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  1. Home
  2. Bundesliga
  3. FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen

FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen

Prediction • Bundesliga·FSV Mainz 05·Bayer Leverkusen

Bundesliga
Bundesliga
Oct 10, 2026
13:30
Early projection · Odds pending
FSV Mainz 05

FSV Mainz 05

Home
VS
VS
Stadium
Mewa Arena
Early projection · Odds pending
PREDICTED WINNER
Bayer Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen

Away
Stadium
Mewa Arena
Win Probabilities
32%
FSV Mainz 05
26%
Draw
42%
Bayer Leverkusen
Home3.1332%
Draw3.8526%
Away2.3842%

Oracle's Vision

Early projection
“

Bayer Leverkusen are favored at 42% to win away at FSV Mainz 05. The draw is rated 26% and the home win 32%, so the numbers side with the visitors.

See our exact score, over/under 2.5 and BTTS call for FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen.

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Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
6.0FSV Mainz 05
/10
6.0Bayer Leverkusen
FSV Mainz 05
FormLatest first
LWDWW
Win Rate60%
Bayer Leverkusen
FormLatest first
WDWLW
Win Rate60%
Momentum AdvantageEven Match

Featured Players

Compare the key players from each team

Key Battle

M
Kaishu Sano
7.9

Kaishu Sano

FSV Mainz 05

VS
Aleix García
8.7

Aleix García

Bayer Leverkusen

23ATT5
100TEC100
95TAC100
71DEF25
57CRE100

Team Streaks

Statistical trends from recent matches

Team Streaks

Last 10 Matches
Scoring
3/10
Over 2.5 Goals
5/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
3/10
0.6
Avg Scored
1.8
Defense
1/10
Clean Sheets
5/10
1.4
Avg Conceded
1.5
Match Flow
4/10
Scored First
6/10
2.9
Avg Cards
1.9
4.5
Avg Corners
4.1

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

FSV Mainz 05
Home

FSV Mainz 05

Form
DWL
Latest first
6
Pos
52
Pts
+3
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 3 matches)

Clean Sheets267%
Goal Diff+3
  • Five-match unbeaten streak with four clean sheets in the last five
  • Excellent defensive organisation, conceding very few goals recently
  • Sits above Leverkusen in the standings on points and goal difference
E. Martel
Knee Injury
Injured
Silas
Fracture
Injured
B. Hollerbach
Lacking Match Fitness
Injured
P. Nebel
Muscle Injury
Injured
S. Widmer
Knee Injury
Injured
R. Zentner
Hand Injury
Injured
D. Kohr
Foot Injury
Injured

Head to Head

Last 10
FSV Mainz 05
FSV Mainz 05
2Wins
2
Draws
Bayer Leverkusen
6Wins
Bayer Leverkusen
20%20%60%

Recent Matches

Last 10
Feb282026
Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
1-1
Draw
FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05
Oct182025
FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05
3-4
Loss
Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
May172025
FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05
2-2
Draw
Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
Jan142025
Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
1-0
Loss
FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05
Feb232024
Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
2-1
Loss
FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05
Sep302023
FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05
0-3
Loss
Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
Feb192023
Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
2-3
Win
FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05
Aug272022
FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05
0-3
Loss
Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
Feb182022
FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05
3-2
Win
Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
Sep252021
Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
1-0
Loss
FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05

Past Predictions

0%0/1 correct

Bayer Leverkusen 1 - 1 FSV Mainz 05

Feb 28, 2026

57% / 24% / 19%

FSV Mainz 053-5-2vs4-2-3-1Bayer LeverkusenPredicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Midfield battle favors home. Back three vs lone striker advantage.

See the full predicted line-ups ↓

Injury Report

Current team availability status

Data Accuracy: Player availability is highly accurate (~90%), but specific injury diagnoses and recovery timelines may not reflect the latest medical updates (~70% accuracy).

FSV Mainz 05

7Out

7 key players

Bayer Leverkusen

10Out

8 key players

FSV Mainz 05

Team

FSV Mainz 05

Players Out

7(7 key)
E. Martel

E. Martel

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

Silas

Silas

MODERATE
Injury:Fracture

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

B. Hollerbach

B. Hollerbach

MODERATE
Injury:Lacking Match Fitness

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

P. Nebel

P. Nebel

MODERATE
Injury:Muscle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

S. Widmer

S. Widmer

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

R. Zentner

R. Zentner

MODERATE
Injury:Hand Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

D. Kohr

D. Kohr

MODERATE
Injury:Foot Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-8 weeks

Bayer Leverkusen

Team

Bayer Leverkusen

Players Out

10(8 key)
M. Culbreath

M. Culbreath

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

M. Terrier

M. Terrier

MODERATE
Injury:Muscle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

V. Boniface

V. Boniface

MODERATE
Injury:Off the roster

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

J. Hofmann

J. Hofmann

MODERATE
Injury:Off the roster

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

T. Oermann

T. Oermann

MODERATE
Injury:Off the roster

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

E. Ben Seghir

E. Ben Seghir

MODERATE
Injury:Thigh Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

G. Doue

G. Doue

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

N. Tella

N. Tella

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

K. Eichhorn

K. Eichhorn

MINOR
Injury:Illness

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-7 days

I. Maza

I. Maza

MINOR
Injury:Illness

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-7 days

Bundesliga

League Statistics

Bundesliga • Standings & Top Performers

Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg
3300101+99
2
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund
330082+69
3
FC Augsburg
FC Augsburg
321093+67
4
Bayern München
Bayern München
321072+57
5
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig
320193+66
6
SV Elversberg
SV Elversberg
320187+16
7
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer LeverkusenAway
311185+34
8
FSV Mainz 05
FSV Mainz 05Home
311163+34
9
Eintracht Frankfurt
Eintracht Frankfurt
311178-14
10
Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen
311156-14
11
FC Schalke 04
FC Schalke 04
311134-14
12
1. FC Köln
1. FC Köln
311157-24
13
1899 Hoffenheim
1899 Hoffenheim
310267-13
14
VfB Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart
310268-23
15
SC Paderborn 07
SC Paderborn 07
301204-41
16
Union Berlin
Union Berlin
3012410-61
17
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Borussia Mönchengladbach
3003312-90
18
Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV
3003012-120
Champions League
Relegation
HomeAway

Oracle's Vision

Early projection

Bayer Leverkusen

Odds pending

Win Probabilities

32%FSV Mainz 05
26%Draw
42%Bayer Leverkusen

Key Markets

Predicted ScoreBTTSOver 2.5
KickoffSat, Oct 10 · 13:30
StadiumMewa Arena
League StatsBundesliga
Line-ups →Head-to-head →Injuries · FSV Mainz 05Injuries · Bayer LeverkusenLive scores →

Statistical Context

FSV Mainz 05

LWDWW
  • LSep 12, 26H · Eintracht Frankfurt1-3
  • WSep 6, 26A · Hamburger SV0-5
  • DAug 29, 26H · SC Paderborn 070-0
  • WAug 23, 26A · Krieschow0-9
  • WMay 16, 26A · 1. FC Heidenheim0-2

Bayer Leverkusen

WDWLW
  • WSep 16, 26H · Celje2-0
  • DSep 12, 26A · FC Augsburg2-2
  • WSep 5, 26H · Union Berlin4-0
  • LAug 29, 26A · SV Elversberg3-2
  • WAug 22, 26A · SV Wehen0-4

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
6SV Elversberg3+16LWW
7Bayer Leverkusen3+34DWL
8FSV Mainz 053+34LWD
9Eintracht Frankfurt3-14WLD

Head to Head

2
FSV Mainz 05
2
Draws
6
Bayer Leverkusen
  • Feb 28, 26Bayer Leverkusen – FSV Mainz 051-1
  • Oct 18, 25FSV Mainz 05 – Bayer Leverkusen3-4
  • May 17, 25FSV Mainz 05 – Bayer Leverkusen2-2
  • Jan 14, 25Bayer Leverkusen – FSV Mainz 051-0
  • Feb 23, 24Bayer Leverkusen – FSV Mainz 052-1

Season Statistics — 2026

FSV Mainz 05Bayer Leverkusen
Played33
Goals Scored68
Goals Conceded35
Avg Scored2.02.7
Avg Conceded1.01.7
Clean Sheets21

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

FSV Mainz 05Bayer Leverkusen
Over 2.5 Goals3/105/10
Both Teams Scored4/103/10
Clean Sheets1/105/10

Predicted line-ups: FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen

Predicted XI

FSV Mainz 05

3-5-2Formation· Coach: U. Fischer

Bayer Leverkusen

4-2-3-1Formation· Coach: K. Hjulmand

  1. 28J. Blaswich
  1. 5L. Badé
  2. 3Miguel Gutiérrez
  3. 2F. Medina
  4. 15T. Oermann
  1. 8R. Andrich
  2. 6E. Fernández
  1. 24Aleix García
  2. 7J. Hofmann
  3. 30I. Maza
  1. 22V. Boniface
  1. 23S. Becker
  2. 11R. Königsdörffer
  1. 19A. Caci
  2. 15L. Maloney
  3. 2P. Mwene
  4. 10N. Amiri
  5. 24S. Kawasaki
  1. 16S. Bell
  2. 3F. Gruber
  3. 4S. Posch
  1. 40M. Kinzig

Bench

  • 1A. Schwolow
  • 48K. Potulski
  • 21D. da Costa
  • 7Lee Jae-Sung
  • 20O. Ruoppi
  • 6K. Sano
  • 9P. Tietz

Out

  • E. Martel · Knee Injury
  • Silas · Broken shinbone
  • B. Hollerbach · Lacking Match Fitness
  • P. Nebel · Muscle Injury
  • S. Widmer · Knee Injury
  • R. Zentner · Hand Injury
  • D. Kohr · Foot Injury

Bench

  • 1M. Flekken
  • 4J. Quansah
  • 12E. Tapsoba
  • 17Lucas Vázquez
  • 10M. Tillman
  • 9Afonso Moreira
  • 19M. Diaby

Out

  • M. Culbreath · Injury
  • M. Terrier · Muscle Injury
  • V. Boniface · Off the roster
  • J. Hofmann · Off the roster
  • T. Oermann · Off the roster
  • E. Ben Seghir · Thigh Injury
  • G. Doue · Inactive
  • N. Tella · Injury

Predicted line-ups based on recent matches and absences; official line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.

FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen — Expert Prediction & Analysis

Bayer Leverkusen are favored at 42% to win away at FSV Mainz 05. The draw is rated 26% and the home win 32%, so the numbers side with the visitors.

Bayer Leverkusen are the narrow favourites for this Bundesliga trip to the Mewa Arena, though the edge is far from decisive. The team-strength model and the statistical comparison both lean toward the visitors, and their head-to-head record against Mainz is the single most compelling factor in their favour.…

Win Probabilities: FSV Mainz 05: 32% · Draw: 26% · Bayer Leverkusen: 42%

H2H: FSV Mainz 05 wins: 2 · Draws: 2 · Bayer Leverkusen wins: 6

Form (latest first): FSV Mainz 05: LWDWW · Bayer Leverkusen: WDWLW

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