Primera RFEF Grupo 1 table 2026/27
After matchday 8 · Projected from 2,000 season simulations · updated Oct 21, 20:57
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Form | Proj. pts | Title | Top 4 | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lugo | 8 | +11 | 22 | WWWWW | 89 | 96% | 100% | 0% |
| 2 |  UD Logroñés | 8 | +6 | 17 | DLWWD | 73 | 3% | 94% | 0% |
| 3 |  Racing Ferrol | 8 | +4 | 16 | WWWLW | 70 | 1% | 88% | 0% |
| 4 |  Mérida AD | 8 | +3 | 12 | WWWLL | 57 | 0% | 19% | 0% |
| 5 |  Athletic Club II | 8 | +3 | 12 | LDLWD | 57 | 0% | 18% | 0% |
| 6 |  Zamora | 8 | +2 | 12 | DDWWL | 57 | 0% | 16% | 0% |
| 7 |  Cultural Leonesa | 8 | +2 | 12 | DWLDW | 57 | 0% | 15% | 0% |
| 8 |  Cacereño | 8 | +2 | 12 | LDLDW | 56 | 0% | 15% | 0% |
| 9 |  Ponferradina | 8 | 0 | 12 | DLWDW | 56 | 0% | 12% | 1% |
| 10 |  Real Avilés | 8 | +4 | 11 | WWLDD | 54 | 0% | 8% | 0% |
| 11 |  Pontevedra | 8 | 0 | 11 | WLLDD | 53 | 0% | 5% | 1% |
| 12 |  Mirandes | 8 | 0 | 11 | LDLWD | 53 | 0% | 6% | 1% |
| 13 |  Real Unión | 8 | +2 | 10 | DDDLD | 51 | 0% | 3% | 3% |
| 14 |  Extremadura 1924 | 8 | +1 | 10 | DWWLL | 50 | 0% | 3% | 3% |
| 15 |  Barakaldo | 8 | -2 | 9 | WLDDL | 46 | 0% | 0% | 10% |
| 16 |  Deportivo La Coruña II | 8 | -3 | 8 | LLLWD | 43 | 0% | 0% | 22% |
| 17 |  CD Coria | 8 | -4 | 8 | WLLDD | 42 | 0% | 0% | 25% |
| 18 |  Unionistas de Salamanca | 8 | -4 | 7 | LDWLW | 39 | 0% | 0% | 44% |
| 19 |  UD Ourense | 8 | -10 | 5 | LWDDL | 31 | 0% | 0% | 90% |
| 20 |  Arenas Getxo | 8 | -17 | 2 | LLDLL | 21 | 0% | 0% | 100% |
Champions League (1–4) Europa / Conference (5–6) Relegation (18–20)Probabilities re-run after every result.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Form | Proj. pts | Title | Top 4 | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lugo | 8 | +11 | 22 | WWWWW | 89 | 96% | 100% | 0% |
| 2 | UD Logroñés | 8 | +6 | 17 | DLWWD | 73 | 3% | 94% | 0% |
| 3 | Racing Ferrol | 8 | +4 | 16 | WWWLW | 70 | 1% | 88% | 0% |
| 4 | Mérida AD | 8 | +3 | 12 | WWWLL | 57 | 0% | 19% | 0% |
| 5 | Athletic Club II | 8 | +3 | 12 | LDLWD | 57 | 0% | 18% | 0% |
| 6 | Zamora | 8 | +2 | 12 | DDWWL | 57 | 0% | 16% | 0% |
| 7 | Cultural Leonesa | 8 | +2 | 12 | DWLDW | 57 | 0% | 15% | 0% |
| 8 | Cacereño | 8 | +2 | 12 | LDLDW | 56 | 0% | 15% | 0% |
| 9 | Ponferradina | 8 | 0 | 12 | DLWDW | 56 | 0% | 12% | 1% |
| 10 | Real Avilés | 8 | +4 | 11 | WWLDD | 54 | 0% | 8% | 0% |
| 11 | Mirandes | 8 | 0 | 11 | LDLWD | 53 | 0% | 6% | 1% |
| 12 | Pontevedra | 8 | 0 | 11 | WLLDD | 53 | 0% | 5% | 1% |
| 13 | Real Unión | 8 | +2 | 10 | DDDLD | 51 | 0% | 3% | 3% |
| 14 | Extremadura 1924 | 8 | +1 | 10 | DWWLL | 50 | 0% | 3% | 3% |
| 15 | Barakaldo | 8 | -2 | 9 | WLDDL | 46 | 0% | 0% | 10% |
| 16 | Deportivo La Coruña II | 8 | -3 | 8 | LLLWD | 43 | 0% | 0% | 22% |
| 17 | CD Coria | 8 | -4 | 8 | WLLDD | 42 | 0% | 0% | 25% |
| 18 | Unionistas de Salamanca | 8 | -4 | 7 | LDWLW | 39 | 0% | 0% | 44% |
| 19 | UD Ourense | 8 | -10 | 5 | LWDDL | 31 | 0% | 0% | 90% |
| 20 | Arenas Getxo | 8 | -17 | 2 | LLDLL | 21 | 0% | 0% | 100% |
Champions League (1–4) Europa / Conference (5–6) Relegation (18–20)Probabilities re-run after every result.
This weekend's swing match
Real Unión vs Lugo · Fri 17:00
A Lugo win moves their title odds to 97%.
Prediction →About the Primera RFEF Grupo 1 table
How is the projected Primera RFEF Grupo 1 table calculated?
We simulate the remaining Primera RFEF Grupo 1 fixtures 2,000 times using team-strength ratings built from results, goal difference and form, then average where each club finishes.
How often does it update?
The standings update after every match and the projection is re-run within an hour.
Who wins the Primera RFEF Grupo 1 2026/27?
Lugo are the model's favourite at 96% right now, with UD Logroñés second on 3.1%.