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  1. Home
  2. Série A
  3. Corinthians vs Sao Paulo

Corinthians vs Sao Paulo

Result • Série A·Corinthians·Sao Paulo

Série A
Série A
May 10, 2026
21:30
medium Confidence
WINNER
Corinthians

Corinthians

Home
Final Score
3-2
Predicted: 1-0
Final Score
3-2
Predicted: 1-0
Odds
11.95
X3.20
24.10
Stadium
Neo Química Arena
medium Confidence
Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo

Away
Odds
11.95
X3.20
24.10
Stadium
Neo Química Arena
Win Probabilities
35%
Corinthians
34%
Draw
31%
Sao Paulo
Home1.9535%
Draw3.2034%
Away4.1031%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

The Oracle sees a tight contest at Neo Quimica Arena, where Corinthians' defensive resolve meets Sao Paulo's attacking flair. A low-scoring affair favors the home side.

Our AI model analyzes this Série A fixture between Corinthians and Sao Paulo using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Corinthians a 35% win probability, a 34% chance of a draw, and Sao Paulo a 31% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-0. Both teams to score probability: 40%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 40%
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1Gustavo Henrique vs Arboleda: Corinthians' top scorer against Sao Paulo's central defender, key to breaking the deadlock.
2R. Garro vs Alisson: Midfield battle between Corinthians' playmaker and Sao Paulo's defensive midfielder.
3J. Calleri vs Cacá: Sao Paulo's leading scorer against Corinthians' center-back, a duel that could decide the match.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Corinthians

  • Defensive organization (3 clean sheets in last 5)
  • Home advantage at Neo Quimica Arena
  • Low league position (17th)
  • Inconsistent form (LWDDL)

Sao Paulo

  • Strong league position (4th)
  • Excellent defense (4 clean sheets in last 5)
  • Failed to score in 2 of last 5 games
  • Away form inconsistent

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
35%
API-Football
45%
40%
Draw234038

Models disagree significantly. Suggests draw (40%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisMedium Confidence

The predicted outcome is a home win for Corinthians, based on market probabilities and home advantage.

Form Analysis: Corinthians have 3 clean sheets in last 5 games, showing defensive solidity, while Sao Paulo have 4 clean sheets but failed to score in 2 of last 5. Both teams have similar recent form (LWDDL vs DWLLW), but Corinthians have a slight edge in goals scored (1.2 vs 0.8 avg).

Key Factors: (1) Home advantage at Neo Quimica Arena, with Corinthians' home record strong. (2) Head-to-head favors Sao Paulo (6 wins in last 13), but recent meetings show balance (2 wins each in last 5). (3) Injuries: both teams have doubtful players, but no confirmed key absentees. (4) Standings: Sao Paulo is 4th, Corinthians 17th, but form and home advantage level the field.

Conclusion: Market odds imply a close match with slight home favoritism. Corinthians' defense and home support give them an edge, but Sao Paulo's quality cannot be ignored. A low-scoring draw or narrow home win is most likely.

Statistical ContextSao Paulo

Combo Double chance : draw or Sao Paulo and -3.5 goals

Team Comparison

AI Powered
CorinthiansSao Paulo
40%Strength59%
20%Attacking Potential80%
70%Defensive Potential30%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
29%H2H Strength71%
38%Goals H2H63%
40%Wins the Game59%
Line-ups →Head-to-head →Injuries · CorinthiansInjuries · Sao Paulo</> Embed this prediction

Statistical Context

Corinthians

DLLLW
  • DSep 10, 26A · Estudiantes L.P.1-1
  • LSep 6, 26H · Chapecoense-sc1-2
  • LAug 30, 26H · Santos0-1
  • LAug 23, 26A · Coritiba2-1
  • WAug 21, 26H · Rosario Central1-0

Sao Paulo

LLWWL
  • LSep 12, 26A · Palmeiras2-0
  • LSep 9, 26A · Boca Juniors1-0
  • WSep 5, 26H · Atletico-MG2-0
  • WAug 29, 26H · RB Bragantino2-1
  • LAug 23, 26A · Chapecoense-sc1-0

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
9RB Bragantino25+335LLWDL
10Sao Paulo25+333WWLDL
11Vitoria26-1232WLLWL
12Corinthians26032LLLLW
13Santos25-132WWDWL

Head to Head

6
Corinthians
2
Draws
2
Sao Paulo
  • Jan 18, 26Corinthians – Sao Paulo1-1
  • Nov 20, 25Corinthians – Sao Paulo3-1
  • Jul 20, 25Sao Paulo – Corinthians2-0
  • Jan 26, 25Sao Paulo – Corinthians3-1
  • Sep 29, 24Sao Paulo – Corinthians3-1

Season Statistics — 2026

CorinthiansSao Paulo
Played825
Goals Scored931
Goals Conceded428
Avg Scored1.11.2
Avg Conceded0.51.1
Clean Sheets55

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

CorinthiansSao Paulo
Over 2.5 Goals—6/10
Both Teams Scored—4/10
Clean Sheets—2/10

Corinthians vs Sao Paulo — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees a tight contest at Neo Quimica Arena, where Corinthians' defensive resolve meets Sao Paulo's attacking flair. A low-scoring affair favors the home side.

The predicted outcome is a home win for Corinthians, based on market probabilities and home advantage.

Form Analysis: Corinthians have 3 clean sheets in last 5 games, showing defensive solidity, while Sao Paulo have 4 clean sheets but failed to score in 2 of last 5. Both teams have similar recent form (LWDDL vs DWLLW), but Corinthians have a slight edge in goals scored (1.2 vs 0.8 avg).

Key Factors: (1) Home advantage at Neo Quimica Arena, with Corinthians' home record strong. (2) Head-to-head favors Sao Paulo (6 wins in last 13), but recent meetings show balance (2 wins each in last 5). (3) Injuries: both teams have doubtful players, but no confirmed key absentees. (4) Standings: Sao Paulo is 4th, Corinthians 17th, but form and home advantage level the field.

Conclusion: Market odds imply a close match with slight home favoritism. Corinthians' defense and home support give them an edge, but Sao Paulo's quality cannot be ignored. A low-scoring draw or narrow home win is most likely.

Win Probabilities: Corinthians: 35% · Draw: 34% · Sao Paulo: 31%

Predicted Score: 1-0 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 35% · Under 2.5: 65% · BTTS: 40%

H2H: Corinthians wins: 6 · Draws: 2 · Sao Paulo wins: 2

Form (latest first): Corinthians: DLLLW · Sao Paulo: LLWWL

  • Gustavo Henrique vs Arboleda: Corinthians' top scorer against Sao Paulo's central defender, key to breaking the deadlock.
  • R. Garro vs Alisson: Midfield battle between Corinthians' playmaker and Sao Paulo's defensive midfielder.
  • J. Calleri vs Cacá: Sao Paulo's leading scorer against Corinthians' center-back, a duel that could decide the match.

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Série A

Série A

Brazil15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Série ABrazil
Mirassol
Sep 1319:00
Vitoria
11.9651%
X3.2331%
25.5618%
Série ABrazil
Flamengo
Sep 1320:30
Corinthians
11.5664%
X3.8526%
210.0010%
Série ABrazil
Bahia
Sep 1423:00
Remo
11.5664%
X4.7621%
26.6715%
Série ABrazil
Botafogo
Sep 1622:30
Gremio
11.8554%
X3.5728%
25.5618%
Série ABrazil
Atletico-MG
Sep 1919:00
Chapecoense-sc
11.5664%
X4.0025%
29.0911%
Série ABrazil
Mirassol
Sep 1920:00
Botafogo
Early projection
12.7836%
X3.7027%
22.7037%
Série ABrazil
Remo
Sep 1921:30
Santos
Early projection
12.7836%
X3.5728%
22.7836%
Série ABrazil
Vasco DA Gama
Sep 1923:30
Coritiba
Early projection
12.7836%
X3.5728%
22.7836%
Série ABrazil
Sao Paulo
Sep 2000:00
Internacional
Early projection
11.8953%
X4.5522%
24.0025%
Série ABrazil
Gremio
Sep 2014:00
Palmeiras
Early projection
14.5522%
X5.0020%
21.7258%
Série ABrazil
Corinthians
Sep 2019:00
Fluminense
Early projection
12.7836%
X3.5728%
22.7836%
Série ABrazil
Vitoria
Sep 2019:00
Cruzeiro
Early projection
12.9434%
X3.8526%
22.5040%
Série ABrazil
Flamengo
Sep 2021:30
RB Bragantino
Early projection
11.6162%
X5.2619%
25.2619%
Série ABrazil
Atletico Paranaense
Sep 2022:30
Bahia
Early projection
11.8255%
X4.7621%
24.1724%
Série ABrazil
Internacional
Oct 722:30
Corinthians
Early projection
12.7836%
X3.5728%
22.7836%

Betting Tips

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