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  1. Home
  2. Jupiler Pro League
  3. St. Truiden vs Lommel United

St. Truiden vs Lommel United

Result • Jupiler Pro League·St. Truiden·Lommel United

Jupiler Pro League
Jupiler Pro League
Aug 8, 2026
18:45
medium Confidence
DRAW
St. Truiden

St. Truiden

Home
Final Score
1-1
Predicted: 1-0
Final Score
1-1
Predicted: 1-0
Odds
11.50
X4.20
26.00
Stadium
Stayen
medium Confidence
DRAW
Lommel United

Lommel United

Away
Odds
11.50
X4.20
26.00
Stadium
Stayen
Win Probabilities
54%
St. Truiden
25%
Draw
21%
Lommel United
Home1.5054%
Draw4.2025%
Away6.0021%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

St. Truiden are favored at 52% to win at home against Lommel United. The draw is rated 26% and the away win 22%, so the numbers point to a home result.

Our AI model analyzes this Jupiler Pro League fixture between St. Truiden and Lommel United using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns St. Truiden a 54% win probability, a 25% chance of a draw, and Lommel United a 21% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-0. Both teams to score probability: 50%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 50%

Match Events

  1. 24'
    Penalty: R. Seuntjens (Penalty)Lommel United
    Penalty: R. Seuntjens (Penalty)
  2. 49'
    Substitution: J. TalvitieLommel United · Out: S. Nypan
    Substitution: J. TalvitieOut: S. Nypan
  3. 56'
    Substitution: Z. VancsaLommel United · Out: S. Appuah
    Substitution: Z. VancsaOut: S. Appuah
  4. Goal: I. SebaouiAssist: N. Ishiwatari
    64'
    Goal: I. SebaouiSt. Truiden · Assist: N. Ishiwatari
  5. Substitution: K. MatsuzawaOut: R. Merlen
    68'
    Substitution: K. MatsuzawaSt. Truiden · Out: R. Merlen
  6. 73'
    Substitution: S. AdewoyeLommel United · Out: H. Oware
    Substitution: S. AdewoyeOut: H. Oware
  7. 73'
    Substitution: L. BeirinckxLommel United · Out: R. Seuntjens
    Substitution: L. BeirinckxOut: R. Seuntjens
  8. Yellow Card: N. Ishiwatari
    75'
    Yellow Card: N. IshiwatariSt. Truiden
  9. Substitution: O. DioufOut: F. Soelle
    76'
    Substitution: O. DioufSt. Truiden · Out: F. Soelle
  10. Substitution: S. ShinkawaOut: J. Pupe
    89'
    Substitution: S. ShinkawaSt. Truiden · Out: J. Pupe
  11. VAR: VAR · Goal Disallowed - handballO. Diouf
    90'
    VAR: VAR · Goal Disallowed - handballSt. Truiden · O. Diouf
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1M. Lendfers vs N. Ivezić: The battle between the two goalkeepers could be decisive, as both are expected to make crucial saves.
2I. Sebaoui vs J. Banguera: Sebaoui's creativity and dribbling will test Banguera's defensive abilities on the flank.
3S. Shinkawa vs S. de Grand: Shinkawa's pace and movement could stretch the Lommel defense, with de Grand needing to stay disciplined.
Strengths · Weaknesses

St. Truiden

  • Solid defensive record with 2 clean sheets in last 5
  • Home advantage at Daio Wasabi Stayen
  • Struggling with 2 consecutive losses
  • Failed to score in 3 of last 5 games

Lommel United

  • Higher league position (3rd) suggests good overall form
  • Competitive squad with players like N. Ivezić and T. Reyners
  • No recent form data available, but away matches are often tougher
  • May lack the defensive solidity to contain St. Truiden's attack

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
54%
API-Football
33%
44%
St. Truiden442927

Models disagree significantly. Suggests home win (44%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisMedium Confidence

St. Truiden enter this Jupiler Pro League clash as the clear favourites, with the market pricing them well ahead of Lommel United. Despite their recent struggles, the home side's overall quality and the advantage of playing at Daio Wasabi Stayen give them a decisive edge.

Form Analysis: St. Truiden have had a mixed run of results, with two consecutive losses and three games without a goal in their last five. However, they have also kept two clean sheets in that period, showing defensive resilience. Lommel United's recent form is not detailed, but their higher league position (3rd vs 12th) suggests they are in decent shape, though they face a tougher test away from home.

Key Factors: The most significant factor is the home advantage, which is often worth a few percentage points in football. St. Truiden's defensive solidity, evidenced by two clean sheets, could be crucial against a Lommel side that may struggle to break them down. Additionally, the head-to-head record shows one draw in the last five meetings, with no wins for either side, indicating a tight contest historically, but the odds suggest St. Truiden have the upper hand this time.

Conclusion: Based on the data, St. Truiden are the most likely winners. Their home form, defensive capabilities, and the market's confidence point to a narrow victory. Lommel United will be competitive, but the home side's edge should prove decisive.

Statistical Context

No predictions available

Team Comparison

AI Powered
St. TruidenLommel United
50%Strength50%
50%Attacking Potential50%
50%Defensive Potential50%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
50%H2H Strength50%
50%Goals H2H50%
50%Wins the Game50%
Head-to-head →Injuries · St. TruidenInjuries · Lommel UnitedLive scores →

Statistical Context

St. Truiden

LLWLW
  • LSep 20, 26H · KVC Westerlo0-2
  • LSep 12, 26A · SK Beveren2-0
  • WSep 5, 26H · RAAL La Louvière4-0
  • LSep 2, 26H · Union St. Gilloise0-3
  • WAug 30, 26A · Antwerp1-4

Lommel United

DLLWW
  • DSep 19, 26H · KV Mechelen0-0
  • LSep 12, 26A · Union St. Gilloise5-0
  • LSep 4, 26H · Club Brugge KV0-1
  • WAug 29, 26A · Cercle Brugge0-1
  • WAug 23, 26H · KVC Westerlo4-0

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
10Genk7+19LDDWD
11St. Truiden708LLWLW
12Lommel United7-28DLLWW
13Antwerp7-47LLLLD

Head to Head

0
St. Truiden
1
Draws
0
Lommel United
  • Aug 17, 20St. Truiden – Lommel United1-1

Season Statistics — 2026

St. TruidenLommel United
Played—7
Goals Scored—6
Goals Conceded—8
Avg Scored—0.9
Avg Conceded—1.1
Clean Sheets—3

St. Truiden vs Lommel United — Match Analysis

St. Truiden are favored at 52% to win at home against Lommel United. The draw is rated 26% and the away win 22%, so the numbers point to a home result.

St. Truiden enter this Jupiler Pro League clash as the clear favourites, with the market pricing them well ahead of Lommel United. Despite their recent struggles, the home side's overall quality and the advantage of playing at Daio Wasabi Stayen give them a decisive edge.

Form Analysis: St. Truiden have had a mixed run of results, with two consecutive losses and three games without a goal in their last five. However, they have also kept two clean sheets in that period, showing defensive resilience. Lommel United's recent form is not detailed, but their higher league position (3rd vs 12th) suggests they are in decent shape, though they face a tougher test away from home.

Key Factors: The most significant factor is the home advantage, which is often worth a few percentage points in football. St. Truiden's defensive solidity, evidenced by two clean sheets, could be crucial against a Lommel side that may struggle to break them down. Additionally, the head-to-head record shows one draw in the last five meetings, with no wins for either side, indicating a tight contest historically, but the odds suggest St. Truiden have the upper hand this time.

Conclusion: Based on the data, St. Truiden are the most likely winners. Their home form, defensive capabilities, and the market's confidence point to a narrow victory. Lommel United will be competitive, but the home side's edge should prove decisive.

Win Probabilities: St. Truiden: 54% · Draw: 25% · Lommel United: 21%

Predicted Score: 1-0 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 55% · Under 2.5: 45% · BTTS: 50%

H2H: St. Truiden wins: 0 · Draws: 1 · Lommel United wins: 0

Form (latest first): St. Truiden: LLWLW · Lommel United: DLLWW

  • M. Lendfers vs N. Ivezić: The battle between the two goalkeepers could be decisive, as both are expected to make crucial saves.
  • I. Sebaoui vs J. Banguera: Sebaoui's creativity and dribbling will test Banguera's defensive abilities on the flank.
  • S. Shinkawa vs S. de Grand: Shinkawa's pace and movement could stretch the Lommel defense, with de Grand needing to stay disciplined.

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Jupiler Pro League

Jupiler Pro League

Belgium14 · Upcoming Fixtures
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
SK Beveren
Oct 918:45
Lommel United
Early projection
12.9434%
X3.8526%
22.5040%
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
Cercle Brugge
Oct 1014:00
Anderlecht
Early projection
14.3523%
X4.7621%
21.7956%
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
RAAL La Louvière
Oct 1016:15
Club Brugge KV
Early projection
116.676%
X8.3312%
21.2282%
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
Zulte Waregem
Oct 1018:45
Gent
Early projection
13.4529%
X4.1724%
22.1347%
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
Genk
Oct 1018:45
Kortrijk
Early projection
11.2282%
X8.3312%
216.676%
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
Standard Liege
Oct 1111:30
Charleroi
Early projection
12.5639%
X3.7027%
22.9434%
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
Union St. Gilloise
Oct 1114:00
OH Leuven
Early projection
11.1885%
X8.3312%
233.333%
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
KVC Westerlo
Oct 1116:30
Antwerp
Early projection
13.4529%
X4.1724%
22.1347%
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
KV Mechelen
Oct 1117:15
St. Truiden
Early projection
16.6715%
X5.8817%
21.4768%
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
Kortrijk
Oct 2318:45
KV Mechelen
Early projection
12.3343%
X4.0025%
23.1332%
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
Antwerp
Oct 2414:00
Charleroi
Early projection
17.6913%
X6.6715%
21.3972%
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
OH Leuven
Oct 2416:15
Lommel United
Early projection
13.3330%
X4.1724%
22.1746%
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
KVC Westerlo
Oct 2418:45
SK Beveren
Early projection
11.9252%
X4.5522%
23.8526%
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
RAAL La Louvière
Oct 2418:45
Zulte Waregem
Early projection
14.5522%
X4.7621%
21.7557%

Betting Tips

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