Liga 3 table 2026/27
After matchday 7 · Projected from 2,000 season simulations · updated Oct 25, 10:41
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Form | Proj. pts | Title | Top 4 | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CF Os Belenenses | 6 | +11 | 16 | DWWWW | 88 | 81% | 100% | 0% |
| 1 | Paredes | 7 | +8 | 16 | WDWWL | 79 | 12% | 99% | 0% |
| 2 | Atlético CP | 6 | +8 | 13 | WLWWD | 77 | 7% | 98% | 0% |
| 2 | Leça | 7 | 0 | 10 | LWWLW | 54 | 0% | 8% | 1% |
| 3 | AD Marco 09 | 6 | +1 | 10 | LWDWL | 61 | 0% | 31% | 0% |
| 3 | Oliveirense | 7 | 0 | 10 | DDWLW | 54 | 0% | 7% | 1% |
| 4 | Vianense | 6 | +1 | 9 | DWDLW | 57 | 0% | 12% | 0% |
| 4 | Mafra | 7 | +4 | 9 | DDLWL | 53 | 0% | 5% | 1% |
| 5 | Fafe | 6 | +4 | 9 | DLWDW | 59 | 0% | 23% | 0% |
| 5 | Caldas | 7 | -3 | 8 | DLWWL | 46 | 0% | 0% | 8% |
| 6 | Varzim | 6 | +2 | 9 | LLLWW | 57 | 0% | 15% | 0% |
| 6 | União Santarém | 6 | -4 | 7 | WWLLD | 45 | 0% | 0% | 10% |
| 7 | Louletano | 6 | -1 | 7 | LLWWL | 47 | 0% | 1% | 6% |
| 7 | Pacos Ferreira | 7 | -3 | 8 | WWDDL | 46 | 0% | 0% | 8% |
| 8 | São João Ver | 6 | -2 | 6 | WDDLL | 43 | 0% | 0% | 16% |
| 8 | SC Covilha | 6 | -2 | 6 | DDLLD | 43 | 0% | 0% | 17% |
| 9 | Guimaraes B | 6 | -2 | 5 | LLDDW | 40 | 0% | 0% | 36% |
| 9 | Lusitano Évora 1911 | 7 | -4 | 6 | DLDLW | 39 | 0% | 0% | 39% |
| 10 | Trofense | 7 | -9 | 5 | LDLDW | 33 | 0% | 0% | 76% |
| 10 | Vitória de Sernache | 6 | -9 | 4 | WLLLD | 32 | 0% | 0% | 83% |
Champions League (1–4) Europa / Conference (5–6) Relegation (18–20)Probabilities re-run after every result.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Form | Proj. pts | Title | Top 4 | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CF Os Belenenses | 6 | +11 | 16 | DWWWW | 88 | 81% | 100% | 0% |
| 2 | Paredes | 7 | +8 | 16 | WDWWL | 79 | 12% | 99% | 0% |
| 3 | Atlético CP | 6 | +8 | 13 | WLWWD | 77 | 7% | 98% | 0% |
| 4 | AD Marco 09 | 6 | +1 | 10 | LWDWL | 61 | 0% | 31% | 0% |
| 5 | Fafe | 6 | +4 | 9 | DLWDW | 59 | 0% | 23% | 0% |
| 6 | Varzim | 6 | +2 | 9 | LLLWW | 57 | 0% | 15% | 0% |
| 7 | Vianense | 6 | +1 | 9 | DWDLW | 57 | 0% | 12% | 0% |
| 8 | Leça | 7 | 0 | 10 | LWWLW | 54 | 0% | 8% | 1% |
| 9 | Oliveirense | 7 | 0 | 10 | DDWLW | 54 | 0% | 7% | 1% |
| 10 | Mafra | 7 | +4 | 9 | DDLWL | 53 | 0% | 5% | 1% |
| 11 | Louletano | 6 | -1 | 7 | LLWWL | 47 | 0% | 1% | 6% |
| 12 | Caldas | 7 | -3 | 8 | DLWWL | 46 | 0% | 0% | 8% |
| 13 | Pacos Ferreira | 7 | -3 | 8 | WWDDL | 46 | 0% | 0% | 8% |
| 14 | União Santarém | 6 | -4 | 7 | WWLLD | 45 | 0% | 0% | 10% |
| 15 | São João Ver | 6 | -2 | 6 | WDDLL | 43 | 0% | 0% | 16% |
| 16 | SC Covilha | 6 | -2 | 6 | DDLLD | 43 | 0% | 0% | 17% |
| 17 | Guimaraes B | 6 | -2 | 5 | LLDDW | 40 | 0% | 0% | 36% |
| 18 | Lusitano Évora 1911 | 7 | -4 | 6 | DLDLW | 39 | 0% | 0% | 39% |
| 19 | Trofense | 7 | -9 | 5 | LDLDW | 33 | 0% | 0% | 76% |
| 20 | Vitória de Sernache | 6 | -9 | 4 | WLLLD | 32 | 0% | 0% | 83% |
Champions League (1–4) Europa / Conference (5–6) Relegation (18–20)Probabilities re-run after every result.
This weekend's swing match
CF Os Belenenses vs SC Covilha · Sun 15:00
A CF Os Belenenses win moves their title odds to 82%.
Prediction →Matchday 7 predictions
10 matches · 0 free picks
Every fixture with 1X2, score and over/under calls.
Round 7 predictionsAbout the Liga 3 table
How is the projected Liga 3 table calculated?
We simulate the remaining Liga 3 fixtures 2,000 times using team-strength ratings built from results, goal difference and form, then average where each club finishes.
How often does it update?
The standings update after every match and the projection is re-run within an hour.
Who wins the Liga 3 2026/27?
CF Os Belenenses are the model's favourite at 81.3% right now, with Paredes second on 11.5%.



















