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  1. Home
  2. Série A
  3. Coritiba vs Cruzeiro

Coritiba vs Cruzeiro

Result • Série A·Coritiba·Cruzeiro

Série A
Série A
Jul 31, 2026
00:30
low Confidence
Coritiba

Coritiba

Home
Final Score
0-1
Predicted: 0-1
Final Score
0-1
Predicted: 0-1
Odds
13.20
X3.20
22.25
Stadium
Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira
low Confidence
WINNER
Cruzeiro

Cruzeiro

Away
Odds
13.20
X3.20
22.25
Stadium
Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira
Win Probabilities
31%
Coritiba
31%
Draw
38%
Cruzeiro
Home3.2031%
Draw3.2031%
Away2.2538%

Oracle's Vision

low Confidence
“

Cruzeiro are favored at 38% to win away at Coritiba. The draw is rated 31% and the home win 31%, so the numbers side with the visitors.

Our AI model analyzes this Série A fixture between Coritiba and Cruzeiro using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Coritiba a 31% win probability, a 31% chance of a draw, and Cruzeiro a 38% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 0-1. Both teams to score probability: 50%. This prediction is rated as low confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 50%

Match Events

  1. Yellow Card: Thiago Santos
    37'
    Yellow Card: Thiago SantosCoritiba
  2. Substitution: TissiOut: Thiago Santos
    54'
    Substitution: TissiCoritiba · Out: Thiago Santos
  3. 60'
    Substitution: KenjiCruzeiro · Out: Felipe Morais
    Substitution: KenjiOut: Felipe Morais
  4. Substitution: Rodrigo RodriguesOut: Pedro Rocha
    65'
    Substitution: Rodrigo RodriguesCoritiba · Out: Pedro Rocha
  5. Substitution: Felipe JonatanOut: Bruno Melo
    65'
    Substitution: Felipe JonatanCoritiba · Out: Bruno Melo
  6. 66'
    Goal: Matheus PereiraCruzeiro · Assist: Gerson
    Goal: Matheus PereiraAssist: Gerson
  7. 70'
    Substitution: MarquinhosCruzeiro · Out: K. Arroyo
    Substitution: MarquinhosOut: K. Arroyo
  8. 70'
    Substitution: Matheus HenriqueCruzeiro · Out: Gerson
    Substitution: Matheus HenriqueOut: Gerson
  9. Substitution: KenoOut: Breno Lopes
    79'
    Substitution: KenoCoritiba · Out: Breno Lopes
  10. Substitution: B. OcampoOut: S. Gomez
    79'
    Substitution: B. OcampoCoritiba · Out: S. Gomez
  11. 85'
    Substitution: Bruno RodriguesCruzeiro · Out: Kaio Jorge
    Substitution: Bruno RodriguesOut: Kaio Jorge
  12. 86'
    Substitution: L. VillalbaCruzeiro · Out: G. Rojas
    Substitution: L. VillalbaOut: G. Rojas
  13. 90+2'
    Yellow Card: Matheus HenriqueCruzeiro
    Yellow Card: Matheus Henrique
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1J. Lavega vs Cruzeiro defence: Coritiba's second top scorer must step up in Breno Lopes' absence against a disciplined backline.
2Matheus Pereira vs Coritiba midfield: The away team's chief creator will look to unlock a Coritiba defence that has been leaky.
3Pedro Rocha vs Fagner (suspended): With Fagner out, Cruzeiro's right flank may be weakened, giving Rocha an opportunity.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Coritiba

  • Strong head-to-head record against Cruzeiro
  • Decent home form with 3 wins in 9
  • Multiple suspensions including top scorer Breno Lopes
  • Defensive vulnerability (conceded 1.6 goals per game)

Cruzeiro

  • Better defensive record (1.2 goals conceded per game)
  • Slightly better form rating (53% vs 47%)
  • Also missing several players through suspension
  • Poor away form not specified but overall record modest

Combined Analysis

High Agreement
Betora AI
38%
API-Football
35%
34%
Cruzeiro333334

Moderate agreement on away win (34%).

AI AnalysisLow Confidence

This match between Coritiba and Cruzeiro is finely balanced, with the visitors holding a slight edge according to the odds. Both teams are level on points in mid-table, and recent form is similar, making this a tough call.

Form Analysis: Coritiba have won two of their last five (DLLWW) but have been inconsistent, while Cruzeiro have one win in five (LWDWD). Both sides have similar win rates (35%) and goal averages, though Coritiba concede more (1.6 per game vs 1.2).

Key Factors: Head-to-head history slightly favors Coritiba (4 wins in last 10 meetings), but they are missing several key players through suspension, including top scorer Breno Lopes. Cruzeiro also have suspensions, but their squad depth may cope better. Home advantage for Coritiba is modest (3 wins in 9 home games).

Conclusion: The data points to a tight contest where neither side can be confident of victory. Cruzeiro's better defensive record and the absence of Coritiba's key players give them a narrow advantage, but a draw is a very plausible outcome.

Statistical ContextCoritiba

Double chance : Coritiba or draw

Team Comparison

AI Powered
CoritibaCruzeiro
50%Strength50%
54%Attacking Potential46%
38%Defensive Potential62%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
62%H2H Strength38%
43%Goals H2H57%
50%Wins the Game50%
Head-to-head →Injuries · CoritibaInjuries · CruzeiroLive scores →

Statistical Context

Coritiba

DLLDL
  • DOct 12, 26H · Botafogo1-1
  • LOct 9, 26A · Fluminense4-0
  • LSep 19, 26A · Vasco DA Gama5-0
  • DSep 12, 26H · Atletico Paranaense3-3
  • LSep 6, 26H · Mirassol1-2

Cruzeiro

LWWLW
  • LOct 13, 26A · RB Bragantino4-2
  • WOct 8, 26H · Sao Paulo2-0
  • WSep 20, 26A · Vitoria1-3
  • LSep 13, 26A · Santos2-1
  • WSep 6, 26H · Atletico Paranaense3-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
5Bahia30+849WLLWW
6Cruzeiro30+248LWWLW
7Atletico-MG30+647WDWDW
8Santos30+142LDWWW
9RB Bragantino30+340WDLLD
10Sao Paulo30039WLLWL
11Coritiba30-1039DLLDL
12Vitoria30-1136LWLDW

Head to Head

4
Coritiba
3
Draws
3
Cruzeiro
  • Feb 6, 26Cruzeiro – Coritiba1-2
  • Nov 11, 23Coritiba – Cruzeiro1-0
  • Jul 16, 23Cruzeiro – Coritiba0-0
  • Oct 9, 21Coritiba – Cruzeiro0-3
  • Jul 6, 21Cruzeiro – Coritiba0-0

Season Statistics — 2026

CoritibaCruzeiro
Played2929
Goals Scored3744
Goals Conceded4740
Avg Scored1.31.5
Avg Conceded1.61.4
Clean Sheets66

Coritiba vs Cruzeiro — Match Analysis

Cruzeiro are favored at 38% to win away at Coritiba. The draw is rated 31% and the home win 31%, so the numbers side with the visitors.

This match between Coritiba and Cruzeiro is finely balanced, with the visitors holding a slight edge according to the odds. Both teams are level on points in mid-table, and recent form is similar, making this a tough call.

Form Analysis: Coritiba have won two of their last five (DLLWW) but have been inconsistent, while Cruzeiro have one win in five (LWDWD). Both sides have similar win rates (35%) and goal averages, though Coritiba concede more (1.6 per game vs 1.2).

Key Factors: Head-to-head history slightly favors Coritiba (4 wins in last 10 meetings), but they are missing several key players through suspension, including top scorer Breno Lopes. Cruzeiro also have suspensions, but their squad depth may cope better. Home advantage for Coritiba is modest (3 wins in 9 home games).

Conclusion: The data points to a tight contest where neither side can be confident of victory. Cruzeiro's better defensive record and the absence of Coritiba's key players give them a narrow advantage, but a draw is a very plausible outcome.

Win Probabilities: Coritiba: 31% · Draw: 31% · Cruzeiro: 38%

Predicted Score: 0-1 (10.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 45% · Under 2.5: 55% · BTTS: 50%

H2H: Coritiba wins: 4 · Draws: 3 · Cruzeiro wins: 3

Form (latest first): Coritiba: DLLDL · Cruzeiro: LWWLW

  • J. Lavega vs Cruzeiro defence: Coritiba's second top scorer must step up in Breno Lopes' absence against a disciplined backline.
  • Matheus Pereira vs Coritiba midfield: The away team's chief creator will look to unlock a Coritiba defence that has been leaky.
  • Pedro Rocha vs Fagner (suspended): With Fagner out, Cruzeiro's right flank may be weakened, giving Rocha an opportunity.

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Série A

Série A

Brazil15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Série ABrazil
Botafogo
Oct 1721:00
Chapecoense-sc
11.4370%
X5.8817%
27.6913%
Série ABrazil
Atletico-MG
Oct 1721:30
Coritiba
11.5664%
X4.0025%
29.0911%
Série ABrazil
Atletico Paranaense
Oct 1722:30
Palmeiras
13.8526%
X3.0333%
22.4441%
Série ABrazil
Sao Paulo
Oct 1800:00
Vasco DA Gama
12.0848%
X3.8526%
23.8526%
Série ABrazil
Fluminense
Oct 1819:00
Santos
12.1746%
X3.1332%
24.5522%
Série ABrazil
Gremio
Oct 1819:00
Cruzeiro
13.1332%
X3.7027%
22.4441%
Série ABrazil
Bahia
Oct 1821:30
Flamengo
14.1724%
X3.3330%
22.1746%
Série ABrazil
Remo
Oct 1822:30
RB Bragantino
14.5522%
X3.2331%
22.1347%
Série ABrazil
Corinthians
Oct 1923:00
Vitoria
11.9252%
X3.7027%
24.7621%
Série ABrazil
Cruzeiro
Oct 2323:00
Remo
11.4768%
X4.5522%
210.0010%
Série ABrazil
Internacional
Oct 2419:30
Botafogo
Early projection
12.5639%
X3.7027%
22.9434%
Série ABrazil
Vitoria
Oct 2419:30
Atletico Paranaense
Early projection
13.3330%
X4.1724%
22.1746%
Série ABrazil
Mirassol
Oct 2419:30
Sao Paulo
Early projection
12.6338%
X3.7027%
22.8635%
Série ABrazil
Palmeiras
Oct 2421:30
RB Bragantino
Early projection
11.5664%
X5.5618%
25.5618%
Série ABrazil
Vasco DA Gama
Oct 2421:30
Corinthians
Early projection
12.0449%
X4.3523%
23.5728%

Betting Tips

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