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  1. Home
  2. Copa do Brasil
  3. Fortaleza EC vs Palmeiras

Fortaleza EC vs Palmeiras

Result • Copa do Brasil·Fortaleza EC·Palmeiras

Copa do Brasil
Copa do Brasil
Aug 6, 2026
00:30
medium Confidence
WINNER
Fortaleza EC

Fortaleza EC

Home
Final Score
3-2
Predicted: 1-2
Final Score
3-2
Predicted: 1-2
Odds
14.10
X3.55
21.84
medium Confidence
Palmeiras

Palmeiras

Away
Odds
14.10
X3.55
21.84
Win Probabilities
21%
Fortaleza EC
31%
Draw
48%
Palmeiras
Home4.1021%
Draw3.5531%
Away1.8448%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

Palmeiras are clear favourites, backed by a perfect recent record and a dominant head-to-head history. Their defensive solidity and attacking threat should prove decisive. The main risk is Fortaleza's strong home form and defensive resilience, which could keep the match tight.

Our AI model analyzes this Copa do Brasil fixture between Fortaleza EC and Palmeiras using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Fortaleza EC a 21% win probability, a 31% chance of a draw, and Palmeiras a 48% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-2. Both teams to score probability: 50%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 50%

Match Events

  1. Goal: J. B. MiritelloAssist: Rodriguinho
    34'
    Goal: J. B. MiritelloFortaleza EC · Assist: Rodriguinho
  2. 41'
    Goal: J. LopezPalmeiras · Assist: Felipe Anderson
    Goal: J. LopezAssist: Felipe Anderson
  3. Goal: Rodriguinho
    44'
    Goal: RodriguinhoFortaleza EC
  4. 55'
    Substitution: R. SosaPalmeiras · Out: Lucas Evangelista
    Substitution: R. SosaOut: Lucas Evangelista
  5. 55'
    Substitution: Andreas PereiraPalmeiras · Out: Vitor Roque
    Substitution: Andreas PereiraOut: Vitor Roque
  6. 55'
    Substitution: J. AriasPalmeiras · Out: Riquelme Fillipi
    Substitution: J. AriasOut: Riquelme Fillipi
  7. 62'
    Goal: MuriloPalmeiras · Assist: Andreas Pereira
    Goal: MuriloAssist: Andreas Pereira
  8. Substitution: Paulo BayaOut: Welliton
    62'
    Substitution: Paulo BayaFortaleza EC · Out: Welliton
  9. Substitution: NerisOut: T. Cardona
    62'
    Substitution: NerisFortaleza EC · Out: T. Cardona
  10. Substitution: VitinhoOut: Rodrigo
    67'
    Substitution: VitinhoFortaleza EC · Out: Rodrigo
  11. 68'
    Substitution: E. MartinezPalmeiras · Out: Marlon Freitas
    Substitution: E. MartinezOut: Marlon Freitas
  12. Yellow Card: Mailton
    70'
    Yellow Card: MailtonFortaleza EC
  13. Substitution: RyanOut: Pierre
    82'
    Substitution: RyanFortaleza EC · Out: Pierre
  14. Substitution: Lucas EmanoelOut: Rodriguinho
    82'
    Substitution: Lucas EmanoelFortaleza EC · Out: Rodriguinho
  15. 83'
    Substitution: Allan EliasPalmeiras · Out: Felipe Anderson
    Substitution: Allan EliasOut: Felipe Anderson
  16. Goal: Lucas EmanoelAssist: Mailton
    88'
    Goal: Lucas EmanoelFortaleza EC · Assist: Mailton
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1J. López vs Fortaleza's defense: His goal-scoring form (6 goals) will be crucial in breaking down Fortaleza's backline.
2J. Arias vs Fortaleza's midfield: His creativity and assists (1 assist) could unlock the home defense.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Fortaleza EC

  • Solid defensive record with 3 clean sheets in last 5
  • Strong home form (2 wins in 2 home games)
  • Lower defensive rating compared to opponent (20%)
  • Inferior head-to-head record against Palmeiras

Palmeiras

  • Excellent defensive record (80% defensive rating)
  • Strong attacking output (2.6 goals per game)
  • Slightly lower form rating (32%) compared to opponent
  • Potential complacency due to heavy favourite status

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
48%
API-Football
45%
47%
Palmeiras163847

Moderate agreement on away win (47%).

AI AnalysisMedium Confidence

Palmeiras enter this Copa do Brasil clash as the clear favourites, backed by a superior overall statistical profile and a decisive head-to-head record. The away side's defensive solidity and attacking efficiency give them a significant edge over Fortaleza EC.

Form Analysis: Palmeiras have won their last five matches, scoring 7 goals and conceding just 1, with two clean sheets. Their average of 2.6 goals per game highlights their attacking potency. Fortaleza EC have also been strong, with four wins in five, but their goal output (8 scored, 4 conceded) is less impressive, and they have kept three clean sheets. While both teams are in good form, Palmeiras' consistency and defensive record give them the upper hand.

Key Factors: The most decisive factor is the head-to-head record: Palmeiras have won all five of the last meetings, with three draws and two Fortaleza wins. This psychological dominance is reinforced by Palmeiras' superior defensive rating (80% vs 20%) and overall team comparison (58.5% vs 41.5%). Additionally, Palmeiras' key players, J. López and J. Arias, are in excellent form, contributing goals and assists. Fortaleza EC have no injury concerns, but Palmeiras have a fully fit squad, which is a further advantage.

Conclusion: Based on the data, Palmeiras are the clear favourites to win. Their superior form, head-to-head dominance, and defensive strength make them the most likely victors. Fortaleza EC will be competitive, but Palmeiras' quality should prevail.

Statistical ContextPalmeiras

Combo Winner : Palmeiras and +2.5 goals

Team Comparison

AI Powered
Fortaleza ECPalmeiras
41%Strength58%
53%Attacking Potential47%
20%Defensive Potential80%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
38%H2H Strength62%
47%Goals H2H53%
41%Wins the Game58%
Head-to-head →Injuries · Fortaleza ECInjuries · PalmeirasLive scores →

Statistical Context

Fortaleza EC

DWWLL
  • DSep 13, 26H · Ceara1-1
  • WSep 9, 26H · Avai1-0
  • WSep 5, 26A · Goias0-1
  • LAug 2, 26A · Palmeiras3-0
  • LDec 7, 25A · Botafogo4-2

Palmeiras

WWWDD
  • WSep 16, 26H · LDU de Quito3-2
  • WSep 12, 26H · Sao Paulo2-0
  • WSep 9, 26H · LDU de Quito1-0
  • DSep 6, 26A · Botafogo0-0
  • DSep 3, 26A · Santos0-0

Head to Head

2
Fortaleza EC
3
Draws
5
Palmeiras
  • Sep 21, 25Palmeiras – Fortaleza EC4-1
  • Apr 20, 25Fortaleza EC – Palmeiras1-2
  • Oct 26, 24Palmeiras – Fortaleza EC2-2
  • Jun 27, 24Fortaleza EC – Palmeiras3-0
  • Nov 26, 23Fortaleza EC – Palmeiras2-2

Season Statistics — 2026

Fortaleza ECPalmeiras
Played289
Goals Scored3113
Goals Conceded236
Avg Scored1.11.4
Avg Conceded0.80.7
Clean Sheets133

Fortaleza EC vs Palmeiras — Match Analysis

Palmeiras are clear favourites, backed by a perfect recent record and a dominant head-to-head history. Their defensive solidity and attacking threat should prove decisive. The main risk is Fortaleza's strong home form and defensive resilience, which could keep the match tight.

Palmeiras enter this Copa do Brasil clash as the clear favourites, backed by a superior overall statistical profile and a decisive head-to-head record. The away side's defensive solidity and attacking efficiency give them a significant edge over Fortaleza EC.

Form Analysis: Palmeiras have won their last five matches, scoring 7 goals and conceding just 1, with two clean sheets. Their average of 2.6 goals per game highlights their attacking potency. Fortaleza EC have also been strong, with four wins in five, but their goal output (8 scored, 4 conceded) is less impressive, and they have kept three clean sheets. While both teams are in good form, Palmeiras' consistency and defensive record give them the upper hand.

Key Factors: The most decisive factor is the head-to-head record: Palmeiras have won all five of the last meetings, with three draws and two Fortaleza wins. This psychological dominance is reinforced by Palmeiras' superior defensive rating (80% vs 20%) and overall team comparison (58.5% vs 41.5%). Additionally, Palmeiras' key players, J. López and J. Arias, are in excellent form, contributing goals and assists. Fortaleza EC have no injury concerns, but Palmeiras have a fully fit squad, which is a further advantage.

Conclusion: Based on the data, Palmeiras are the clear favourites to win. Their superior form, head-to-head dominance, and defensive strength make them the most likely victors. Fortaleza EC will be competitive, but Palmeiras' quality should prevail.

Win Probabilities: Fortaleza EC: 21% · Draw: 31% · Palmeiras: 48%

Predicted Score: 1-2 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 55% · Under 2.5: 45% · BTTS: 50%

H2H: Fortaleza EC wins: 2 · Draws: 3 · Palmeiras wins: 5

Form (latest first): Fortaleza EC: DWWLL · Palmeiras: WWWDD

  • J. López vs Fortaleza's defense: His goal-scoring form (6 goals) will be crucial in breaking down Fortaleza's backline.
  • J. Arias vs Fortaleza's midfield: His creativity and assists (1 assist) could unlock the home defense.

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