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  1. Home
  2. Jupiler Pro League
  3. KVC Westerlo vs Union St. Gilloise

KVC Westerlo vs Union St. Gilloise

Result • Jupiler Pro League·KVC Westerlo·Union St. Gilloise

Jupiler Pro League
Jupiler Pro League
Aug 8, 2026
18:45
medium Confidence
KVC Westerlo

KVC Westerlo

Home
Final Score
1-5
Predicted: 1-2
Final Score
1-5
Predicted: 1-2
Odds
14.50
X3.85
21.70
Stadium
Het Kuipje
medium Confidence
WINNER
Union St. Gilloise

Union St. Gilloise

Away
Odds
14.50
X3.85
21.70
Stadium
Het Kuipje
Win Probabilities
20%
KVC Westerlo
29%
Draw
51%
Union St. Gilloise
Home4.5020%
Draw3.8529%
Away1.7051%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

Union St. Gilloise are clear favourites, backed by superior recent form and a dominant head-to-head record. However, Westerlo's home resilience and Union's defensive vulnerabilities could make this a closer contest than expected.

Our AI model analyzes this Jupiler Pro League fixture between KVC Westerlo and Union St. Gilloise using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns KVC Westerlo a 20% win probability, a 29% chance of a draw, and Union St. Gilloise a 51% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-2. Both teams to score probability: 55%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 55%

Match Events

  1. Goal: N. BassetteAssist: I. Sakamoto
    13'
    Goal: N. BassetteKVC Westerlo · Assist: I. Sakamoto
  2. 25'
    Yellow Card: K. Mac AllisterUnion St. Gilloise
    Yellow Card: K. Mac Allister
  3. 28'
    Goal: P. DavidUnion St. Gilloise · Assist: B. Zeneli
    Goal: P. DavidAssist: B. Zeneli
  4. 33'
    Yellow Card: R. FloruczUnion St. Gilloise
    Yellow Card: R. Florucz
  5. Yellow Card: C. Sandra
    35'
    Yellow Card: C. SandraKVC Westerlo
  6. 57'
    Goal: R. FloruczUnion St. Gilloise · Assist: P. David
    Goal: R. FloruczAssist: P. David
  7. 60'
    Substitution: R. MofokengUnion St. Gilloise · Out: P. David
    Substitution: R. MofokengOut: P. David
  8. 60'
    Substitution: M. FuseiniUnion St. Gilloise · Out: R. Florucz
    Substitution: M. FuseiniOut: R. Florucz
  9. 64'
    Goal: R. MofokengUnion St. Gilloise · Assist: R. Schoofs
    Goal: R. MofokengAssist: R. Schoofs
  10. 68'
    Substitution: D. OlaruUnion St. Gilloise · Out: B. Zeneli
    Substitution: D. OlaruOut: B. Zeneli
  11. 68'
    Substitution: Guilherme SmithUnion St. Gilloise · Out: O. Niang
    Substitution: Guilherme SmithOut: O. Niang
  12. Substitution: L. Mbamba-MuandaOut: D. Ourega
    68'
    Substitution: L. Mbamba-MuandaKVC Westerlo · Out: D. Ourega
  13. Substitution: D. JochemOut: N. Bassette
    68'
    Substitution: D. JochemKVC Westerlo · Out: N. Bassette
  14. Substitution: R. LaalaouiOut: A. Lapage
    68'
    Substitution: R. LaalaouiKVC Westerlo · Out: A. Lapage
  15. Substitution: K. BorysOut: S. Saito
    80'
    Substitution: K. BorysKVC Westerlo · Out: S. Saito
  16. 81'
    Goal: Guilherme SmithUnion St. Gilloise · Assist: M. Fuseini
    Goal: Guilherme SmithAssist: M. Fuseini
  17. 83'
    Substitution: O. KricfalusiUnion St. Gilloise · Out: K. Van De Perre
    Substitution: O. KricfalusiOut: K. Van De Perre
  18. 84'
    Goal: D. OlaruUnion St. Gilloise
    Goal: D. Olaru
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1N. Bassette vs R. Sykes: Westerlo's forward will look to exploit any space behind Union's defence, while Sykes will need to stay disciplined to keep him quiet.
2D. Haspolat vs A. Zorgane: The midfield battle will be crucial, with Haspolat aiming to break up play and Zorgane looking to dictate the tempo for Union.
3Afonso Patrão vs K. Mac Allister: Patrão's pace on the wing could trouble Mac Allister, who must be alert to prevent crosses into the box.
Strengths · Weaknesses

KVC Westerlo

  • Resilient at home, having kept a clean sheet in one of their last five matches
  • Possess a solid defensive unit that can frustrate opponents
  • Struggling for goals, scoring just 0.6 per game in recent matches
  • Poor recent form, with four losses in their last five games

Union St. Gilloise

  • High-scoring attack, averaging 2.4 goals per game in their last five matches
  • Unbeaten in their last three games, showing good momentum
  • Defensive lapses, conceding 2.0 goals per game recently
  • Inconsistent results, with two losses in their last five matches

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
51%
API-Football
50%
51%
Union St. Gilloise104050

Models disagree significantly. Suggests away win (51%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisMedium Confidence

Union St. Gilloise enter this Jupiler Pro League clash as the clear favourites, with the bookmaker-implied probabilities and the API-Football model both pointing decisively in their direction. The away side's superior attacking output and strong head-to-head record give them a significant edge over a struggling KVC Westerlo side.

Form Analysis: Union St. Gilloise arrive on the back of a three-match unbeaten streak, averaging 2.4 goals per game in their last five outings. In contrast, KVC Westerlo have lost four of their last five matches, scoring just 0.6 goals per game on average and failing to find the net in two of those fixtures. This stark contrast in momentum heavily favours the visitors.

Key Factors: The head-to-head record is overwhelmingly in Union's favour, with four wins in the last five meetings. Additionally, the API-Football comparison gives Union a 62% strength rating in head-to-head situations and a 60.5% overall rating, reinforcing their dominance. Westerlo's defensive frailties, conceding 1.6 goals per game, are likely to be exploited by Union's potent attack.

Conclusion: All data points to a Union St. Gilloise victory. Their superior form, attacking prowess, and historical dominance over Westerlo make them the clear favourites. While Westerlo will be eager to turn their season around, the evidence strongly suggests Union will secure the three points.

Statistical ContextUnion St. Gilloise

Double chance : draw or Union St. Gilloise

Team Comparison

AI Powered
KVC WesterloUnion St. Gilloise
39%Strength60%
50%Attacking Potential50%
50%Defensive Potential50%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
38%H2H Strength62%
41%Goals H2H59%
39%Wins the Game60%
Head-to-head →Injuries · KVC WesterloInjuries · Union St. GilloiseLive scores →

Statistical Context

KVC Westerlo

WWWDL
  • WSep 20, 26A · St. Truiden0-2
  • WSep 12, 26H · Standard Liege4-2
  • WSep 5, 26A · KV Mechelen0-4
  • DAug 30, 26H · Zulte Waregem2-2
  • LAug 23, 26A · Lommel United4-0

Union St. Gilloise

WWWWW
  • WSep 20, 26A · Antwerp0-2
  • WSep 17, 26A · Plzen0-3
  • WSep 12, 26H · Lommel United5-0
  • WSep 5, 26A · Charleroi2-3
  • WSep 2, 26A · St. Truiden0-3

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
1Union St. Gilloise7+1819WWWWW
2Gent7+919WDWWW
3Club Brugge KV7+1218WWWLW
4Charleroi7+818WWLWW
5Anderlecht7+213WWDWL
6Zulte Waregem7+311LLWDW
7Standard Liege7+111LLWWW
8KVC Westerlo7-110WWWDL
9SK Beveren7-49LWWLL

Head to Head

2
KVC Westerlo
4
Draws
4
Union St. Gilloise
  • Mar 1, 26KVC Westerlo – Union St. Gilloise0-0
  • Sep 27, 25Union St. Gilloise – KVC Westerlo2-0
  • Dec 15, 24Union St. Gilloise – KVC Westerlo3-1
  • Aug 10, 24KVC Westerlo – Union St. Gilloise4-3
  • Feb 10, 24Union St. Gilloise – KVC Westerlo2-2

Season Statistics — 2026

KVC WesterloUnion St. Gilloise
Played5—
Goals Scored9—
Goals Conceded14—
Avg Scored1.8—
Avg Conceded2.8—
Clean Sheets1—

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

KVC WesterloUnion St. Gilloise
Over 2.5 Goals—4/10
Both Teams Scored—5/10
Clean Sheets—4/10

KVC Westerlo vs Union St. Gilloise — Match Analysis

Union St. Gilloise are clear favourites, backed by superior recent form and a dominant head-to-head record. However, Westerlo's home resilience and Union's defensive vulnerabilities could make this a closer contest than expected.

Union St. Gilloise enter this Jupiler Pro League clash as the clear favourites, with the bookmaker-implied probabilities and the API-Football model both pointing decisively in their direction. The away side's superior attacking output and strong head-to-head record give them a significant edge over a struggling KVC Westerlo side.

Form Analysis: Union St. Gilloise arrive on the back of a three-match unbeaten streak, averaging 2.4 goals per game in their last five outings. In contrast, KVC Westerlo have lost four of their last five matches, scoring just 0.6 goals per game on average and failing to find the net in two of those fixtures. This stark contrast in momentum heavily favours the visitors.

Key Factors: The head-to-head record is overwhelmingly in Union's favour, with four wins in the last five meetings. Additionally, the API-Football comparison gives Union a 62% strength rating in head-to-head situations and a 60.5% overall rating, reinforcing their dominance. Westerlo's defensive frailties, conceding 1.6 goals per game, are likely to be exploited by Union's potent attack.

Conclusion: All data points to a Union St. Gilloise victory. Their superior form, attacking prowess, and historical dominance over Westerlo make them the clear favourites. While Westerlo will be eager to turn their season around, the evidence strongly suggests Union will secure the three points.

Win Probabilities: KVC Westerlo: 20% · Draw: 29% · Union St. Gilloise: 51%

Predicted Score: 1-2 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 55% · Under 2.5: 45% · BTTS: 55%

H2H: KVC Westerlo wins: 2 · Draws: 4 · Union St. Gilloise wins: 4

Form (latest first): KVC Westerlo: WWWDL · Union St. Gilloise: WWWWW

  • N. Bassette vs R. Sykes: Westerlo's forward will look to exploit any space behind Union's defence, while Sykes will need to stay disciplined to keep him quiet.
  • D. Haspolat vs A. Zorgane: The midfield battle will be crucial, with Haspolat aiming to break up play and Zorgane looking to dictate the tempo for Union.
  • Afonso Patrão vs K. Mac Allister: Patrão's pace on the wing could trouble Mac Allister, who must be alert to prevent crosses into the box.

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Jupiler Pro League

Jupiler Pro League

Belgium11 · Upcoming Fixtures
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
SK Beveren
Oct 918:45
Lommel United
Early projection
12.9434%
X3.8526%
22.5040%
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
Cercle Brugge
Oct 1014:00
Anderlecht
Early projection
14.3523%
X4.7621%
21.7956%
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
RAAL La Louvière
Oct 1016:15
Club Brugge KV
Early projection
116.676%
X8.3312%
21.2282%
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
Zulte Waregem
Oct 1018:45
Gent
Early projection
13.4529%
X4.1724%
22.1347%
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
Genk
Oct 1018:45
Kortrijk
Early projection
11.2282%
X8.3312%
216.676%
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
Standard Liege
Oct 1111:30
Charleroi
Early projection
12.5639%
X3.7027%
22.9434%
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
Union St. Gilloise
Oct 1114:00
OH Leuven
Early projection
11.1885%
X8.3312%
233.333%
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
KVC Westerlo
Oct 1116:30
Antwerp
Early projection
13.4529%
X4.1724%
22.1347%
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
KV Mechelen
Oct 1117:15
St. Truiden
Early projection
16.6715%
X5.8817%
21.4768%
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
Kortrijk
Oct 2318:45
KV Mechelen
Early projection
12.3343%
X4.0025%
23.1332%
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
Antwerp
Oct 2414:00
Charleroi
Betora Vision Pending

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