Guaira
2
Draws
2
Estudiantes de Merida FC
  • Mar 6, 26Estudiantes de Merida FC – Deportivo La Guaira0-1
  • Aug 24, 25Estudiantes de Merida FC – Deportivo La Guaira1-2
  • Mar 16, 25Deportivo La Guaira – Estudiantes de Merida FC2-1
  • Nov 14, 24Deportivo La Guaira – Estudiantes de Merida FC3-1
  • Oct 30, 24Estudiantes de Merida FC – Deportivo La Guaira0-1

Season Statistics — 2026

Deportivo La GuairaEstudiantes de Merida FC
Played2929
Goals Scored3934
Goals Conceded2337
Avg Scored1.31.2
Avg Conceded0.81.3
Clean Sheets125

Predicted line-ups: Deportivo La Guaira vs Estudiantes de Merida FC

Predicted XI

Deportivo La Guaira

4-3-3Formation· Coach: J. Tolisano

Estudiantes de Merida FC

4-3-3Formation· Coach: F. Moreno

  1. 12E. Roberts
  1. 25H. Acosta
  2. 44L. Caicedo
  3. 2J. Gutierez
  4. 13M. Maldonado
  1. 7E. Albarran
  2. 23Y. Lacruz
  3. 16J. Lobo
  1. 77C. Caicedo
  2. 9J. Hernández
  3. 14R. Ivey
  1. 11J. Gonzalez
  2. 36F. Londoño
  3. 9A. Uribe
  1. 10J. Castellanos
  2. 27J. Correa
  3. 14C. Da Silva
  1. 33N. Hernández
  2. 13R. Ibarra
  3. 39M. Orihuela
  4. 24G. Ortiz
  1. 12J. Sanchez

Bench

  • 1C. Varela
  • 2C. Rojas
  • 6C. Faya
  • 15M. González
  • 16L. Martinez
  • 8J. Perdomo
  • 22M. Sulbarán

Bench

  • 1T. Rojas
  • 31G. Montes
  • 4C. Rodríguez
  • 30F. Molina
  • 11A. Montero
  • 20J. A. Montilla Maldonado
  • 10A. Pena

Predicted line-ups based on recent matches and absences; official line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.

Deportivo La Guaira vs Estudiantes de Merida FC — Match Analysis

Deportivo La Guaira are clear favourites, backed by their top-of-the-table form and a dominant head-to-head record. The main risk is their recent inability to keep clean sheets, which could allow the visitors a consolation goal.

Deportivo La Guaira enter this clash as clear favourites, backed by a superior league position, a strong recent run, and a dominant head-to-head record against Estudiantes de Merida FC. The home side sit top of the table with 12 points and a +9 goal difference, while the visitors are sixth with 8 points and a negative goal difference.

Form Analysis: Deportivo La Guaira have won three consecutive matches and five of their last six, scoring an average of 3.0 goals per game while conceding 1.2. Their attacking output is formidable, though they have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last five outings. Estudiantes de Merida FC have been inconsistent, with only one win in their last five, and they have conceded 32 goals overall compared to 28 scored. Their defensive record is slightly better in recent matches (two clean sheets), but they lack the momentum of their hosts.

Key Factors: The head-to-head record heavily favours Deportivo La Guaira, who have won six of the last ten meetings. Home advantage also plays a role, as they have lost only two of eleven home games this season. The visitors' away form is not specified, but their overall inconsistency and lower league standing suggest they will struggle against the league leaders.

Conclusion: All data points to a comfortable home victory. Deportivo La Guaira's superior form, attacking strength, and historical dominance make them the clear favourites. Estudiantes de Merida FC will need a significant improvement to avoid defeat.

Win Probabilities: Deportivo La Guaira: 64% · Draw: 25% · Estudiantes de Merida FC: 11%

Predicted Score: 2-0 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 62% · Under 2.5: 38% · BTTS: 63%

H2H: Deportivo La Guaira wins: 6 · Draws: 2 · Estudiantes de Merida FC wins: 2

Form (latest first): Deportivo La Guaira: LLLWD · Estudiantes de Merida FC: DLWLD

  • J. Sanchez vs E. Roberts: The home goalkeeper's shot-stopping will be tested against the visitors' attacking efforts, while Roberts will need to be alert to deny La Guaira's forwards.
  • N. Hernández vs H. Acosta: The home defender's ability to contain Acosta's runs could be crucial in preventing away goals.
  • R. Ibarra vs L. Caicedo: The midfield duel between Ibarra's creativity and Caicedo's defensive work rate will influence the flow of the game.

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Primera División

Primera División

Venezuela14 · Upcoming Fixtures
Primera DivisiónVenezuela
Deportivo Tachira FC
Oct 1020:00
UCV
Early projection
11.3077%
X7.1414%
211.119%
Primera DivisiónVenezuela
Caracas FC
Oct 1020:00
Zamora FC
Early projection
11.8255%
X4.7621%
24.1724%
Primera DivisiónVenezuela
Monagas SC
Oct 1020:00
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Early projection
13.0333%
X3.7027%
22.5040%
Primera DivisiónVenezuela
Portuguesa FC
Oct 1020:00
Deportivo La Guaira
Early projection
13.2331%
X4.0025%
22.2744%
Primera DivisiónVenezuela
Trujillanos FC
Oct 1020:00
Puerto Cabello
Early projection
14.5522%
X5.0020%
21.7258%
Primera DivisiónVenezuela
Metropolitanos FC
Oct 1020:00
Rayo Zuliano
Early projection
11.2381%
X8.3312%
214.297%
Primera DivisiónVenezuela
Anzoátegui FC
Oct 1020:00
Carabobo FC
Early projection
14.1724%
X4.7621%
21.8255%
Primera DivisiónVenezuela
Zamora FC
Oct 1720:00
Anzoátegui FC
Early projection
11.7956%
X5.0020%
24.1724%
Primera DivisiónVenezuela
Carabobo FC
Oct 1720:00
Deportivo Tachira FC
Early projection
12.7037%
X3.5728%
22.8635%
Primera DivisiónVenezuela
Deportivo La Guaira
Oct 1720:00
Trujillanos FC
Early projection
11.5963%
X5.5618%
25.2619%
Primera DivisiónVenezuela
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Oct 1720:00
Metropolitanos FC
Early projection
14.5522%
X5.0020%
21.7258%
Primera DivisiónVenezuela
Puerto Cabello
Oct 1720:00
Monagas SC
Early projection
12.0449%
X4.3523%
23.5728%
Primera DivisiónVenezuela
UCV
Oct 1720:00
Portuguesa FC
Early projection
12.5040%
X3.7027%
23.0333%
Primera DivisiónVenezuela
Rayo Zuliano
Oct 1720:00
Caracas FC
Early projection
12.2744%
X4.0025%
23.2331%

Betting Tips

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