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  1. Home
  2. FA Cup
  3. Newmarket vs Canvey Island

Newmarket vs Canvey Island

Result • FA Cup·Newmarket·Canvey Island

FA Cup
FA Cup
Sep 8, 2026
18:45
low Confidence
Newmarket

Newmarket

Home
Final Score
0-1
Predicted: 1-0
Final Score
0-1
Predicted: 1-0
low Confidence
WINNER
Canvey Island

Canvey Island

Away
Win Probabilities
34%
Newmarket
32%
Draw
34%
Canvey Island
Home2.9434%
Draw3.1332%
Away2.9434%

Oracle's Vision

low Confidence
“

This FA Cup tie is a tight, evenly-matched contest with no clear favourite, as both teams show identical form and statistical profiles. The main risk is that the adverse weather conditions could lead to an unpredictable, low-quality match where a single moment decides the outcome.

Our AI model analyzes this FA Cup fixture between Newmarket and Canvey Island using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Newmarket a 34% win probability, a 32% chance of a draw, and Canvey Island a 34% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-0. Both teams to score probability: 67%. This prediction is rated as low confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 67%
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Strengths · Weaknesses

Newmarket

  • Unbeaten in last four matches
  • Solid defensive record with 1.8 goals conceded per game
  • Winless in last five matches, drawing frequently
  • No clean sheets in last five games

Canvey Island

  • Averaging 1.8 goals scored per game, showing attacking capability
  • Currently on a draw streak, indicating resilience
  • Conceding an average of 2.2 goals per game, defensive frailty
  • No clean sheets in last five matches

Combined Analysis

High Agreement
Betora AI
34%
API-Football
33%
34%
Canvey Island343334

Moderate agreement on home win (34%).

AI AnalysisLow Confidence

This FA Cup tie between Newmarket and Canvey Island is a tightly contested affair, with no clear favourite emerging from the available data. Both teams are evenly matched across all statistical categories, and the market reflects this with near-identical probabilities for each outcome. The most likely scenario is a closely fought match that could go either way, with a draw a very real possibility.

Form Analysis: Newmarket are on a four-match unbeaten streak, though their win rate over the last five games is 0%, indicating a series of draws. They average 1.8 goals scored and conceded per game, showing a balanced but not dominant profile. Canvey Island also average 1.8 goals scored but concede slightly more at 2.2 per game, and they are currently on a one-match draw streak. Neither side has kept a clean sheet in their last five outings, suggesting both defences are vulnerable.

Key Factors: The head-to-head record shows one draw from their last five meetings, with no wins for either side, reinforcing the notion of parity. The weather is expected to be challenging, with patchy rain and strong winds, which could level the playing field and favour a physical, direct style of play. With no significant injuries reported, both teams are likely to field their strongest available line-ups.

Conclusion: Given the lack of decisive evidence, this match is expected to be a tight, evenly-matched contest. The draw is a strong possibility, but a narrow victory for either side cannot be ruled out. The data suggests a low-scoring affair, with both teams finding the net a possibility.

Statistical Context

No predictions available

Team Comparison

AI Powered
NewmarketCanvey Island
50%Strength50%
50%Attacking Potential50%
50%Defensive Potential50%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
50%H2H Strength50%
50%Goals H2H50%
50%Wins the Game50%
Head-to-head →Injuries · NewmarketInjuries · Canvey IslandLive scores →

Statistical Context

Newmarket

D
  • DSep 5, 26A · Canvey Island1-1

Canvey Island

LD
  • LSep 19, 26H · Chelmsford City0-1
  • DSep 5, 26H · Newmarket1-1

Head to Head

0
Newmarket
1
Draws
0
Canvey Island
  • Sep 5, 26Canvey Island – Newmarket1-1

Season Statistics — 2026

NewmarketCanvey Island
Played12
Goals Scored12
Goals Conceded11
Avg Scored1.01.0
Avg Conceded1.00.5
Clean Sheets01

Newmarket vs Canvey Island — Match Analysis

This FA Cup tie is a tight, evenly-matched contest with no clear favourite, as both teams show identical form and statistical profiles. The main risk is that the adverse weather conditions could lead to an unpredictable, low-quality match where a single moment decides the outcome.

This FA Cup tie between Newmarket and Canvey Island is a tightly contested affair, with no clear favourite emerging from the available data. Both teams are evenly matched across all statistical categories, and the market reflects this with near-identical probabilities for each outcome. The most likely scenario is a closely fought match that could go either way, with a draw a very real possibility.

Form Analysis: Newmarket are on a four-match unbeaten streak, though their win rate over the last five games is 0%, indicating a series of draws. They average 1.8 goals scored and conceded per game, showing a balanced but not dominant profile. Canvey Island also average 1.8 goals scored but concede slightly more at 2.2 per game, and they are currently on a one-match draw streak. Neither side has kept a clean sheet in their last five outings, suggesting both defences are vulnerable.

Key Factors: The head-to-head record shows one draw from their last five meetings, with no wins for either side, reinforcing the notion of parity. The weather is expected to be challenging, with patchy rain and strong winds, which could level the playing field and favour a physical, direct style of play. With no significant injuries reported, both teams are likely to field their strongest available line-ups.

Conclusion: Given the lack of decisive evidence, this match is expected to be a tight, evenly-matched contest. The draw is a strong possibility, but a narrow victory for either side cannot be ruled out. The data suggests a low-scoring affair, with both teams finding the net a possibility.

Win Probabilities: Newmarket: 34% · Draw: 32% · Canvey Island: 34%

Predicted Score: 1-0 (9.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 65% · Under 2.5: 35% · BTTS: 67%

H2H: Newmarket wins: 0 · Draws: 1 · Canvey Island wins: 0

Form (latest first): Newmarket: D · Canvey Island: LD

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