Sturm Graz vs Rapid Vienna

Prediction • Bundesliga

Bundesliga
Bundesliga
17 May 2026
12:30
high Confidence
PREDICTED WINNER
Sturm Graz

Sturm Graz

🏠Home
VS
Rapid Vienna

Rapid Vienna

✈️Away
Odds
12.00
X3.60
23.50
🏟️Stadium
Merkur-Arena
Win Probabilities
⭐Home48%
Draw31%
Away21%
🔮

Oracle's Vision

“The Oracle sees Sturm Graz's steady form overwhelming Rapid Vienna's faltering momentum. Home advantage and superior attack tip the scales in favor of the hosts.”

Our AI model analyzes this Bundesliga fixture between Sturm Graz and Rapid Vienna using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Sturm Graz a 48% win probability, a 31% chance of a draw, and Rapid Vienna a 21% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 50%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

Sturm Graz 48%Draw 31%Rapid Vienna 21%BTTS: 50%
Share Prediction

📈Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
Sturm Graz
2/10
Form
Win Rate
20%
Rapid Vienna
2/10
Form
Win Rate20%
Momentum Advantage
Even Match

⭐Featured Players

Compare the key players from each team

⭐

Key Battle

M
Tomi Horvat
8.6

Tomi Horvat

Sturm Graz

VS
Matthias Seidl
7.9

Matthias Seidl

Rapid Vienna

25ATT26
100TEC100
100TAC81
47DEF37
100CRE60

🔥Team Streaks

Statistical trends from recent matches

Team Streaks

Last 10 Matches
Scoring
7/10
Over 2.5 Goals
6/10
8/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
1.0
Avg Scored
0.9
Defense
2/10
Clean Sheets
2/10
1.7
Avg Conceded
1.7
Match Flow
3/10
Scored First
4/10
1.8
Avg Cards
2.3
5.4
Avg Corners
5.1

⚽Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Score Analysis

AI Powered
Top Predictions
Correct Score
2-1
12.0%
1-0
10.0%
2-0
9.0%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS
50%
Expected Goals
Total match goals
2.8

🎯Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

Match Weather

17°
Sunny
Wind
7 km/h
Humidity
39%
Rain
0.1 mm
Tactical Impact

Ideal playing conditions - no significant weather impact

Confidence

86%
Data Quality100%
Form Reliability100%
H2H Available100%
Model Agreement90%

Based on data completeness, model certainty, and historical patterns.

Sturm Graz vs Rapid Vienna — Expert Prediction & Analysis

The Oracle sees Sturm Graz's steady form overwhelming Rapid Vienna's faltering momentum. Home advantage and superior attack tip the scales in favor of the hosts.

Sturm Graz is predicted to win based on superior form, home advantage, and stronger overall statistics.

Form Analysis: Sturm Graz is unbeaten in their last 5 matches (WDDDD), while Rapid Vienna has lost 2 consecutive matches and has only 1 win in 5 (LLWLD). Sturm Graz averages 1.6 goals scored per game compared to Rapid's 0.8, and concedes fewer (1.2 vs 1.8).

Key Factors: Sturm Graz has a strong home record and sits 2nd in the league with 34 points, 7 points ahead of 5th-placed Rapid. Head-to-head favors Sturm Graz with 5 wins in the last 10 meetings. Rapid Vienna's poor form and defensive vulnerabilities (conceding 1.8 per game) are decisive.

Conclusion: The data strongly supports a Sturm Graz victory. Rapid Vienna's struggles and Sturm's consistency make an away win unlikely.

Win Probabilities: Sturm Graz: 48% · Draw: 31% · Rapid Vienna: 21%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 55% · Under 2.5: 45% · BTTS: 50%

H2H: Sturm Graz wins: 5 · Draws: 1 · Rapid Vienna wins: 4

Form: Sturm Graz: DDDDW · Rapid Vienna: DLWLL

  • O. Kiteishvili vs Rapid Vienna's midfield: Kiteishvili's goal-scoring form will test Rapid's defensive organization.
  • Sturm Graz's defense vs M. Seidl: Seidl's creativity and assists could unlock Sturm's backline if given space.
  • T. Horvat vs Rapid Vienna's wing-backs: Horvat's width and crossing ability may exploit gaps in Rapid's 3-4-2-1 setup.

Related News

Bundesliga

A vibrant scene at Anfield during the Liverpool vs Chelsea match, with Liverpool players in their red home jerseys battling against Chelsea in their blue kits. The stadium is packed with passionate fa

Matchday Summary: Liverpool Draws, Dortmund Shines, Kilmarnock Soars

Liverpool draws with Chelsea, Dortmund wins thriller, and Kilmarnock eases relegation fears with a dominant performance in the Scottish Premiership.

A vibrant scene at Hill Dickinson Stadium, filled with Liverpool fans in red jerseys celebrating Virgil van Dijk's last-minute goal. The green pitch is lively, with players in action and a backdrop of

Liverpool's Derby Glory Amid Title Race Drama

Liverpool secures a thrilling derby win while Man City closes in on Arsenal in a dramatic weekend of Premier League action.

A vibrant scene in a packed stadium showcasing Bayern Munich players in their red and white kits celebrating a goal. The atmosphere is electric, with fans waving flags and cheering on a lush green pit

Bayern Munich Sets Scoring Record; Rangers Stumble Again

Bayern Munich breaks the Bundesliga scoring record with a 5-0 win, while Rangers face defeat in the Scottish Premiership. Matchday highlights inside.

View all news
🏆
10

More Predictions

Upcoming MatchesUpcoming Fixtures