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  1. Home
  2. Copa do Brasil
  3. Gremio vs Atletico-MG

Gremio vs Atletico-MG

Prediction • Copa do Brasil·Gremio·Atletico-MG

Copa do Brasil
Copa do Brasil
Nov 1, 2026
21:00
PREDICTED WINNER
Gremio

Gremio

Home
VS
VS
Atletico-MG

Atletico-MG

Away
Win Probabilities
42%
Gremio
33%
Draw
25%
Atletico-MG
Home2.3842%
Draw3.0333%
Away4.0025%

Oracle's Vision

Confidence
“

Gremio are favored at 42% to win at home against Atletico-MG. The draw is rated 33% and the away win 25%, so the numbers point to a home result.

See our exact score, over/under 2.5 and BTTS call for Gremio vs Atletico-MG.

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Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
2.0Gremio
/10
6.0Atletico-MG
Gremio
FormLatest first
DLLLW
Win Rate20%
Atletico-MG
FormLatest first
WDLWW
Win Rate60%
Momentum AdvantageAtletico-MG+4.0

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

Gremio
Home

Gremio

Form
WDWWD
Latest first
9
Pos
49
Pts
-8
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 28 matches)

Clean Sheets621%
Goal Diff-8
  • Strong home record: 7 wins, 4 draws, 3 losses in 14 home games
  • Superior defensive statistics in API comparison (67% vs 33%)
  • Unbeaten in last five matches (DWWDW)
Walter Kannemann
Yellow Cards
Suspended
L. Perez
Yellow Cards
Suspended
Wagner Leonardo
Red Card
Suspended
Gustavo Martins
Yellow Cards
Suspended
E. Noriega
Yellow Cards
Suspended
Viery
Yellow Cards
Suspended
Carlos Vinicius
Yellow Cards
Suspended
Riquelme
Red Card
Suspended
C. Pavon
Yellow Cards
Suspended
Andre Henrique
Yellow Cards
Suspended
Pedro Gabriel
Yellow Cards
Suspended
Diego Caito
Health problems
Injured
M. Braithwaite
Achilles Injury
Injured
M. Villasanti
Rest
Injured
M. Monsalve
Coach's decision
Injured
Arthur Melo
Thigh Injury
Injured
Tete
Injury
Injured
Willian
Inactive
Injured
F. Amuzu
Inactive
Injured
Joao Pedro
Transfer negotiations
Injured
Marlon
Muscle Injury
Injured
Caio Paulista
Loan agreement
Injured
Roger
Hamstring Injury
Injured
J. Nardoni
Knee Injury
Injured
Dodi
Knee Injury
Injured
Fabian Balbuena
Coach's decision
Injured
Gabriel Mec
Inactive
Injured
J. Cabral
Muscle Injury
Injured
Gabriel Grando
Inactive
Injured
Luis Eduardo
Inactive
Injured
Weverton
International duty
Injured
Atletico-MG
Away

Atletico-MG

Form
DWDWL
Latest first
11
Pos
48
Pts
+4
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 27 matches)

Clean Sheets622%
Goal Diff+4
  • Three-match unbeaten streak (LWDWD)
  • Higher win rate (41%) compared to Gremio's 25%
  • Strong attacking output: average 1.6 goals per game
I. Roman
Yellow Cards
Suspended
Natanael
Red Card
Suspended
Lyanco
Foot Injury
Injured
A. Preciado
International duty
Injured
Rony
Inactive
Injured
Alexsander
Knee Injury
Injured
M. Cassierra
Lacking Match Fitness
Injured
Junior Santos
Inactive
Injured
M. Cisse
Thigh Injury
Injured
Maycon
Inactive
Injured
K. Castano
International duty
Injured
K. Pascini
International duty
Injured
Vitao
International duty
Injured
Vitor Hugo
Calf Injury
Injured
Ruan Tressoldi
Muscle Injury
Injured
A. Minda
International duty
Injured
Patrick Silva
Knee Injury
Injured
Indio
Knee Injury
Injured
R. Lodi
Suspended
Suspended
Cuello
Hamstring Injury
Injured
A. Franco
International duty
Injured
Hulk
Inactive
Injured
Victor Hugo
Hamstring Injury
Injured
Everson
Foot Injury
Injured
Gustavo Scarpa
Inactive
Injured
Igor Gomes
Knee Injury
Injured
L. Duarte
Hamstring Injury
Injured
J. Alonso
International duty
Injured
T. Borbas
Loan agreement
Injured
T. Perez
Injury
Injured
Reinier
Muscle Injury
Injured

Head to Head

Last 10
Gremio
Gremio
5Wins
0
Draws
Atletico-MG
5Wins
Atletico-MG
50%0%50%

Recent Matches

Last 10
Aug162026
Atletico-MGAtletico-MG
3-0
Loss
GremioGremio
Feb262026
GremioGremio
2-1
Win
Atletico-MGAtletico-MG
Aug172025
Atletico-MGAtletico-MG
1-3
Win
GremioGremio
Mar292025
GremioGremio
2-1
Win
Atletico-MGAtletico-MG
Oct92024
Atletico-MGAtletico-MG
2-1
Loss
GremioGremio
Sep12024
GremioGremio
2-3
Loss
Atletico-MGAtletico-MG
Nov262023
Atletico-MGAtletico-MG
3-0
Loss
GremioGremio
Jul232023
GremioGremio
1-0
Win
Atletico-MGAtletico-MG
Dec102021
GremioGremio
4-3
Win
Atletico-MGAtletico-MG
Nov42021
Atletico-MGAtletico-MG
2-1
Loss
GremioGremio

Past Predictions

100%1/1 correct

Atletico-MG 3 - 0 Gremio

Aug 16, 2026

52% / 30% / 18%

Gremio3-4-3vs4-2-3-1Atletico-MGPredicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Tactical matchup will test both managers' adaptability.

See the full predicted line-ups ↓

Injury Report

Current team availability status

Data Accuracy: Player availability is highly accurate (~90%), but specific injury diagnoses and recovery timelines may not reflect the latest medical updates (~70% accuracy).

Gremio

31Out

20 key players

Atletico-MG

31Out

29 key players

Gremio

Team

Gremio

Players Out

31(20 key)
Walter Kannemann

Walter Kannemann

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
L. Perez

L. Perez

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
Wagner Leonardo

Wagner Leonardo

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
Gustavo Martins

Gustavo Martins

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
E. Noriega

E. Noriega

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
Viery

Viery

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
Carlos Vinicius

Carlos Vinicius

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
Riquelme

Riquelme

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
C. Pavon

C. Pavon

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
Andre Henrique

Andre Henrique

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
Pedro Gabriel

Pedro Gabriel

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
Diego Caito

Diego Caito

MODERATE
Injury:Illness

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

M. Braithwaite

M. Braithwaite

MODERATE
Injury:Achilles Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

M. Villasanti

M. Villasanti

MODERATE
Injury:Rest

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

M. Monsalve

M. Monsalve

MODERATE
Injury:Coach's decision

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Arthur Melo

Arthur Melo

MODERATE
Injury:Thigh Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

Tete

Tete

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Willian

Willian

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

F. Amuzu

F. Amuzu

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

Joao Pedro

Joao Pedro

MODERATE
Injury:Transfer negotiations

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Marlon

Marlon

MODERATE
Injury:Muscle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

Caio Paulista

Caio Paulista

MODERATE
Injury:Loan agreement

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Roger

Roger

MODERATE
Injury:Hamstring Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

J. Nardoni

J. Nardoni

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

Dodi

Dodi

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

Fabian Balbuena

Fabian Balbuena

MODERATE
Injury:Coach's decision

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Gabriel Mec

Gabriel Mec

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

J. Cabral

J. Cabral

MODERATE
Injury:Muscle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

Gabriel Grando

Gabriel Grando

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

Luis Eduardo

Luis Eduardo

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

Weverton

Weverton

MODERATE
Injury:International duty

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Atletico-MG

Team

Atletico-MG

Players Out

31(29 key)
I. Roman

I. Roman

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
Natanael

Natanael

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
Lyanco

Lyanco

MODERATE
Injury:Foot Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-8 weeks

A. Preciado

A. Preciado

MODERATE
Injury:International duty

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Rony

Rony

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

Alexsander

Alexsander

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

M. Cassierra

M. Cassierra

MODERATE
Injury:Lacking Match Fitness

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Junior Santos

Junior Santos

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

M. Cisse

M. Cisse

MODERATE
Injury:Thigh Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

Maycon

Maycon

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

K. Castano

K. Castano

MODERATE
Injury:International duty

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

K. Pascini

K. Pascini

MODERATE
Injury:International duty

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Vitao

Vitao

MODERATE
Injury:International duty

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Vitor Hugo

Vitor Hugo

MODERATE
Injury:Calf Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Ruan Tressoldi

Ruan Tressoldi

MODERATE
Injury:Muscle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

A. Minda

A. Minda

MODERATE
Injury:International duty

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Patrick Silva

Patrick Silva

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

Indio

Indio

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

R. Lodi

R. Lodi

MODERATE
Status:Suspended
Cuello

Cuello

MODERATE
Injury:Hamstring Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

A. Franco

A. Franco

MODERATE
Injury:International duty

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Hulk

Hulk

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

Victor Hugo

Victor Hugo

MODERATE
Injury:Hamstring Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

Everson

Everson

MODERATE
Injury:Foot Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-8 weeks

Gustavo Scarpa

Gustavo Scarpa

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

Igor Gomes

Igor Gomes

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

L. Duarte

L. Duarte

MODERATE
Injury:Hamstring Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

J. Alonso

J. Alonso

MODERATE
Injury:International duty

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

T. Borbas

T. Borbas

MODERATE
Injury:Loan agreement

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

T. Perez

T. Perez

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Reinier

Reinier

MODERATE
Injury:Muscle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

Oracle's Vision

Predicted Winner

Gremio

Confidence

Win Probabilities

42%Gremio
33%Draw
25%Atletico-MG

Key Markets

Predicted ScoreBTTSOver 2.5
KickoffSun, Nov 1 · 21:00
League StatsCopa do Brasil
Line-ups →Head-to-head →Injuries · GremioInjuries · Atletico-MGLive scores →

Statistical Context

Gremio

DLLLW
  • DSep 20, 26H · Palmeiras0-0
  • LSep 16, 26A · Botafogo3-2
  • LSep 12, 26H · Vasco DA Gama1-2
  • LSep 7, 26A · Vitoria1-0
  • WSep 3, 26H · Internacional3-1

Atletico-MG

WDLWW
  • WOct 3, 26H · RB Bragantino1-0
  • DSep 19, 26H · Chapecoense-sc1-1
  • LSep 16, 26A · Santos4-2
  • WSep 12, 26H · Fluminense3-1
  • WSep 9, 26H · Santos2-0

Head to Head

5
Gremio
0
Draws
5
Atletico-MG
  • Aug 16, 26Atletico-MG – Gremio3-0
  • Feb 26, 26Gremio – Atletico-MG2-1
  • Aug 17, 25Atletico-MG – Gremio1-3
  • Mar 29, 25Gremio – Atletico-MG2-1
  • Oct 9, 24Atletico-MG – Gremio2-1

Season Statistics — 2026

GremioAtletico-MG
Played2827
Goals Scored3036
Goals Conceded3832
Avg Scored1.11.3
Avg Conceded1.41.2
Clean Sheets66

Predicted line-ups: Gremio vs Atletico-MG

Predicted XI

Gremio

3-4-3Formation· Coach: Mano Menezes

Atletico-MG

4-2-3-1Formation· Coach: Luiz Felipe Scolari

  1. 1Gabriel Delfim
  1. 3Léo Duarte
  2. 6Renan Lodi
  3. 36K. Pascini
  4. 40Vitão
  1. 15K. Castaño
  2. 39Mamady Cisse
  1. 7Fred
  2. 25T. Pérez
  3. 58Soares Eric
  1. 11Bernard
  1. 77Jovane Cabral
  2. 95Carlos Vinícius
  3. 99J. Enamorado
  1. 50Bernardo Zortea
  2. 15Danilo Barbosa
  3. 10F. Krovinović
  4. 65Riquelme Freitas
  1. 2F. Balbuena
  2. 18João Pedro
  3. 14Marcos Rocha
  1. 31G. Menegon

Bench

  • 82Wallace
  • 30Matheus Nascimento
  • 7C. Pavón
  • 11Tetê
  • 24Thiago Beltrame
  • 32V. Ramon
  • 4W. Kannemann

Out

  • Walter Kannemann · Yellow Cards
  • L. Perez · Yellow Cards
  • Wagner Leonardo · Red Card
  • Gustavo Martins · Yellow Cards
  • E. Noriega · Yellow Cards
  • Viery · Yellow Cards
  • Carlos Vinicius · Yellow Cards
  • Riquelme · Red Card

Bench

  • 31Robert
  • 28T. Cuello
  • 92Dudu
  • 46Pedro Cobra
  • 32Luis Chaves
  • 53Pedro Lemos
  • 34Samuel

Out

  • I. Roman · Yellow Cards
  • Natanael · Red Card
  • Lyanco · Foot Injury
  • A. Preciado · International duty
  • Rony · Inactive
  • Alexsander · Knee Injury
  • M. Cassierra · Lacking Match Fitness
  • Junior Santos · Inactive

Predicted line-ups based on recent matches and absences; official line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.

Gremio vs Atletico-MG — Expert Prediction & Analysis

Gremio are favored at 42% to win at home against Atletico-MG. The draw is rated 33% and the away win 25%, so the numbers point to a home result.

Gremio enter this Copa do Brasil clash as narrow favourites, backed by a strong home record and a statistical edge in the API-Football comparison. The model gives them a clear advantage in defense (67…

Win Probabilities: Gremio: 42% · Draw: 33% · Atletico-MG: 25%

H2H: Gremio wins: 5 · Draws: 0 · Atletico-MG wins: 5

Form (latest first): Gremio: DLLLW · Atletico-MG: WDLWW

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