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  1. Home
  2. Copa Libertadores
  3. UCV vs Independiente del Valle

UCV vs Independiente del Valle

Result • Copa Libertadores·UCV·Independiente del Valle

Copa Libertadores
Copa Libertadores
May 6, 2026
00:00
high Confidence
WINNER
UCV

UCV

Home
Final Score
2-0
Predicted: 0-2
Final Score
2-0
Predicted: 0-2
Odds
15.25
X3.90
21.65
Stadium
Estadio Olimpico de la UCV
high Confidence
Independiente del Valle

Independiente del Valle

Away
Odds
15.25
X3.90
21.65
Stadium
Estadio Olimpico de la UCV
Win Probabilities
17%
UCV
29%
Draw
54%
Independiente del Valle
Home5.2517%
Draw3.9029%
Away1.6554%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

The Oracle sees Independiente del Valle's superior quality overcoming the home advantage. Ancient wisdom reveals the visitors' class will prove decisive in this encounter.

Our AI model analyzes this Copa Libertadores fixture between UCV and Independiente del Valle using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns UCV a 17% win probability, a 29% chance of a draw, and Independiente del Valle a 54% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 0-2. Both teams to score probability: 50%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 50%

Match Events

  1. Substitution: V. RodriguezOut: A. Granko
    46'
    Substitution: V. RodriguezUCV · Out: A. Granko
  2. Yellow Card: J. Bolivar
    50'
    Yellow Card: J. BolivarUCV
  3. Goal: J. Zapata
    54'
    Goal: J. ZapataUCV
  4. 65'
    Substitution: E. PataIndependiente del Valle · Out: M. Perello
    Substitution: E. PataOut: M. Perello
  5. Goal: J. CuestaAssist: A. Gonzalez
    67'
    Goal: J. CuestaUCV · Assist: A. Gonzalez
  6. 70'
    Substitution: J. LermaIndependiente del Valle · Out: R. Briones
    Substitution: J. LermaOut: R. Briones
  7. 73'
    Yellow Card: L. LoorIndependiente del Valle
    Yellow Card: L. Loor
  8. Substitution: Y. MurilloOut: J. Bolivar
    80'
    Substitution: Y. MurilloUCV · Out: J. Bolivar
  9. Substitution: S. SosaOut: J. Cuesta
    80'
    Substitution: S. SosaUCV · Out: J. Cuesta
  10. 80'
    Substitution: J. AnguloIndependiente del Valle · Out: J. Viacava
    Substitution: J. AnguloOut: J. Viacava
  11. 80'
    Substitution: D. ReascoIndependiente del Valle · Out: A. Rodriguez
    Substitution: D. ReascoOut: A. Rodriguez
  12. Substitution: R. RamirezOut: J. Zapata
    87'
    Substitution: R. RamirezUCV · Out: J. Zapata
  13. Substitution: Y. CumanaOut: D. Carrillo
    87'
    Substitution: Y. CumanaUCV · Out: D. Carrillo
  14. 87'
    Yellow Card: J. AnguloIndependiente del Valle
    Yellow Card: J. Angulo
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1UCV's central defenders vs Independiente del Valle's forwards: The away team's attacking prowess will test UCV's backline, which has been leaky recently.
2Midfield control: UCV's double pivot in 4-2-3-1 must contain Independiente del Valle's midfield runners to prevent supply to attackers.
3Set pieces: UCV may rely on set pieces as a primary scoring threat, while Independiente del Valle's aerial defense will be crucial.
Strengths · Weaknesses

UCV

  • Home advantage at Estadio Olimpico de la UCV
  • 4-2-3-1 formation provides defensive stability
  • Poor recent form with 2 losses in last 5
  • Low goalscoring output (0.6 avg per game)

Independiente del Valle

  • Excellent form with 4 consecutive wins
  • Strong attack averaging 1.8 goals per game
  • Limited head-to-head experience against UCV
  • Potential complacency due to heavy favorite status

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
54%
API-Football
50%
52%
Independiente del Valle94051

Models disagree significantly. Suggests away win (52%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Independiente del Valle is the clear favorite to win, with bookmaker odds implying a 58% chance and the API-Football model also predicting an away victory.

Form Analysis: UCV has poor recent form (LDLWL) with only 4 goals scored and 7 conceded in their last 5 matches, while Independiente del Valle is on a 4-match winning streak, scoring 6 goals and conceding 3. The away team's momentum is significantly stronger.

Key Factors: (1) Independiente del Valle's 4-game winning streak indicates excellent form and confidence. (2) UCV has failed to score in 2 of their last 5 games and has no clean sheets in that period. (3) Head-to-head history favors Independiente del Valle with a 100% win rate in the only meeting.

Conclusion: Based on superior form, attacking strength, and defensive solidity, Independiente del Valle is expected to win comfortably. UCV's struggles in front of goal and defensive vulnerabilities make an upset unlikely.

Statistical ContextIndependiente del Valle

Double chance : draw or Independiente del Valle

Team Comparison

AI Powered
UCVIndependiente del Valle
30%Strength69%
40%Attacking Potential60%
30%Defensive Potential70%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
50%H2H Strength100%
25%Goals H2H75%
30%Wins the Game69%
Head-to-head →Injuries · UCVInjuries · Independiente del ValleLive scores →

Statistical Context

UCV

DWWDD
  • DSep 19, 26H · Carabobo FC1-1
  • WSep 15, 26H · Anzoátegui FC1-0
  • WSep 12, 26A · Deportivo La Guaira0-2
  • DSep 7, 26H · Puerto Cabello0-0
  • DSep 3, 26A · Estudiantes de Merida FC1-1

Independiente del Valle

DWLWW
  • DSep 18, 26A · Flamengo1-1
  • WSep 13, 26A · Libertad2-3
  • LSep 11, 26H · Flamengo0-2
  • WSep 5, 26H · Macara3-1
  • WAug 26, 26H · Deportes Tolima3-1

Head to Head

0
UCV
0
Draws
1
Independiente del Valle
  • Apr 16, 26Independiente del Valle – UCV3-1

Season Statistics — 2026

UCVIndependiente del Valle
Played309
Goals Scored4415
Goals Conceded399
Avg Scored1.51.7
Avg Conceded1.31.0
Clean Sheets63

UCV vs Independiente del Valle — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees Independiente del Valle's superior quality overcoming the home advantage. Ancient wisdom reveals the visitors' class will prove decisive in this encounter.

Independiente del Valle is the clear favorite to win, with bookmaker odds implying a 58% chance and the API-Football model also predicting an away victory.

Form Analysis: UCV has poor recent form (LDLWL) with only 4 goals scored and 7 conceded in their last 5 matches, while Independiente del Valle is on a 4-match winning streak, scoring 6 goals and conceding 3. The away team's momentum is significantly stronger.

Key Factors: (1) Independiente del Valle's 4-game winning streak indicates excellent form and confidence. (2) UCV has failed to score in 2 of their last 5 games and has no clean sheets in that period. (3) Head-to-head history favors Independiente del Valle with a 100% win rate in the only meeting.

Conclusion: Based on superior form, attacking strength, and defensive solidity, Independiente del Valle is expected to win comfortably. UCV's struggles in front of goal and defensive vulnerabilities make an upset unlikely.

Win Probabilities: UCV: 17% · Draw: 29% · Independiente del Valle: 54%

Predicted Score: 0-2 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 55% · Under 2.5: 45% · BTTS: 50%

H2H: UCV wins: 0 · Draws: 0 · Independiente del Valle wins: 1

Form (latest first): UCV: DWWDD · Independiente del Valle: DWLWW

  • UCV's central defenders vs Independiente del Valle's forwards: The away team's attacking prowess will test UCV's backline, which has been leaky recently.
  • Midfield control: UCV's double pivot in 4-2-3-1 must contain Independiente del Valle's midfield runners to prevent supply to attackers.
  • Set pieces: UCV may rely on set pieces as a primary scoring threat, while Independiente del Valle's aerial defense will be crucial.

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Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores

World4 · Upcoming Fixtures
Copa LibertadoresWorld
Fluminense
Oct 1320:00
Palmeiras
Early projection
13.1332%
X3.8526%
22.3842%
Copa LibertadoresWorld
Estudiantes L.P.
Oct 1320:00
Flamengo
Early projection
15.2619%
X5.2619%
21.6162%
Copa LibertadoresWorld
Palmeiras
Oct 2020:00
Fluminense
Early projection
11.6959%
X5.0020%
24.7621%
Copa LibertadoresWorld
Flamengo
Oct 2020:00
Estudiantes L.P.
Early projection
11.3375%
X6.6715%
210.0010%

Betting Tips

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