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  1. Home
  2. Jupiler Pro League
  3. Charleroi vs KVC Westerlo

Charleroi vs KVC Westerlo

Result • Jupiler Pro League·Charleroi·KVC Westerlo

Jupiler Pro League
Jupiler Pro League
May 16, 2026
14:00
high Confidence
Charleroi

Charleroi

Home
Final Score
0-1
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
0-1
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
11.67
X3.80
24.10
Stadium
Stade du Pays de Charleroi
high Confidence
WINNER
KVC Westerlo

KVC Westerlo

Away
Odds
11.67
X3.80
24.10
Stadium
Stade du Pays de Charleroi
Win Probabilities
52%
Charleroi
29%
Draw
19%
KVC Westerlo
Home1.6752%
Draw3.8029%
Away4.1019%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

The Oracle sees Charleroi's fortress holding firm against Westerlo's attack. Ancient wisdom reveals a home victory, with the defense as the shield and Guiagon as the sword.

Our AI model analyzes this Jupiler Pro League fixture between Charleroi and KVC Westerlo using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Charleroi a 52% win probability, a 29% chance of a draw, and KVC Westerlo a 19% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 50%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 50%

Match Events

  1. 37'
    Yellow Card: B. ReynoldsKVC Westerlo
    Yellow Card: B. Reynolds
  2. Yellow Card: E. Camara
    41'
    Yellow Card: E. CamaraCharleroi
  3. Substitution: Y. KhalifiOut: E. Camara
    56'
    Substitution: Y. KhalifiCharleroi · Out: E. Camara
  4. Substitution: P. PfluckeOut: A. Bernier
    56'
    Substitution: P. PfluckeCharleroi · Out: A. Bernier
  5. 63'
    Yellow Card: NachoKVC Westerlo
    Yellow Card: Nacho
  6. Substitution: A. ColassinOut: A. Scheidler
    75'
    Substitution: A. ColassinCharleroi · Out: A. Scheidler
  7. Substitution: J. RomsaasOut: L. Blum
    75'
    Substitution: J. RomsaasCharleroi · Out: L. Blum
  8. 77'
    Substitution: E. DestanKVC Westerlo · Out: Nacho
    Substitution: E. DestanOut: Nacho
  9. Yellow Card: A. Colassin
    82'
    Yellow Card: A. ColassinCharleroi
  10. 82'
    Substitution: R. LaalaouiKVC Westerlo · Out: I. Sakamoto
    Substitution: R. LaalaouiOut: I. Sakamoto
  11. 82'
    Substitution: T. Van den KeybusKVC Westerlo · Out: S. Saito
    Substitution: T. Van den KeybusOut: S. Saito
  12. 85'
    Goal: A. PiedfortKVC Westerlo · Assist: B. Reynolds
    Goal: A. PiedfortAssist: B. Reynolds
  13. Substitution: F. SzymczakOut: Y. Titraoui
    85'
    Substitution: F. SzymczakCharleroi · Out: Y. Titraoui
  14. Yellow Card: K. Van Den Kerkhof
    90+4'
    Yellow Card: K. Van Den KerkhofCharleroi
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1P. Guiagon vs Westerlo defense: Guiagon's dribbling and finishing will test a vulnerable backline.
2A. Scheidler vs Westerlo center-backs: Scheidler's physical presence could be decisive in aerial duels.
3Nacho Ferri vs Charleroi defense: Ferri's goal-scoring form will be Westerlo's main threat against a solid defense.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Charleroi

  • Strong defense with 3 clean sheets in last 5
  • Excellent home record as league leaders
  • Recent poor form with 4 losses in last 5
  • Low scoring average of 1.2 goals per game

KVC Westerlo

  • Better recent form with 2 wins in last 5
  • Top scorer Nacho Ferri with 11 goals
  • Poor defensive record conceding 2.0 goals per game
  • Weak away form against top sides

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
52%
API-Football
45%
49%
Charleroi493715

Moderate agreement on home win (49%).

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Charleroi are clear favorites to win against KVC Westerlo, based on strong home advantage, superior league position, and solid defensive form.

Form Analysis: Charleroi have struggled recently (LLDLL) but have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 5, indicating defensive resilience. Westerlo are in better form (DLWDW) but concede an average of 2.0 goals per game, which is a significant weakness against a home side with attacking threats.

Key Factors: (1) Charleroi's excellent defensive record at home, with 3 clean sheets in 5 games. (2) Westerlo's poor away defensive record, conceding 2.0 goals per game. (3) Head-to-head dominance: Charleroi have won 7 of the last 10 meetings. (4) Charleroi sit 1st in the league with 40 points, while Westerlo are 2nd with 33 points, showing a clear quality gap.

Conclusion: The data strongly supports a home win. Charleroi's defense should contain Westerlo's attack, while their own forwards, led by Guiagon and Scheidler, should exploit Westerlo's defensive frailties. A 2-1 scoreline is the most likely outcome.

Statistical ContextCharleroi

Double chance : Charleroi or draw

Team Comparison

AI Powered
CharleroiKVC Westerlo
58%Strength41%
47%Attacking Potential53%
80%Defensive Potential20%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
50%H2H Strength50%
50%Goals H2H50%
58%Wins the Game41%
Head-to-head →Injuries · CharleroiInjuries · KVC WesterloLive scores →

Statistical Context

Charleroi

WWLWW
  • WSep 19, 26H · Cercle Brugge3-2
  • WSep 13, 26A · Zulte Waregem0-1
  • LSep 5, 26H · Union St. Gilloise2-3
  • WAug 29, 26A · Kortrijk1-3
  • WAug 22, 26H · KV Mechelen2-0

KVC Westerlo

WWWDL
  • WSep 20, 26A · St. Truiden0-2
  • WSep 12, 26H · Standard Liege4-2
  • WSep 5, 26A · KV Mechelen0-4
  • DAug 30, 26H · Zulte Waregem2-2
  • LAug 23, 26A · Lommel United4-0

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
3Club Brugge KV7+1218WWWLW
4Charleroi7+818WWLWW
5Anderlecht7+213WWDWL
6Zulte Waregem7+311LLWDW
7Standard Liege7+111LLWWW
8KVC Westerlo7-110WWWDL
9SK Beveren7-49LWWLL

Head to Head

2
Charleroi
1
Draws
7
KVC Westerlo
  • Apr 5, 26KVC Westerlo – Charleroi2-0
  • Feb 22, 26KVC Westerlo – Charleroi2-1
  • Nov 8, 25Charleroi – KVC Westerlo2-0
  • May 9, 25Charleroi – KVC Westerlo4-3
  • Apr 11, 25KVC Westerlo – Charleroi2-2

Season Statistics — 2026

CharleroiKVC Westerlo
Played77
Goals Scored1515
Goals Conceded716
Avg Scored2.12.1
Avg Conceded1.02.3
Clean Sheets32

Charleroi vs KVC Westerlo — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees Charleroi's fortress holding firm against Westerlo's attack. Ancient wisdom reveals a home victory, with the defense as the shield and Guiagon as the sword.

Charleroi are clear favorites to win against KVC Westerlo, based on strong home advantage, superior league position, and solid defensive form.

Form Analysis: Charleroi have struggled recently (LLDLL) but have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 5, indicating defensive resilience. Westerlo are in better form (DLWDW) but concede an average of 2.0 goals per game, which is a significant weakness against a home side with attacking threats.

Key Factors: (1) Charleroi's excellent defensive record at home, with 3 clean sheets in 5 games. (2) Westerlo's poor away defensive record, conceding 2.0 goals per game. (3) Head-to-head dominance: Charleroi have won 7 of the last 10 meetings. (4) Charleroi sit 1st in the league with 40 points, while Westerlo are 2nd with 33 points, showing a clear quality gap.

Conclusion: The data strongly supports a home win. Charleroi's defense should contain Westerlo's attack, while their own forwards, led by Guiagon and Scheidler, should exploit Westerlo's defensive frailties. A 2-1 scoreline is the most likely outcome.

Win Probabilities: Charleroi: 52% · Draw: 29% · KVC Westerlo: 19%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 55% · Under 2.5: 45% · BTTS: 50%

H2H: Charleroi wins: 2 · Draws: 1 · KVC Westerlo wins: 7

Form (latest first): Charleroi: WWLWW · KVC Westerlo: WWWDL

  • P. Guiagon vs Westerlo defense: Guiagon's dribbling and finishing will test a vulnerable backline.
  • A. Scheidler vs Westerlo center-backs: Scheidler's physical presence could be decisive in aerial duels.
  • Nacho Ferri vs Charleroi defense: Ferri's goal-scoring form will be Westerlo's main threat against a solid defense.

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Jupiler Pro League

Jupiler Pro League

Belgium15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
SK Beveren
Oct 918:45
Lommel United
11.9651%
X3.4529%
25.0020%
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
Cercle Brugge
Oct 1014:00
Anderlecht
Early projection
14.3523%
X4.7621%
21.7956%
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
RAAL La Louvière
Oct 1016:15
Club Brugge KV
Early projection
116.676%
X8.3312%
21.2282%
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
Zulte Waregem
Oct 1018:45
Gent
Early projection
13.4529%
X4.1724%
22.1347%
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
Genk
Oct 1018:45
Kortrijk
Early projection
11.2282%
X8.3312%
216.676%
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
Standard Liege
Oct 1111:30
Charleroi
Early projection
12.5639%
X3.7027%
22.9434%
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
Union St. Gilloise
Oct 1114:00
OH Leuven
Early projection
11.1885%
X8.3312%
233.333%
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
KVC Westerlo
Oct 1116:30
Antwerp
Early projection
13.4529%
X4.1724%
22.1347%
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
KV Mechelen
Oct 1117:15
St. Truiden
Early projection
16.6715%
X5.8817%
21.4768%
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
Kortrijk
Oct 2318:45
KV Mechelen
Early projection
12.3343%
X4.0025%
23.1332%
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
Antwerp
Oct 2414:00
Charleroi
Early projection
17.6913%
X6.6715%
21.3972%
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
OH Leuven
Oct 2416:15
Lommel United
Early projection
13.3330%
X4.1724%
22.1746%
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
KVC Westerlo
Oct 2418:45
SK Beveren
Early projection
11.9252%
X4.5522%
23.8526%
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
RAAL La Louvière
Oct 2418:45
Zulte Waregem
Early projection
14.5522%
X4.7621%
21.7557%
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
Genk
Oct 2512:30
Standard Liege
Early projection
12.7836%
X3.7027%
22.7037%

Betting Tips

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