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  1. Home
  2. Premier League
  3. Chelsea vs Bournemouth

Chelsea vs Bournemouth

Prediction • Premier League·Chelsea·Bournemouth

Premier League
Premier League
Oct 10, 2026
14:00
Early projection · Odds pending
PREDICTED WINNER
Chelsea

Chelsea

Home
VS
VS
Stadium
Stamford Bridge
Early projection · Odds pending
Bournemouth

Bournemouth

Away
Stadium
Stamford Bridge
Win Probabilities
47%
Chelsea
24%
Draw
29%
Bournemouth
Home2.1347%
Draw4.1724%
Away3.4529%

Oracle's Vision

Early projection
“

Chelsea are clear favourites at Stamford Bridge, backed by a perfect head-to-head record and superior recent form, while Bournemouth sit 15th and have never beaten the Blues in the last five meetings. The main risk is Chelsea's lengthy injury list and Bournemouth's three-match unbeaten run, which could make this tighter than expected.

See our exact score, over/under 2.5 and BTTS call for Chelsea vs Bournemouth.

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Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
4.0Chelsea
/10
4.0Bournemouth
Chelsea
FormLatest first
LDWLW
Win Rate40%
Bournemouth
FormLatest first
LWDWD
Win Rate40%
Momentum AdvantageEven Match

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

Chelsea
Home

Chelsea

Form
WWLDL
Latest first
4
Pos
69
Pts
+1
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 4 matches)

Clean Sheets00%
Goal Diff+1
  • Dominant head-to-head record with five wins in the last five meetings
  • Strong recent form with a 100% win rate in the last three matches
  • High attacking output averaging 3.2 goals scored per game
W. Fofana
Red Card
Suspended
M. Caicedo
Injury
Injured
E. Emegha
Injury
Injured
M. Sarr
Transfer negotiations
Injured
J. Henderson
Wrist Injury
Injured
M. Palestra
Injury
Injured
E. Fernandez
Coach's decision
Injured
M. Gusto
Injury
Injured
Joao Pedro
Injury
Injured
E. Martinez
Finger Injury
Injured
A. Anselmino
Inactive
Injured

Head to Head

Last 9
Chelsea
Chelsea
5Wins
4
Draws
Bournemouth
0Wins
Bournemouth
56%44%0%

Recent Matches

Last 9
Dec302025
ChelseaChelsea
2-2
Draw
BournemouthBournemouth
Dec62025
BournemouthBournemouth
0-0
Draw
ChelseaChelsea
Jan142025
ChelseaChelsea
2-2
Draw
BournemouthBournemouth
Sep142024
BournemouthBournemouth
0-1
Win
ChelseaChelsea
May192024
ChelseaChelsea
2-1
Win
BournemouthBournemouth
Sep172023
BournemouthBournemouth
0-0
Draw
ChelseaChelsea
May62023
BournemouthBournemouth
1-3
Win
ChelseaChelsea
Dec272022
ChelseaChelsea
2-0
Win
BournemouthBournemouth
Jul272021
BournemouthBournemouth
1-2
Win
ChelseaChelsea

Past Predictions

0%0/1 correct

Bournemouth 0 - 0 Chelsea

Dec 6, 2025

30% / 35% / 35%

Chelsea3-4-2-1vs4-2-3-1BournemouthPredicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Tactical matchup will test both managers' adaptability.

See the full predicted line-ups ↓

Injury Report

Current team availability status

Data Accuracy: Player availability is highly accurate (~90%), but specific injury diagnoses and recovery timelines may not reflect the latest medical updates (~70% accuracy).

Chelsea

11Out

10 key players

Bournemouth

14Out

13 key players

Chelsea

Team

Chelsea

Players Out

11(10 key)
W. Fofana

W. Fofana

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
M. Caicedo

M. Caicedo

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

E. Emegha

E. Emegha

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

M. Sarr

M. Sarr

MODERATE
Injury:Transfer negotiations

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

J. Henderson

J. Henderson

MODERATE
Injury:Wrist Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

M. Palestra

M. Palestra

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

E. Fernandez

E. Fernandez

MODERATE
Injury:Coach's decision

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

M. Gusto

M. Gusto

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Joao Pedro

Joao Pedro

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

E. Martinez

E. Martinez

MODERATE
Injury:Finger Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

A. Anselmino

A. Anselmino

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

Bournemouth

Team

Bournemouth

Players Out

14(13 key)
R. Christie

R. Christie

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
J. Araujo

J. Araujo

MODERATE
Injury:Thigh Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

E. J. Kroupi

E. J. Kroupi

MODERATE
Injury:Foot Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-8 weeks

T. Adams

T. Adams

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

A. Adli

A. Adli

MODERATE
Injury:Calf Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

D. Brooks

D. Brooks

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

V. Milosavljevic

V. Milosavljevic

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

M. Di Gregorio

M. Di Gregorio

MODERATE
Injury:Transfer negotiations

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

M. Aarons

M. Aarons

MODERATE
Injury:Off the roster

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

F. Forster

F. Forster

MODERATE
Injury:Off the roster

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

B. Gannon-Doak

B. Gannon-Doak

MODERATE
Injury:Off the roster

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

D. Jebbison

D. Jebbison

MODERATE
Injury:Off the roster

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

J. Sanchez

J. Sanchez

MODERATE
Injury:Off the roster

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

J. Soler

J. Soler

MODERATE
Injury:Lacking Match Fitness

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Premier League

League Statistics

Premier League • Standings & Top Performers

Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Manchester City
Manchester City
440082+612
2
Arsenal
Arsenal
540184+412
3
Brighton
Brighton
5311165+1110
4
Brentford
Brentford
5230104+69
5
Everton
Everton
523063+39
6
Leeds
Leeds
422073+48
7
Hull City
Hull City
522164+28
8
Newcastle
Newcastle
52219908
9
Chelsea
ChelseaHome
52121012-27
10
Liverpool
Liverpool
413064+26
11
Ipswich
Ipswich
5203711-46
12
Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
512245-15
13
Manchester United
Manchester United
41127704
14
Sunderland
Sunderland
411235-24
15
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
511349-54
16
Bournemouth
BournemouthAway
403167-13
17
Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace
4103611-53
18
Coventry
Coventry
5104110-93
19
Tottenham
Tottenham
502328-62
20
Fulham
Fulham
401347-31
Champions League
Relegation
HomeAway

Oracle's Vision

Early projection

Chelsea

Odds pending

Win Probabilities

47%Chelsea
24%Draw
29%Bournemouth

Key Markets

Predicted ScoreBTTSOver 2.5
KickoffSat, Oct 10 · 14:00
StadiumStamford Bridge
League StatsPremier League
Line-ups →Head-to-head →Injuries · ChelseaInjuries · BournemouthLive scores →

Statistical Context

Chelsea

LDWLW
  • LSep 18, 26A · Brentford3-0
  • DSep 12, 26H · Hull City2-2
  • WSep 9, 26H · Leeds6-3
  • LSep 6, 26A · Arsenal2-1
  • WAug 30, 26H · Brighton4-3

Bournemouth

LWDWD
  • LSep 20, 26H · Liverpool0-1
  • WSep 17, 26A · Real Sociedad1-2
  • DSep 12, 26H · Brentford2-2
  • WSep 8, 26H · Lincoln4-0
  • DSep 5, 26A · Newcastle2-2

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
8Newcastle508WLDWD
9Chelsea5-27LDLWW
10Liverpool4+26DWDD
11Ipswich5-46LWLLW
12Nottingham Forest5-15LWDDL
13Manchester United404LDWL
14Sunderland4-24LDWL
15Aston Villa5-54WLDLL
16Bournemouth4-13DDDL
17Crystal Palace4-53LWLL

Head to Head

5
Chelsea
4
Draws
0
Bournemouth
  • Dec 30, 25Chelsea – Bournemouth2-2
  • Dec 6, 25Bournemouth – Chelsea0-0
  • Jan 14, 25Chelsea – Bournemouth2-2
  • Sep 14, 24Bournemouth – Chelsea0-1
  • May 19, 24Chelsea – Bournemouth2-1

Season Statistics — 2026

ChelseaBournemouth
Played4—
Goals Scored10—
Goals Conceded9—
Avg Scored2.5—
Avg Conceded2.3—
Clean Sheets0—

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

ChelseaBournemouth
Over 2.5 Goals6/10—
Both Teams Scored5/10—
Clean Sheets5/10—

Predicted line-ups: Chelsea vs Bournemouth

Predicted XI

Chelsea

3-4-2-1Formation· Coach: Xabi Alonso

Bournemouth

4-2-3-1Formation· Coach: J. Woodgate

  1. 1Đ. Petrović
  1. 18B. Diakité
  2. 5J. Hill
  3. 14António Silva
  4. 3A. Truffert
  1. 24Juanlu Sánchez
  2. 4L. Cook
  1. 8A. Scott
  2. 16M. Tavernier
  3. 27A. Tóth
  1. 29D. Jebbison
  1. 9João Pedro
  1. 41Estêvão
  2. 11J. Bynoe-Gittens
  1. 4V. Barco
  2. 10C. Palmer
  3. 17M. Rogers
  4. 31R. Watson
  1. 34Joshua Kofi Acheampong
  2. 29Pep Chavarría
  3. 6L. Colwill
  1. 1E. Martínez

Bench

  • 39M. Penders
  • 27M. Gusto
  • 21J. Hato
  • 24R. James
  • 5M. Lacroix
  • 23Geovany Tcherno Quenda
  • 7Pedro Neto

Out

  • W. Fofana · Red Card
  • M. Caicedo · Injury
  • E. Emegha · Injury
  • M. Sarr · Transfer negotiations
  • J. Henderson · Wrist Injury
  • M. Palestra · Injury
  • E. Fernandez · Coach's decision
  • M. Gusto · Injury

Bench

  • 11B. Doak
  • 19J. Kluivert
  • 37Rayan
  • 30Á. Rodríguez
  • 1K. Crampton
  • 17F. Forster
  • 3M. Aarons

Out

  • R. Christie · Red Card
  • J. Araujo · Thigh Injury
  • E. J. Kroupi · Foot Injury
  • T. Adams · Injury
  • A. Adli · Calf Injury
  • D. Brooks · Injury
  • V. Milosavljevic · Injury
  • M. Di Gregorio · Transfer negotiations

Predicted line-ups based on recent matches and absences; official line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.

Chelsea vs Bournemouth — Expert Prediction & Analysis

Chelsea are clear favourites at Stamford Bridge, backed by a perfect head-to-head record and superior recent form, while Bournemouth sit 15th and have never beaten the Blues in the last five meetings. The main risk is Chelsea's lengthy injury list and Bournemouth's three-match unbeaten run, which could make this tighter than expected.

Chelsea enter this Stamford Bridge fixture as clear favourites, with the statistical model and the team-comparison data both pointing to a home win. The Blues sit 4th in the Premier League on 6 points…

Win Probabilities: Chelsea: 47% · Draw: 24% · Bournemouth: 29%

H2H: Chelsea wins: 5 · Draws: 4 · Bournemouth wins: 0

Form (latest first): Chelsea: LDWLW · Bournemouth: LWDWD

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X6.6715%
28.3312%
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Fulham
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X4.1724%
22.0848%
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23.5728%
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Tottenham
Early projection
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X5.5618%
25.5618%
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Crystal Palace
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25.0020%
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Liverpool
Oct 1115:30
Manchester City
Early projection
13.2331%
X4.0025%
22.2744%
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Premier LeagueEngland
Coventry
Oct 1219:00
Newcastle
Early projection
13.5728%
X4.3523%
22.0449%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
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Everton
Oct 1711:30
Chelsea
Early projection
12.5040%
X3.8526%
22.9434%
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Fulham
Oct 1714:00
Hull City
Early projection
13.0333%
X3.8526%
22.4441%
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Manchester City
Oct 1714:00
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Early projection
11.2381%
X8.3312%
214.297%
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Early projection
12.6338%
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Oct 1716:30
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Early projection
12.7836%
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Oct 1813:00
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Early projection
12.1746%
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23.3330%
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