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  1. Home
  2. A-League
  3. Wellington Phoenix vs Macarthur

Wellington Phoenix vs Macarthur

Prediction • A-League·Wellington Phoenix·Macarthur

A-League
A-League
Nov 22, 2026
02:00
Early projection · Odds pending
PREDICTED WINNER
Wellington Phoenix

Wellington Phoenix

Home
VS
VS
Stadium
Sky Stadium
Early projection · Odds pending
Macarthur

Macarthur

Away
Stadium
Sky Stadium
Win Probabilities
45%
Wellington Phoenix
24%
Draw
31%
Macarthur
Home2.2245%
Draw4.1724%
Away3.2331%

Oracle's Vision

Early projection
“

Wellington Phoenix hold a narrow edge at home, but Macarthur's four-match unbeaten streak and superior goal-scoring form make this a tight contest. The main risk for Wellington is their injury-depleted squad and leaky defense, which could allow Macarthur to snatch a result.

See our exact score, over/under 2.5 and BTTS call for Wellington Phoenix vs Macarthur.

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Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
6.0Wellington Phoenix
/10
4.0Macarthur
Wellington Phoenix
FormLatest first
WWLWL
Win Rate60%
Macarthur
FormLatest first
DWWLL
Win Rate40%
Momentum AdvantageWellington Phoenix+2.0

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

Wellington Phoenix
Home

Wellington Phoenix

Form
WW
Latest first
1
Pos
6
Pts
+1
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 1 matches)

Clean Sheets00%
Goal Diff+1
  • Home advantage with a supportive crowd at Sky Stadium
  • Strong historical head-to-head record with six wins in the last ten meetings
  • Recent win provides a confidence boost
F. Conchie
Inactive
Injured
I. Hughes
Inactive
Injured
J. Smith
Inactive
Injured
N. Walker
Inactive
Injured
Macarthur
Away

Macarthur

Form
WD
Latest first
3
Pos
4
Pts
+1
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 1 matches)

Clean Sheets00%
Goal Diff+1
  • Four-match unbeaten streak demonstrates strong form and momentum
  • Potent attack averaging 2.2 goals per game
  • Solid defense conceding only 1.0 goal per game with two clean sheets in last five

Head to Head

Last 10
Wellington Phoenix
Wellington Phoenix
6Wins
0
Draws
Macarthur
4Wins
Macarthur
60%0%40%

Recent Matches

Last 10
Apr242026
MacarthurMacarthur
4-0
Loss
Wellington PhoenixWellington Phoenix
Nov222025
Wellington PhoenixWellington Phoenix
0-1
Loss
MacarthurMacarthur
Jan202025
MacarthurMacarthur
1-2
Win
Wellington PhoenixWellington Phoenix
Dec142024
Wellington PhoenixWellington Phoenix
1-2
Loss
MacarthurMacarthur
Apr272024
Wellington PhoenixWellington Phoenix
3-0
Win
MacarthurMacarthur
Feb182024
MacarthurMacarthur
1-2
Win
Wellington PhoenixWellington Phoenix
Dec182023
MacarthurMacarthur
0-3
Win
Wellington PhoenixWellington Phoenix
Apr292023
MacarthurMacarthur
0-1
Win
Wellington PhoenixWellington Phoenix
Feb122023
MacarthurMacarthur
2-1
Loss
Wellington PhoenixWellington Phoenix
Nov62022
Wellington PhoenixWellington Phoenix
4-1
Win
MacarthurMacarthur
Wellington Phoenix4-3-3vs4-2-3-1MacarthurPredicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Balanced matchup. Control in wide areas vs central creativity.

See the full predicted line-ups ↓

Injury Report

Current team availability status

Data Accuracy: Player availability is highly accurate (~90%), but specific injury diagnoses and recovery timelines may not reflect the latest medical updates (~70% accuracy).

Wellington Phoenix

4Out

4 key players

Wellington Phoenix

Team

Wellington Phoenix

Players Out

4(4 key)
F. Conchie

F. Conchie

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

I. Hughes

I. Hughes

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

J. Smith

J. Smith

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

N. Walker

N. Walker

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

A-League

League Statistics

A-League • Standings & Top Performers

Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Wellington PhoenixHome
220041+36
2
Western Sydney Wanderers
211052+34
3
MacarthurAway
211032+14
4
Sydney
211021+14
5
Brisbane Roar
110021+13
6
Auckland
210156-13
7
Newcastle Jets
20203302
8
Melbourne Victory
201123-11
9
Central Coast Mariners
201124-21
10
Melbourne City
201124-21
11
Adelaide United
100112-10
12
Perth Glory
200224-20
Champions League
Relegation
HomeAway

Oracle's Vision

Early projection

Wellington Phoenix

Odds pending

Win Probabilities

45%Wellington Phoenix
24%Draw
31%Macarthur

Key Markets

Predicted ScoreBTTSOver 2.5
KickoffSun, Nov 22 · 02:00
StadiumSky Stadium
League StatsA-League

More information

A-League predicted line-ups: Gameweek 36/6Line-upsWellington Phoenix – MacarthurHead-to-headWellington Phoenix – MacarthurInjuriesWellington PhoenixInjuriesMacarthurLive scores

Statistical Context

Wellington Phoenix

WWLWL
  • WOct 25, 26H · Central Coast Mariners2-0
  • WOct 18, 26H · Melbourne Victory2-1
  • LApr 24, 26A · Macarthur4-0
  • WApr 18, 26H · Western Sydney Wanderers2-1
  • LApr 12, 26A · Melbourne City2-0

Macarthur

DWWLL
  • DOct 24, 26A · Newcastle Jets1-1
  • WOct 17, 26H · Perth Glory2-1
  • WApr 24, 26H · Wellington Phoenix4-0
  • LApr 19, 26A · Adelaide United3-1
  • LApr 12, 26A · Perth Glory3-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
1Wellington Phoenix2+36WW
2Western Sydney Wanderers2+34WD
3Macarthur2+14DW
4Sydney2+14WD

Head to Head

6
Wellington Phoenix
0
Draws
4
Macarthur
  • Apr 24, 26Macarthur – Wellington Phoenix4-0
  • Nov 22, 25Wellington Phoenix – Macarthur0-1
  • Jan 20, 25Macarthur – Wellington Phoenix1-2
  • Dec 14, 24Wellington Phoenix – Macarthur1-2
  • Apr 27, 24Wellington Phoenix – Macarthur3-0

Season Statistics — 2026

Wellington PhoenixMacarthur
Played11
Goals Scored22
Goals Conceded11
Avg Scored2.02.0
Avg Conceded1.01.0
Clean Sheets00

Predicted line-ups: Wellington Phoenix vs Macarthur

Predicted XI

Wellington Phoenix

4-3-3Formation· Coach: G. Italiano

Macarthur

4-2-3-1Formation· Coach: M. Sterjovski

  1. 30J. Lakkis
  1. 5J. Aspropotamitis
  2. 3T. Nara
  3. 21N. Paull
  4. 25C. Talbot
  1. 17O. Randazzo
  2. 22L. Rose
  1. 9B. Gibson
  2. 7C. Pain
  3. 8L. Vickery
  1. 24D. Bosnjak
  1. 24T. Loke
  2. 99C. Piper
  3. 7B. Duke
  1. 8M. Anderson
  2. 37Anaru Cassidy
  3. 25K. Nagasawa
  1. 18L. Kelly-Heald
  2. 23J. McGarry
  3. 5W. Scott
  4. 27M. Sheridan
  1. 13H. Gray

Bench

  • 30A. Kelly-Heald
  • 28B. Tuiloma
  • 9R. Durán
  • 34D. Gardiner
  • 35L. Mitchell
  • 0Ben Trenberth
  • 11R. Bidois

Out

  • F. Conchie · Inactive
  • I. Hughes · Inactive
  • J. Smith · Inactive
  • N. Walker · Inactive

Bench

  • 1A. Robinson
  • 10R. Fraser
  • 11B. Oliveira
  • 16A. Stamatelopoulos
  • 99M. Toure
  • 13James Hilton
  • 31S. Krslovic

Predicted line-ups based on recent matches and absences; official line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.

Wellington Phoenix vs Macarthur — Expert Prediction & Analysis

Wellington Phoenix hold a narrow edge at home, but Macarthur's four-match unbeaten streak and superior goal-scoring form make this a tight contest. The main risk for Wellington is their injury-depleted squad and leaky defense, which could allow Macarthur to snatch a result.

This A-League encounter between Wellington Phoenix and Macarthur is finely balanced, with the home side holding a narrow edge according to the baseline team-strength model. However, the statistical model and recent form suggest Macarthur are a live threat, making this a tight, evenly-matched contest.…

Win Probabilities: Wellington Phoenix: 45% · Draw: 24% · Macarthur: 31%

H2H: Wellington Phoenix wins: 6 · Draws: 0 · Macarthur wins: 4

Form (latest first): Wellington Phoenix: WWLWL · Macarthur: DWWLL

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A-League

A-League

Australia15 · Upcoming Fixtures
A-LeagueAustralia
Brisbane Roar
Oct 3009:00
Auckland
14.3523%
X3.2331%
22.1746%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
A-LeagueAustralia
Newcastle Jets
Oct 3104:00
Wellington Phoenix
12.0449%
X4.1724%
23.7027%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
A-LeagueAustralia
Melbourne City
Oct 3106:00
Sydney
12.1746%
X3.3330%
24.1724%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
A-LeagueAustralia
Macarthur
Oct 3108:40
Western Sydney Wanderers
12.6338%
X3.5728%
22.9434%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
A-LeagueAustralia
Melbourne Victory
Nov 104:00
Central Coast Mariners
11.5963%
X4.3523%
27.1414%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
A-LeagueAustralia
Perth Glory
Nov 108:00
Adelaide United
12.5040%
X3.5728%
23.1332%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
A-LeagueAustralia
Sydney
Nov 608:40
Central Coast Mariners
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
A-LeagueAustralia
Auckland
Nov 704:00
Wellington Phoenix
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
A-LeagueAustralia
Melbourne City
Nov 708:40
Western Sydney Wanderers
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
A-LeagueAustralia
Perth Glory
Nov 710:45
Newcastle Jets
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
A-LeagueAustralia
Macarthur
Nov 804:00
Brisbane Roar
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
A-LeagueAustralia
Adelaide United
Nov 806:00
Melbourne Victory
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
A-LeagueAustralia
Western Sydney Wanderers
Nov 2008:40
Adelaide United
Early projection
12.3343%
X4.0025%
23.1332%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
A-LeagueAustralia
Auckland
Nov 2104:00
Melbourne Victory
Early projection
11.6760%
X5.2619%
24.7621%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
A-LeagueAustralia
Central Coast Mariners
Nov 2106:00
Perth Glory
Early projection
12.0449%
X4.3523%
23.5728%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access

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