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  1. Home
  2. UEFA Europa League
  3. Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest

Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest

Result • UEFA Europa League·Aston Villa·Nottingham Forest

UEFA Europa League
UEFA Europa League
May 7, 2026
19:00
high Confidence
WINNER
Aston Villa

Aston Villa

Home
Final Score
4-0
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
4-0
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
11.70
X3.90
24.75
Stadium
Villa Park
high Confidence
Nottingham Forest

Nottingham Forest

Away
Odds
11.70
X3.90
24.75
Stadium
Villa Park
Win Probabilities
53%
Aston Villa
29%
Draw
18%
Nottingham Forest
Home1.7053%
Draw3.9029%
Away4.7518%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

The Oracle sees Aston Villa's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Nottingham Forest, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Our AI model analyzes this UEFA Europa League fixture between Aston Villa and Nottingham Forest using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Aston Villa a 53% win probability, a 29% chance of a draw, and Nottingham Forest a 18% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 50%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 50%

Match Events

  1. 18'
    Yellow Card: MoratoNottingham Forest
    Yellow Card: Morato
  2. Goal: O. WatkinsAssist: E. Buendia
    36'
    Goal: O. WatkinsAston Villa · Assist: E. Buendia
  3. 45+3'
    Yellow Card: CunhaNottingham Forest
    Yellow Card: Cunha
  4. 46'
    Substitution: R. YatesNottingham Forest · Out: J. McAtee
    Substitution: R. YatesOut: J. McAtee
  5. Penalty: E. Buendia (Penalty)
    58'
    Penalty: E. Buendia (Penalty)Aston Villa
  6. 71'
    Substitution: D. BakwaNottingham Forest · Out: Morato
    Substitution: D. BakwaOut: Morato
  7. 71'
    Substitution: L. LuccaNottingham Forest · Out: C. Wood
    Substitution: L. LuccaOut: C. Wood
  8. Substitution: L. BogardeOut: V. Lindelof
    74'
    Substitution: L. BogardeAston Villa · Out: V. Lindelof
  9. Goal: J. McGinnAssist: O. Watkins
    77'
    Goal: J. McGinnAston Villa · Assist: O. Watkins
  10. Goal: J. McGinnAssist: M. Rogers
    80'
    Goal: J. McGinnAston Villa · Assist: M. Rogers
  11. Substitution: J. SanchoOut: E. Buendia
    86'
    Substitution: J. SanchoAston Villa · Out: E. Buendia
  12. 88'
    Substitution: MurilloNottingham Forest · Out: Cunha
    Substitution: MurilloOut: Cunha
  13. 88'
    Substitution: J. SinclairNottingham Forest · Out: O. Hutchinson
    Substitution: J. SinclairOut: O. Hutchinson
  14. Substitution: L. BaileyOut: J. McGinn
    90'
    Substitution: L. BaileyAston Villa · Out: J. McGinn
  15. Substitution: T. MingsOut: M. Rogers
    90'
    Substitution: T. MingsAston Villa · Out: M. Rogers
  16. Substitution: Douglas LuizOut: P. Torres
    90'
    Substitution: Douglas LuizAston Villa · Out: P. Torres
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1O. Watkins vs Nottingham Forest defense: Watkins' pace and finishing will test Forest's backline, which has been solid recently.
2M. Rogers vs midfield: Rogers' dribbling and assists will be key against a potentially weakened Forest midfield.
3Igor Jesus vs Aston Villa defense: Jesus' physicality and goal-scoring form could exploit any defensive lapses.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Aston Villa

  • Strong attack with 24 goals in last 5
  • Excellent home record
  • Recent defensive lapses (8 goals conceded in 5)
  • Inconsistent form despite wins

Nottingham Forest

  • Excellent recent form (5 wins in a row)
  • Solid defense with 3 clean sheets in 5
  • Key players doubtful (Gibbs-White, Sangare, Ndoye)
  • Lower league position

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
53%
API-Football
45%
49%
Aston Villa493714

Moderate agreement on home win (49%).

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Aston Villa are predicted to win based on strong odds and home advantage.

Form Analysis: Aston Villa have won 5 consecutive matches, scoring 24 goals and conceding 8, while Nottingham Forest have 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last 5. However, Aston Villa's recent form shows a 3-loss streak, contradicting the overall record, and Nottingham Forest are on a 5-win streak with 3 clean sheets.

Key Factors: Aston Villa's superior league position (2nd vs 13th) and home advantage are decisive. Nottingham Forest have key players doubtful (Gibbs-White, Sangare, Ndoye), weakening their attack and midfield. Head-to-head favors Aston Villa with 4 wins in last 9 meetings.

Conclusion: Despite Nottingham Forest's momentum, Aston Villa's quality and home support should secure a win.

Statistical ContextAston Villa

Double chance : Aston Villa or draw

Team Comparison

AI Powered
Aston VillaNottingham Forest
58%Strength42%
63%Attacking Potential38%
60%Defensive Potential40%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
50%H2H Strength50%
54%Goals H2H46%
58%Wins the Game42%
Head-to-head →Injuries · Aston VillaInjuries · Nottingham ForestLive scores →

Statistical Context

Aston Villa

WLWDL
  • WSep 16, 26A · Coventry1-3
  • LSep 12, 26H · Nottingham Forest1-2
  • WSep 8, 26A · Club Brugge KV2-3
  • DSep 5, 26A · Hull City0-0
  • LAug 31, 26H · Arsenal0-1

Nottingham Forest

WDDLL
  • WSep 12, 26A · Aston Villa1-2
  • DSep 5, 26H · Tottenham0-0
  • DAug 29, 26A · Liverpool2-2
  • LAug 25, 26H · Leeds0-2
  • LAug 22, 26H · Leeds0-1

Head to Head

5
Aston Villa
2
Draws
3
Nottingham Forest
  • May 7, 26Aston Villa – Nottingham Forest4-0
  • Apr 30, 26Nottingham Forest – Aston Villa1-0
  • Apr 12, 26Nottingham Forest – Aston Villa1-1
  • Jan 3, 26Aston Villa – Nottingham Forest3-1
  • Apr 5, 25Aston Villa – Nottingham Forest2-1

Season Statistics — 2026

Aston VillaNottingham Forest
Played—3
Goals Scored—2
Goals Conceded—3
Avg Scored—0.7
Avg Conceded—1.0
Clean Sheets—1

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

Aston VillaNottingham Forest
Over 2.5 Goals6/105/10
Both Teams Scored5/102/10
Clean Sheets4/105/10

Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees Aston Villa's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Nottingham Forest, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Aston Villa are predicted to win based on strong odds and home advantage.

Form Analysis: Aston Villa have won 5 consecutive matches, scoring 24 goals and conceding 8, while Nottingham Forest have 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last 5. However, Aston Villa's recent form shows a 3-loss streak, contradicting the overall record, and Nottingham Forest are on a 5-win streak with 3 clean sheets.

Key Factors: Aston Villa's superior league position (2nd vs 13th) and home advantage are decisive. Nottingham Forest have key players doubtful (Gibbs-White, Sangare, Ndoye), weakening their attack and midfield. Head-to-head favors Aston Villa with 4 wins in last 9 meetings.

Conclusion: Despite Nottingham Forest's momentum, Aston Villa's quality and home support should secure a win.

Win Probabilities: Aston Villa: 53% · Draw: 29% · Nottingham Forest: 18%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 55% · Under 2.5: 45% · BTTS: 50%

H2H: Aston Villa wins: 5 · Draws: 2 · Nottingham Forest wins: 3

Form (latest first): Aston Villa: WLWDL · Nottingham Forest: WDDLL

  • O. Watkins vs Nottingham Forest defense: Watkins' pace and finishing will test Forest's backline, which has been solid recently.
  • M. Rogers vs midfield: Rogers' dribbling and assists will be key against a potentially weakened Forest midfield.
  • Igor Jesus vs Aston Villa defense: Jesus' physicality and goal-scoring form could exploit any defensive lapses.

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UEFA Europa League

UEFA Europa League

World15 · Upcoming Fixtures
UEFA Europa LeagueWorld
Levski Sofia
Sep 1716:45
Red Bull Salzburg
13.1332%
X3.4529%
22.5639%
UEFA Europa LeagueWorld
OFI
Sep 1716:45
1899 Hoffenheim
16.2516%
X5.0020%
21.5664%
UEFA Europa LeagueWorld
Crystal Palace
Sep 1719:00
Lech Poznan
11.5664%
X5.0020%
26.2516%
UEFA Europa LeagueWorld
Celtic
Sep 1719:00
Ferencvarosi TC
11.9252%
X3.5728%
25.0020%
UEFA Europa LeagueWorld
Lillestrom
Sep 1719:00
Torreense
11.8255%
X4.1724%
24.7621%
UEFA Europa LeagueWorld
Juventus
Sep 1719:00
NEC Nijmegen
11.4967%
X5.0020%
27.6913%
UEFA Europa LeagueWorld
Real Sociedad
Sep 1719:00
Bournemouth
13.0333%
X3.5728%
22.5639%
UEFA Europa LeagueWorld
Beşiktaş
Sep 1719:00
Marseille
12.5040%
X3.5728%
23.1332%
UEFA Europa LeagueWorld
Plzen
Sep 1719:00
Union St. Gilloise
12.5040%
X3.5728%
23.1332%
UEFA Europa LeagueWorld
Lyon
Oct 1516:45
Crystal Palace
13.0333%
X3.0333%
22.9434%
UEFA Europa LeagueWorld
AZ Alkmaar
Oct 1516:45
Hapoel Beer Sheva
12.2245%
X3.5728%
23.7027%
UEFA Europa LeagueWorld
Lech Poznan
Oct 1516:45
Bayer Leverkusen
13.0333%
X3.0333%
22.9434%
UEFA Europa LeagueWorld
Red Bull Salzburg
Oct 1516:45
AC Milan
13.3330%
X3.5728%
22.3842%
UEFA Europa LeagueWorld
Sparta Praha
Oct 1516:45
Lillestrom
12.2245%
X3.5728%
23.7027%
UEFA Europa LeagueWorld
Union St. Gilloise
Oct 1516:45
Real Sociedad
Early projection
12.6338%
X3.7027%
22.8635%

Betting Tips

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