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Matches
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  1. Home
  2. Coupe de France
  3. Lyon vs Lens

Lyon vs Lens

Result • Coupe de France·Lyon·Lens

Coupe de France
Coupe de France
Mar 5, 2026
20:10
low Confidence
DRAW
Lyon

Lyon

Home
Final Score
2-2
Predicted: 1-2
Final Score
2-2
Predicted: 1-2
Odds
12.80
X3.50
22.35
Stadium
Groupama Stadium
low Confidence
DRAW
Lens

Lens

Away
Odds
12.80
X3.50
22.35
Stadium
Groupama Stadium
Win Probabilities
33%
Lyon
27%
Draw
40%
Lens
Home2.8033%
Draw3.5027%
Away2.3540%

Oracle's Vision

low Confidence
“

The Oracle sees Lens's attacking flames burning brighter, piercing through Lyon's defensive shield. Ancient wisdom reveals momentum favoring the visitors in this cup clash.

Our AI model analyzes this Coupe de France fixture between Lyon and Lens using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Lyon a 33% win probability, a 27% chance of a draw, and Lens a 40% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-2. Both teams to score probability: 50%. This prediction is rated as low confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 50%

Match Events

  1. 23'
    Goal: F. ThauvinLens
    Goal: F. Thauvin
  2. 45+1'
    Goal: A. SimaLens · Assist: F. Thauvin
    Goal: A. SimaAssist: F. Thauvin
  3. 45+3'
    Yellow Card: O. EdouardLens
    Yellow Card: O. Edouard
  4. Yellow Card: N. Tagliafico
    45+3'
    Yellow Card: N. TagliaficoLyon
  5. 54'
    Yellow Card: M. UdolLens
    Yellow Card: M. Udol
  6. Substitution: R. HimbertOut: N. Tagliafico
    59'
    Substitution: R. HimbertLyon · Out: N. Tagliafico
  7. 64'
    Red Card: A. MasuakuLens
    Red Card: A. Masuaku
  8. Goal: R. YaremchukAssist: R. Himbert
    67'
    Goal: R. YaremchukLyon · Assist: R. Himbert
  9. Substitution: H. HateboerOut: A. Maitland-Niles
    69'
    Substitution: H. HateboerLyon · Out: A. Maitland-Niles
  10. 78'
    Yellow Card: N. CelikLens
    Yellow Card: N. Celik
  11. 78'
    Substitution: A. HaidaraLens · Out: O. Edouard
    Substitution: A. HaidaraOut: O. Edouard
  12. Substitution: A. KarabecOut: N. Nartey
    87'
    Substitution: A. KarabecLyon · Out: N. Nartey
  13. Goal: R. HimbertAssist: C. Tolisso
    90+4'
    Goal: R. HimbertLyon · Assist: C. Tolisso
  14. 90+6'
    Substitution: R. FofanaLens · Out: A. Sima
    Substitution: R. FofanaOut: A. Sima
  15. Penalty: A. Karabec (Penalty)Penalty shootout
    Penalty: A. Karabec (Penalty)Lyon · Penalty shootout
  16. Penalty: R. Fofana (Penalty)Lens · Penalty shootout
    Penalty: R. Fofana (Penalty)Penalty shootout
  17. Penalty: C. Tolisso (Penalty)Penalty shootout
    Penalty: C. Tolisso (Penalty)Lyon · Penalty shootout
  18. Penalty: S. Abdulhamid (Penalty)Lens · Penalty shootout
    Penalty: S. Abdulhamid (Penalty)Penalty shootout
  19. Penalty: T. Morton (Penalty)Penalty shootout
    Penalty: T. Morton (Penalty)Lyon · Penalty shootout
  20. Penalty: M. Udol (Penalty)Lens · Penalty shootout
    Penalty: M. Udol (Penalty)Penalty shootout
  21. Missed penalty: M. NiakhatePenalty shootout · Missed penalty
    Missed penalty: M. NiakhateLyon · Penalty shootout · Missed penalty
  22. Penalty: M. Sangare (Penalty)Lens · Penalty shootout
    Penalty: M. Sangare (Penalty)Penalty shootout
  23. Penalty: Endrick (Penalty)Penalty shootout
    Penalty: Endrick (Penalty)Lyon · Penalty shootout
  24. Penalty: F. Thauvin (Penalty)Lens · Penalty shootout
    Penalty: F. Thauvin (Penalty)Penalty shootout
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AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1C. Tolisso vs A. Thomasson: Midfield battle between Lyon's goal-scoring midfielder and Lens's creative assist provider.
2P. Šulc vs O. Édouard: Attacking duel between Lyon's top scorer and Lens's joint-top scorer, key for goal threats.
3Lyon's defense vs W. Saïd: Lyon's defensive unit must contain Lens's top scorer, who is doubtful but a significant threat if fit.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Lyon

  • Strong defense with 3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
  • Home advantage with a rating of 0.55
  • Current 2-loss streak indicating poor momentum
  • Lower average goals scored (1.6) compared to Lens

Lens

  • High attacking output with 10 goals in last 5 matches
  • Better recent form with DLWWW and no key injuries
  • Weaker defensive record with only 1 clean sheet in last 5
  • Away from home, though home advantage for Lyon is moderate
Head-to-head →Injuries · LyonInjuries · LensLive scores →

Statistical Context

Lyon

WDWDL
  • WSep 16, 26A · Anderlecht1-2
  • DSep 12, 26A · Paris FC0-0
  • WSep 4, 26H · Auxerre3-1
  • DAug 29, 26H · Le Havre1-1
  • LAug 26, 26H · Fenerbahçe1-2

Lens

LDWLL
  • LSep 18, 26A · Monaco2-1
  • DSep 13, 26A · Le Mans2-2
  • WSep 10, 26A · Slavia Praha2-3
  • LSep 5, 26H · Lorient0-1
  • LAug 29, 26A · Strasbourg2-1

Head to Head

3
Lyon
3
Draws
4
Lens
  • Mar 5, 26Lyon – Lens2-2
  • Aug 16, 25Lens – Lyon0-1
  • May 4, 25Lyon – Lens1-2
  • Sep 15, 24Lens – Lyon0-0
  • Mar 3, 24Lyon – Lens0-3

Season Statistics — 2026

LyonLens
Played—4
Goals Scored—8
Goals Conceded—7
Avg Scored—2.0
Avg Conceded—1.8
Clean Sheets—0

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

LyonLens
Over 2.5 Goals5/10—
Both Teams Scored3/10—
Clean Sheets5/10—

Lyon vs Lens — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees Lens's attacking flames burning brighter, piercing through Lyon's defensive shield. Ancient wisdom reveals momentum favoring the visitors in this cup clash.

Based on the data, Lens is predicted to win this Coupe de France match against Lyon, with a slight edge indicated by market probabilities (40% away win vs. 33% home win) and supported by the API-Football model (45% away win and predicted winner as Lens).

Form Analysis: Lyon has a form of LLWWW with 2 consecutive losses, scoring 7 goals and conceding 1 in the last 5 matches, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded, and keeping 3 clean sheets. Lens has a form of DLWWW with 1 draw streak, scoring 10 goals and conceding 3, averaging 3.0 goals scored and 1.4 conceded, and keeping 1 clean sheet. Lens shows stronger recent attacking form, while Lyon has defensive solidity.

Key Factors: 1. Lens's superior recent attacking performance, averaging 3.0 goals per match compared to Lyon's 1.6. 2. Lyon's current 2-loss streak indicates potential momentum issues. 3. Lens has no key injuries affecting their top scorers, with W. Said only doubtful due to illness, while Lyon has no players out.

Conclusion: The data points to Lens as the favorite, with their better form and no significant injury setbacks outweighing Lyon's home advantage and defensive record.

Win Probabilities: Lyon: 33% · Draw: 27% · Lens: 40%

Predicted Score: 1-2 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 55% · Under 2.5: 45% · BTTS: 50%

H2H: Lyon wins: 3 · Draws: 3 · Lens wins: 4

Form (latest first): Lyon: WDWDL · Lens: LDWLL

  • C. Tolisso vs A. Thomasson: Midfield battle between Lyon's goal-scoring midfielder and Lens's creative assist provider.
  • P. Šulc vs O. Édouard: Attacking duel between Lyon's top scorer and Lens's joint-top scorer, key for goal threats.
  • Lyon's defense vs W. Saïd: Lyon's defensive unit must contain Lens's top scorer, who is doubtful but a significant threat if fit.

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