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Matches
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  1. Home
  2. Ligue 1
  3. Lens vs Paris Saint Germain

Lens vs Paris Saint Germain

Result • Ligue 1·Lens·Paris Saint Germain

Ligue 1
Ligue 1
May 13, 2026
19:00
high Confidence
Lens

Lens

Home
Final Score
0-2
Predicted: 1-2
Final Score
0-2
Predicted: 1-2
Odds
13.10
X3.90
22.10
Stadium
Stade Bollaert-Delelis
high Confidence
WINNER
Paris Saint Germain

Paris Saint Germain

Away
Odds
13.10
X3.90
22.10
Stadium
Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Win Probabilities
25%
Lens
30%
Draw
45%
Paris Saint Germain
Home3.1025%
Draw3.9030%
Away2.1045%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

The Oracle sees Paris Saint Germain's superior quality overcoming the home advantage. Ancient wisdom reveals the visitors' class will prove decisive in this encounter.

Our AI model analyzes this Ligue 1 fixture between Lens and Paris Saint Germain using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Lens a 25% win probability, a 30% chance of a draw, and Paris Saint Germain a 45% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-2. Both teams to score probability: 60%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 60%
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1O. Édouard vs Marquinhos: Lens' top scorer faces PSG's defensive leader; Édouard's movement will test Marquinhos' positioning.
2F. Thauvin vs Nuno Mendes: If fit, Thauvin's dribbling vs Mendes' pace on the flank could be decisive.
3K. Kvaratskhelia vs J. Gradit: PSG's creative winger against Lens' right-sided defender; Kvaratskhelia's skill may overwhelm.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Lens

  • Strong home form
  • Unbeaten streak of 5 matches
  • Key attackers Thauvin and Saint-Maximin doubtful
  • Defensive vulnerability (1.4 goals conceded per game)

Paris Saint Germain

  • League leaders with best attack (71 goals)
  • Strong H2H dominance over Lens
  • Slightly inconsistent form (WDWWL)
  • Conceded in 3 of last 5 matches

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
45%
API-Football
45%
45%
Paris Saint Germain183845

Moderate agreement on away win (45%).

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Paris Saint Germain is predicted to win based on superior odds-implied probability (45%) and strong API-Football model support (45% away win, predicted winner PSG).

Form Analysis: Both teams have similar recent form (Lens WDDWL, PSG WDWWL) and identical average goals scored (2.4) and conceded (1.4). However, PSG has a slightly better defensive record with 2 clean sheets in last 5 vs Lens' 1.

Key Factors: Head-to-head heavily favors PSG (6 wins in last 10 meetings vs Lens' 1). Lens have two key attacking players doubtful (Thauvin, Saint-Maximin), weakening their attack. PSG's overall team comparison (66.5%) dominates Lens (33.5%).

Conclusion: PSG's quality, H2H dominance, and Lens' injury doubts make an away win the most likely outcome, though Lens' home form and unbeaten streak could keep it close.

Statistical ContextParis Saint Germain

Double chance : draw or Paris Saint Germain

Team Comparison

AI Powered
LensParis Saint Germain
33%Strength66%
44%Attacking Potential56%
31%Defensive Potential69%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
7%H2H Strength93%
20%Goals H2H80%
33%Wins the Game66%
Line-ups →Head-to-head →Injuries · LensInjuries · Paris Saint Germain</> Embed this prediction

Statistical Context

Lens

DWLLW
  • DSep 13, 26A · Le Mans2-2
  • WSep 10, 26A · Slavia Praha2-3
  • LSep 5, 26H · Lorient0-1
  • LAug 29, 26A · Strasbourg2-1
  • WAug 22, 26H · Auxerre5-2

Paris Saint Germain

WWLDD
  • WSep 13, 26A · Stade Brestois 290-1
  • WSep 9, 26H · Slovan Bratislava6-1
  • LSep 4, 26H · Monaco1-2
  • DAug 28, 26A · Lille2-2
  • DAug 23, 26H · Rennes2-2

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
7Stade Brestois 29405LWDD
8Paris Saint Germain405WLDD
9Lorient405DWLD
10Lens4+14DLLW
11Angers4-14DLWL

Head to Head

6
Lens
3
Draws
1
Paris Saint Germain
  • Sep 14, 25Paris Saint Germain – Lens2-0
  • Jan 18, 25Lens – Paris Saint Germain1-2
  • Dec 22, 24Lens – Paris Saint Germain1-1
  • Nov 2, 24Paris Saint Germain – Lens1-0
  • Jan 14, 24Lens – Paris Saint Germain0-2

Season Statistics — 2026

LensParis Saint Germain
Played33
Goals Scored65
Goals Conceded56
Avg Scored2.01.7
Avg Conceded1.72.0
Clean Sheets00

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

LensParis Saint Germain
Over 2.5 Goals—7/10
Both Teams Scored—5/10
Clean Sheets—4/10

Lens vs Paris Saint Germain — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees Paris Saint Germain's superior quality overcoming the home advantage. Ancient wisdom reveals the visitors' class will prove decisive in this encounter.

Paris Saint Germain is predicted to win based on superior odds-implied probability (45%) and strong API-Football model support (45% away win, predicted winner PSG).

Form Analysis: Both teams have similar recent form (Lens WDDWL, PSG WDWWL) and identical average goals scored (2.4) and conceded (1.4). However, PSG has a slightly better defensive record with 2 clean sheets in last 5 vs Lens' 1.

Key Factors: Head-to-head heavily favors PSG (6 wins in last 10 meetings vs Lens' 1). Lens have two key attacking players doubtful (Thauvin, Saint-Maximin), weakening their attack. PSG's overall team comparison (66.5%) dominates Lens (33.5%).

Conclusion: PSG's quality, H2H dominance, and Lens' injury doubts make an away win the most likely outcome, though Lens' home form and unbeaten streak could keep it close.

Win Probabilities: Lens: 25% · Draw: 30% · Paris Saint Germain: 45%

Predicted Score: 1-2 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 55% · Under 2.5: 45% · BTTS: 60%

H2H: Lens wins: 6 · Draws: 3 · Paris Saint Germain wins: 1

Form (latest first): Lens: DWLLW · Paris Saint Germain: WWLDD

  • O. Édouard vs Marquinhos: Lens' top scorer faces PSG's defensive leader; Édouard's movement will test Marquinhos' positioning.
  • F. Thauvin vs Nuno Mendes: If fit, Thauvin's dribbling vs Mendes' pace on the flank could be decisive.
  • K. Kvaratskhelia vs J. Gradit: PSG's creative winger against Lens' right-sided defender; Kvaratskhelia's skill may overwhelm.

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Ligue 1

Ligue 1

France15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Ligue 1France
Monaco
Sep 1818:45
Lens
12.3343%
X3.2331%
23.8526%
Ligue 1France
Paris FC
Sep 1915:15
Strasbourg
12.3343%
X3.4529%
23.5728%
Ligue 1France
Angers
Sep 1918:45
Estac Troyes
12.2245%
X3.1332%
24.3523%
Ligue 1France
Lyon
Sep 1918:45
Rennes
12.1347%
X3.4529%
24.1724%
Ligue 1France
Toulouse
Sep 1918:45
Le Havre
12.0848%
X3.5728%
24.1724%
Ligue 1France
Le Mans
Sep 1918:45
Lorient
13.8526%
X3.0333%
22.4441%
Ligue 1France
Auxerre
Sep 2013:00
Stade Brestois 29
13.5728%
X3.1332%
22.5040%
Ligue 1France
Nice
Sep 2015:15
Lille
14.7621%
X3.3330%
22.0449%
Ligue 1France
Marseille
Sep 2018:45
Paris Saint Germain
13.4529%
X3.5728%
22.3343%
Ligue 1France
Lens
Oct 918:45
Lyon
Early projection
11.8554%
X4.7621%
24.0025%
Ligue 1France
Lille
Oct 1015:15
Le Havre
Early projection
11.5465%
X5.5618%
25.8817%
Ligue 1France
Paris Saint Germain
Oct 1018:45
Le Mans
Early projection
11.3276%
X7.1414%
210.0010%
Ligue 1France
Monaco
Oct 1018:45
Toulouse
Early projection
11.7557%
X5.0020%
24.3523%
Ligue 1France
Lorient
Oct 1018:45
Paris FC
Early projection
12.2744%
X4.0025%
23.2331%
Ligue 1France
Stade Brestois 29
Oct 1018:45
Angers
Early projection
12.2744%
X4.0025%
23.2331%

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