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  1. Home
  2. Primera A
  3. Internacional de Bogota vs Atletico Nacional

Internacional de Bogota vs Atletico Nacional

Result • Primera A·Internacional de Bogota·Atletico Nacional

Primera A
Primera A
Sep 17, 2026
01:20
medium Confidence
Internacional de Bogota

Internacional de Bogota

Home
Final Score
2-3
Predicted: 1-2
Final Score
2-3
Predicted: 1-2
Odds
14.65
X3.45
21.72
Stadium
Estadio Metropolitano de Techo
medium Confidence
WINNER
Atletico Nacional

Atletico Nacional

Away
Odds
14.65
X3.45
21.72
Stadium
Estadio Metropolitano de Techo
Win Probabilities
17%
Internacional de Bogota
30%
Draw
53%
Atletico Nacional
Home4.6517%
Draw3.4530%
Away1.7253%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

Atletico Nacional are clear favourites, driven by a five-match winning streak and a dominant head-to-head record. The main risk is Internacional's five-game unbeaten run and home resilience, which could frustrate the visitors.

Our AI model analyzes this Primera A fixture between Internacional de Bogota and Atletico Nacional using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Internacional de Bogota a 17% win probability, a 30% chance of a draw, and Atletico Nacional a 53% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-2. Both teams to score probability: 61%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 61%

Match Events

  1. Goal: Diego Duarte
    20'
    Goal: Diego DuarteInternacional de Bogota
  2. 34'
    Goal: Ian Carlo PovedaAtletico Nacional
    Goal: Ian Carlo Poveda
  3. Yellow Card: Ronaldo Junior Julio Tobías
    42'
    Yellow Card: Ronaldo Junior Julio TobíasInternacional de Bogota
  4. Substitution: Johan CaballeroOut: Ronaldo Junior Julio Tobías
    45'
    Substitution: Johan CaballeroInternacional de Bogota · Out: Ronaldo Junior Julio Tobías
  5. Substitution: Carlos VivasOut: Agustin Irazoque
    45'
    Substitution: Carlos VivasInternacional de Bogota · Out: Agustin Irazoque
  6. Yellow Card: Larry Vásquez
    45+2'
    Yellow Card: Larry VásquezInternacional de Bogota
  7. 59'
    Substitution: James RodríguezAtletico Nacional · Out: Juan Rengifo
    Substitution: James RodríguezOut: Juan Rengifo
  8. 59'
    Substitution: Alfredo MorelosAtletico Nacional · Out: Chicho Arango
    Substitution: Alfredo MorelosOut: Chicho Arango
  9. 59'
    Substitution: Marlos MorenoAtletico Nacional · Out: Kevin Parra
    Substitution: Marlos MorenoOut: Kevin Parra
  10. Substitution: Cristián DájomeOut: Facundo Boné
    60'
    Substitution: Cristián DájomeInternacional de Bogota · Out: Facundo Boné
  11. 62'
    Goal: Elías Lautaro CabreraAtletico Nacional
    Goal: Elías Lautaro Cabrera
  12. VAR: VAR · Goal cancelledFabricio Sanguinetti
    66'
    VAR: VAR · Goal cancelledInternacional de Bogota · Fabricio Sanguinetti
  13. 71'
    Substitution: Andrés RománAtletico Nacional · Out: Yeicar Perlaza
    Substitution: Andrés RománOut: Yeicar Perlaza
  14. 77'
    Substitution: Juan ZapataAtletico Nacional · Out: Elías Lautaro Cabrera
    Substitution: Juan ZapataOut: Elías Lautaro Cabrera
  15. Substitution: Ruben ManjarresOut: Dewar Victoria
    80'
    Substitution: Ruben ManjarresInternacional de Bogota · Out: Dewar Victoria
  16. Substitution: Yojan GarcesOut: Diego Duarte
    80'
    Substitution: Yojan GarcesInternacional de Bogota · Out: Diego Duarte
  17. Goal: Yojan Garces
    83'
    Goal: Yojan GarcesInternacional de Bogota
  18. 88'
    Yellow Card: Andrés RománAtletico Nacional
    Yellow Card: Andrés Román
  19. 90+9'
    Goal: Juan ZapataAtletico Nacional · Assist: James Rodríguez
    Goal: Juan ZapataAssist: James Rodríguez
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1F. Sanguinetti vs A. Morelos: Sanguinetti is Internacional's top scorer and creative hub, while Morelos is Nacional's lethal finisher; the one who makes the most of their chances could decide the match.
2K. Parra vs J. Rengifo: Parra's ability to create from midfield will be crucial for the home side, but Rengifo's vision and goalscoring threat from deep make him a constant danger for Nacional.
3M. Santamaria vs E. Cardona: Santamaria will need to disrupt Cardona's influence in midfield; if Cardona dictates play, Nacional will likely control the game.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Internacional de Bogota

  • Unbeaten in five matches, showing strong resilience
  • Solid defensive record with only 1.2 goals conceded per game on average
  • Low win rate of 30% despite unbeaten run
  • Negative goal difference of -1 in the standings

Atletico Nacional

  • Five-match winning streak with high confidence
  • Prolific attack averaging 2.8 goals per game
  • Recent loss shows they are not invincible
  • May be due a dip in form after such a strong run

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
53%
API-Football
45%
49%
Atletico Nacional143849

Moderate agreement on away win (49%).

AI AnalysisMedium Confidence

Atletico Nacional arrive at Estadio Metropolitano de Techo as clear favourites, backed by a commanding statistical profile and a five-match winning run. Internacional de Bogota, meanwhile, are unbeaten in five but have drawn four of those, suggesting a side that is hard to beat but struggles to convert parity into victories.

Form Analysis: The contrast in momentum is stark. Atletico Nacional have won five straight, scoring at a prolific rate while conceding very little, and their defensive record is among the strongest in the division. Internacional have shown resilience with a five-game unbeaten streak, but a win rate of just 30% and a negative goal difference underline their limitations. The head-to-head record heavily favours the visitors, who have dominated this fixture historically.

Key Factors: First, Atletico Nacional's attacking output and defensive solidity give them a decisive edge in both boxes. Second, the head-to-head history is overwhelmingly one-sided, with the visitors winning the majority of recent meetings. Third, Internacional's home advantage is only moderate, and their tendency to draw matches suggests they may struggle to hold off a side in such rampant form.

Conclusion: The data points to an away victory. Atletico Nacional's superior form, defensive organisation and historical dominance over this opponent make them the most likely winners, though Internacional's unbeaten run and home support mean the contest may be tighter than the raw numbers suggest.

Statistical ContextAtletico Nacional

Double chance : draw or Atletico Nacional

Team Comparison

AI Powered
Internacional de BogotaAtletico Nacional
34%Strength65%
42%Attacking Potential58%
36%Defensive Potential64%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
50%H2H Strength100%
16%Goals H2H84%
34%Wins the Game65%
Head-to-head →Injuries · Internacional de BogotaInjuries · Atletico NacionalLive scores →

Statistical Context

Internacional de Bogota

WDDDD
  • WSep 12, 26H · Llaneros3-2
  • DSep 6, 26H · Águilas Doradas2-2
  • DAug 30, 26A · Millonarios0-0
  • DAug 28, 26H · Deportivo Pasto1-1
  • DAug 23, 26A · Deportivo Cali2-2

Atletico Nacional

WWWWL
  • WSep 13, 26H · Águilas Doradas2-0
  • WAug 30, 26A · Alianza Valledupar1-5
  • WAug 27, 26H · Deportivo Cali2-1
  • WAug 23, 26A · Fortaleza FC1-2
  • LAug 10, 26A · America de Cali1-0

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
2Millonarios11+719WWDDL
3Atletico Nacional7+1118WWWWW
4Santa Fe9+616WWDWD
11Llaneros9-111LLLLW
12Internacional de Bogota10-211LWDDD
13Cucuta10-99LLDLW

Head to Head

2
Internacional de Bogota
2
Draws
6
Atletico Nacional
  • May 12, 26Atletico Nacional – Internacional de Bogota7-1
  • May 9, 26Internacional de Bogota – Atletico Nacional1-2
  • Mar 22, 26Atletico Nacional – Internacional de Bogota3-0
  • Jul 19, 25Atletico Nacional – Internacional de Bogota3-1
  • Feb 2, 25Internacional de Bogota – Atletico Nacional0-1

Season Statistics — 2026

Internacional de BogotaAtletico Nacional
Played3031
Goals Scored3963
Goals Conceded4725
Avg Scored1.32.0
Avg Conceded1.60.8
Clean Sheets611

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

Internacional de BogotaAtletico Nacional
Over 2.5 Goals—6/10
Both Teams Scored—5/10
Clean Sheets—2/10

Internacional de Bogota vs Atletico Nacional — Match Analysis

Atletico Nacional are clear favourites, driven by a five-match winning streak and a dominant head-to-head record. The main risk is Internacional's five-game unbeaten run and home resilience, which could frustrate the visitors.

Atletico Nacional arrive at Estadio Metropolitano de Techo as clear favourites, backed by a commanding statistical profile and a five-match winning run. Internacional de Bogota, meanwhile, are unbeaten in five but have drawn four of those, suggesting a side that is hard to beat but struggles to convert parity into victories.

Form Analysis: The contrast in momentum is stark. Atletico Nacional have won five straight, scoring at a prolific rate while conceding very little, and their defensive record is among the strongest in the division. Internacional have shown resilience with a five-game unbeaten streak, but a win rate of just 30% and a negative goal difference underline their limitations. The head-to-head record heavily favours the visitors, who have dominated this fixture historically.

Key Factors: First, Atletico Nacional's attacking output and defensive solidity give them a decisive edge in both boxes. Second, the head-to-head history is overwhelmingly one-sided, with the visitors winning the majority of recent meetings. Third, Internacional's home advantage is only moderate, and their tendency to draw matches suggests they may struggle to hold off a side in such rampant form.

Conclusion: The data points to an away victory. Atletico Nacional's superior form, defensive organisation and historical dominance over this opponent make them the most likely winners, though Internacional's unbeaten run and home support mean the contest may be tighter than the raw numbers suggest.

Win Probabilities: Internacional de Bogota: 17% · Draw: 30% · Atletico Nacional: 53%

Predicted Score: 1-2 (13.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 57% · Under 2.5: 43% · BTTS: 61%

H2H: Internacional de Bogota wins: 2 · Draws: 2 · Atletico Nacional wins: 6

Form (latest first): Internacional de Bogota: WDDDD · Atletico Nacional: WWWWL

  • F. Sanguinetti vs A. Morelos: Sanguinetti is Internacional's top scorer and creative hub, while Morelos is Nacional's lethal finisher; the one who makes the most of their chances could decide the match.
  • K. Parra vs J. Rengifo: Parra's ability to create from midfield will be crucial for the home side, but Rengifo's vision and goalscoring threat from deep make him a constant danger for Nacional.
  • M. Santamaria vs E. Cardona: Santamaria will need to disrupt Cardona's influence in midfield; if Cardona dictates play, Nacional will likely control the game.

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Primera A

Primera A

Colombia15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Primera AColombia
Deportes Tolima
Sep 2023:10
America de Cali
12.5040%
X2.9434%
23.8526%
Primera AColombia
Llaneros
Sep 2101:15
Atletico Nacional
15.2619%
X3.3330%
21.9651%
Primera AColombia
Independiente Medellin
Sep 2223:00
Jaguares
11.4569%
X4.5522%
211.119%
Primera AColombia
Santa Fe
Sep 2301:00
Deportivo Cali
12.2744%
X2.8635%
24.7621%
Primera AColombia
America de Cali
Sep 2400:30
Águilas Doradas
Early projection
11.3574%
X7.1414%
28.3312%
Primera AColombia
Atletico Nacional
Sep 2500:30
Millonarios
Early projection
11.6959%
X5.2619%
24.5522%
Primera AColombia
Chico
Sep 2523:10
Deportivo Pasto
12.5639%
X3.2331%
23.3330%
Primera AColombia
Once Caldas
Sep 2601:15
Bucaramanga
Early projection
13.0333%
X3.8526%
22.4441%
Primera AColombia
Deportivo Pereira
Sep 2621:10
Internacional de Bogota
Early projection
12.5639%
X3.8526%
22.8635%
Primera AColombia
Cucuta
Sep 2623:15
Llaneros
Early projection
14.1724%
X4.5522%
21.8554%
Primera AColombia
Junior
Sep 2701:20
Independiente Medellin
Early projection
11.5963%
X5.2619%
25.5618%
Primera AColombia
Jaguares
Sep 2721:00
Alianza Valledupar
Early projection
11.8953%
X4.7621%
23.8526%
Primera AColombia
Fortaleza FC
Sep 2723:05
Deportes Tolima
Early projection
13.8526%
X4.5522%
21.9252%
Primera AColombia
Deportivo Cali
Sep 2801:10
Águilas Doradas
Early projection
12.5639%
X3.7027%
22.9434%
Primera AColombia
Deportivo Pereira
Sep 2923:00
Santa Fe
Early projection
12.9434%
X3.7027%
22.5639%

Betting Tips

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