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  1. Home
  2. Jupiler Pro League
  3. Liège vs Lommel United

Liège vs Lommel United

Result • Jupiler Pro League·Liège·Lommel United

Jupiler Pro League
Jupiler Pro League
Apr 27, 2026
18:30
medium Confidence
Liège

Liège

Home
Final Score
1-2
Predicted: 1-2
Final Score
1-2
Predicted: 1-2
Odds
13.00
X3.40
22.05
Stadium
Stade de Rocourt
medium Confidence
WINNER
Lommel United

Lommel United

Away
Odds
13.00
X3.40
22.05
Stadium
Stade de Rocourt
Win Probabilities
25%
Liège
31%
Draw
44%
Lommel United
Home3.0025%
Draw3.4031%
Away2.0544%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

The Oracle sees Lommel United's superior quality overcoming the home advantage. Ancient wisdom reveals the visitors' class will prove decisive in this encounter.

Our AI model analyzes this Jupiler Pro League fixture between Liège and Lommel United using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Liège a 25% win probability, a 31% chance of a draw, and Lommel United a 44% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-2. Both teams to score probability: 50%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 50%

Match Events

  1. 8'
    Goal: Z. VancsaLommel United · Assist: S. De Grand
    Goal: Z. VancsaAssist: S. De Grand
  2. 18'
    Goal: Z. VancsaLommel United · Assist: R. Seuntjens
    Goal: Z. VancsaAssist: R. Seuntjens
  3. Yellow Card: J. Bustin
    25'
    Yellow Card: J. BustinLiège
  4. Goal: K. HazardAssist: B. Bruggeman
    29'
    Goal: K. HazardLiège · Assist: B. Bruggeman
  5. 65'
    Substitution: R. van DuivenLommel United · Out: L. Lopez
    Substitution: R. van DuivenOut: L. Lopez
  6. Yellow Card: A. Lefebvre
    71'
    Yellow Card: A. LefebvreLiège
  7. 72'
    Substitution: N. RommensLommel United · Out: R. Seuntjens
    Substitution: N. RommensOut: R. Seuntjens
  8. 78'
    Yellow Card: L. SchoofsLommel United
    Yellow Card: L. Schoofs
  9. 79'
    Substitution: M. SalahLommel United · Out: Z. Vancsa
    Substitution: M. SalahOut: Z. Vancsa
  10. Substitution: A. ArslanOut: J. D'Ostilio
    79'
    Substitution: A. ArslanLiège · Out: J. D'Ostilio
  11. Substitution: L. PirotteOut: A. Lefebvre
    87'
    Substitution: L. PirotteLiège · Out: A. Lefebvre
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1Liège defense vs Lommel attack: Lommel's attacking strength (100% rating) will test Liège's shaky defense.
2Midfield control: Both teams will vie for dominance in midfield, but Lommel's form gives them an edge.
3Set pieces: Liège may rely on set pieces to score, given their attacking struggles.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Liège

  • Historical H2H advantage
  • Home support
  • Poor recent form
  • Defensive vulnerability

Lommel United

  • Excellent recent form
  • Strong attack and defense
  • Historical H2H disadvantage
  • Potential overconfidence

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
44%
API-Football
45%
45%
Lommel United183845

Moderate agreement on away win (45%).

AI AnalysisMedium Confidence

Based on the data, Lommel United is favored to win this match. The bookmaker-implied probabilities give Lommel a 44% chance, while Liège has 30% and the draw 26%. The API-Football model also predicts an away win with 45% probability, reinforcing the odds. Liège's recent form shows a loss streak and defensive issues, conceding 1.8 goals per game, while Lommel is on a win streak with strong attack (2.0 goals per game). Head-to-head history favors Liège (4 wins in last 7), but recent form and odds outweigh this. No significant injuries reported. The weather is neutral. Thus, the prediction is an away win.

Form Analysis: Liège has a 1 loss streak, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded, with 1 clean sheet in last 5. Lommel has a 1 win streak, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded, also with 1 clean sheet. Lommel's attack and defense are rated 100% in the API comparison, while Liège is at 0%.

Key Factors: 1) Lommel's superior recent form and momentum. 2) API comparison shows Lommel dominant in attack and defense. 3) Odds and model both favor away win.

Conclusion: Lommel United is likely to win, with a predicted score of 1-2.

Statistical ContextLommel United

Winner : Lommel United

Team Comparison

AI Powered
LiègeLommel United
63%Strength36%
50%Attacking Potential100%
50%Defensive Potential100%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
71%H2H Strength29%
56%Goals H2H44%
63%Wins the Game36%
Head-to-head →Injuries · LiègeInjuries · Lommel UnitedLive scores →

Statistical Context

Liège

DDL
  • DSep 13, 26H · Club Brugge II4-4
  • DSep 6, 26A · K. Lierse S.K.0-0
  • LApr 23, 26A · Lommel United3-0

Lommel United

LLWWL
  • LSep 12, 26A · Union St. Gilloise5-0
  • LSep 4, 26H · Club Brugge KV0-1
  • WAug 29, 26A · Cercle Brugge0-1
  • WAug 23, 26H · KVC Westerlo4-0
  • LAug 16, 26H · Charleroi0-1

Head to Head

2
Liège
1
Draws
4
Lommel United
  • Apr 23, 26Lommel United – Liège3-0
  • Jan 27, 26Liège – Lommel United1-0
  • Sep 28, 25Lommel United – Liège0-1
  • Jan 26, 25Lommel United – Liège0-2
  • Oct 4, 24Liège – Lommel United1-1

Season Statistics — 2025 · 2026

LiègeLommel United
Played15
Goals Scored06
Goals Conceded33
Avg Scored0.01.2
Avg Conceded3.00.6
Clean Sheets02

Liège vs Lommel United — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees Lommel United's superior quality overcoming the home advantage. Ancient wisdom reveals the visitors' class will prove decisive in this encounter.

Based on the data, Lommel United is favored to win this match. The bookmaker-implied probabilities give Lommel a 44% chance, while Liège has 30% and the draw 26%. The API-Football model also predicts an away win with 45% probability, reinforcing the odds. Liège's recent form shows a loss streak and defensive issues, conceding 1.8 goals per game, while Lommel is on a win streak with strong attack (2.0 goals per game). Head-to-head history favors Liège (4 wins in last 7), but recent form and odds outweigh this. No significant injuries reported. The weather is neutral. Thus, the prediction is an away win.

Form Analysis: Liège has a 1 loss streak, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded, with 1 clean sheet in last 5. Lommel has a 1 win streak, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded, also with 1 clean sheet. Lommel's attack and defense are rated 100% in the API comparison, while Liège is at 0%.

Key Factors: 1) Lommel's superior recent form and momentum. 2) API comparison shows Lommel dominant in attack and defense. 3) Odds and model both favor away win.

Conclusion: Lommel United is likely to win, with a predicted score of 1-2.

Win Probabilities: Liège: 25% · Draw: 31% · Lommel United: 44%

Predicted Score: 1-2 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 55% · Under 2.5: 45% · BTTS: 50%

H2H: Liège wins: 2 · Draws: 1 · Lommel United wins: 4

Form (latest first): Liège: DDL · Lommel United: LLWWL

  • Liège defense vs Lommel attack: Lommel's attacking strength (100% rating) will test Liège's shaky defense.
  • Midfield control: Both teams will vie for dominance in midfield, but Lommel's form gives them an edge.
  • Set pieces: Liège may rely on set pieces to score, given their attacking struggles.

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Jupiler Pro League

Jupiler Pro League

Belgium15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
Gent
Sep 1818:45
Standard Liege
12.0449%
X3.3330%
24.7621%
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
OH Leuven
Sep 1914:00
RAAL La Louvière
12.5040%
X3.4529%
23.2331%
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
Charleroi
Sep 1916:15
Cercle Brugge
11.9651%
X3.4529%
25.0020%
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
Lommel United
Sep 1918:45
KV Mechelen
12.2245%
X3.2331%
24.1724%
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
Anderlecht
Sep 1918:45
Zulte Waregem
12.5040%
X3.3330%
23.3330%
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
Antwerp
Sep 2011:30
Union St. Gilloise
16.6715%
X3.7027%
21.7258%
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
St. Truiden
Sep 2014:00
KVC Westerlo
11.5963%
X4.3523%
27.1414%
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
Club Brugge KV
Sep 2016:30
Genk
11.5664%
X4.3523%
27.6913%
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
Kortrijk
Sep 2017:15
SK Beveren
13.5728%
X3.1332%
22.5040%
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
SK Beveren
Oct 918:45
Lommel United
Early projection
12.9434%
X3.8526%
22.5040%
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
Cercle Brugge
Oct 1014:00
Anderlecht
Early projection
14.3523%
X4.7621%
21.7956%
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
RAAL La Louvière
Oct 1016:15
Club Brugge KV
Early projection
116.676%
X8.3312%
21.2282%
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
Zulte Waregem
Oct 1018:45
Gent
Early projection
13.4529%
X4.1724%
22.1347%
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
Genk
Oct 1018:45
Kortrijk
Early projection
11.2282%
X8.3312%
216.676%
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
Standard Liege
Oct 1111:30
Charleroi
Early projection
12.5639%
X3.7027%
22.9434%

Betting Tips

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