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Today's Tips
Matches
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  1. Home
  2. Primera División
  3. Aurora vs Nacional Potosí

Aurora vs Nacional Potosí

Result • Primera División·Aurora·Nacional Potosí

Primera División
Primera División
Oct 11, 2026
21:15
medium Confidence
DRAW
Aurora

Aurora

Home
Final Score
2-2
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
2-2
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
11.73
X3.50
24.00
Stadium
Felix Capriles
medium Confidence
DRAW
Nacional Potosí

Nacional Potosí

Away
Odds
11.73
X3.50
24.00
Stadium
Felix Capriles
Win Probabilities
53%
Aurora
25%
Draw
22%
Nacional Potosí
Home1.7353%
Draw3.5025%
Away4.0022%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

Aurora are favoured at 58%; our projected score is 2-1.

Our AI model analyzes this Primera División fixture between Aurora and Nacional Potosí using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Aurora a 53% win probability, a 25% chance of a draw, and Nacional Potosí a 22% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 59%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 59%

Match Events

  1. Penalty: Alan Miguel Terrazas Castro (Penalty)
    16'
    Penalty: Alan Miguel Terrazas Castro (Penalty)Aurora
  2. 21'
    Yellow Card: P. AzogueNacional Potosí
    Yellow Card: P. Azogue
  3. 36'
    Goal: P. AzogueNacional Potosí · Assist: A. Torrico
    Goal: P. AzogueAssist: A. Torrico
  4. Substitution: I. VidaurreOut: Ivan Huayhuata
    45'
    Substitution: I. VidaurreAurora · Out: Ivan Huayhuata
  5. Substitution: Erwin Junior SanchezOut: Ronaldo Sánchez
    45'
    Substitution: Erwin Junior SanchezAurora · Out: Ronaldo Sánchez
  6. Substitution: Harrison MojicaOut: Michael Rangel
    45'
    Substitution: Harrison MojicaAurora · Out: Michael Rangel
  7. 45+9'
    VAR: VAR · Penalty confirmedNacional Potosí · Wilson Álvarez
    VAR: VAR · Penalty confirmedWilson Álvarez
  8. 45+11'
    Penalty: M. Tomianovic (Penalty)Nacional Potosí
    Penalty: M. Tomianovic (Penalty)
  9. Yellow Card: leandro barro
    45+14'
    Yellow Card: leandro barroAurora
  10. Substitution: Henry VacaOut: Alan Miguel Terrazas Castro
    59'
    Substitution: Henry VacaAurora · Out: Alan Miguel Terrazas Castro
  11. 61'
    Substitution: Weslen JuniorNacional Potosí · Out: Schneider Peña Vaca
    Substitution: Weslen JuniorOut: Schneider Peña Vaca
  12. 69'
    Yellow Card: Óscar Damián VillalbaNacional Potosí
    Yellow Card: Óscar Damián Villalba
  13. Goal: Rodrigo Ramallo
    69'
    Goal: Rodrigo RamalloAurora
  14. 73'
    Yellow Card: Weslen JuniorNacional Potosí
    Yellow Card: Weslen Junior
  15. Yellow Card: Harrison Mojica
    75'
    Yellow Card: Harrison MojicaAurora
  16. Yellow Card: Jair Torrico
    79'
    Yellow Card: Jair TorricoAurora
  17. 82'
    Substitution: Oscar BaldomarNacional Potosí · Out: D. Hoyos
    Substitution: Oscar BaldomarOut: D. Hoyos
  18. 82'
    Substitution: Tommy TobarNacional Potosí · Out: Weslen Junior
    Substitution: Tommy TobarOut: Weslen Junior
  19. 89'
    Substitution: juan orellanaNacional Potosí · Out: Maximiliano Núñez
    Substitution: juan orellanaOut: Maximiliano Núñez
  20. 89'
    Substitution: Juan BatistaNacional Potosí · Out: M. Tomianovic
    Substitution: Juan BatistaOut: M. Tomianovic
  21. Substitution: Moisés Eduardo Velazco GomezOut: Harrison Mojica
    89'
    Substitution: Moisés Eduardo Velazco GomezAurora · Out: Harrison Mojica
  22. 90+4'
    Yellow Card: Juan BatistaNacional Potosí
    Yellow Card: Juan Batista
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

More information

Head-to-headAurora – Nacional PotosíInjuriesAuroraInjuriesNacional PotosíLive scores

Statistical Context

Aurora

DWLLW
  • DOct 31, 26A · Oriente Petrolero1-1
  • WOct 25, 26H · Real Tomayapo1-0
  • LOct 17, 26A · Real Oruro1-0
  • LSep 16, 26A · Guabirá3-1
  • WSep 11, 26A · San Antonio Bulo Bulo0-2

Nacional Potosí

DWLLW
  • DOct 31, 26A · Real Oruro1-1
  • WOct 26, 26H · Guabirá3-0
  • LOct 18, 26H · Bolívar0-1
  • LSep 16, 26H · Always Ready0-4
  • WSep 12, 26A · Gualberto Villarroel SJ0-3

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
5Oriente Petrolero24+1138DWDWW
6Aurora24+435DWLDL
7Nacional Potosí24+432DWLDL
8Independiente Petrolero24-830DWDLL

Aurora vs Nacional Potosí — Match Analysis

Aurora are favoured at 58%; our projected score is 2-1.

Aurora host Nacional Potosí in the Primera División on Sunday, 11 October 2026. Our model makes Aurora the favourite at 58%, with the draw at 22% and Nacional Potosí at 20%.

Form and league position

Aurora sit 6th of 16 with 30 points from 20 games (31 scored, 27 conceded), recent form W-W-L. Nacional Potosí sit 9th of 16 with 27 points from 20 games (30 scored, 28 conceded), recent form W-W-L.

Head-to-head record

There is no recent head-to-head history between these two in our records, so past meetings carry no weight in this projection.

Goals outlook

Attack-versus-defence rates give an expected score of 1.7–1.3, about 2.9 goals in total. That puts Over 2.5 goals at 55% and both teams to score at 59%.

Team news

No injuries or suspensions are reported for either squad.

What the market says

Bookmakers price Aurora at 1.65, the draw at 3.85 and Nacional Potosí at 4.45; those prices are blended into the probabilities above.

Prediction

Aurora to win (58%), most likely score 2-1.

This preview is a model projection built from league standings, recent form, goal rates, reported absences and, where available, bookmaker prices. It is refreshed automatically as new data arrives.

Win Probabilities: Aurora: 53% · Draw: 25% · Nacional Potosí: 22%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (9.4% chance)

Over 2.5: 55% · Under 2.5: 45% · BTTS: 59%

Form (latest first): Aurora: DWLLW · Nacional Potosí: DWLLW

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Primera División

Primera División

Bolivia15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Primera DivisiónBolivia
Real Tomayapo
Nov 221:15
Blooming
12.5040%
X3.7027%
23.0333%
Primera DivisiónBolivia
Independiente Petrolero
Nov 623:00
Real Tomayapo
11.7258%
X5.0020%
24.5522%
Primera DivisiónBolivia
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
Nov 719:00
Real Oruro
12.9434%
X3.7027%
22.5639%
Primera DivisiónBolivia
Always Ready
Nov 721:15
ABB
11.2580%
X8.3312%
212.508%
Primera DivisiónBolivia
Guabirá
Nov 723:30
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
11.7557%
X5.0020%
24.3523%
Primera DivisiónBolivia
Nacional Potosí
Nov 819:00
Real Potosí
12.9434%
X3.7027%
22.5639%
Primera DivisiónBolivia
Bolívar
Nov 821:15
The Strongest
11.7956%
X4.7621%
24.3523%
Primera DivisiónBolivia
Blooming
Nov 823:30
Oriente Petrolero
12.7836%
X3.5728%
22.7836%
Primera DivisiónBolivia
Aurora
Nov 1000:30
Universitario de Vinto
11.5963%
X5.5618%
25.2619%
Primera DivisiónBolivia
Real Tomayapo
Nov 2119:00
Nacional Potosí
13.1332%
X4.0025%
22.3343%
Primera DivisiónBolivia
ABB
Nov 2121:15
Aurora
13.3330%
X4.1724%
22.1746%
Primera DivisiónBolivia
Oriente Petrolero
Nov 2123:30
Independiente Petrolero
11.6760%
X5.2619%
24.7621%
Primera DivisiónBolivia
Real Potosí
Nov 2219:00
Bolívar
13.3330%
X4.1724%
22.1746%
Primera DivisiónBolivia
The Strongest
Nov 2221:15
Blooming
11.5266%
X5.5618%
26.2516%
Primera DivisiónBolivia
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
Nov 2223:30
Always Ready
16.6715%
X6.2516%
21.4569%

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