Premier League table 2026/27

After matchday 8 · Projected from 2,000 season simulations · updated Oct 26, 10:49

#TeamPGDPtsFormProj. ptsTitleTop 4Relegation
1Manchester City8+1121LWWWW87
57%
100%
0%
2Arsenal8+821WWWLW85
40%
100%
0%
3Brighton8+1616LWWWW76
4%
97%
0%
4Liverpool8+315WWLWD67
0%
67%
0%
5Chelsea8+213LWWLD60
0%
19%
0%
6Brentford8+511DLDWD55
0%
6%
0%
7Leeds8+311DDLDW55
0%
4%
0%
8Newcastle8-211WLLWL52
0%
2%
1%
9Aston Villa8-311WWDWL51
0%
2%
1%
10Hull City8+110DLDLD50
0%
1%
1%
11Everton8-110LLDWD49
0%
1%
2%
12Ipswich8-410DLWLW48
0%
1%
3%
13Bournemouth8-19WWLLD47
0%
0%
5%
14Tottenham8-29WWDLD46
0%
0%
6%
15Fulham8-28WWLDD43
0%
0%
13%
16Manchester United8-37LDDDL40
0%
0%
26%
17Crystal Palace8-107LLWDL37
0%
0%
48%
18Nottingham Forest8-46DLLLW37
0%
0%
49%
19Coventry8-96LLWWL34
0%
0%
66%
20Sunderland8-85DLLLL32
0%
0%
79%
Champions League (1–4) Europa / Conference (5–6) Relegation (18–20)Probabilities re-run after every result.
Title race
57%Manchester City

Arsenal 40% · Brighton 4% · field 0%

Title-race tracker →
This weekend's swing match

Manchester City vs Brighton · Sat 15:00

A Manchester City win moves their title odds to 60%.

Prediction →
Matchday 9 predictions

10 matches · 0 free picks

Every fixture with 1X2, score and over/under calls.

Round 9 predictions

About the Premier League table

How is the projected Premier League table calculated?

We simulate the remaining Premier League fixtures 2,000 times using team-strength ratings built from results, goal difference and form, then average where each club finishes.

How often does it update?

The standings update after every match and the projection is re-run within an hour.

Who wins the Premier League 2026/27?

Manchester City are the model's favourite at 56.6% right now, with Arsenal second on 39.7%.