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  1. Home
  2. Liga Pro
  3. Universidad Catolica vs Orense SC

Universidad Catolica vs Orense SC

Result • Liga Pro·Universidad Catolica·Orense SC

Liga Pro
Liga Pro
Sep 15, 2026
00:00
high Confidence
WINNER
Universidad Catolica

Universidad Catolica

Home
Final Score
2-1
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
2-1
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
11.40
X4.00
26.50
Stadium
Olimpico Atahualpa
high Confidence
Orense SC

Orense SC

Away
Odds
11.40
X4.00
26.50
Stadium
Olimpico Atahualpa
Win Probabilities
68%
Universidad Catolica
19%
Draw
13%
Orense SC
Home1.4068%
Draw4.0019%
Away6.5013%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

Universidad Catolica are favoured at 68%; our projected score is 2-1.

Our AI model analyzes this Liga Pro fixture between Universidad Catolica and Orense SC using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Universidad Catolica a 68% win probability, a 19% chance of a draw, and Orense SC a 13% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 55%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 55%

Match Events

  1. Goal: José FajardoAssist: Jimmy Evans
    3'
    Goal: José FajardoUniversidad Catolica · Assist: Jimmy Evans
  2. Goal: Mauricio Sebastian·Alonso PeredaAssist: Daniel Clavijo
    5'
    Goal: Mauricio Sebastian·Alonso PeredaUniversidad Catolica · Assist: Daniel Clavijo
  3. VAR: VAR · Goal confirmedMauricio Sebastian·Alonso Pereda
    5'
    VAR: VAR · Goal confirmedUniversidad Catolica · Mauricio Sebastian·Alonso Pereda
  4. 14'
    Goal: Valentín BurgoaOrense SC · Assist: Pedro Velasco
    Goal: Valentín BurgoaAssist: Pedro Velasco
  5. 26'
    Yellow Card: Sixto MinaOrense SC
    Yellow Card: Sixto Mina
  6. 43'
    Yellow Card: Valentín BurgoaOrense SC
    Yellow Card: Valentín Burgoa
  7. Substitution: Darwin Carlos Nazareno ArroyoOut: Jimmy Evans
    45'
    Substitution: Darwin Carlos Nazareno ArroyoUniversidad Catolica · Out: Jimmy Evans
  8. 71'
    Substitution: J. ValenciaOrense SC · Out: Wilson Arturo Chuchuca Arreaga
    Substitution: J. ValenciaOut: Wilson Arturo Chuchuca Arreaga
  9. Substitution: Jonnathan MinaOut: Facundo Martinez
    73'
    Substitution: Jonnathan MinaUniversidad Catolica · Out: Facundo Martinez
  10. 78'
    Yellow Card: Beder CaicedoOrense SC
    Yellow Card: Beder Caicedo
  11. 84'
    Substitution: Renny JaramilloOrense SC · Out: Ángel Mena
    Substitution: Renny JaramilloOut: Ángel Mena
  12. 84'
    Substitution: Michael Alessandro Bermúdez ReyesOrense SC · Out: Christian Alejandro Ortíz Calle
    Substitution: Michael Alessandro Bermúdez ReyesOut: Christian Alejandro Ortíz Calle
  13. 84'
    Substitution: Luis Miguel Garcés CarrionOrense SC · Out: J. Valencia
    Substitution: Luis Miguel Garcés CarrionOut: J. Valencia
  14. Substitution: Luis Johan MorenoOut: Jerónimo Cacciabue
    86'
    Substitution: Luis Johan MorenoUniversidad Catolica · Out: Jerónimo Cacciabue
  15. Substitution: Rooney TroyaOut: Daniel Clavijo
    90+5'
    Substitution: Rooney TroyaUniversidad Catolica · Out: Daniel Clavijo
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Head-to-head →Injuries · Universidad CatolicaInjuries · Orense SCLive scores →

Statistical Context

Universidad Catolica

W
  • WSep 6, 26A · Delfin SC0-1

Orense SC

W
  • WSep 8, 26H · Guayaquil City FC4-3

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
1Independiente del Valle30+4074WWLDW
2Universidad Catolica30+2451WWDDW
3Macara30+851WLWWL
12Deportivo Cuenca30-1236DLWLD
13Orense SC30-1133LWLLL
14Tecnico Universitario30-1432WLLWL

Universidad Catolica vs Orense SC — Match Analysis

Universidad Catolica are favoured at 68%; our projected score is 2-1.

Universidad Catolica host Orense SC in the Liga Pro on Tuesday, 15 September 2026. Our model makes Universidad Catolica the favourite at 68%, with the draw at 19% and Orense SC at 13%.

Form and league position

Universidad Catolica sit 4th of 16 with 48 points from 29 games (49 scored, 26 conceded). Orense SC sit 13th of 16 with 33 points from 29 games (35 scored, 45 conceded).

Head-to-head record

There is no recent head-to-head history between these two in our records, so past meetings carry no weight in this projection.

Goals outlook

Attack-versus-defence rates give an expected score of 1.6–1.1, about 2.7 goals in total. That puts Over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams to score at 55%.

Team news

No injuries or suspensions are reported for either squad.

What the market says

Bookmakers price Universidad Catolica at 1.45, the draw at 4.33 and Orense SC at 6.73; those prices are blended into the probabilities above.

Prediction

Universidad Catolica to win (68%), most likely score 2-1.

This preview is a model projection built from league standings, recent form, goal rates, reported absences and, where available, bookmaker prices. It is refreshed automatically as new data arrives.

Win Probabilities: Universidad Catolica: 68% · Draw: 19% · Orense SC: 13%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (9.5% chance)

Over 2.5: 51% · Under 2.5: 49% · BTTS: 55%

Form (latest first): Universidad Catolica: W · Orense SC: W

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Liga Pro

Liga Pro

Ecuador15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Liga ProEcuador
Aucas
Sep 1900:30
Macara
12.3842%
X4.0025%
23.0333%
Liga ProEcuador
Manta FC
Sep 1919:00
Orense SC
12.9434%
X3.8526%
22.5040%
Liga ProEcuador
Guayaquil City FC
Sep 1921:30
Leones del Norte
12.1746%
X4.1724%
23.3330%
Liga ProEcuador
Emelec
Sep 2000:00
Libertad
12.0050%
X3.7027%
24.3523%
Liga ProEcuador
Tecnico Universitario
Sep 2018:30
Delfin SC
12.3842%
X3.3330%
23.5728%
Liga ProEcuador
Barcelona SC
Sep 2020:00
Independiente del Valle
14.7621%
X5.0020%
21.6959%
Liga ProEcuador
Deportivo Cuenca
Sep 2021:00
Mushuc Runa SC
12.5040%
X3.3330%
23.3330%
Liga ProEcuador
LDU de Quito
Sep 2023:30
Universidad Catolica
12.4441%
X3.4529%
23.3330%
Liga ProEcuador
Delfin SC
Oct 1120:00
Mushuc Runa SC
12.7836%
X3.5728%
22.7836%
Liga ProEcuador
Independiente del Valle
Oct 1120:00
Aucas
11.4171%
X6.6715%
27.1414%
Liga ProEcuador
Universidad Catolica
Oct 1120:00
Macara
12.0449%
X4.3523%
23.5728%
Liga ProEcuador
LDU de Quito
Oct 1120:00
Barcelona SC
12.1746%
X4.1724%
23.3330%
Liga ProEcuador
Guayaquil City FC
Oct 1120:00
Emelec
12.0848%
X4.3523%
23.4529%
Liga ProEcuador
Manta FC
Oct 1120:00
Tecnico Universitario
12.9434%
X3.7027%
22.5639%
Liga ProEcuador
Orense SC
Oct 1120:00
Deportivo Cuenca
12.2744%
X4.0025%
23.2331%

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