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  1. Home
  2. AFC Champions League Elite
  3. Esteghlal FC vs Al Sadd

Esteghlal FC vs Al Sadd

Result • AFC Champions League Elite·Esteghlal FC·Al Sadd

AFC Champions League Elite
AFC Champions League Elite
Sep 14, 2026
18:15
medium Confidence
WINNER
Esteghlal FC

Esteghlal FC

Home
Final Score
3-0
Predicted: 1-2
Final Score
3-0
Predicted: 1-2
Odds
13.60
X3.50
21.90
Stadium
Basra Sports City
medium Confidence
Al Sadd

Al Sadd

Away
Odds
13.60
X3.50
21.90
Stadium
Basra Sports City
Win Probabilities
23%
Esteghlal FC
30%
Draw
47%
Al Sadd
Home3.6023%
Draw3.5030%
Away1.9047%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

Al Sadd are clear favourites, driven by a five-match winning streak and a prolific attack that has averaged over four goals per game, while Esteghlal have struggled to score. The main risk is Esteghlal's resilient defence, which has kept four clean sheets in five, potentially frustrating Al Sadd and causing an upset.

Our AI model analyzes this AFC Champions League Elite fixture between Esteghlal FC and Al Sadd using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Esteghlal FC a 23% win probability, a 30% chance of a draw, and Al Sadd a 47% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-2. Both teams to score probability: 68%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 68%

Match Events

  1. Goal: J. Asani
    9'
    Goal: J. AsaniEsteghlal FC
  2. Yellow Card: H. Goudarzi
    33'
    Yellow Card: H. GoudarziEsteghlal FC
  3. Yellow Card: A. Koushki
    38'
    Yellow Card: A. KoushkiEsteghlal FC
  4. Goal: S. SaharkhizanAssist: J. Asani
    47'
    Goal: S. SaharkhizanEsteghlal FC · Assist: J. Asani
  5. Substitution: E. GholizadehOut: A. Koushki
    54'
    Substitution: E. GholizadehEsteghlal FC · Out: A. Koushki
  6. 57'
    VAR: VAR · Goal Disallowed - handballAl Sadd · Roberto Firmino
    VAR: VAR · Goal Disallowed - handballRoberto Firmino
  7. 61'
    Yellow Card: Paulo OtavioAl Sadd
    Yellow Card: Paulo Otavio
  8. 66'
    Substitution: M. ManaiAl Sadd · Out: H. Ali
    Substitution: M. ManaiOut: H. Ali
  9. Substitution: M. EslamiOut: S. Saharkhizan
    68'
    Substitution: M. EslamiEsteghlal FC · Out: S. Saharkhizan
  10. Yellow Card: S. Hardani
    69'
    Yellow Card: S. HardaniEsteghlal FC
  11. 78'
    Substitution: A. SoriaAl Sadd · Out: Guilherme
    Substitution: A. SoriaOut: Guilherme
  12. 78'
    Substitution: H. Al HaydosAl Sadd · Out: Y. Abdurisag
    Substitution: H. Al HaydosOut: Y. Abdurisag
  13. 79'
    Yellow Card: ClaudinhoAl Sadd
    Yellow Card: Claudinho
  14. Substitution: J. MasharipovOut: A. Razzaghinia
    81'
    Substitution: J. MasharipovEsteghlal FC · Out: A. Razzaghinia
  15. 90+2'
    Substitution: Y. El HannachAl Sadd · Out: Pedro Miguel
    Substitution: Y. El HannachOut: Pedro Miguel
  16. Goal: E. GholizadehAssist: M. Eslami
    90+5'
    Goal: E. GholizadehEsteghlal FC · Assist: M. Eslami
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1Akram Afif vs R. Cheshmi: Afif's dribbling and playmaking ability will test Cheshmi's defensive discipline, and winning this duel could unlock Esteghlal's defence.
2Hassan Al Haydos vs H. Goudarzi: Al Haydos' experience and vision in midfield will be crucial against Goudarzi's energy and tackling, determining who controls the middle of the park.
3A. Soria vs R. Ashurmatov: Soria's goal-scoring threat and physical presence will challenge Ashurmatov's marking and aerial ability, a key battle in both boxes.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Esteghlal FC

  • Excellent defensive record with four clean sheets in last five matches
  • Unbeaten in last five games, showing resilience
  • Struggling attack, averaging only 0.8 goals per game
  • Failed to score in two of last five matches

Al Sadd

  • Prolific attack averaging 4.2 goals per game
  • Five-match winning streak, high confidence
  • Defensive vulnerabilities, conceding 1.6 goals per game
  • No clean sheets in last five matches

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
47%
API-Football
50%
49%
Al Sadd124049

Models disagree significantly. Suggests away win (49%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisMedium Confidence

Al Sadd enter this AFC Champions League Elite clash as clear favourites, backed by a formidable five-match winning streak and a prolific attack that has averaged over four goals per game. Esteghlal FC, despite a five-match unbeaten run of their own, have struggled for goals and will rely on a resilient defence that has kept four clean sheets in their last five outings.

Form Analysis: Al Sadd's momentum is undeniable, with five consecutive victories and an average of 4.2 goals scored per match. However, they have conceded 1.6 goals per game and have not kept a clean sheet in that stretch. Esteghlal, meanwhile, have been solid defensively but have failed to score in two of their last five, highlighting an attacking impotence that could prove costly against a high-scoring opponent.

Key Factors: The head-to-head record favours Al Sadd, who have won two of the last five meetings, with two draws and no wins for Esteghlal. The home advantage for Esteghlal is rated at 0.55, which is moderate but not decisive. Al Sadd's superior attacking output and current winning habit give them a significant edge. Additionally, Esteghlal's lack of goalscoring threat makes it difficult to see them overcoming a team in such rampant form.

Conclusion: The data points to an away victory for Al Sadd. Their attacking prowess and winning momentum should overpower an Esteghlal side that, while defensively organised, lacks the firepower to match their opponents. The most likely outcome is a win for Al Sadd, with a scoreline reflecting their offensive capabilities.

Statistical ContextAl Sadd

Double chance : draw or Al Sadd

Team Comparison

AI Powered
Esteghlal FCAl Sadd
25%Strength75%
50%Attacking Potential50%
50%Defensive Potential50%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
20%H2H Strength80%
30%Goals H2H70%
25%Wins the Game75%
Head-to-head →Injuries · Esteghlal FCInjuries · Al SaddLive scores →

Statistical Context

Al Sadd

WWDDL
  • WSep 10, 26A · Al-Sailiya3-6
  • WSep 5, 26H · Al-Gharafa4-1
  • DApr 16, 26H · Vissel Kobe3-3
  • DApr 13, 26A · Al-Hilal Saudi FC3-3
  • LFeb 17, 26H · Al-Ittihad FC1-4

Head to Head

0
Esteghlal FC
2
Draws
2
Al Sadd
  • Sep 30, 24Al Sadd – Esteghlal FC2-0
  • Sep 17, 18Al Sadd – Esteghlal FC2-2
  • Aug 27, 18Esteghlal FC – Al Sadd1-3
  • Feb 7, 17Esteghlal FC – Al Sadd0-0

Predicted line-ups: Esteghlal FC vs Al Sadd

Predicted XI

Esteghlal FC

4-3-3Formation· Coach: M. Božović

Al Sadd

4-2-3-1Formation· Coach: Felix Sanchez

  1. 31Yousef Abdulla Baliadeh
  1. 3Y. El Hannach
  2. 16Boualem Khoukhi
  3. 6Paulo Otávio
  4. 2Pedro Miguel
  1. 8Guilherme
  2. 14Mostafa Meshaal
  1. 80A. Soria
  2. 7Mohammed Waad
  3. 30Akram Afif
  1. 10Hassan Al Haydos
  1. 7J. Asani
  2. 9M. Azadi
  3. 80Mohammadhossein Eslami
  1. 4R. Cheshmi
  2. 87E. Saitmuratov
  3. 26Ghayedi Heydari Mehdi
  1. 33A. Aghasi
  2. 5R. Ashurmatov
  3. 6S. Fallah
  4. 27H. Goudarzi
  1. 76H. Farabbasi

Bench

  • 60S. Hosseinifard
  • 22S. Touranian
  • 18A. Zoleikhaei
  • 36A. Mohebali
  • 8A. Razzaghinia
  • 15A. Zamani
  • 20A. Koushki

Bench

  • 1Saad Al Sheeb
  • 22Meshaal Barsham
  • 26A. Romagnoli
  • 5Tarek Salman
  • 23Hashim Ali
  • 33Claudinho
  • 9Roberto Firmino

Predicted line-ups based on recent matches and absences; official line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.

Esteghlal FC vs Al Sadd — Match Analysis

Al Sadd are clear favourites, driven by a five-match winning streak and a prolific attack that has averaged over four goals per game, while Esteghlal have struggled to score. The main risk is Esteghlal's resilient defence, which has kept four clean sheets in five, potentially frustrating Al Sadd and causing an upset.

Al Sadd enter this AFC Champions League Elite clash as clear favourites, backed by a formidable five-match winning streak and a prolific attack that has averaged over four goals per game. Esteghlal FC, despite a five-match unbeaten run of their own, have struggled for goals and will rely on a resilient defence that has kept four clean sheets in their last five outings.

Form Analysis: Al Sadd's momentum is undeniable, with five consecutive victories and an average of 4.2 goals scored per match. However, they have conceded 1.6 goals per game and have not kept a clean sheet in that stretch. Esteghlal, meanwhile, have been solid defensively but have failed to score in two of their last five, highlighting an attacking impotence that could prove costly against a high-scoring opponent.

Key Factors: The head-to-head record favours Al Sadd, who have won two of the last five meetings, with two draws and no wins for Esteghlal. The home advantage for Esteghlal is rated at 0.55, which is moderate but not decisive. Al Sadd's superior attacking output and current winning habit give them a significant edge. Additionally, Esteghlal's lack of goalscoring threat makes it difficult to see them overcoming a team in such rampant form.

Conclusion: The data points to an away victory for Al Sadd. Their attacking prowess and winning momentum should overpower an Esteghlal side that, while defensively organised, lacks the firepower to match their opponents. The most likely outcome is a win for Al Sadd, with a scoreline reflecting their offensive capabilities.

Win Probabilities: Esteghlal FC: 23% · Draw: 30% · Al Sadd: 47%

Predicted Score: 1-2 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 66% · Under 2.5: 34% · BTTS: 68%

H2H: Esteghlal FC wins: 0 · Draws: 2 · Al Sadd wins: 2

Form (latest first): Esteghlal FC: WDDDW · Al Sadd: WWDDL

  • Akram Afif vs R. Cheshmi: Afif's dribbling and playmaking ability will test Cheshmi's defensive discipline, and winning this duel could unlock Esteghlal's defence.
  • Hassan Al Haydos vs H. Goudarzi: Al Haydos' experience and vision in midfield will be crucial against Goudarzi's energy and tackling, determining who controls the middle of the park.
  • A. Soria vs R. Ashurmatov: Soria's goal-scoring threat and physical presence will challenge Ashurmatov's marking and aerial ability, a key battle in both boxes.

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Betting Tips

Correct Score Predictions TodayBetting TipsBTTS TipsOver/Under 2.5Free Predictions