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  1. Home
  2. Primera Nacional
  3. Atletico DE Rafaela vs Atlanta

Atletico DE Rafaela vs Atlanta

Result • Primera Nacional·Atletico DE Rafaela·Atlanta

Primera Nacional
Primera Nacional
Oct 4, 2026
20:30
low Confidence
Atletico DE Rafaela

Atletico DE Rafaela

Home
Final Score
2-3
Predicted: 1-0
Final Score
2-3
Predicted: 1-0
Odds
12.30
X2.90
23.20
Stadium
Estadio Nuevo Monumental
low Confidence
WINNER
Atlanta

Atlanta

Away
Odds
12.30
X2.90
23.20
Stadium
Estadio Nuevo Monumental
Win Probabilities
40%
Atletico DE Rafaela
29%
Draw
31%
Atlanta
Home2.3040%
Draw2.9029%
Away3.2031%

Oracle's Vision

low Confidence
“

Atletico DE Rafaela are favoured at 36%; our projected score is 1-0.

Our AI model analyzes this Primera Nacional fixture between Atletico DE Rafaela and Atlanta using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Atletico DE Rafaela a 40% win probability, a 29% chance of a draw, and Atlanta a 31% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-0. Both teams to score probability: 38%. This prediction is rated as low confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 38%

Match Events

  1. 1'
    Yellow Card: A. QuintanaAtlanta
    Yellow Card: A. Quintana
  2. Own goal: M. Garcia (Own goal)
    25'
    Own goal: M. Garcia (Own goal)Atletico DE Rafaela
  3. 41'
    Goal: F. AlvarezAtlanta · Assist: A. Quintana
    Goal: F. AlvarezAssist: A. Quintana
  4. Yellow Card: J. Bonifacio
    52'
    Yellow Card: J. BonifacioAtletico DE Rafaela
  5. Yellow Card: F. Jourdan
    54'
    Yellow Card: F. JourdanAtletico DE Rafaela
  6. Yellow Card: A. Solveyra
    57'
    Yellow Card: A. SolveyraAtletico DE Rafaela
  7. Substitution: M. MorenoOut: F. Jourdan
    61'
    Substitution: M. MorenoAtletico DE Rafaela · Out: F. Jourdan
  8. Substitution: M. PardoOut: A. Rodriguez
    61'
    Substitution: M. PardoAtletico DE Rafaela · Out: A. Rodriguez
  9. 65'
    Substitution: R. SosaAtlanta · Out: D. Arguello
    Substitution: R. SosaOut: D. Arguello
  10. 65'
    Substitution: A. MoralesAtlanta · Out: I. Rodriguez
    Substitution: A. MoralesOut: I. Rodriguez
  11. 71'
    Goal: B. RiveroAtlanta · Assist: A. Morales
    Goal: B. RiveroAssist: A. Morales
  12. Yellow Card: M. Moreno
    78'
    Yellow Card: M. MorenoAtletico DE Rafaela
  13. Substitution: F. SoloaOut: L. Flores
    79'
    Substitution: F. SoloaAtletico DE Rafaela · Out: L. Flores
  14. Substitution: J. CavallaroOut: L. Moscoloni
    79'
    Substitution: J. CavallaroAtletico DE Rafaela · Out: L. Moscoloni
  15. Substitution: M. QuirogaOut: J. Capurro
    79'
    Substitution: M. QuirogaAtletico DE Rafaela · Out: J. Capurro
  16. 81'
    Substitution: L. GaleanoAtlanta · Out: F. Alvarez
    Substitution: L. GaleanoOut: F. Alvarez
  17. 81'
    Substitution: C. BernardiAtlanta · Out: B. Rivero
    Substitution: C. BernardiOut: B. Rivero
  18. 81'
    Goal: L. GaleanoAtlanta · Assist: T. Rojas
    Goal: L. GaleanoAssist: T. Rojas
  19. 88'
    Substitution: G. MendozaAtlanta · Out: A. Morales
    Substitution: G. MendozaOut: A. Morales
  20. Goal: M. QuirogaAssist: L. Albertengo
    90'
    Goal: M. QuirogaAtletico DE Rafaela · Assist: L. Albertengo
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AI Analysis & Prediction Review

More information

Head-to-headAtletico DE Rafaela – AtlantaInjuriesAtletico DE RafaelaInjuriesAtlantaLive scores

Statistical Context

Atletico DE Rafaela

DWLLW
  • DOct 24, 26A · Colegiales1-1
  • WOct 17, 26H · Quilmes1-0
  • LOct 10, 26A · Midland4-0
  • LSep 27, 26A · Gimnasia Y Tiro1-0
  • WSep 19, 26H · San Martin Tucuman4-2

Atlanta

WLWWD
  • WOct 25, 26A · Gimnasia Jujuy1-2
  • LOct 17, 26A · Gimnasia Y Tiro3-1
  • WOct 11, 26H · San Martin Tucuman1-0
  • WSep 27, 26H · Agropecuario1-0
  • DSep 21, 26A · Tristan Suarez0-0

Atletico DE Rafaela vs Atlanta — Match Analysis

Atletico DE Rafaela are favoured at 36%; our projected score is 1-0.

Atletico DE Rafaela host Atlanta in the Primera Nacional on Sunday, 4 October 2026. Our model makes Atletico DE Rafaela the favourite at 36%, with the draw at 31% and Atlanta at 33%.

Form and league position

Atletico DE Rafaela sit 10th of 36 with 42 points from 31 games (25 scored, 27 conceded), recent form L-L-W-L. Atlanta sit 4th of 36 with 52 points from 31 games (35 scored, 28 conceded), recent form W-W-D-W.

Head-to-head record

There is no recent head-to-head history between these two in our records, so past meetings carry no weight in this projection.

Goals outlook

Attack-versus-defence rates give an expected score of 0.9–0.9, about 1.8 goals in total. That puts Over 2.5 goals at 28% and both teams to score at 38%.

Team news

No injuries or suspensions are reported for either squad.

What the market says

Bookmakers price Atletico DE Rafaela at 2.67, the draw at 2.72 and Atlanta at 3.00; those prices are blended into the probabilities above.

Prediction

Atletico DE Rafaela to win (36%), most likely score 1-0.

This preview is a model projection built from league standings, recent form, goal rates, reported absences and, where available, bookmaker prices. It is refreshed automatically as new data arrives.

Win Probabilities: Atletico DE Rafaela: 40% · Draw: 29% · Atlanta: 31%

Predicted Score: 1-0 (13.3% chance)

Over 2.5: 28% · Under 2.5: 72% · BTTS: 38%

Form (latest first): Atletico DE Rafaela: DWLLW · Atlanta: WLWWD

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Primera Nacional

Primera Nacional

Argentina15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Primera NacionalArgentina
Godoy Cruz
Oct 3118:00
Almirante Brown
11.5664%
X4.5522%
27.1414%
Primera NacionalArgentina
San Martin S.J.
Oct 3118:00
Gimnasia Jujuy
11.8953%
X3.8526%
24.7621%
Primera NacionalArgentina
Agropecuario
Oct 3118:00
Almagro
11.7956%
X4.0025%
25.2619%
Primera NacionalArgentina
San Telmo
Oct 3118:00
Central Norte
12.0449%
X4.3523%
23.5728%
Primera NacionalArgentina
Atlanta
Oct 3118:00
Midland
11.5664%
X4.7621%
26.6715%
Primera NacionalArgentina
Tristan Suarez
Oct 3118:00
Deportivo Maipu
11.4569%
X5.0020%
29.0911%
Primera NacionalArgentina
Acassuso
Oct 3118:00
Ferro Carril Oeste
15.5618%
X4.1724%
21.7258%
Primera NacionalArgentina
Club Atlético Güemes
Oct 3118:00
Temperley
114.297%
X8.3312%
21.2381%
Primera NacionalArgentina
San Miguel
Oct 3118:00
Deportivo Madryn
13.5728%
X4.1724%
22.0848%
Primera NacionalArgentina
Deportivo Moron
Oct 3118:30
Ciudad de Bolívar
11.6760%
X4.3523%
25.8817%
Primera NacionalArgentina
Los Andes
Oct 3118:30
Atletico Mitre
11.9252%
X3.5728%
25.0020%
Primera NacionalArgentina
Colon Santa Fe
Oct 3120:00
Defensores De Belgrano
11.8255%
X4.7621%
24.1724%
Primera NacionalArgentina
All Boys
Oct 3120:00
CA Estudiantes
13.0333%
X3.8526%
22.4441%
Primera NacionalArgentina
Chaco For Ever
Oct 3120:00
Racing Cordoba
11.8953%
X3.7027%
25.0020%
Primera NacionalArgentina
San Martin Tucuman
Nov 121:30
Colegiales
12.5040%
X3.2331%
23.4529%

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