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  1. Home
  2. Bundesliga
  3. Sturm Graz vs Ried

Sturm Graz vs Ried

Prediction • Bundesliga·Sturm Graz·Ried

Bundesliga
Bundesliga
Oct 25, 2026
13:30
Early projection · Odds pending
PREDICTED WINNER
Sturm Graz

Sturm Graz

Home
VS
VS
Stadium
Merkur-Arena
Early projection · Odds pending
Ried

Ried

Away
Stadium
Merkur-Arena
Win Probabilities
52%
Sturm Graz
22%
Draw
26%
Ried
Home1.9252%
Draw4.5522%
Away3.8526%

Oracle's Vision

Early projection
“

Sturm Graz hold a narrow but clear edge at home, backed by a dominant head-to-head record and a solid home form line, though seven injuries leave them short-handed. The main risk is Ried's three-match unbeaten run and superior recent scoring output against a depleted home squad.

See our exact score, over/under 2.5 and BTTS call for Sturm Graz vs Ried.

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Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
2.0Sturm Graz
/10
4.0Ried
Sturm Graz
FormLatest first
LDWLD
Win Rate20%
Ried
FormLatest first
WDLWL
Win Rate40%
Momentum AdvantageRied+2.0

Featured Players

Compare the key players from each team

Key Battle

M
Tomi Horvat
8.6

Tomi Horvat

Sturm Graz

VS
Michael Sollbauer
7.9

Michael Sollbauer

Ried

25ATT5
100TEC100
100TAC47
47DEF57
100CRE40

Team Streaks

Statistical trends from recent matches

Team Streaks

Last 10 Matches
Scoring
7/10
Over 2.5 Goals
4/10
8/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
1.0
Avg Scored
1.0
Defense
2/10
Clean Sheets
3/10
1.7
Avg Conceded
1.5
Match Flow
3/10
Scored First
4/10
1.8
Avg Cards
1.8
5.4
Avg Corners
4.8

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

Sturm Graz
Home

Sturm Graz

Form
WDLWL
Latest first
1
Pos
46
Pts
-1
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 7 matches)

Clean Sheets229%
Goal Diff-1
  • Strong home record with two wins and a draw from three home games
  • Overwhelming head-to-head dominance with seven wins in the last ten meetings
  • Sits above Ried in the standings on 11 points
O. Diakite
Off the roster
Injured
N. Geyrhofer
Off the roster
Injured
L. Grgic
Knee Injury
Injured
A. Kayombo
Off the roster
Injured
S. Wlodarczyk
Off the roster
Injured
E. Soglo
Muscle Injury
Injured
S. Jatta
Inactive
Injured

Head to Head

Last 10
Sturm Graz
Sturm Graz
7Wins
2
Draws
Ried
1Wins
Ried
70%20%10%

Recent Matches

Last 10
Feb82026
Sturm GrazSturm Graz
1-0
Win
RiedRied
Aug162025
RiedRied
1-3
Win
Sturm GrazSturm Graz
Aug282024
RiedRied
1-3
Win
Sturm GrazSturm Graz
Oct302022
Sturm GrazSturm Graz
2-1
Win
RiedRied
Aug62022
RiedRied
1-1
Draw
Sturm GrazSturm Graz
Mar62022
RiedRied
2-2
Draw
Sturm GrazSturm Graz
Oct272021
Sturm GrazSturm Graz
1-2
Loss
RiedRied
Oct172021
Sturm GrazSturm Graz
1-0
Win
RiedRied
Feb92021
Sturm GrazSturm Graz
2-1
Win
RiedRied
Oct242020
RiedRied
0-2
Win
Sturm GrazSturm Graz

Past Predictions

100%1/1 correct

Sturm Graz 1 - 0 Ried

Feb 8, 2026

47% / 27% / 26%

Sturm Graz4-2-3-1vs3-4-2-1RiedPredicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Tactical matchup will test both managers' adaptability.

See the full predicted line-ups ↓

Injury Report

Current team availability status

Data Accuracy: Player availability is highly accurate (~90%), but specific injury diagnoses and recovery timelines may not reflect the latest medical updates (~70% accuracy).

Sturm Graz

7Out

7 key players

Sturm Graz

Team

Sturm Graz

Players Out

7(7 key)
O. Diakite

O. Diakite

MODERATE
Injury:Off the roster

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

N. Geyrhofer

N. Geyrhofer

MODERATE
Injury:Off the roster

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

L. Grgic

L. Grgic

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

A. Kayombo

A. Kayombo

MODERATE
Injury:Off the roster

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

S. Wlodarczyk

S. Wlodarczyk

MODERATE
Injury:Off the roster

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

E. Soglo

E. Soglo

MODERATE
Injury:Muscle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

S. Jatta

S. Jatta

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

Bundesliga

League Statistics

Bundesliga • Standings & Top Performers

Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Rapid Vienna
Rapid Vienna
7601217+1418
2
Red Bull Salzburg
Red Bull Salzburg
7520184+1417
3
Lask Linz
Lask Linz
7511197+1216
4
Sturm Graz
Sturm GrazHome
732289-111
5
Ried
RiedAway
72231112-18
6
TSV Hartberg
TSV Hartberg
72231013-38
7
WSG Wattens
WSG Wattens
7223912-38
8
Austria Lustenau
Austria Lustenau
7223811-38
9
Grazer AK
Grazer AK
7223616-108
10
Austria Vienna
Austria Vienna
7214713-67
11
Wolfsberger AC
Wolfsberger AC
7124713-65
12
SCR Altach
SCR Altach
7106512-73
Champions League
Relegation
HomeAway

Oracle's Vision

Early projection

Sturm Graz

Odds pending

Win Probabilities

52%Sturm Graz
22%Draw
26%Ried

Key Markets

Predicted ScoreBTTSOver 2.5
KickoffSun, Oct 25 · 13:30
StadiumMerkur-Arena
League StatsBundesliga
Line-ups →Head-to-head →Injuries · Sturm GrazInjuries · RiedLive scores →

Statistical Context

Sturm Graz

LDWLD
  • LSep 20, 26A · Red Bull Salzburg3-0
  • DSep 16, 26H · Rennes0-0
  • WSep 13, 26H · Lask Linz2-1
  • LAug 30, 26A · Rapid Vienna3-1
  • DAug 22, 26H · Austria Lustenau1-1

Ried

WDLWL
  • WSep 20, 26H · Wolfsberger AC4-1
  • DSep 11, 26H · Red Bull Salzburg1-1
  • LAug 30, 26A · TSV Hartberg3-2
  • WAug 21, 26H · Grazer AK1-0
  • LAug 14, 26A · Lask Linz4-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
3Lask Linz7+1216DLWWW
4Sturm Graz7-111LWLDW
5Ried7-18WDLWL
6TSV Hartberg7-38DDWWL

Head to Head

7
Sturm Graz
2
Draws
1
Ried
  • Feb 8, 26Sturm Graz – Ried1-0
  • Aug 16, 25Ried – Sturm Graz1-3
  • Aug 28, 24Ried – Sturm Graz1-3
  • Oct 30, 22Sturm Graz – Ried2-1
  • Aug 6, 22Ried – Sturm Graz1-1

Season Statistics — 2026

Sturm GrazRied
Played77
Goals Scored811
Goals Conceded912
Avg Scored1.11.6
Avg Conceded1.31.7
Clean Sheets21

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

Sturm GrazRied
Over 2.5 Goals7/104/10
Both Teams Scored8/104/10
Clean Sheets2/103/10

Predicted line-ups: Sturm Graz vs Ried

Predicted XI

Sturm Graz

4-2-3-1Formation· Coach: F. Ingolitsch

Ried

3-4-2-1Formation· Coach: G. Baumgartner

  1. 1A. Leitner
  1. 28S. Chukwudi
  2. 33A. Goiginger
  3. 5D. Radonjic
  1. 6Y. Maart
  2. 17P. Pomer
  3. 8M. Rasner
  4. 22S. Schwab
  1. 19T. Lund Jensen
  2. 42Fabian Lechner
  1. 47Evan Eghosa Aisowieren
  1. 26B. Beganović
  1. 10O. Kiteishvili
  2. 15G. Mamageishvili
  3. 78V. Matoshi
  1. 4J. Gorenc Stankovič
  2. 43Jacob Peter Hödl
  1. 27L. Balbo
  2. 6G. Haider
  3. 30P. Koller
  4. 23A. Malic
  1. 22A. Helac

Bench

  • 53D. Khudyakov
  • 21P. Petrović
  • 2J. Quarshie
  • 28J. Heil
  • 8F. Rózga
  • 19S. Seidl
  • 39Luca Weinhandl

Out

  • O. Diakite · Off the roster
  • N. Geyrhofer · Off the roster
  • L. Grgic · Knee Injury
  • A. Kayombo · Off the roster
  • S. Wlodarczyk · Off the roster
  • E. Soglo · Muscle Injury
  • S. Jatta · Inactive

Bench

  • 77F. Wimmer
  • 7O. Sorg
  • 30O. Steurer
  • 4L. Malicsek
  • 12A. Bajić
  • 11J. Rhodes
  • 15J. Boguo

Predicted line-ups based on recent matches and absences; official line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.

Sturm Graz vs Ried — Expert Prediction & Analysis

Sturm Graz hold a narrow but clear edge at home, backed by a dominant head-to-head record and a solid home form line, though seven injuries leave them short-handed. The main risk is Ried's three-match unbeaten run and superior recent scoring output against a depleted home squad.

Sturm Graz are the narrow favourites for this Bundesliga clash at the Merkur-Arena, though the data points to a tighter contest than the league table alone might suggest. The home side sit fourth on 1…

Win Probabilities: Sturm Graz: 52% · Draw: 22% · Ried: 26%

H2H: Sturm Graz wins: 7 · Draws: 2 · Ried wins: 1

Form (latest first): Sturm Graz: LDWLD · Ried: WDLWL

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Bundesliga

Bundesliga

Austria15 · Upcoming Fixtures
BundesligaAustria
WSG Wattens
Oct 1015:00
Ried
Early projection
11.6162%
X5.2619%
25.2619%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
BundesligaAustria
Grazer AK
Oct 1015:00
Red Bull Salzburg
Early projection
112.508%
X8.3312%
21.2580%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
BundesligaAustria
Austria Vienna
Oct 1017:30
Sturm Graz
Early projection
14.5522%
X5.0020%
21.7258%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
BundesligaAustria
SCR Altach
Oct 1112:30
Wolfsberger AC
Early projection
13.0333%
X3.8526%
22.4441%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
BundesligaAustria
TSV Hartberg
Oct 1112:30
Austria Lustenau
Early projection
11.9252%
X4.5522%
23.8526%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
BundesligaAustria
Lask Linz
Oct 1115:00
Rapid Vienna
Early projection
11.5664%
X5.5618%
25.5618%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
BundesligaAustria
Rapid Vienna
Oct 1617:30
TSV Hartberg
Early projection
11.2878%
X7.6913%
211.119%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
BundesligaAustria
Austria Lustenau
Oct 1715:00
Lask Linz
Early projection
19.0911%
X6.6715%
21.3574%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
BundesligaAustria
Ried
Oct 1717:30
Austria Vienna
Early projection
12.3343%
X4.0025%
23.1332%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
BundesligaAustria
Red Bull Salzburg
Oct 1812:30
SCR Altach
Early projection
11.2083%
X8.3312%
220.005%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
BundesligaAustria
Wolfsberger AC
Oct 1812:30
WSG Wattens
Early projection
13.3330%
X4.0025%
22.2245%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
BundesligaAustria
Sturm Graz
Oct 1815:00
Grazer AK
Early projection
11.4967%
X5.8817%
26.2516%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
BundesligaAustria
SCR Altach
Oct 2317:30
Austria Vienna
Early projection
13.1332%
X3.8526%
22.3842%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
BundesligaAustria
WSG Wattens
Oct 2415:00
Grazer AK
Early projection
11.9252%
X4.5522%
23.8526%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
BundesligaAustria
Rapid Vienna
Oct 2417:30
Austria Lustenau
Early projection
11.2580%
X7.6913%
214.297%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access

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