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  1. Home
  2. Série A
  3. Chapecoense-sc vs Flamengo

Chapecoense-sc vs Flamengo

Result • Série A·Chapecoense-sc·Flamengo

Série A
Série A
Jul 23, 2026
00:30
high Confidence
Chapecoense-sc

Chapecoense-sc

Home
Final Score
0-4
Predicted: 0-2
Final Score
0-4
Predicted: 0-2
Odds
17.30
X4.40
21.41
Stadium
Arena Condá
high Confidence
WINNER
Flamengo

Flamengo

Away
Odds
17.30
X4.40
21.41
Stadium
Arena Condá
Win Probabilities
12%
Chapecoense-sc
27%
Draw
61%
Flamengo
Home7.3012%
Draw4.4027%
Away1.4161%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

Flamengo are favored at 58% to win away at Chapecoense-sc. The draw is rated 28% and the home win 14%, so the numbers side with the visitors.

Our AI model analyzes this Série A fixture between Chapecoense-sc and Flamengo using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Chapecoense-sc a 12% win probability, a 27% chance of a draw, and Flamengo a 61% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 0-2. Both teams to score probability: 45%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 45%
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1Doma vs Flamengo defense: Chapecoense's top scorer faces a well-organized backline that has kept three clean sheets in five games.
2Pedro vs Chapecoense defense: The league's top scorer (8 goals) will be a constant threat against a defense that concedes 1.8 per game.
3Arrascaeta vs Chapecoense midfield: The creative playmaker (avg rating 7.6) will look to unlock the home side's defense.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Chapecoense-sc

  • Home advantage
  • Physical style suited to weather
  • Poor form (LLLDL)
  • Weak attack (1.0 goals per game)

Flamengo

  • Excellent form (unbeaten in 5)
  • Strong attack (2.4 goals per game)
  • Many suspensions
  • Away match

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
61%
API-Football
45%
53%
Flamengo113653

Moderate agreement on away win (53%).

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Flamengo are clear favourites to win this Série A clash against bottom-placed Chapecoense-sc. The odds heavily favour the visitors, and the statistical model also points to a Flamengo victory, albeit with a higher draw probability.

Form Analysis: Flamengo are in excellent form, unbeaten in their last five matches (WLDWD), averaging 2.4 goals scored and only 0.6 conceded, with three clean sheets. In contrast, Chapecoense have lost four of their last five (LLLDL), scoring just 1.0 goal per game and conceding 1.8, with no clean sheets.

Key Factors: The head-to-head record heavily favours Flamengo, with seven wins in the last five meetings. Additionally, Flamengo's attacking firepower, led by Pedro (8 goals), far surpasses Chapecoense's top scorer Doma (1 goal). The visitors also have a significant advantage in the league standings, sitting 2nd with 34 points compared to Chapecoense's 20th place with 9 points.

Conclusion: All data points to a comfortable away win for Flamengo. Chapecoense's poor form and defensive vulnerabilities are unlikely to withstand Flamengo's potent attack.

Statistical ContextFlamengo

Winner : Flamengo

Team Comparison

AI Powered
Chapecoense-scFlamengo
25%Strength74%
42%Attacking Potential58%
40%Defensive Potential60%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
7%H2H Strength93%
31%Goals H2H69%
25%Wins the Game74%

Statistical Context

Chapecoense-sc

LWDLL
  • LAug 30, 26A · Gremio3-1
  • WAug 23, 26H · Sao Paulo1-0
  • DAug 16, 26H · Bahia3-3
  • LAug 8, 26A · Coritiba2-1
  • LAug 5, 26A · Cruzeiro2-0

Flamengo

WLWWD
  • WAug 30, 26H · Botafogo3-0
  • LAug 22, 26A · Cruzeiro2-1
  • WAug 20, 26H · Cruzeiro2-1
  • WAug 16, 26A · Mirassol1-5
  • DAug 13, 26A · Cruzeiro1-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
1Palmeiras25+2452DWLDW
2Flamengo24+2748WLWWD
3Atletico Paranaense25+1245DWDWD
19Remo24-1123LDDLW
20Chapecoense-sc24-2414LWDLD

Head to Head

1
Chapecoense-sc
2
Draws
7
Flamengo
  • Nov 8, 21Chapecoense-sc – Flamengo2-2
  • Jul 11, 21Flamengo – Chapecoense-sc2-1
  • Oct 6, 19Chapecoense-SC – Flamengo0-1
  • May 12, 19Flamengo – Chapecoense-SC2-1
  • Sep 9, 18Flamengo – Chapecoense-sc2-0

Season Statistics — 2026

Chapecoense-scFlamengo
Played2323
Goals Scored2445
Goals Conceded4621
Avg Scored1.02.0
Avg Conceded2.00.9
Clean Sheets29

Chapecoense-sc vs Flamengo — Match Analysis

Flamengo are favored at 58% to win away at Chapecoense-sc. The draw is rated 28% and the home win 14%, so the numbers side with the visitors.

Flamengo are clear favourites to win this Série A clash against bottom-placed Chapecoense-sc. The odds heavily favour the visitors, and the statistical model also points to a Flamengo victory, albeit with a higher draw probability.

Form Analysis: Flamengo are in excellent form, unbeaten in their last five matches (WLDWD), averaging 2.4 goals scored and only 0.6 conceded, with three clean sheets. In contrast, Chapecoense have lost four of their last five (LLLDL), scoring just 1.0 goal per game and conceding 1.8, with no clean sheets.

Key Factors: The head-to-head record heavily favours Flamengo, with seven wins in the last five meetings. Additionally, Flamengo's attacking firepower, led by Pedro (8 goals), far surpasses Chapecoense's top scorer Doma (1 goal). The visitors also have a significant advantage in the league standings, sitting 2nd with 34 points compared to Chapecoense's 20th place with 9 points.

Conclusion: All data points to a comfortable away win for Flamengo. Chapecoense's poor form and defensive vulnerabilities are unlikely to withstand Flamengo's potent attack.

Win Probabilities: Chapecoense-sc: 12% · Draw: 27% · Flamengo: 61%

Predicted Score: 0-2 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 55% · Under 2.5: 45% · BTTS: 45%

H2H: Chapecoense-sc wins: 1 · Draws: 2 · Flamengo wins: 7

Form (latest first): Chapecoense-sc: LWDLL · Flamengo: WLWWD

  • Doma vs Flamengo defense: Chapecoense's top scorer faces a well-organized backline that has kept three clean sheets in five games.
  • Pedro vs Chapecoense defense: The league's top scorer (8 goals) will be a constant threat against a defense that concedes 1.8 per game.
  • Arrascaeta vs Chapecoense midfield: The creative playmaker (avg rating 7.6) will look to unlock the home side's defense.

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Série A

Série A

Brazil15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Série ABrazil
Remo
Aug 3123:00
Coritiba
12.5040%
X3.3330%
23.3330%
Série ABrazil
Flamengo
Sep 222:30
Mirassol
11.3574%
X5.5618%
212.508%
Série ABrazil
RB Bragantino
Sep 519:00
Bahia
12.7836%
X3.1332%
23.1332%
Série ABrazil
Sao Paulo
Sep 521:30
Atletico-MG
12.4441%
X3.3330%
23.4529%
Série ABrazil
Fluminense
Sep 600:00
Vasco DA Gama
11.8953%
X3.3330%
25.8817%
Série ABrazil
Coritiba
Sep 614:00
Mirassol
12.3343%
X3.0333%
24.1724%
Série ABrazil
Internacional
Sep 619:00
Santos
12.0449%
X3.3330%
24.7621%
Série ABrazil
Cruzeiro
Sep 619:00
Atletico Paranaense
12.4441%
X3.0333%
23.8526%
Série ABrazil
Remo
Sep 619:00
Flamengo
17.1414%
X4.0025%
21.6461%
Série ABrazil
Botafogo
Sep 621:30
Palmeiras
14.3523%
X3.4529%
22.0848%
Série ABrazil
Corinthians
Sep 622:30
Chapecoense-sc
Early projection
11.5266%
X5.8817%
25.8817%
Série ABrazil
Vitoria
Sep 723:00
Gremio
Early projection
12.3343%
X3.8526%
23.2331%
Série ABrazil
Bahia
Sep 1320:00
Remo
Early projection
11.7258%
X5.0020%
24.5522%
Série ABrazil
Botafogo
Sep 1320:00
RB Bragantino
Early projection
12.5040%
X3.7027%
23.0333%
Série ABrazil
Palmeiras
Sep 1320:00
Sao Paulo
Early projection
11.4768%
X6.2516%
26.2516%