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  1. Home
  2. Liga 3
  3. Caldas vs Mafra

Caldas vs Mafra

Result • Liga 3·Caldas·Mafra

Liga 3
Liga 3
Oct 24, 2026
14:00
low Confidence
DRAW
Caldas

Caldas

Home
Final Score
3-3
Predicted: 1-2
Final Score
3-3
Predicted: 1-2
Odds
13.20
X3.00
22.10
Stadium
Campo da Mata
low Confidence
DRAW
Mafra

Mafra

Away
Odds
13.20
X3.00
22.10
Stadium
Campo da Mata
Win Probabilities
30%
Caldas
29%
Draw
41%
Mafra
Home3.2030%
Draw3.0029%
Away2.1041%

Oracle's Vision

low Confidence
“

Mafra are favoured at 40%; our projected score is 1-2.

Our AI model analyzes this Liga 3 fixture between Caldas and Mafra using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Caldas a 30% win probability, a 29% chance of a draw, and Mafra a 41% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-2. Both teams to score probability: 56%. This prediction is rated as low confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 56%

Match Events

  1. Goal: G. PioAssist: E. J. Mucuana Lobo
    31'
    Goal: G. PioCaldas · Assist: E. J. Mucuana Lobo
  2. Goal: G. ChavesAssist: E. J. Mucuana Lobo
    42'
    Goal: G. ChavesCaldas · Assist: E. J. Mucuana Lobo
  3. 46'
    Substitution: L. NevesMafra · Out: G. Cardoso
    Substitution: L. NevesOut: G. Cardoso
  4. 46'
    Substitution: A. NgomMafra · Out: A. Ba
    Substitution: A. NgomOut: A. Ba
  5. 47'
    Goal: A. NgomMafra
    Goal: A. Ngom
  6. 63'
    Goal: M. NiangMafra · Assist: A. Ngom
    Goal: M. NiangAssist: A. Ngom
  7. Substitution: RickyOut: E. J. Mucuana Lobo
    64'
    Substitution: RickyCaldas · Out: E. J. Mucuana Lobo
  8. Substitution: D. IzataOut: G. Pio
    64'
    Substitution: D. IzataCaldas · Out: G. Pio
  9. 70'
    Substitution: Goba ZakpaMafra · Out: Leandro Alves
    Substitution: Goba ZakpaOut: Leandro Alves
  10. Substitution: PepoOut: F. Oliveira
    73'
    Substitution: PepoCaldas · Out: F. Oliveira
  11. 78'
    Goal: Goba ZakpaMafra · Assist: A. Ngom
    Goal: Goba ZakpaAssist: A. Ngom
  12. 79'
    Yellow Card: Yellow CardMafra
    Yellow Card: Yellow Card
  13. Substitution: D. FernandesOut: D. Clemente
    82'
    Substitution: D. FernandesCaldas · Out: D. Clemente
  14. Substitution: J. VieiraOut: Nando
    82'
    Substitution: J. VieiraCaldas · Out: Nando
  15. 83'
    Substitution: Y. MaigaMafra · Out: R. Matos
    Substitution: Y. MaigaOut: R. Matos
  16. 84'
    Substitution: J. FerreiraMafra · Out: J. Silva
    Substitution: J. FerreiraOut: J. Silva
  17. Goal: G. Chaves
    85'
    Goal: G. ChavesCaldas
  18. 89'
    Yellow Card: Yellow CardMafra
    Yellow Card: Yellow Card
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

More information

Head-to-headCaldas – MafraInjuriesCaldasInjuriesMafraLive scores

Statistical Context

Caldas

WLWWL
  • WNov 1, 26A · SC Covilha0-1
  • LOct 11, 26A · Atlético CP4-1
  • WSep 13, 26H · Vitória de Sernache2-0
  • WSep 4, 26A · União Santarém0-1
  • LAug 23, 26H · Louletano2-4

Mafra

WDLWL
  • WOct 31, 26H · Louletano2-1
  • DOct 11, 26H · CF Os Belenenses2-2
  • LSep 12, 26A · Oliveirense2-1
  • WSep 5, 26H · SC Covilha1-0
  • LAug 22, 26A · Lusitano Évora 19112-1

Head to Head

0
Caldas
1
Draws
1
Mafra
  • Jan 3, 26Mafra – Caldas4-2
  • Sep 28, 25Caldas – Mafra1-1

Caldas vs Mafra — Match Analysis

Mafra are favoured at 40%; our projected score is 1-2.

Caldas host Mafra in the Liga 3 on Saturday, 24 October 2026. Our model makes Mafra the favourite at 40%, with the draw at 27% and Caldas at 33%.

Form and league position

Caldas sit 7th of 20 with 7 points from 6 games (6 scored, 9 conceded), recent form D-L-W-W-L. Mafra sit 4th of 20 with 8 points from 6 games (11 scored, 7 conceded), recent form D-L-W-L-D.

Head-to-head record

The two sides have met 2 times in our records: Caldas won 0, Mafra won 1 and 1 ended level, with an average of 4.0 goals per meeting.

Goals outlook

Attack-versus-defence rates give an expected score of 1.3–1.4, about 2.7 goals in total. That puts Over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams to score at 56%.

Team news

No injuries or suspensions are reported for either squad.

What the market says

Bookmakers price Caldas at 2.80, the draw at 3.30 and Mafra at 2.37; those prices are blended into the probabilities above.

Prediction

Mafra to win (40%), most likely score 1-2.

This preview is a model projection built from league standings, recent form, goal rates, reported absences and, where available, bookmaker prices. It is refreshed automatically as new data arrives.

Win Probabilities: Caldas: 30% · Draw: 29% · Mafra: 41%

Predicted Score: 1-2 (8.5% chance)

Over 2.5: 51% · Under 2.5: 49% · BTTS: 56%

H2H: Caldas wins: 0 · Draws: 1 · Mafra wins: 1

Form (latest first): Caldas: WLWWL · Mafra: WDLWL

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Liga 3

Liga 3

Portugal15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Liga 3Portugal
Paredes
Nov 120:00
São João Ver
11.5266%
X5.0020%
27.1414%
Liga 3Portugal
União Santarém
Nov 620:00
Mafra
12.4441%
X3.7027%
23.1332%
Liga 3Portugal
Caldas
Nov 715:00
Oliveirense
12.4441%
X3.7027%
23.1332%
Liga 3Portugal
Vianense
Nov 715:00
Leça
12.4441%
X3.7027%
23.1332%
Liga 3Portugal
São João Ver
Nov 715:00
Guimaraes B
12.4441%
X3.7027%
23.1332%
Liga 3Portugal
AD Marco 09
Nov 720:00
Paredes
12.4441%
X3.7027%
23.1332%
Liga 3Portugal
Louletano
Nov 811:00
SC Covilha
12.4441%
X3.7027%
23.1332%
Liga 3Portugal
Varzim
Nov 815:00
Fafe
12.4441%
X3.7027%
23.1332%
Liga 3Portugal
Vitória de Sernache
Nov 815:00
Atlético CP
12.4441%
X3.7027%
23.1332%
Liga 3Portugal
CF Os Belenenses
Nov 815:00
Lusitano Évora 1911
12.4441%
X3.7027%
23.1332%
Liga 3Portugal
Pacos Ferreira
Nov 820:00
Trofense
12.4441%
X3.7027%
23.1332%
Liga 3Portugal
SC Covilha
Nov 2116:00
Lusitano Évora 1911
12.0848%
X4.1724%
23.5728%
Liga 3Portugal
Varzim
Nov 2815:00
Trofense
11.5963%
X5.5618%
25.2619%
Liga 3Portugal
Vianense
Nov 2815:00
Fafe
12.6338%
X3.7027%
22.8635%
Liga 3Portugal
Atlético CP
Nov 2815:00
Lusitano Évora 1911
11.3375%
X7.1414%
29.0911%

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