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  1. Home
  2. Serie C Girone A
  3. Novara vs Pergolettese

Novara vs Pergolettese

Result • Serie C Girone A·Novara·Pergolettese

Serie C Girone A
Serie C Girone A
Sep 13, 2026
19:00
medium Confidence
Novara

Novara

Home
Final Score
0-1
Predicted: 1-0
Final Score
0-1
Predicted: 1-0
Odds
12.00
X2.88
23.50
Stadium
Stadio Silvio Piola
medium Confidence
WINNER
Pergolettese

Pergolettese

Away
Odds
12.00
X2.88
23.50
Stadium
Stadio Silvio Piola
Win Probabilities
50%
Novara
27%
Draw
23%
Pergolettese
Home2.0050%
Draw2.8827%
Away3.5023%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

Novara are favoured at 52%; our projected score is 1-0.

Our AI model analyzes this Serie C Girone A fixture between Novara and Pergolettese using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Novara a 50% win probability, a 27% chance of a draw, and Pergolettese a 23% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-0. Both teams to score probability: 38%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 38%

Match Events

  1. 27'
    Goal: A. PalaPergolettese · Assist: E. Zaia
    Goal: A. PalaAssist: E. Zaia
  2. Substitution: S. LarteyOut: A. Valdesi
    46'
    Substitution: S. LarteyNovara · Out: A. Valdesi
  3. Yellow Card: G. Basso
    61'
    Yellow Card: G. BassoNovara
  4. Substitution: E. LaniniOut: M. Romano
    64'
    Substitution: E. LaniniNovara · Out: M. Romano
  5. Substitution: M. NichettiOut: G. Basso
    64'
    Substitution: M. NichettiNovara · Out: G. Basso
  6. 69'
    Substitution: R. StronatiPergolettese · Out: A. Pala
    Substitution: R. StronatiOut: A. Pala
  7. Yellow Card: N. Ledonne
    69'
    Yellow Card: N. LedonneNovara
  8. Yellow Card: F. Lorenzini
    70'
    Yellow Card: F. LorenziniNovara
  9. Substitution: C. DonadioOut: E. Zambataro
    74'
    Substitution: C. DonadioNovara · Out: E. Zambataro
  10. 75'
    Yellow Card: R. StronatiPergolettese
    Yellow Card: R. Stronati
  11. Yellow Card: M. Miceli
    77'
    Yellow Card: M. MiceliNovara
  12. 77'
    Substitution: D. FerrandinoPergolettese · Out: C. Evangelista
    Substitution: D. FerrandinoOut: C. Evangelista
  13. 78'
    Substitution: M. RossettiPergolettese · Out: N. Corti
    Substitution: M. RossettiOut: N. Corti
  14. 86'
    Substitution: L. RoversiPergolettese · Out: J. Antolini
    Substitution: L. RoversiOut: J. Antolini
  15. 86'
    Substitution: A. OrlandiPergolettese · Out: Z. Jaouhari
    Substitution: A. OrlandiOut: Z. Jaouhari
  16. Substitution: C. da GracaOut: N. Ledonne
    88'
    Substitution: C. da GracaNovara · Out: N. Ledonne
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Head-to-head →Injuries · NovaraInjuries · PergoletteseLive scores →

Statistical Context

Novara

DDW
  • DSep 20, 26H · Athletic Carpi2-2
  • DSep 17, 26A · Lumezzane0-0
  • WSep 7, 26A · Renate1-2

Pergolettese

DDD
  • DSep 20, 26A · Lecco0-0
  • DSep 17, 26H · Folgore Caratese0-0
  • DSep 6, 26A · Juventus U230-0

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
12Athletic Carpi6-26DDLWD
13Novara6-16DDLWD
14Desenzano Calvina6-26DLWLD
15Pergolettese6-26DDWDL
16Juventus U236-65LLLDD

Novara vs Pergolettese — Match Analysis

Novara are favoured at 52%; our projected score is 1-0.

Novara host Pergolettese in the Serie C Girone A on Sunday, 13 September 2026. Our model makes Novara the favourite at 52%, with the draw at 26% and Pergolettese at 22%.

Form and league position

Novara sit 9th of 20 with 4 points from 3 games (4 scored, 4 conceded). Pergolettese sit 18th of 20 with 1 points from 3 games (0 scored, 3 conceded).

Head-to-head record

There is no recent head-to-head history between these two in our records, so past meetings carry no weight in this projection.

Goals outlook

Attack-versus-defence rates give an expected score of 1.0–0.8, about 1.9 goals in total. That puts Over 2.5 goals at 29% and both teams to score at 38%.

Team news

No injuries or suspensions are reported for either squad.

What the market says

Bookmakers price Novara at 1.87, the draw at 3.12 and Pergolettese at 4.05; those prices are blended into the probabilities above.

Prediction

Novara to win (52%), most likely score 1-0.

This preview is a model projection built from league standings, recent form, goal rates, reported absences and, where available, bookmaker prices. It is refreshed automatically as new data arrives.

Win Probabilities: Novara: 50% · Draw: 27% · Pergolettese: 23%

Predicted Score: 1-0 (14.5% chance)

Over 2.5: 29% · Under 2.5: 71% · BTTS: 38%

Form (latest first): Novara: DDW · Pergolettese: DDD

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Serie C Girone A

Serie C Girone A

Italy15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Serie C Girone AItaly
Giana Erminio
Sep 2612:30
PRO Vercelli
13.0333%
X3.8526%
22.4441%
Serie C Girone AItaly
Lumezzane
Sep 2612:30
Folgore Caratese
12.1746%
X4.1724%
23.3330%
Serie C Girone AItaly
Pergolettese
Sep 2612:30
Trento
13.8526%
X4.5522%
21.9252%
Serie C Girone AItaly
Novara
Sep 2615:30
Ospitaletto
13.8526%
X4.5522%
21.9252%
Serie C Girone AItaly
Desenzano Calvina
Sep 2615:30
Juventus U23
13.1332%
X3.8526%
22.3842%
Serie C Girone AItaly
Cittadella
Sep 2618:30
Lecco
11.3773%
X6.6715%
28.3312%
Serie C Girone AItaly
Union Brescia
Sep 2712:30
Dolomiti Bellunesi
11.8255%
X4.7621%
24.1724%
Serie C Girone AItaly
Renate
Sep 2715:30
Treviso
13.1332%
X4.0025%
22.3343%
Serie C Girone AItaly
Athletic Carpi
Sep 2715:30
Arzignano Valchiampo
12.1746%
X4.1724%
23.3330%
Serie C Girone AItaly
Albinoleffe
Sep 2718:30
Alcione
12.7836%
X3.5728%
22.7836%
Serie C Girone AItaly
Cittadella
Oct 312:30
Albinoleffe
11.4569%
X6.2516%
26.6715%
Serie C Girone AItaly
Arzignano Valchiampo
Oct 315:30
Pergolettese
11.6959%
X5.0020%
24.7621%
Serie C Girone AItaly
PRO Vercelli
Oct 318:30
Athletic Carpi
12.6338%
X3.7027%
22.8635%
Serie C Girone AItaly
Folgore Caratese
Oct 318:30
Desenzano Calvina
12.1347%
X4.1724%
23.4529%
Serie C Girone AItaly
Ospitaletto
Oct 318:30
Renate
11.3972%
X6.6715%
27.6913%

Betting Tips

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