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Today's Tips
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  1. Home
  2. Primera Nacional
  3. Tristan Suarez vs Patronato

Tristan Suarez vs Patronato

Result • Primera Nacional·Tristan Suarez·Patronato

Primera Nacional
Primera Nacional
Oct 17, 2026
19:30
medium Confidence
WINNER
Tristan Suarez

Tristan Suarez

Home
Final Score
1-0
Predicted: 1-0
Final Score
1-0
Predicted: 1-0
Odds
11.91
X2.80
24.75
Stadium
Estadio 20 de Octubre
medium Confidence
Patronato

Patronato

Away
Odds
11.91
X2.80
24.75
Stadium
Estadio 20 de Octubre
Win Probabilities
52%
Tristan Suarez
29%
Draw
19%
Patronato
Home1.9152%
Draw2.8029%
Away4.7519%

Oracle's Vision

Medium Confidence
“

Tristan Suarez are favoured at 55%; our projected score is 1-0.

Our AI model analyzes this Primera Nacional fixture between Tristan Suarez and Patronato using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Tristan Suarez a 52% win probability, a 29% chance of a draw, and Patronato a 19% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-0. Both teams to score probability: 33%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 33%

Match Events

  1. 11'
    Yellow Card: S. PiccioniPatronato
    Yellow Card: S. Piccioni
  2. Goal: D. Becker
    25'
    Goal: D. BeckerTristan Suarez
  3. 40'
    Yellow Card: F. MeritelloPatronato
    Yellow Card: F. Meritello
  4. 46'
    Substitution: F. MoreyraPatronato · Out: S. Piccioni
    Substitution: F. MoreyraOut: S. Piccioni
  5. 46'
    Substitution: T. AttisPatronato · Out: J. P. Barinaga
    Substitution: T. AttisOut: J. P. Barinaga
  6. 46'
    Substitution: A. MiroPatronato · Out: R. Reynaga
    Substitution: A. MiroOut: R. Reynaga
  7. 61'
    Yellow Card: F. EvangelistaPatronato
    Yellow Card: F. Evangelista
  8. Yellow Card: R. Conechny
    69'
    Yellow Card: R. ConechnyTristan Suarez
  9. Substitution: N. SanchezOut: R. Conechny
    72'
    Substitution: N. SanchezTristan Suarez · Out: R. Conechny
  10. Substitution: S. RamirezOut: D. Becker
    72'
    Substitution: S. RamirezTristan Suarez · Out: D. Becker
  11. Substitution: A. BerrondoOut: J. Beron
    80'
    Substitution: A. BerrondoTristan Suarez · Out: J. Beron
  12. 85'
    Yellow Card: T. AttisPatronato
    Yellow Card: T. Attis
  13. 86'
    Red Card: J. SalasPatronato
    Red Card: J. Salas
  14. Yellow Card: N. Sanchez
    87'
    Yellow Card: N. SanchezTristan Suarez
  15. Yellow Card: A. Berrondo
    90+4'
    Yellow Card: A. BerrondoTristan Suarez
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

More information

Head-to-headTristan Suarez – PatronatoInjuriesTristan SuarezInjuriesPatronatoLive scores

Statistical Context

Tristan Suarez

DDDDW
  • DOct 31, 26H · Deportivo Maipu0-0
  • DOct 24, 26A · Almagro1-1
  • DOct 10, 26A · Colegiales0-0
  • DOct 3, 26H · Quilmes0-0
  • WSep 27, 26A · Midland0-1

Patronato

DLWLW
  • DNov 2, 26A · Atletico DE Rafaela0-0
  • LOct 25, 26H · Agropecuario0-2
  • WOct 11, 26H · Club Atlético Güemes2-0
  • LOct 4, 26A · Chacarita Juniors1-0
  • WSep 27, 26H · San Martin S.J.3-0

Tristan Suarez vs Patronato — Match Analysis

Tristan Suarez are favoured at 55%; our projected score is 1-0.

Tristan Suarez host Patronato in the Primera Nacional on Saturday, 17 October 2026. Our model makes Tristan Suarez the favourite at 55%, with the draw at 27% and Patronato at 18%.

Form and league position

Tristan Suarez sit 1st of 36 with 59 points from 33 games (32 scored, 15 conceded), recent form D-D-W-D-D. Patronato sit 15th of 36 with 37 points from 33 games (29 scored, 32 conceded), recent form D-D-W-L-W.

Head-to-head record

There is no recent head-to-head history between these two in our records, so past meetings carry no weight in this projection.

Goals outlook

Attack-versus-defence rates give an expected score of 0.9–0.7, about 1.7 goals in total. That puts Over 2.5 goals at 23% and both teams to score at 33%.

Team news

No injuries or suspensions are reported for either squad.

What the market says

Bookmakers price Tristan Suarez at 1.82, the draw at 3.05 and Patronato at 5.00; those prices are blended into the probabilities above.

Prediction

Tristan Suarez to win (55%), most likely score 1-0.

This preview is a model projection built from league standings, recent form, goal rates, reported absences and, where available, bookmaker prices. It is refreshed automatically as new data arrives.

Win Probabilities: Tristan Suarez: 52% · Draw: 29% · Patronato: 19%

Predicted Score: 1-0 (16.5% chance)

Over 2.5: 23% · Under 2.5: 77% · BTTS: 33%

Form (latest first): Tristan Suarez: DDDDW · Patronato: DLWLW

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Primera Nacional

Primera Nacional

Argentina8 · Upcoming Fixtures
Primera NacionalArgentina
Atlanta
Nov 1418:00
CA Estudiantes
12.0449%
X3.4529%
24.5522%
Primera NacionalArgentina
Temperley
Nov 1419:00
Ciudad de Bolívar
11.8554%
X3.7027%
25.2619%
Primera NacionalArgentina
Colon Santa Fe
Nov 1421:00
Midland
11.9651%
X3.7027%
24.5522%
Primera NacionalArgentina
Deportivo Madryn
Nov 1422:00
Deportivo Maipu
11.8255%
X3.8526%
25.2619%
Primera NacionalArgentina
Gimnasia Jujuy
Nov 1423:00
Almirante Brown
11.9651%
X3.7027%
24.5522%
Primera NacionalArgentina
Deportivo Moron
Nov 1518:00
Colegiales
11.9651%
X3.5728%
24.7621%
Primera NacionalArgentina
Godoy Cruz
Nov 1520:00
Tristan Suarez
12.1347%
X3.3330%
24.3523%
Primera NacionalArgentina
Ferro Carril Oeste
Nov 1523:30
Gimnasia Y Tiro
11.5664%
X4.3523%
27.6913%

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