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  1. Home
  2. Bundesliga
  3. FC Augsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen

FC Augsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen

Result • Bundesliga·FC Augsburg·Bayer Leverkusen

Bundesliga
Bundesliga
Sep 12, 2026
13:30
low Confidence
DRAW
FC Augsburg

FC Augsburg

Home
Final Score
2-2
Predicted: 1-2
Final Score
2-2
Predicted: 1-2
Odds
13.50
X3.80
21.85
Stadium
WWK Arena
low Confidence
DRAW
Bayer Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen

Away
Odds
13.50
X3.80
21.85
Stadium
WWK Arena
Win Probabilities
30%
FC Augsburg
29%
Draw
41%
Bayer Leverkusen
Home3.5030%
Draw3.8029%
Away1.8541%

Oracle's Vision

low Confidence
“

Bayer Leverkusen are clear favourites on the road, backed by a superior head-to-head record and a stronger overall statistical profile, despite Augsburg's three-match winning run. The main risk is Augsburg's momentum and home support turning this into a tight, low-margin contest.

Our AI model analyzes this Bundesliga fixture between FC Augsburg and Bayer Leverkusen using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns FC Augsburg a 30% win probability, a 29% chance of a draw, and Bayer Leverkusen a 41% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-2. Both teams to score probability: 70%. This prediction is rated as low confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 70%

Match Events

  1. 18'
    Goal: Christian KofaneBayer Leverkusen · Assist: Edmond Tapsoba
    Goal: Christian KofaneAssist: Edmond Tapsoba
  2. Yellow Card: Noahkai Banks
    38'
    Yellow Card: Noahkai BanksFC Augsburg
  3. Goal: Michael GregoritschAssist: Hennes Behrens
    50'
    Goal: Michael GregoritschFC Augsburg · Assist: Hennes Behrens
  4. Goal: Michael GregoritschAssist: Fabian Rieder
    55'
    Goal: Michael GregoritschFC Augsburg · Assist: Fabian Rieder
  5. Substitution: Alexis Claude-MauriceOut: Arijon Ibrahimovic
    58'
    Substitution: Alexis Claude-MauriceFC Augsburg · Out: Arijon Ibrahimovic
  6. Yellow Card: M. Baum
    60'
    Yellow Card: M. BaumFC Augsburg
  7. 61'
    VAR: VAR · Goal cancelledBayer Leverkusen · Ibrahim Maza
    VAR: VAR · Goal cancelledIbrahim Maza
  8. 63'
    Substitution: Patrik SchickBayer Leverkusen · Out: Christian Kofane
    Substitution: Patrik SchickOut: Christian Kofane
  9. 63'
    Substitution: Guéla DouéBayer Leverkusen · Out: Jarell Quansah
    Substitution: Guéla DouéOut: Jarell Quansah
  10. 72'
    Yellow Card: Guéla DouéBayer Leverkusen
    Yellow Card: Guéla Doué
  11. 76'
    Substitution: Malik TillmanBayer Leverkusen · Out: Afonso Moreira
    Substitution: Malik TillmanOut: Afonso Moreira
  12. 76'
    Substitution: Martin TerrierBayer Leverkusen · Out: Ignacio Ezequiel Agustín Fernández Carballo
    Substitution: Martin TerrierOut: Ignacio Ezequiel Agustín Fernández Carballo
  13. Substitution: Seol Young-wooOut: Marius Wolf
    77'
    Substitution: Seol Young-wooFC Augsburg · Out: Marius Wolf
  14. Substitution: Mert KömürOut: Robin Fellhauer
    77'
    Substitution: Mert KömürFC Augsburg · Out: Robin Fellhauer
  15. Substitution: Yannik KeitelOut: Han-Noah Massengo
    85'
    Substitution: Yannik KeitelFC Augsburg · Out: Han-Noah Massengo
  16. Substitution: Rodrigo RibeiroOut: Michael Gregoritsch
    85'
    Substitution: Rodrigo RibeiroFC Augsburg · Out: Michael Gregoritsch
  17. 85'
    Substitution: Lucas VázquezBayer Leverkusen · Out: Facundo Medina
    Substitution: Lucas VázquezOut: Facundo Medina
  18. 89'
    Goal: Patrik SchickBayer Leverkusen · Assist: Malik Tillman
    Goal: Patrik SchickAssist: Malik Tillman
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1M. Gregoritsch vs L. Badé: Augsburg's forward will look to hold the ball up and bring runners into play, testing Leverkusen's central defender in physical duels.
2V. Boniface vs C. Matsima: Leverkusen's striker will aim to exploit space behind Augsburg's back line, with Matsima tasked with tracking his movement.
3Aleix García vs Y. Keitel: The creative battle in midfield, where Leverkusen's playmaker looks to find pockets of space against Augsburg's screening midfielder.
Strengths · Weaknesses

FC Augsburg

  • Three-match winning streak with strong momentum
  • Seven goals scored across recent matches
  • Eight players unavailable through injury
  • Trailing in the head-to-head record against Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen

  • Stronger head-to-head record in this fixture
  • Higher overall statistical rating in the API comparison
  • Six players sidelined through injury
  • Inconsistent recent form with one win and one loss

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
41%
API-Football
45%
38%
FC Augsburg383726

Models disagree significantly. Suggests home win (38%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisLow Confidence

Bayer Leverkusen are the clear favourites for this Bundesliga trip to the WWK Arena, with the market pricing them as a decisive edge over FC Augsburg. The visitors sit eighth in the standings but carry the stronger overall statistical profile, while Augsburg's perfect start to the campaign has not been enough to shift the balance of expectation.

Form Analysis: Augsburg arrive on a three-match winning streak, having scored seven goals and conceded just once across their recent outings, with two clean sheets in the process. Leverkusen's recent record reads one win and one loss, with six goals scored and three conceded, and they have also kept two clean sheets. The momentum clearly sits with the hosts, but the market still regards Leverkusen's overall quality as the more reliable signal.

Key Factors: The head-to-head record leans toward Leverkusen, who have won six of the last ten meetings against Augsburg's four, giving them a psychological edge in this fixture. Both squads are significantly depleted, with Augsburg missing eight players and Leverkusen six, which adds an element of unpredictability to the contest. Augsburg's home advantage is real but modest, and the API comparison data shows Leverkusen holding the stronger head-to-head strength rating.

Conclusion: The data points to a Leverkusen victory, though not a comfortable one. Augsburg's winning run and home support make them dangerous opponents, and the extensive injury lists on both sides introduce volatility. The most plausible outcome is a narrow away win, with the hosts capable of making this a tight, competitive affair.

Statistical ContextFC Augsburg

Combo Double chance : FC Augsburg or draw and +1.5 goals

Team Comparison

AI Powered
FC AugsburgBayer Leverkusen
55%Strength44%
54%Attacking Potential46%
75%Defensive Potential25%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
40%H2H Strength60%
42%Goals H2H58%
55%Wins the Game44%
Head-to-head →Injuries · FC AugsburgInjuries · Bayer LeverkusenLive scores →

Statistical Context

FC Augsburg

WWWLW
  • WSep 6, 26A · Eintracht Frankfurt1-4
  • WAug 30, 26H · FC Schalke 043-0
  • WAug 22, 26A · Energie Cottbus0-2
  • LMay 16, 26A · Union Berlin4-0
  • WMay 9, 26H · Borussia Mönchengladbach3-1

Bayer Leverkusen

WWLWD
  • WSep 16, 26H · Celje2-0
  • WSep 5, 26H · Union Berlin4-0
  • LAug 29, 26A · SV Elversberg3-2
  • WAug 22, 26A · SV Wehen0-4
  • DMay 16, 26H · Hamburger SV1-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
2Borussia Dortmund3+69WWW
3FC Augsburg3+67DWW
4Bayern München3+57WDW
5RB Leipzig3+66WLW
6SV Elversberg3+16LWW
7Bayer Leverkusen3+34DWL
8FSV Mainz 053+34LWD

Head to Head

4
FC Augsburg
0
Draws
6
Bayer Leverkusen
  • Apr 18, 26Bayer Leverkusen – FC Augsburg1-2
  • Dec 6, 25FC Augsburg – Bayer Leverkusen2-0
  • Apr 26, 25Bayer Leverkusen – FC Augsburg2-0
  • Dec 14, 24FC Augsburg – Bayer Leverkusen0-2
  • May 18, 24Bayer Leverkusen – FC Augsburg2-1

Season Statistics — 2026

FC AugsburgBayer Leverkusen
Played33
Goals Scored98
Goals Conceded35
Avg Scored3.02.7
Avg Conceded1.01.7
Clean Sheets11

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

FC AugsburgBayer Leverkusen
Over 2.5 Goals—5/10
Both Teams Scored—3/10
Clean Sheets—5/10

FC Augsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen — Match Analysis

Bayer Leverkusen are clear favourites on the road, backed by a superior head-to-head record and a stronger overall statistical profile, despite Augsburg's three-match winning run. The main risk is Augsburg's momentum and home support turning this into a tight, low-margin contest.

Bayer Leverkusen are the clear favourites for this Bundesliga trip to the WWK Arena, with the market pricing them as a decisive edge over FC Augsburg. The visitors sit eighth in the standings but carry the stronger overall statistical profile, while Augsburg's perfect start to the campaign has not been enough to shift the balance of expectation.

Form Analysis: Augsburg arrive on a three-match winning streak, having scored seven goals and conceded just once across their recent outings, with two clean sheets in the process. Leverkusen's recent record reads one win and one loss, with six goals scored and three conceded, and they have also kept two clean sheets. The momentum clearly sits with the hosts, but the market still regards Leverkusen's overall quality as the more reliable signal.

Key Factors: The head-to-head record leans toward Leverkusen, who have won six of the last ten meetings against Augsburg's four, giving them a psychological edge in this fixture. Both squads are significantly depleted, with Augsburg missing eight players and Leverkusen six, which adds an element of unpredictability to the contest. Augsburg's home advantage is real but modest, and the API comparison data shows Leverkusen holding the stronger head-to-head strength rating.

Conclusion: The data points to a Leverkusen victory, though not a comfortable one. Augsburg's winning run and home support make them dangerous opponents, and the extensive injury lists on both sides introduce volatility. The most plausible outcome is a narrow away win, with the hosts capable of making this a tight, competitive affair.

Win Probabilities: FC Augsburg: 30% · Draw: 29% · Bayer Leverkusen: 41%

Predicted Score: 1-2 (11.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 69% · Under 2.5: 31% · BTTS: 70%

H2H: FC Augsburg wins: 4 · Draws: 0 · Bayer Leverkusen wins: 6

Form (latest first): FC Augsburg: WWWLW · Bayer Leverkusen: WWLWD

  • M. Gregoritsch vs L. Badé: Augsburg's forward will look to hold the ball up and bring runners into play, testing Leverkusen's central defender in physical duels.
  • V. Boniface vs C. Matsima: Leverkusen's striker will aim to exploit space behind Augsburg's back line, with Matsima tasked with tracking his movement.
  • Aleix García vs Y. Keitel: The creative battle in midfield, where Leverkusen's playmaker looks to find pockets of space against Augsburg's screening midfielder.

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Bundesliga

Bundesliga

Germany15 · Upcoming Fixtures
BundesligaGermany
Werder Bremen
Sep 1913:30
FC Augsburg
12.5040%
X3.8526%
22.9434%
BundesligaGermany
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Sep 1913:30
FSV Mainz 05
13.7027%
X3.2331%
22.3842%
BundesligaGermany
Eintracht Frankfurt
Sep 1913:30
SC Freiburg
12.3842%
X3.3330%
23.5728%
BundesligaGermany
Hamburger SV
Sep 1913:30
1. FC Köln
12.9434%
X3.8526%
22.5040%
BundesligaGermany
VfB Stuttgart
Sep 1916:30
Borussia Dortmund
13.4529%
X3.2331%
22.5040%
BundesligaGermany
Bayer Leverkusen
Sep 2013:30
RB Leipzig
12.6338%
X3.4529%
23.0333%
BundesligaGermany
FC Schalke 04
Sep 2015:30
SV Elversberg
12.2245%
X3.3330%
24.0025%
BundesligaGermany
SC Paderborn 07
Sep 2017:30
1899 Hoffenheim
15.2619%
X3.5728%
21.8953%
BundesligaGermany
Borussia Dortmund
Oct 918:30
Werder Bremen
Early projection
11.3276%
X7.1414%
210.0010%
BundesligaGermany
FSV Mainz 05
Oct 1013:30
Bayer Leverkusen
Early projection
13.1332%
X3.8526%
22.3842%
BundesligaGermany
1899 Hoffenheim
Oct 1013:30
Hamburger SV
Early projection
11.6461%
X5.2619%
25.0020%
BundesligaGermany
FC Augsburg
Oct 1013:30
Bayern München
Early projection
16.6715%
X6.2516%
21.4569%
BundesligaGermany
Union Berlin
Oct 1013:30
SV Elversberg
Early projection
13.8526%
X4.5522%
21.9252%
BundesligaGermany
SC Paderborn 07
Oct 1013:30
VfB Stuttgart
Early projection
13.5728%
X4.5522%
22.0050%
BundesligaGermany
RB Leipzig
Oct 1016:30
Eintracht Frankfurt
Early projection
11.6461%
X5.2619%
25.0020%

Betting Tips

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