Liga 3 · 2026/27
Liga 3 Matchday 7 predictions
10 fixtures from October 23 to October 25. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.
Kick-off times in UTC
Match of the round
Sunday, October 25 · 11:00
Every fixture this round
Friday, October 23
1X2
Saturday, October 24
1X2
Liga 3 Matchday 7 runs from October 23 to October 25 with 10 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.
The safest pick of the round is CF Os Belenenses - SC Covilha: CF Os Belenenses to win at 75%. The tightest match is Pacos Ferreira - Leça, where no outcome clears 40%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.
Match by match
- Pacos Ferreira 1–0 Leça, October 23: the model's pick was Leça to win (40%) and it missed.
- Caldas 3–3 Mafra, October 24: the model's pick was Mafra to win (41%) and it missed.
- Lusitano Évora 1911 2–2 Oliveirense, October 24: the model's pick was Lusitano Évora 1911 to win (42%) and it missed.
- Paredes 4–0 Trofense, October 24: the model's pick was Paredes to win (72%) and it came in.
- AD Marco 09 0–0 Fafe, October 25: the model's pick was AD Marco 09 to win (46%) and it missed.
- Louletano 2–2 Atlético CP, October 25: the model's pick was Atlético CP to win (44%) and it missed.
- Vianense 1–3 São João Ver, October 25: the model's pick was Vianense to win (43%) and it missed.
- CF Os Belenenses 1–1 SC Covilha, October 25: the model's pick was CF Os Belenenses to win (75%) and it missed.
- Varzim 2–4 Guimaraes B, October 25: the model's pick was Varzim to win (48%) and it missed.
- União Santarém 2–1 Vitória de Sernache, October 25: the model's pick was União Santarém to win (49%) and it came in.
Matchday 7 FAQ
When is Liga 3 Matchday 7 played?
From October 23 to October 25. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.
What is the safest pick of Matchday 7?
CF Os Belenenses - SC Covilha: CF Os Belenenses to win at 75% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.
How are these predictions calculated?
Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.
Do the predictions change before kick-off?
Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.