Premier League table 2026/27

After matchday 3 · Projected from 2,000 season simulations · updated Sep 10, 10:40

#TeamPGDPtsFormProj. ptsTitleTop 4Relegation
1Arsenal3+59WWW77
55%
98%
0%
2Manchester City3+59WWW74
33%
94%
0%
3Hull City3+37DWW67
9%
75%
0%
4Manchester United3+14DWL63
2%
48%
0%
5Liverpool3+25WDD57
1%
20%
1%
6Aston Villa3-51DLL55
0%
13%
3%
7Chelsea3+16LWW53
0%
11%
4%
8Brentford3+35DDW53
0%
8%
4%
9Brighton3+34DLW52
0%
8%
4%
10Bournemouth3-12DDL52
0%
6%
5%
11Sunderland304DWL51
0%
6%
5%
12Everton3+25DDW50
0%
4%
7%
13Newcastle3+25DWD50
0%
4%
8%
14Leeds3+15DDW48
0%
3%
11%
15Fulham3-30LLL46
0%
2%
19%
16Crystal Palace3-43WLL45
0%
1%
24%
17Nottingham Forest3-12DDL44
0%
1%
26%
18Ipswich3-43LLW42
0%
0%
40%
19Tottenham3-51DLL41
0%
0%
44%
20Coventry3-50LLL28
0%
0%
96%
Champions League (1–4) Europa / Conference (56) Relegation (1820)Probabilities re-run after every result.
Title race
55%Arsenal

Manchester City 33% · Hull City 9% · field 4%

Title-race tracker
This weekend's swing match

Sunderland vs Arsenal · Sat 19:00

A Arsenal win moves their title odds to 58%.

Prediction
Matchday 4 predictions

10 matches · 0 free picks

Every fixture with 1X2, score and over/under calls.

Round 4 predictions

About the Premier League table

How is the projected Premier League table calculated?

We simulate the remaining Premier League fixtures 2,000 times using team-strength ratings built from results, goal difference and form, then average where each club finishes.

How often does it update?

The standings update after every match and the projection is re-run within an hour.

Who wins the Premier League 2026/27?

Arsenal are the model's favourite at 54.6% right now, with Manchester City second on 33.3%.