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  1. Home
  2. World Cup
  3. France vs Sweden

France vs Sweden

Result • World Cup·France·Sweden

World Cup
World Cup
Jun 30, 2026
21:00
high Confidence
WINNER
France

France

Home
Final Score
3-0
Predicted: 2-0
Final Score
3-0
Predicted: 2-0
Odds
11.25
X6.00
29.80
Stadium
MetLife Stadium, New-York
high Confidence
Sweden

Sweden

Away
Odds
11.25
X6.00
29.80
Stadium
MetLife Stadium, New-York
Win Probabilities
69%
France
22%
Draw
9%
Sweden
Home1.2569%
Draw6.0022%
Away9.809%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

France are clear favourites with a 75% win probability, backed by a perfect 4-match winning streak and superior form. The main risk is Sweden's historical ability to cause upsets, having won 2 of the last 5 H2H meetings.

Our AI model analyzes this World Cup fixture between France and Sweden using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns France a 69% win probability, a 22% chance of a draw, and Sweden a 9% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-0. Both teams to score probability: 45%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 45%

Match Events

  1. VAR: VAR · Goal Disallowed - offsideK. Mbappe
    21'
    VAR: VAR · Goal Disallowed - offsideFrance · K. Mbappe
  2. Goal: K. MbappeAssist: O. Dembele
    45'
    Goal: K. MbappeFrance · Assist: O. Dembele
  3. Goal: B. BarcolaAssist: M. Olise
    53'
    Goal: B. BarcolaFrance · Assist: M. Olise
  4. 66'
    Substitution: T. AliSweden · Out: E. Stroud
    Substitution: T. AliOut: E. Stroud
  5. 66'
    Substitution: B. ZeneliSweden · Out: L. Bergvall
    Substitution: B. ZeneliOut: L. Bergvall
  6. Goal: K. MbappeAssist: M. Olise
    74'
    Goal: K. MbappeFrance · Assist: M. Olise
  7. Substitution: M. GustoOut: J. Kounde
    75'
    Substitution: M. GustoFrance · Out: J. Kounde
  8. Substitution: D. DoueOut: O. Dembele
    75'
    Substitution: D. DoueFrance · Out: O. Dembele
  9. Substitution: T. HernandezOut: L. Digne
    78'
    Substitution: T. HernandezFrance · Out: L. Digne
  10. 82'
    Substitution: M. SvanbergSweden · Out: D. Svensson
    Substitution: M. SvanbergOut: D. Svensson
  11. 82'
    Substitution: B. NygrenSweden · Out: Y. Ayari
    Substitution: B. NygrenOut: Y. Ayari
  12. Substitution: J. MatetaOut: K. Mbappe
    85'
    Substitution: J. MatetaFrance · Out: K. Mbappe
  13. Substitution: R. CherkiOut: M. Olise
    85'
    Substitution: R. CherkiFrance · Out: M. Olise
  14. 89'
    Substitution: G. NilssonSweden · Out: A. Isak
    Substitution: G. NilssonOut: A. Isak
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1Kylian Mbappé vs Victor Lindelöf: Mbappé's pace and dribbling will test Lindelöf's positioning and recovery speed.
2Antoine Griezmann vs Swedish midfield: Griezmann's creativity and movement between the lines could unlock the Swedish defence.
3Alexander Isak vs French centre-backs: Isak's physicality and finishing ability will be Sweden's main threat, requiring close marking.
Strengths · Weaknesses

France

  • Excellent recent form with 4 consecutive wins
  • Strong defensive record (78% defensive rating)
  • Limited clean sheets in last 5 (only 1)
  • Potential complacency as heavy favourites

Sweden

  • Capable of scoring (2.0 goals per game average)
  • H2H record shows they can beat France (2 wins in last 5)
  • Poor defensive record (conceding 2.4 goals per game)
  • Inconsistent form with only 33% win rate

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
69%
API-Football
45%
57%
France563410

Models disagree significantly. Suggests home win (57%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

France are clear favourites to win this World Cup clash against Sweden, backed by dominant form and strong statistical indicators across the board.

Form Analysis: France are in scintillating form with 4 consecutive wins, scoring 10 goals and conceding just 2 in their last 5 matches. Their win rate is a perfect 100% in that span. Sweden, meanwhile, have won only 33% of their last 5, conceding 7 goals and keeping no clean sheets. The momentum is heavily with the home side.

Key Factors: France's defensive solidity (78% defensive rating in team comparison) and attacking efficiency (59% attack rating) give them a clear edge. Their head-to-head record also favours them with 3 wins in the last 5 meetings. Sweden's defensive frailties, having conceded 2.4 goals per game on average, are a major concern against a free-scoring French side.

Conclusion: All data points to a comfortable France victory. Sweden will need a significant improvement to trouble the hosts, who are playing with high confidence and have a strong home record.

Statistical ContextFrance

Combo Winner : France and +1.5 goals

Team Comparison

AI Powered
FranceSweden
68%Strength31%
59%Attacking Potential41%
78%Defensive Potential22%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
60%H2H Strength40%
53%Goals H2H47%
68%Wins the Game31%
Head-to-head →Injuries · FranceInjuries · SwedenLive scores →

Statistical Context

France

WDWWL
  • WOct 5, 26H · Belgium4-1
  • DOct 2, 26H · Italy1-1
  • WSep 28, 26A · Belgium0-1
  • WSep 25, 26A · Türkiye0-1
  • LJul 18, 26H · England4-6

Sweden

WDWWD
  • WOct 5, 26A · Romania0-1
  • DOct 2, 26A · Bosnia & Herzegovina1-1
  • WSep 28, 26H · Poland3-1
  • WSep 25, 26H · Romania2-1
  • DJun 25, 26A · Japan1-1

Head to Head

3
France
0
Draws
2
Sweden
  • Nov 17, 20France – Sweden4-2
  • Sep 5, 20Sweden – France0-1
  • Jun 9, 17Sweden – France2-1
  • Nov 11, 16France – Sweden2-1
  • Jun 19, 12Sweden – France2-0

Season Statistics — 2026

FranceSweden
Played24
Goals Scored27
Goals Conceded03
Avg Scored1.01.8
Avg Conceded0.00.8
Clean Sheets21

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

FranceSweden
Over 2.5 Goals8/106/10
Both Teams Scored6/107/10
Clean Sheets4/100/10

France vs Sweden — Match Analysis

France are clear favourites with a 75% win probability, backed by a perfect 4-match winning streak and superior form. The main risk is Sweden's historical ability to cause upsets, having won 2 of the last 5 H2H meetings.

France are clear favourites to win this World Cup clash against Sweden, backed by dominant form and strong statistical indicators across the board.

Form Analysis: France are in scintillating form with 4 consecutive wins, scoring 10 goals and conceding just 2 in their last 5 matches. Their win rate is a perfect 100% in that span. Sweden, meanwhile, have won only 33% of their last 5, conceding 7 goals and keeping no clean sheets. The momentum is heavily with the home side.

Key Factors: France's defensive solidity (78% defensive rating in team comparison) and attacking efficiency (59% attack rating) give them a clear edge. Their head-to-head record also favours them with 3 wins in the last 5 meetings. Sweden's defensive frailties, having conceded 2.4 goals per game on average, are a major concern against a free-scoring French side.

Conclusion: All data points to a comfortable France victory. Sweden will need a significant improvement to trouble the hosts, who are playing with high confidence and have a strong home record.

Win Probabilities: France: 69% · Draw: 22% · Sweden: 9%

Predicted Score: 2-0 (18.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 65% · Under 2.5: 35% · BTTS: 45%

H2H: France wins: 3 · Draws: 0 · Sweden wins: 2

Form (latest first): France: WDWWL · Sweden: WDWWD

  • Kylian Mbappé vs Victor Lindelöf: Mbappé's pace and dribbling will test Lindelöf's positioning and recovery speed.
  • Antoine Griezmann vs Swedish midfield: Griezmann's creativity and movement between the lines could unlock the Swedish defence.
  • Alexander Isak vs French centre-backs: Isak's physicality and finishing ability will be Sweden's main threat, requiring close marking.

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