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  1. Home
  2. Liga Pro
  3. Emelec vs Libertad

Emelec vs Libertad

Result • Liga Pro·Emelec·Libertad

Liga Pro
Liga Pro
Sep 20, 2026
00:00
medium Confidence
Emelec

Emelec

Home
Final Score
1-2
Predicted: 1-0
Final Score
1-2
Predicted: 1-0
Odds
11.62
X3.30
25.00
Stadium
Estadio George Capwell
medium Confidence
WINNER
Libertad

Libertad

Away
Odds
11.62
X3.30
25.00
Stadium
Estadio George Capwell
Win Probabilities
54%
Emelec
26%
Draw
20%
Libertad
Home1.6254%
Draw3.3026%
Away5.0020%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

Emelec are favoured at 50%; our projected score is 1-0.

Our AI model analyzes this Liga Pro fixture between Emelec and Libertad using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Emelec a 54% win probability, a 26% chance of a draw, and Libertad a 20% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-0. Both teams to score probability: 43%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 43%

Match Events

  1. 6'
    Yellow Card: O. QuinonezLibertad
    Yellow Card: O. Quinonez
  2. Yellow Card: O. Herrera
    20'
    Yellow Card: O. HerreraEmelec
  3. Goal: R. SayaAssist: T. Arce
    23'
    Goal: R. SayaEmelec · Assist: T. Arce
  4. Yellow Card: A. Leguizamon
    23'
    Yellow Card: A. LeguizamonEmelec
  5. 23'
    Yellow Card: B. CaicedoLibertad
    Yellow Card: B. Caicedo
  6. Yellow Card: E. Medran
    32'
    Yellow Card: E. MedranEmelec
  7. 46'
    Substitution: C. GruezoLibertad · Out: O. Quinonez
    Substitution: C. GruezoOut: O. Quinonez
  8. Substitution: L. FragozoOut: T. Arce
    46'
    Substitution: L. FragozoEmelec · Out: T. Arce
  9. 46'
    Substitution: J. BravoLibertad · Out: C. Valencia
    Substitution: J. BravoOut: C. Valencia
  10. 61'
    Goal: J. BravoLibertad · Assist: G. J. Cortez Casierra
    Goal: J. BravoAssist: G. J. Cortez Casierra
  11. Substitution: L. GomezOut: O. Herrera
    62'
    Substitution: L. GomezEmelec · Out: O. Herrera
  12. 73'
    Substitution: E. CaicedoLibertad · Out: A. Chere
    Substitution: E. CaicedoOut: A. Chere
  13. 73'
    Substitution: H. BatallaLibertad · Out: V. Branda
    Substitution: H. BatallaOut: V. Branda
  14. Substitution: G. NapoliOut: J. Ruiz
    75'
    Substitution: G. NapoliEmelec · Out: J. Ruiz
  15. Substitution: S. ValenciaOut: E. Segura
    75'
    Substitution: S. ValenciaEmelec · Out: E. Segura
  16. 78'
    Substitution: C. OrejuelaLibertad · Out: G. J. Cortez Casierra
    Substitution: C. OrejuelaOut: G. J. Cortez Casierra
  17. Substitution: J. AyoviOut: R. Saya
    82'
    Substitution: J. AyoviEmelec · Out: R. Saya
  18. Yellow Card: A. Leguizamon
    88'
    Yellow Card: A. LeguizamonEmelec
  19. Red Card: A. Leguizamon
    88'
    Red Card: A. LeguizamonEmelec
  20. 90'
    Goal: B. CaicedoLibertad · Assist: C. Orejuela
    Goal: B. CaicedoAssist: C. Orejuela
  21. 90+4'
    Yellow Card: E. CaicedoLibertad
    Yellow Card: E. Caicedo
  22. 90+5'
    Yellow Card: R. MorinigoLibertad
    Yellow Card: R. Morinigo
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Line-ups →Head-to-head →Injuries · EmelecInjuries · LibertadLive scores →

Statistical Context

Emelec

LW
  • LSep 13, 26A · Macara1-0
  • WSep 8, 26H · Manta FC1-0

Libertad

LW
  • LSep 13, 26H · Independiente del Valle2-3
  • WSep 7, 26A · Deportivo Cuenca0-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
6Barcelona SC30+744DDWLW
7Libertad30-141LWDLW
8Leones del Norte30-139LDWLL
9Guayaquil City FC30-339WLLWW
10Mushuc Runa SC30-338LDDWD
11Emelec30-936LWDWL
12Deportivo Cuenca30-1236DLWLD

Emelec vs Libertad — Match Analysis

Emelec are favoured at 50%; our projected score is 1-0.

Emelec host Libertad in the Liga Pro on Sunday, 20 September 2026. Our model makes Emelec the favourite at 50%, with the draw at 27% and Libertad at 23%.

Form and league position

Emelec sit 11th of 16 with 36 points from 30 games (25 scored, 34 conceded). Libertad sit 7th of 16 with 41 points from 30 games (33 scored, 34 conceded).

Head-to-head record

There is no recent head-to-head history between these two in our records, so past meetings carry no weight in this projection.

Goals outlook

Attack-versus-defence rates give an expected score of 1.1–0.9, about 2.1 goals in total. That puts Over 2.5 goals at 35% and both teams to score at 43%.

Team news

No injuries or suspensions are reported for either squad.

What the market says

Bookmakers price Emelec at 1.85, the draw at 3.30 and Libertad at 4.45; those prices are blended into the probabilities above.

Prediction

Emelec to win (50%), most likely score 1-0.

This preview is a model projection built from league standings, recent form, goal rates, reported absences and, where available, bookmaker prices. It is refreshed automatically as new data arrives.

Win Probabilities: Emelec: 54% · Draw: 26% · Libertad: 20%

Predicted Score: 1-0 (12.7% chance)

Over 2.5: 35% · Under 2.5: 65% · BTTS: 43%

Form (latest first): Emelec: LW · Libertad: LW

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Liga Pro

Liga Pro

Ecuador15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Liga ProEcuador
Tecnico Universitario
Sep 2018:30
Delfin SC
12.3842%
X3.3330%
23.5728%
Liga ProEcuador
Deportivo Cuenca
Sep 2021:00
Mushuc Runa SC
12.5040%
X3.3330%
23.3330%
Liga ProEcuador
LDU de Quito
Sep 2023:30
Universidad Catolica
12.4441%
X3.4529%
23.3330%
Liga ProEcuador
Barcelona SC
Sep 2200:30
Independiente del Valle
13.2331%
X3.7027%
22.3842%
Liga ProEcuador
Delfin SC
Oct 1120:00
Mushuc Runa SC
12.7836%
X3.5728%
22.7836%
Liga ProEcuador
Independiente del Valle
Oct 1120:00
Aucas
11.4171%
X6.6715%
27.1414%
Liga ProEcuador
Universidad Catolica
Oct 1120:00
Macara
12.0449%
X4.3523%
23.5728%
Liga ProEcuador
LDU de Quito
Oct 1120:00
Barcelona SC
12.1746%
X4.1724%
23.3330%
Liga ProEcuador
Guayaquil City FC
Oct 1120:00
Emelec
12.0848%
X4.3523%
23.4529%
Liga ProEcuador
Manta FC
Oct 1120:00
Tecnico Universitario
12.9434%
X3.7027%
22.5639%
Liga ProEcuador
Orense SC
Oct 1120:00
Deportivo Cuenca
12.2744%
X4.0025%
23.2331%
Liga ProEcuador
Libertad
Oct 1120:00
Leones del Norte
12.0848%
X4.3523%
23.4529%
Liga ProEcuador
Delfin SC
Oct 1820:00
Manta FC
11.9252%
X4.5522%
23.8526%
Liga ProEcuador
Barcelona SC
Oct 1820:00
Universidad Catolica
12.8635%
X3.5728%
22.7037%
Liga ProEcuador
Deportivo Cuenca
Oct 1820:00
Tecnico Universitario
12.1746%
X4.1724%
23.3330%

Betting Tips

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