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  1. Home
  2. UEFA Champions League
  3. Paris Saint Germain vs Arsenal

Paris Saint Germain vs Arsenal

Result • UEFA Champions League·Paris Saint Germain·Arsenal

UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League
May 30, 2026
16:00
medium Confidence
DRAW
Paris Saint Germain

Paris Saint Germain

Home
Final Score
1-1
Predicted: 1-1
Final Score
1-1
Predicted: 1-1
Odds
12.40
X3.30
23.00
Stadium
Ferenc Puskás Stadium
medium Confidence
DRAW
Arsenal

Arsenal

Away
Odds
12.40
X3.30
23.00
Stadium
Ferenc Puskás Stadium
Win Probabilities
32%
Paris Saint Germain
33%
Draw
35%
Arsenal
Home2.4032%
Draw3.3033%
Away3.0035%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

The Oracle sees Arsenal's superior quality overcoming the home advantage. Ancient wisdom reveals the visitors' class will prove decisive in this encounter.

Our AI model analyzes this UEFA Champions League fixture between Paris Saint Germain and Arsenal using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Paris Saint Germain a 32% win probability, a 33% chance of a draw, and Arsenal a 35% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-1. Both teams to score probability: 48%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 48%

Match Events

  1. 6'
    Goal: K. HavertzArsenal · Assist: L. Trossard
    Goal: K. HavertzAssist: L. Trossard
  2. 46'
    Yellow Card: C. MosqueraArsenal
    Yellow Card: C. Mosquera
  3. 54'
    Yellow Card: B. SakaArsenal
    Yellow Card: B. Saka
  4. Penalty: O. Dembele (Penalty)
    65'
    Penalty: O. Dembele (Penalty)Paris Saint Germain
  5. 66'
    Substitution: J. TimberArsenal · Out: C. Mosquera
    Substitution: J. TimberOut: C. Mosquera
  6. 66'
    Substitution: V. GyokeresArsenal · Out: M. Odegaard
    Substitution: V. GyokeresOut: M. Odegaard
  7. 83'
    Substitution: G. MartinelliArsenal · Out: L. Trossard
    Substitution: G. MartinelliOut: L. Trossard
  8. 83'
    Substitution: N. MaduekeArsenal · Out: B. Saka
    Substitution: N. MaduekeOut: B. Saka
  9. Substitution: B. BarcolaOut: K. Kvaratskhelia
    83'
    Substitution: B. BarcolaParis Saint Germain · Out: K. Kvaratskhelia
  10. Yellow Card: J. Neves
    90+6'
    Yellow Card: J. NevesParis Saint Germain
  11. Substitution: G. RamosOut: O. Dembele
    90+6'
    Substitution: G. RamosParis Saint Germain · Out: O. Dembele
  12. 91'
    Substitution: M. ZubimendiArsenal · Out: M. Lewis-Skelly
    Substitution: M. ZubimendiOut: M. Lewis-Skelly
  13. 91'
    Substitution: E. EzeArsenal · Out: K. Havertz
    Substitution: E. EzeOut: K. Havertz
  14. Substitution: W. Zaire-EmeryOut: F. Ruiz
    95'
    Substitution: W. Zaire-EmeryParis Saint Germain · Out: F. Ruiz
  15. 98'
    Yellow Card: V. GyokeresArsenal
    Yellow Card: V. Gyokeres
  16. 103'
    Yellow Card: D. RiceArsenal
    Yellow Card: D. Rice
  17. 103'
    Yellow Card: M. ArtetaArsenal
    Yellow Card: M. Arteta
  18. Substitution: I. ZabarnyiOut: Marquinhos
    106'
    Substitution: I. ZabarnyiParis Saint Germain · Out: Marquinhos
  19. Substitution: L. BeraldoOut: Vitinha
    106'
    Substitution: L. BeraldoParis Saint Germain · Out: Vitinha
  20. Yellow Card: N. Mendes
    118'
    Yellow Card: N. MendesParis Saint Germain
  21. Penalty: G. Ramos (Penalty)Penalty shootout
    Penalty: G. Ramos (Penalty)Paris Saint Germain · Penalty shootout
  22. Penalty: V. Gyokeres (Penalty)Arsenal · Penalty shootout
    Penalty: V. Gyokeres (Penalty)Penalty shootout
  23. Penalty: D. Doue (Penalty)Penalty shootout
    Penalty: D. Doue (Penalty)Paris Saint Germain · Penalty shootout
  24. Missed penalty: E. EzeArsenal · Penalty shootout · Missed penalty
    Missed penalty: E. EzePenalty shootout · Missed penalty
  25. Missed penalty: N. MendesPenalty shootout · Missed penalty
    Missed penalty: N. MendesParis Saint Germain · Penalty shootout · Missed penalty
  26. Penalty: D. Rice (Penalty)Arsenal · Penalty shootout
    Penalty: D. Rice (Penalty)Penalty shootout
  27. Penalty: A. Hakimi (Penalty)Penalty shootout
    Penalty: A. Hakimi (Penalty)Paris Saint Germain · Penalty shootout
  28. Penalty: G. Martinelli (Penalty)Arsenal · Penalty shootout
    Penalty: G. Martinelli (Penalty)Penalty shootout
  29. Penalty: L. Beraldo (Penalty)Penalty shootout
    Penalty: L. Beraldo (Penalty)Paris Saint Germain · Penalty shootout
  30. Missed penalty: GabrielArsenal · Penalty shootout · Missed penalty
    Missed penalty: GabrielPenalty shootout · Missed penalty
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1B. Barcola vs Arsenal's defense: Barcola's pace and dribbling will test Arsenal's backline, which has been resolute in recent matches.
2V. Gyökeres vs PSG's defense: Gyökeres' physicality and finishing ability pose a constant threat, especially if PSG push forward.
3Midfield control: PSG's midfield creativity against Arsenal's disciplined pressing will determine which team dictates the game.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Paris Saint Germain

  • High attacking threat (72% attack rating)
  • Key players like Barcola and Dembélé in form
  • Inconsistent form (1 loss in last 5)
  • Defensive vulnerabilities (83% defense rating for Arsenal)

Arsenal

  • Excellent form (5 wins in a row)
  • Strong defense (4 clean sheets in last 5)
  • Slightly lower attack rating (28%)
  • Key players like Gyökeres may be isolated

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
35%
API-Football
45%
40%
Arsenal213940

Models disagree significantly. Suggests away win (40%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisMedium Confidence

Based on the data, Arsenal is the predicted winner with a slight edge over Paris Saint Germain, though the match is expected to be closely contested.

Form Analysis: Arsenal enters on a 5-match winning streak with 4 clean sheets, conceding only 0.2 goals per game, while PSG has 1 loss in their last 5 and concedes 1.0 goals per game. Arsenal's momentum is significantly stronger.

Key Factors: Arsenal's defensive solidity (83% defense rating) and PSG's attacking strength (72% attack rating) create a classic clash. The head-to-head record is perfectly balanced (2 wins each, 2 draws), but Arsenal's current form and league dominance (1st place, +19 GD) give them a psychological edge. The high temperature (31.8°C) may favor a physical style, which could benefit Arsenal's disciplined approach.

Conclusion: While PSG has home advantage and potent attackers, Arsenal's exceptional form and defensive organization make them slight favorites. The odds imply a close match, and the API model favors Arsenal. Expect a low-scoring affair with Arsenal likely to edge it.

Statistical ContextArsenal

Double chance : draw or Arsenal

Team Comparison

AI Powered
Paris Saint GermainArsenal
42%Strength58%
72%Attacking Potential28%
17%Defensive Potential83%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
50%H2H Strength50%
38%Goals H2H63%
42%Wins the Game58%
Head-to-head →Injuries · Paris Saint GermainInjuries · ArsenalLive scores →

Statistical Context

Paris Saint Germain

WWLDD
  • WSep 13, 26A · Stade Brestois 290-1
  • WSep 9, 26H · Slovan Bratislava6-1
  • LSep 4, 26H · Monaco1-2
  • DAug 28, 26A · Lille2-2
  • DAug 23, 26H · Rennes2-2

Arsenal

WWWWW
  • WSep 15, 26A · Ipswich2-4
  • WSep 12, 26A · Sunderland0-2
  • WSep 9, 26A · Napoli0-1
  • WSep 6, 26H · Chelsea2-1
  • WAug 31, 26A · Aston Villa0-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
1Paris Saint Germain1+53W
2Bayern München1+53W
14Real Madrid1+13W
15Arsenal1+13W
16AEK Athens FC1+13W

Head to Head

2
Paris Saint Germain
2
Draws
2
Arsenal
  • May 7, 25Paris Saint Germain – Arsenal2-1
  • Apr 29, 25Arsenal – Paris Saint Germain0-1
  • Oct 1, 24Arsenal – Paris Saint Germain2-0
  • Jul 28, 18Arsenal – Paris Saint Germain5-1
  • Nov 23, 16Arsenal – Paris Saint Germain2-2

Season Statistics — 2026

Paris Saint GermainArsenal
Played4—
Goals Scored6—
Goals Conceded6—
Avg Scored1.5—
Avg Conceded1.5—
Clean Sheets1—

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

Paris Saint GermainArsenal
Over 2.5 Goals7/105/10
Both Teams Scored5/105/10
Clean Sheets4/105/10

Paris Saint Germain vs Arsenal — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees Arsenal's superior quality overcoming the home advantage. Ancient wisdom reveals the visitors' class will prove decisive in this encounter.

Based on the data, Arsenal is the predicted winner with a slight edge over Paris Saint Germain, though the match is expected to be closely contested.

Form Analysis: Arsenal enters on a 5-match winning streak with 4 clean sheets, conceding only 0.2 goals per game, while PSG has 1 loss in their last 5 and concedes 1.0 goals per game. Arsenal's momentum is significantly stronger.

Key Factors: Arsenal's defensive solidity (83% defense rating) and PSG's attacking strength (72% attack rating) create a classic clash. The head-to-head record is perfectly balanced (2 wins each, 2 draws), but Arsenal's current form and league dominance (1st place, +19 GD) give them a psychological edge. The high temperature (31.8°C) may favor a physical style, which could benefit Arsenal's disciplined approach.

Conclusion: While PSG has home advantage and potent attackers, Arsenal's exceptional form and defensive organization make them slight favorites. The odds imply a close match, and the API model favors Arsenal. Expect a low-scoring affair with Arsenal likely to edge it.

Win Probabilities: Paris Saint Germain: 32% · Draw: 33% · Arsenal: 35%

Predicted Score: 1-1 (18.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 45% · Under 2.5: 55% · BTTS: 48%

H2H: Paris Saint Germain wins: 2 · Draws: 2 · Arsenal wins: 2

Form (latest first): Paris Saint Germain: WWLDD · Arsenal: WWWWW

  • B. Barcola vs Arsenal's defense: Barcola's pace and dribbling will test Arsenal's backline, which has been resolute in recent matches.
  • V. Gyökeres vs PSG's defense: Gyökeres' physicality and finishing ability pose a constant threat, especially if PSG push forward.
  • Midfield control: PSG's midfield creativity against Arsenal's disciplined pressing will determine which team dictates the game.

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UEFA Champions League

UEFA Champions League

World15 · Upcoming Fixtures
UEFA Champions LeagueWorld
Lens
Oct 1316:45
Sporting CP
13.0333%
X3.0333%
22.9434%
UEFA Champions LeagueWorld
Sabah FA
Oct 1316:45
Slavia Praha
13.0333%
X3.0333%
22.9434%
UEFA Champions LeagueWorld
Arsenal
Oct 1319:00
Lille
Early projection
11.4171%
X6.2516%
27.6913%
UEFA Champions LeagueWorld
RB Leipzig
Oct 1319:00
PSV Eindhoven
Early projection
13.3330%
X4.0025%
22.2245%
UEFA Champions LeagueWorld
Inter
Oct 1319:00
Club Brugge KV
Early projection
11.5963%
X5.2619%
25.5618%
UEFA Champions LeagueWorld
Atletico Madrid
Oct 1319:00
Manchester United
12.0050%
X3.5728%
24.5522%
UEFA Champions LeagueWorld
Villarreal
Oct 1319:00
Napoli
Early projection
14.0025%
X4.5522%
21.8953%
UEFA Champions LeagueWorld
Galatasaray
Oct 1319:00
Barcelona
Early projection
14.1724%
X4.7621%
21.8255%
UEFA Champions LeagueWorld
Viking
Oct 1319:00
Bayern München
13.3330%
X4.0025%
22.2245%
UEFA Champions LeagueWorld
Feyenoord
Oct 1416:45
Como
12.5040%
X3.3330%
23.3330%
UEFA Champions LeagueWorld
Lask Linz
Oct 1416:45
Liverpool
13.3330%
X4.0025%
22.2245%
UEFA Champions LeagueWorld
Manchester City
Oct 1419:00
Paris Saint Germain
Early projection
11.9651%
X4.5522%
23.7027%
UEFA Champions LeagueWorld
Aston Villa
Oct 1419:00
Fenerbahçe
12.0050%
X4.0025%
24.0025%
UEFA Champions LeagueWorld
Bodo/Glimt
Oct 1419:00
Borussia Dortmund
Early projection
12.3842%
X3.8526%
23.1332%
UEFA Champions LeagueWorld
AS Roma
Oct 1419:00
Real Madrid
13.0333%
X3.0333%
22.9434%

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